Guess?, Inc. designs, markets, distributes, and licenses lifestyle collections of apparel and accessories for men, women, and children.
Price History & Performance
|Historical stock prices|
|Current Share Price||US$20.11|
|52 Week High||US$11.56|
|52 Week Low||US$31.12|
|1 Month Change||-6.94%|
|3 Month Change||-9.90%|
|1 Year Change||56.01%|
|3 Year Change||0.95%|
|5 Year Change||44.99%|
|Change since IPO||123.44%|
Recent News & Updates
Guess? Is A Top Retail Stock
Guess? trades at an estimated P/E ratio of 8.8, making a great value proposal. Revenue is expected to grow and exceed 2020 fiscal levels next year. Management estimates earnings per share of $3.50 by 2024. Guess? could offer upside potential of up to 90% by the end of the calendar 2023.
Guess' (NYSE:GES) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Typically, we'll want to...
|GES||US Specialty Retail||US Market|
Return vs Industry: GES exceeded the US Specialty Retail industry which returned 35.2% over the past year.
Return vs Market: GES exceeded the US Market which returned 27.6% over the past year.
Stable Share Price: GES is not significantly more volatile than the rest of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 6% a week.
Volatility Over Time: GES's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
Guess?, Inc. designs, markets, distributes, and licenses lifestyle collections of apparel and accessories for men, women, and children. It operates through five segments: Americas Retail, Americas Wholesale, Europe, Asia, and Licensing. The company’s clothing collection includes jeans, pants, skirts, dresses, shorts, blouses, shirts, jackets, knitwear, and intimate apparel.
Guess' Fundamentals Summary
|GES fundamental statistics|
Is GES overvalued?See Fair Value and valuation analysis
Earnings & Revenue
|GES income statement (TTM)|
|Cost of Revenue||US$1.38b|
Last Reported Earnings
Jul 31, 2021
Next Earnings Date
|Earnings per share (EPS)||2.60|
|Net Profit Margin||7.14%|
How did GES perform over the long term?See historical performance and comparison
2.2%Current Dividend Yield
Is Guess' undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?
Undervalued compared to fair value
Share Price vs. Fair Value
Below Fair Value: GES ($20.11) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($29.57)
Significantly Below Fair Value: GES is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Price To Earnings Ratio
PE vs Industry: GES is good value based on its PE Ratio (7.7x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (9.9x).
PE vs Market: GES is good value based on its PE Ratio (7.7x) compared to the US market (18.2x).
Price to Earnings Growth Ratio
PEG Ratio: GES is good value based on its PEG Ratio (0.6x)
Price to Book Ratio
PB vs Industry: GES is good value based on its PB Ratio (2.1x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (2.8x).
How is Guess' forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 4 analysts?
Forecasted annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: GES's forecast earnings growth (12% per year) is above the savings rate (2%).
Earnings vs Market: GES's earnings (12% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.1% per year).
High Growth Earnings: GES's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: GES's revenue (7.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: GES's revenue (7.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if GES's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
How has Guess' performed over the past 5 years?
Historical annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue History
Quality Earnings: GES has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: GES became profitable in the past.
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: GES's earnings have declined by 5.2% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: GES has become profitable in the last year, making the earnings growth rate difficult to compare to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: GES has become profitable in the last year, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Specialty Retail industry (158.2%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: GES's Return on Equity (27.7%) is considered high.
How is Guess''s financial position?
Financial Position Analysis
Short Term Liabilities: GES's short term assets ($1.3B) exceed its short term liabilities ($715.2M).
Long Term Liabilities: GES's short term assets ($1.3B) exceed its long term liabilities ($1.1B).
Debt to Equity History and Analysis
Debt Level: GES's debt to equity ratio (53.7%) is considered high.
Reducing Debt: GES's debt to equity ratio has increased from 1% to 53.7% over the past 5 years.
Debt Coverage: GES's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (61.9%).
Interest Coverage: GES's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (10.2x coverage).
What is Guess' current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
Current Dividend Yield
Dividend Yield vs Market
Notable Dividend: GES's dividend (2.24%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.29%).
High Dividend: GES's dividend (2.24%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (3.49%).
Stability and Growth of Payments
Stable Dividend: GES's dividend payments have been volatile in the past 10 years.
Growing Dividend: GES's dividend payments have fallen over the past 10 years.
Current Payout to Shareholders
Dividend Coverage: With its low payout ratio (16.9%), GES's dividend payments are well covered by earnings.
Future Payout to Shareholders
Future Dividend Coverage: Insufficient data to determine if a dividend will be paid in 3 years and that it will be covered by earnings.
How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?
Average management tenure
Carlos Alberini (65 yo)
Mr. Carlos E. Alberini has been the Chief Executive Officer at Guess?, Inc. since February 20, 2019 and has been its Director since February 02, 2019. Mr. Alberini served as the Chairman and Chief Executiv...
CEO Compensation Analysis
Compensation vs Market: Carlos's total compensation ($USD7.21M) is above average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD3.56M).
Compensation vs Earnings: Insufficient data to compare Carlos's compensation with company performance.
Experienced Management: GES's management team is seasoned and experienced (8.7 years average tenure).
Experienced Board: GES's board of directors are considered experienced (3 years average tenure).
Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?
Insider Trading Volume
Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.
Recent Insider Transactions
Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have been diluted in the past year, with total shares outstanding growing by 2.1%.
Guess', Inc.'s employee growth, exchange listings and data sources
- Name: Guess', Inc.
- Ticker: GES
- Exchange: NYSE
- Founded: 1981
- Industry: Apparel Retail
- Sector: Retail
- Market Cap: US$1.306b
- Shares outstanding: 64.96m
- Website: https://www.guess.com
Number of Employees
- Guess', Inc.
- 1444 South Alameda Street
- Los Angeles
- United States
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
|Data||Last Updated (UTC time)|
|Company Analysis||2021/10/16 22:14|
|End of Day Share Price||2021/10/15 00:00|
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.