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NIKE, Inc.NYSE:NKE Stock Report

Market Cap US$65.8b
Share Price
US$44.40
US$74.97
40.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y-22.6%
7D-1.6%
Portfolio Value
View

NIKE, Inc.

NYSE:NKE Stock Report

Market Cap: US$65.8b

NIKE (NKE) Stock Overview

Designs, develops, markets, and sells athletic and casual footwear, apparel, equipment, accessories, and services for men, women, and kids in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Greater China, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. More details

NKE fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation2/6
Future Growth3/6
Past Performance1/6
Financial Health6/6
Dividends3/6

NKE Community Fair Values

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NIKE, Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for NIKE
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$44.40
52 Week HighUS$80.17
52 Week LowUS$42.09
Beta1.32
1 Month Change0.48%
3 Month Change-27.13%
1 Year Change-22.58%
3 Year Change-65.01%
5 Year Change-67.45%
Change since IPO12,743.39%

Recent News & Updates

Recent updates

Nike: A Buy Into The Window That Has Never Failed

Apr 28

NKE: China Execution And Restructuring Risks Will Limit Future Share Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on NIKE, contributing to a fair value update from $27.83 to $26.89 as they weigh slower expected revenue growth, slightly better profit margins, and a lower future P/E, alongside mixed recent research that includes both downgrades and some pockets of product strength such as high demand for Kobe launches. Analyst Commentary Recent research on NIKE has leaned cautious, with many bearish analysts cutting price targets and issuing downgrades as they reassess the balance between product momentum and execution risks.

NKE: China Execution And Restructuring Uncertainty Will Restrain Future Upside

Nike's updated analyst price target has been cut from about $43 to roughly $28, as analysts factor in weaker revenue expectations, slightly softer margins, and a lower future P/E following a wave of target reductions and downgrades across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Nike has shifted more cautious, with a cluster of downgrades and price target cuts concentrated over a short period.

NKE: Product Reset And China Recovery Will Support Future Margin Resilience

Analysts have nudged the NIKE price target slightly lower, trimming fair value by about $1.45 to reflect a modestly reduced future P/E assumption, while still incorporating expectations of steady revenue and profit margins. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to progress in inventory management, operational resets, and efforts to support brand health and margin stabilization as key supports for the current valuation framework.

Nike Inc. (NKE): The "Innovation Reset" and the Battle for Brand Supremacy

Nike Inc. (NKE) is currently standing at a critical crossroads, trading at $51.36 USD on the NYSE as of late March 2026.

NKE: Product Reset And China Sentiment Will Support Future Margin Expansion

Analysts have lowered their price expectations for NIKE, with the updated fair value implying a move of roughly $0.55 lower per share. This reflects a balance between slower assumed revenue growth and a higher discount rate on one hand, and steady margin expectations and continued confidence in a product led recovery on the other.

NKE: China Weakness And Restructuring Fears Will Limit Future Upside

Analysts have made a modest upward adjustment to their NIKE price target to $43.19 from $42.94, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth and profit margins. These changes are set against a somewhat higher discount rate and largely unchanged future P/E expectations, while continuing to flag ongoing China related risks highlighted in recent research.

My long-term take on Nike: A global sports brand with steady growth potential but margin challenges to solve.

Hi - Nike: more than a sports brand, a long-term global platform As someone who goes to the gym regularly, plays football during the week and follows sport closely, I’ve always noticed how certain brands become part of everyday culture. Nike Inc stands out because it operates as more than just an apparel company - it’s a global sports brand built on performance, identity and long-term fan engagement.

NKE: Extended Timeline To US$3 EPS Target Will Support Multi Year Recovery

Narrative Update NIKE's analyst price targets have edged lower by about $1 as analysts factor in slightly higher discount rates and modest adjustments to long term margin and P/E assumptions, while still outlining a path to profitable growth despite recent target cuts and rating changes. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on NIKE point to a more cautious tone on ratings and price targets, but there are still constructive threads that bullish analysts continue to highlight around profitability and valuation.

NKE: Margin Pressures And Cost Cuts Will Restrain Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on NIKE, with the updated fair value estimate moving from about US$46.17 to US$42.94 as they factor in a higher discount rate, slightly lower profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple, alongside recent target cuts from several research firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has tilted more cautious on NIKE, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets and one downgrade to Hold.

