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GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
Followers
334
Total number of followers
Comments
55
Total number of comments
Member Since
2020
Date joined
No bio added yet
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Berkshire Hathaway
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
The Berkshire Success Recipe: Concentrated Portfolio With Diversified Operations
Berkshire has managed to find a balance between a diversified business and an alpha-rich portfolio. The company’s efficiency is reflected in its low risk, which also limits growth.
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US$604.20k
FV
34.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.60%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
27
users have followed this narrative
5 months ago
author updated this narrative
Shopify
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
Large Brands and New Verticals to Push Revenues Higher But Cheap Ecomm Software Risks Remain
Key Takeaways Expanding the customer base with large brands via the Shopify Plus subscriptions is a profitable way to grow the business. In my view, Shopify has a $32B software, and $15.4B payments market opportunity.
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US$39.00
FV
154.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
18.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
10 months ago
author updated this narrative
Reddit
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
Advertising, Data Licensing and User Economy Could Be Enough to Drive Revenue Growth, If Successful
Key Takeaways Reddit’s key segment is advertising with a focus on U.S. male demographics. The target audience tends to be ad-resistant with low monetization potential.
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US$38.00
FV
199.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
21.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
22
users have followed this narrative
10 months ago
author updated this narrative
Pinterest
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
Leading Idea Discovery Makes Pinterest A Durable Software Business
Key Takeaways Pinterest has a differentiated and growing discovery business, catering to young shoppers. The project-driven platform attracts close to 500M high-intent MAUs. The company is shifting focus to profitability with its lower-funnel tools.
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US$30.00
FV
10.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
15.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
6
users have followed this narrative
10 months ago
author updated this narrative
CrowdStrike Holdings
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
Long Tail Optionality In Cybercrime Will Benefit CrowdStrike And Deliver Revenue Growth
Key Takeaways Efficient software, accelerated computing, and AI, will benefit a growing cybercrime industry State actors are getting more involved in digital warfare which may be a weak point of the West Successful data breaches and cybercrime work in favor of spreading awareness for cybersecurity spending CrowdStrike’s move towards an all-in-one solution addresses the complexity pain-point of customers Catalysts Cybersecurity Threats Are Entering A New Era Cybercrime is the other side of the coin of technological development and is expected to keep advancing at an unknown pace in the future, this makes companies like CrowdStrike well-positioned to help. They predict attackers will continue to target large companies "Big Game Hunting", internet-connected devices (edge devices) and end-of-life products (EOL).
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US$113.04
FV
289.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
8 months ago
author updated this narrative
Enphase Energy
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
Market Leadership Amidst Increasing Competition Won't Hurt Solid Revenue Growth
Key Takeaways Electricity prices, incentives (tax credits, net metering) and technology advancements will drive sales. Microinverters are gaining traction but their advantage over traditional inverters is unclear.
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US$76.86
FV
40.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
24.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
9
users have followed this narrative
6 months ago
author updated this narrative
Palantir Technologies
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
AIP Drives Network Effects And Strong Revenue Growth
Key Takeaways While government contracts were historically Palantir's primary revenue source, commercial adoption driven by AIP workshops is set to overtake revenue growth and become the largest segment. Palantir’s value-based pricing model allows the company to generate high margins and reinvest in product development.
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US$19.79
FV
528.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
29.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
22
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
18
users have followed this narrative
10 months ago
author updated this narrative
AT&T
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
Stabilization And Incremental Progress Will Unlock Value
Key Takeaways AT&T is emerging from an unstable phase with questionable performance and a large debt burden. Sentiment will pick up as the company demonstrates fundamental improvements and recapitalizes its structure.
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US$32.12
FV
14.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
2.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
12
users have followed this narrative
10 months ago
author updated this narrative
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
High Growth Opportunities And Categorical Risk Factors Increase The Range Of TSMC’s Valuation
Key Takeaways TSMC is the current leader in chip manufacturing, boasting the most advanced technology and a strong customer base High-Performance Compute (HPC), AI, and EVs will drive growth, while the smartphone market slowly becomes saturated Their specialization strategy optimizes chips for specific use cases, allowing them to maintain their edge Peers are catching up, and a capital intensive industry will lower the bottom-line for investors TSMC has a high intrinsic value, but their exposure to China expands the risk to reward range Catalysts TSMC Will Remain Market Leader Key semiconductor competitors differ in their innovation and business approach. Roughly speaking, the quality of a semiconductor tends to be judged by its size, the smaller it is, the more transistors you can fit on a chip.
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US$798.09
FV
77.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
13.50%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
8
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
13
users have followed this narrative
10 months ago
author updated this narrative
Starbucks
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
International Store Growth To Sustain Revenue Growth Despite Labour Headwinds
Key Takeaways Store growth plans to increase by 74% internationally, but only 12% in the US. Coffee demand is expected to be a tailwind for revenues longer term, growing at a stable 4.2%.
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US$86.27
FV
1.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
5.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
20
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
7
users have followed this narrative
6 months ago
author updated this narrative
Salesforce
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
Salesforce Is Solidifying Its Leadership With Enterprise Cloud Customers But Market Growth Expectations Are High
Key Takeaways The CRM landscape is shifting to specialized CRMs for different use cases There is room to increase its market share to 20%. Most efficiency gains have been made, and excess capital will return to shareholders Salesforce will leverage its cloud to create an attractive value proposition.
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US$223.99
FV
22.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
13.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
8
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
22
users have followed this narrative
5 months ago
author updated this narrative
Costco Wholesale
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
Success In Ecommerce, Emerging Markets And A Membership Price Increase Are Needed To Justify Current Multiple
Key Takeaways Costco may be overvalued, but its stable profitability indicates that it can catch-up in five years Growing the number of warehouses still makes sense, despite the lower returns Its own Kirkland brand, and eComm will contribute to margin expansion The special dividend is a working capital optimization tactic that also incentivizes investors to hold Membership fee increases may degrade loyalty, and act as a negative catalyst for the stock Catalysts Kirkland Signature's Growing Presence on Shelves Could Increase Margins Costco is a customer-centric company, with a $300B market cap and $246B in annual revenue. Its substantial purchasing power allows it to negotiate favorable deals with suppliers, enabling it to pass on savings to its members.
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US$489.26
FV
106.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.20%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
9
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
13
users have followed this narrative
7 months ago
author updated this narrative