Guess?, Inc.'s (NYSE:GES) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 67% Above Its Share Price
Aug 21
U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Analysis
UpdatedAug 21, 2024
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies140
- 7D2.8%
- 3M7.6%
- 1Y20.6%
- YTD9.4%
The Specialty Stores industry is up 2.8% in the last week, with Home Depot up 4.9%. This means that the industry has gained 21% over the past year. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 11% annually.
Industry Valuation and Performance
Has the U.S. Specialty Stores Industry valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, 21 Aug 2024 | US$468.8b | US$551.0b | US$16.9b | 16.7x | 27.7x | 0.9x |
| Fri, 19 Jul 2024 | US$477.8b | US$551.8b | US$17.6b | 16.3x | 27.2x | 0.9x |
| Sun, 16 Jun 2024 | US$465.9b | US$552.3b | US$17.6b | 16.2x | 26.4x | 0.8x |
| Tue, 14 May 2024 | US$443.3b | US$552.8b | US$16.6b | 16.6x | 26.7x | 0.8x |
| Thu, 11 Apr 2024 | US$442.8b | US$552.4b | US$17.1b | 15.8x | 25.9x | 0.8x |
| Sat, 09 Mar 2024 | US$440.4b | US$546.3b | US$16.3b | 14.3x | 27x | 0.8x |
| Mon, 05 Feb 2024 | US$435.2b | US$574.3b | US$16.0b | 13.9x | 27.1x | 0.8x |
| Wed, 03 Jan 2024 | US$435.8b | US$574.4b | US$16.1b | 13.7x | 27x | 0.8x |
| Fri, 01 Dec 2023 | US$397.4b | US$575.1b | US$16.4b | 14.2x | 24.3x | 0.7x |
| Sun, 29 Oct 2023 | US$361.1b | US$568.8b | US$18.0b | 10.9x | 20.1x | 0.6x |
| Tue, 26 Sep 2023 | US$378.8b | US$567.7b | US$18.4b | 11x | 20.6x | 0.7x |
| Thu, 24 Aug 2023 | US$411.7b | US$572.0b | US$17.9b | 11x | 23x | 0.7x |
| Sat, 22 Jul 2023 | US$422.5b | US$572.7b | US$18.2b | 10.4x | 23.2x | 0.7x |
| Mon, 19 Jun 2023 | US$405.6b | US$574.2b | US$18.3b | 10.2x | 22.1x | 0.7x |
| Wed, 17 May 2023 | US$395.2b | US$575.4b | US$19.2b | 10.3x | 20.5x | 0.7x |
| Fri, 14 Apr 2023 | US$402.3b | US$575.4b | US$20.3b | 10.1x | 19.8x | 0.7x |
| Sun, 12 Mar 2023 | US$371.4b | US$530.6b | US$22.4b | 9.7x | 16.6x | 0.7x |
| Tue, 07 Feb 2023 | US$411.3b | US$542.0b | US$23.7b | 10x | 17.4x | 0.8x |
| Thu, 05 Jan 2023 | US$378.8b | US$539.0b | US$23.5b | 9x | 16.1x | 0.7x |
| Sat, 03 Dec 2022 | US$391.6b | US$541.3b | US$23.9b | 8.7x | 16.4x | 0.7x |
| Mon, 31 Oct 2022 | US$357.7b | US$558.4b | US$23.8b | 7.1x | 15x | 0.6x |
| Wed, 28 Sep 2022 | US$327.0b | US$552.0b | US$23.4b | 6.1x | 14x | 0.6x |
| Fri, 26 Aug 2022 | US$372.0b | US$549.6b | US$24.4b | 7.4x | 15.2x | 0.7x |
| Sun, 24 Jul 2022 | US$347.9b | US$526.6b | US$26.8b | 6.2x | 13x | 0.7x |
| Tue, 21 Jun 2022 | US$321.3b | US$531.4b | US$26.4b | 6.1x | 12.2x | 0.6x |
| Thu, 19 May 2022 | US$355.1b | US$530.8b | US$27.3b | 6.4x | 13x | 0.7x |
| Sat, 16 Apr 2022 | US$411.1b | US$532.2b | US$26.3b | 7.5x | 15.6x | 0.8x |
| Mon, 14 Mar 2022 | US$394.9b | US$518.0b | US$26.3b | 8.4x | 15x | 0.8x |
| Wed, 09 Feb 2022 | US$450.7b | US$520.4b | US$25.3b | 8.7x | 17.8x | 0.9x |
| Fri, 07 Jan 2022 | US$493.5b | US$518.1b | US$25.3b | 9.2x | 19.5x | 1x |
| Sun, 05 Dec 2021 | US$512.0b | US$513.6b | US$24.9b | 9.3x | 20.5x | 1x |
| Tue, 02 Nov 2021 | US$539.1b | US$499.6b | US$25.2b | 10.4x | 21.4x | 1.1x |
| Thu, 30 Sep 2021 | US$537.2b | US$489.2b | US$24.9b | 10.6x | 21.6x | 1.1x |
| Sat, 28 Aug 2021 | US$513.7b | US$484.3b | US$23.4b | 11.5x | 22x | 1.1x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
22x
Current Industry PE
- Investors are optimistic on the American Specialty Retail industry, and appear confident in long term growth rates.
- The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 27.7x which is higher than its 3-year average PE of 20.1x.
- The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PS ratio of 0.77x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for companies in the Specialty Retail industry have declined 10% per year over the last three years.
- Meanwhile revenues for these companies have grown 4.4% per year.
- This means that although more sales are being generated, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased, which has decreased profits.
Industry Trends
Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?
| US Market | 3.06% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | 4.16% | |
| Specialty Stores | 2.81% | |
| Specialty Stores | 5.66% | |
| Apparel Retail | 2.84% | |
| Home Improvement Retail | 2.30% | |
| Automotive Retail | 1.62% | |
| Computer and Electronics Retail | 0.97% | |
| Home Furnishing Retail | -3.15% | |
Industry PE
- Investors are most optimistic about the Home Improvement Retail industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 75.0x.
- Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 14.1%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 27.3% per year.
- Investors are most pessimistic about the Automotive Retail industry, although it looks like investor sentiment has improved given that it's trading above its 3-year average of 13.8x.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Home Improvement Retail industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 14% over the next 5 years.
- This is better than its past earnings decline of 27% per year.
- In contrast, the Computer and Electronics Retail industry is expected to see its earnings decline by 4.8% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HD Home Depot | US$367.27 | 4.9% +US$17.1b | 13.2% | PE24.7x | |
| TJX TJX Companies | US$113.31 | 2.0% +US$2.6b | 27.2% | PE27.5x | |
| LOW Lowe's Companies | US$240.33 | 1.8% +US$2.4b | 6.5% | PE19x | |
| ROST Ross Stores | US$147.70 | 4.3% +US$2.0b | 25.4% | PE24.7x | |
| ULTA Ulta Beauty | US$369.05 | 11.3% +US$1.8b | -14.3% | PE14x |