Nike - A Fundamental and Historical Valuation

Business Overview Key Metrics Total: 7/17 +1 ✅ Projected Operating Margin: 13.65% +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Revenue CAGR: 5.88% +1 ✅ Last 5-Year ROIC: 18.60% +1 ✅ Estimated Cost of Capital: 11.54% (less than ROIC) +1 ✅ Last 5-Year Shares Outstanding CAGR: -1.28% +1 ✅ Projected 5-Year EPS CAGR: 16.37% +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Dividend CAGR: 9.13% +1 ✅ Moody's Rating: A2 +2 ✅✅ Morningstar Moat: Wide -1 ❌ Morningstar Uncertainty: High Nike runs with a solid operating margin above the ~10% mark showing it still has some competitive advantage over competitors even with the maturity of its business and a highly competitive industry. Despite currently having revenue growth below the economy growth rate, its projections point to a slightly higher than economy growth rate of ~5-6% over the next couple of years.

NKE: Margin Expansion Will Follow Execution On Profitability And Brand Initiatives

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for NIKE from US$83.30 to US$76.97, reflecting lower assumed future P/E multiples, even as they factor in slightly higher revenue growth and profit margins following recent price target cuts and rating changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary around NIKE reflects a split view, with some focusing on long term earnings power and others highlighting execution risks and a lengthened timeframe for hitting key milestones.

Nike will leverage its dominant market position and brand recognition to drive future growth

Takeaway Based on the current analysis, Nike (NKE) appears overvalued at its current price of $65.90 relative to the intrinsic value suggested by our DCF of $46.62 and other valuation methods. Therefore, it is not recommend buying at this level.

NKE: Turnaround Progress And Margin Improvements Will Support Multi Year Recovery

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Nike to about $110 from roughly $114, reflecting lower Street price targets in the mid-$80s range and updated models that factor in stable top-line expectations, modestly higher profit margins, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary around Nike has centered on recalibrated price targets and updated earnings models, but the tone from bullish analysts still leans constructive on the company’s longer term setup.

NKE: Margin Recovery And Cleaner Inventories Will Drive Multi Year Turnaround

Analysts have nudged our NIKE fair value estimate slightly higher to $114.33 from $112.79, reflecting modestly stronger confidence in the brand's multi year turnaround and margin recovery trajectory, amid a flurry of recent target hikes even as some firms trim near term price objectives. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Nike reflects a constructive shift in sentiment, with multiple firms nudging targets higher and upgrading ratings as the turnaround gains traction.

NKE: Margin Expansion Will Follow Progress On Inventory And Order Book Recovery

Nike's analyst-driven fair value estimate was modestly reduced by $0.40 to $83.30. Analysts anticipate slightly higher discount rates and margin pressures, despite ongoing evidence of progress in the company's turnaround strategy.

NIKE's (NYSE:NKE) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Nov 25
NIKE's (NYSE:NKE) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

NKE: Margin Recovery And Channel Inventory Progress Will Drive Upside Momentum

NIKE’s analyst price target saw a modest increase, rising by approximately $0.43 to $83.70. Analysts noted improving inventory trends and better-than-expected margin recovery, while acknowledging ongoing macro and tariff headwinds.

NKE: Upcoming Product Refresh and Channel Cleanup Will Drive Performance Recovery

NIKE's analyst price target has been adjusted down to $85 from $90. Analysts anticipate broadly stable revenues but note pressure on gross margins and earnings due to elevated SG&A costs and incremental tariff headwinds.

Product Portfolio Transition And Digital Cleanup Will Create New Opportunities

NIKE's updated analyst price target has increased modestly by approximately $1 to $83. Analysts point to stable revenue growth, gradual margin recovery, and improved inventory positioning, despite ongoing concerns regarding tariffs and selective product refreshes.

Product Portfolio Transition And Digital Cleanup Will Create New Opportunities

Nike's fair value estimate has been raised by analysts from $79.76 to $82.25 per share. This change reflects increased confidence in the company's turnaround progress, stronger revenue growth, and improving profit margins.

Product Portfolio Transition And Digital Cleanup Will Create New Opportunities

Analysts have modestly raised their price target for NIKE to $79.76, reflecting improved sales and margin prospects—especially from cleaner U.S. channels, strong demand for key franchises, and better inventory management—though ongoing China, tariff, and macro risks temper the near-term outlook. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight improving sales and margins, citing accelerated inventory normalization, cleaner U.S. channels, rising holiday order books, and renewed retailer enthusiasm, particularly for Air Force One and Jordan Retro.

Product Portfolio Transition And Digital Cleanup Will Create New Opportunities

Analysts have modestly raised NIKE's price target, citing early signs of sales and margin stabilization as inventories normalize, stronger U.S. product momentum, improving wholesale relationships, and innovation tailwinds, though persisting macro and China-related risks temper the outlook; the consensus target increased slightly to $78.91. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite evidence of sales and margin inflection as near-term inventories normalize, with particular strength returning in core U.S. products like Air Force One and Jordan Retro.

There's Reason For Concern Over NIKE, Inc.'s (NYSE:NKE) Massive 25% Price Jump

Jul 26
There's Reason For Concern Over NIKE, Inc.'s (NYSE:NKE) Massive 25% Price Jump

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For NIKE, Inc. (NYSE:NKE) After Its Full-Year Results

Jun 30
Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For NIKE, Inc. (NYSE:NKE) After Its Full-Year Results
User avatar

A conservative outlook sees Nike's stock rolling towards a $100 mark within the next couple years

With pretty conservative estimates I am seeing Nike hitting at least $100 roughly in 3 years. However this is with a revenue growth of 2%. I believe that leadership can help get that number closer to
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NKE vs DESK and SKX

This analysis compares three companies: DESK, SKX, and NKE, using key financial ratios across liquidity, solvency, efficiency, profitability, and valuation.Liquidity: DESK shows strong short-term fina

NIKE Has The Potential To Be One Of The Great Large-Cap Consumer Turnarounds

Apr 25

Why Nike's Bruised Stock Might Be A Long-Term Winner

Apr 19

Nike: It May Seem Like It, But The Drawdown Isn't Over, Tariffs Add Fuel To The Fire

Apr 03

Nike: Investors Shouldn't Bet On A Rebound Anytime Soon

Mar 24

Nike's Direct-to-Consumer Focus Will Drive Future Growth

✅ Global Sports & Athleisure Boom – Increasing consumer interest in fitness, sports, and casual wear.

Nike Earnings Preview: Inventory Liquidation Could Last Through May '25 Quarter

Mar 17

Nike: New CEO, Same Old Problems

Mar 11

Nike: Why I'm Turning Cautiously Optimistic (Rating Upgrade)

Feb 24

Nike: Turnaround Might Be Uncertain

Jan 13
User avatar

Narrative update from Goran Damchevski

Nike posted Q2 revenues of $12.4B, down 8% YoY. TTM revenues add up to $48.9B, down 5% YoY. This is in-line with my estimates for a slump in growth lasting through 2025. I expect that the pressure fro

Nike Stock: Why Investors Should Still 'Just Do It' (Rating Upgrade)

Dec 20

Nike: Just Buy It

Dec 11

Nike: When Will This Be Investable Again? (Technical Analysis)

Dec 03

Nike: Navigating Near-Term Challenges With Potential Upside

Nov 11

Shareholder Returns

NKEUS LuxuryUS Market
7D-1.6%-2.4%0.9%
1Y-22.6%-2.7%28.2%

Return vs Industry: NKE underperformed the US Luxury industry which returned -2.7% over the past year.

Return vs Market: NKE underperformed the US Market which returned 28.2% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is NKE's price volatile compared to industry and market?
NKE volatility
NKE Average Weekly Movement5.8%
Luxury Industry Average Movement6.7%
Market Average Movement7.1%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.2%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: NKE has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: NKE's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
196477,800Elliott Hillwww.nike.com

NIKE, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and sells athletic and casual footwear, apparel, equipment, accessories, and services for men, women, and kids in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Greater China, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The company offers its products under the NIKE, Jordan, Jumpman, Converse, Chuck Taylor, All Star, One Star, Star Chevron, and Jack Purcell trademarks. It also provides a line of performance equipment and accessories, including bags, socks, sport balls, eyewear, timepieces, digital devices, bats, gloves, protective equipment, and other equipment for sports activities, as well as various plastic products to other manufacturers; distributes and licenses casual sneakers, apparel, and accessories; and markets apparel with licensed college and professional team and league logos.

NIKE, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do NIKE's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
NKE fundamental statistics
Market capUS$65.75b
Earnings (TTM)US$2.25b
Revenue (TTM)US$46.52b
29.2x
P/E Ratio
1.4x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
NKE income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$46.52b
Cost of RevenueUS$27.49b
Gross ProfitUS$19.04b
Other ExpensesUS$16.79b
EarningsUS$2.25b

Last Reported Earnings

Feb 28, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)1.52
Gross Margin40.92%
Net Profit Margin4.84%
Debt/Equity Ratio57.0%

How did NKE perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

3.7%
Current Dividend Yield
106%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/04 10:14
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/01 00:00
Earnings2026/02/28
Annual Earnings2025/05/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

NIKE, Inc. is covered by 65 analysts. 35 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David HeasmanAccountability Research Corporation
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Jonathan KompBaird