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GES

Guess'NYSE:GES Stock Report

Market Cap

US$1.3b

7D

-2.9%

1Y

56.0%

Updated

16 Oct, 2021

Data

Company Financials +
GES fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation6/6
Future Growth1/6
Past Performance3/6
Financial Health4/6
Dividends2/6

GES Overview

Guess?, Inc. designs, markets, distributes, and licenses lifestyle collections of apparel and accessories for men, women, and children.

Guess' Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Guess'
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$20.11
52 Week HighUS$11.56
52 Week LowUS$31.12
Beta2.25
1 Month Change-6.94%
3 Month Change-9.90%
1 Year Change56.01%
3 Year Change0.95%
5 Year Change44.99%
Change since IPO123.44%

Recent News & Updates

Sep 09

Guess? Is A Top Retail Stock

Guess? trades at an estimated P/E ratio of 8.8, making a great value proposal. Revenue is expected to grow and exceed 2020 fiscal levels next year. Management estimates earnings per share of $3.50 by 2024. Guess? could offer upside potential of up to 90% by the end of the calendar 2023.

Aug 28
Guess' (NYSE:GES) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital

Guess' (NYSE:GES) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital

To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Typically, we'll want to...

Shareholder Returns

GESUS Specialty RetailUS Market
7D-2.9%1.5%2.0%
1Y56.0%35.2%27.6%

Return vs Industry: GES exceeded the US Specialty Retail industry which returned 35.2% over the past year.

Return vs Market: GES exceeded the US Market which returned 27.6% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is GES's price volatile compared to industry and market?
GES volatility
GES Beta2.25
Industry Beta1.55
Market Beta1

Stable Share Price: GES is not significantly more volatile than the rest of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 6% a week.

Volatility Over Time: GES's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
198111,000Carlos Alberinihttps://www.guess.com

Guess?, Inc. designs, markets, distributes, and licenses lifestyle collections of apparel and accessories for men, women, and children. It operates through five segments: Americas Retail, Americas Wholesale, Europe, Asia, and Licensing. The company’s clothing collection includes jeans, pants, skirts, dresses, shorts, blouses, shirts, jackets, knitwear, and intimate apparel.

Guess' Fundamentals Summary

How do Guess''s earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
GES fundamental statistics
Market CapUS$1.31b
Earnings (TTM)US$168.91m
Revenue (TTM)US$2.37b

7.7x

P/E Ratio

0.6x

P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
GES income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$2.37b
Cost of RevenueUS$1.38b
Gross ProfitUS$988.39m
ExpensesUS$819.48m
EarningsUS$168.91m

Last Reported Earnings

Jul 31, 2021

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)2.60
Gross Margin41.77%
Net Profit Margin7.14%
Debt/Equity Ratio53.7%

How did GES perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

2.2%

Current Dividend Yield

17%

Payout Ratio

Valuation

Is Guess' undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

32.0%

Undervalued compared to fair value


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: GES ($20.11) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($29.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GES is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: GES is good value based on its PE Ratio (7.7x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (9.9x).

PE vs Market: GES is good value based on its PE Ratio (7.7x) compared to the US market (18.2x).


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: GES is good value based on its PEG Ratio (0.6x)


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: GES is good value based on its PB Ratio (2.1x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (2.8x).


Future Growth

How is Guess' forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 4 analysts?

12.0%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GES's forecast earnings growth (12% per year) is above the savings rate (2%).

Earnings vs Market: GES's earnings (12% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: GES's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: GES's revenue (7.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GES's revenue (7.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if GES's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time


Past Performance

How has Guess' performed over the past 5 years?

-5.2%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: GES has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: GES became profitable in the past.


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: GES's earnings have declined by 5.2% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: GES has become profitable in the last year, making the earnings growth rate difficult to compare to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: GES has become profitable in the last year, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Specialty Retail industry (158.2%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: GES's Return on Equity (27.7%) is considered high.


Financial Health

How is Guess''s financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: GES's short term assets ($1.3B) exceed its short term liabilities ($715.2M).

Long Term Liabilities: GES's short term assets ($1.3B) exceed its long term liabilities ($1.1B).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: GES's debt to equity ratio (53.7%) is considered high.

Reducing Debt: GES's debt to equity ratio has increased from 1% to 53.7% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: GES's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (61.9%).

Interest Coverage: GES's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (10.2x coverage).


Balance Sheet


Dividend

What is Guess' current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

2.24%

Current Dividend Yield


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: GES's dividend (2.24%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.29%).

High Dividend: GES's dividend (2.24%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (3.49%).


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: GES's dividend payments have been volatile in the past 10 years.

Growing Dividend: GES's dividend payments have fallen over the past 10 years.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: With its low payout ratio (16.9%), GES's dividend payments are well covered by earnings.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: Insufficient data to determine if a dividend will be paid in 3 years and that it will be covered by earnings.


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

8.7yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Carlos Alberini (65 yo)

2.67yrs

Tenure

US$7,207,281

Compensation

Mr. Carlos E. Alberini has been the Chief Executive Officer at Guess?, Inc. since February 20, 2019 and has been its Director since February 02, 2019. Mr. Alberini served as the Chairman and Chief Executiv...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Carlos's total compensation ($USD7.21M) is above average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD3.56M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Insufficient data to compare Carlos's compensation with company performance.


Leadership Team

Experienced Management: GES's management team is seasoned and experienced (8.7 years average tenure).


Board Members

Experienced Board: GES's board of directors are considered experienced (3 years average tenure).


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have been diluted in the past year, with total shares outstanding growing by 2.1%.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Guess', Inc.'s employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Guess', Inc.
  • Ticker: GES
  • Exchange: NYSE
  • Founded: 1981
  • Industry: Apparel Retail
  • Sector: Retail
  • Market Cap: US$1.306b
  • Shares outstanding: 64.96m
  • Website: https://www.guess.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Guess', Inc.
  • 1444 South Alameda Street
  • Los Angeles
  • California
  • 90021
  • United States

Listings


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2021/10/16 22:14
End of Day Share Price2021/10/15 00:00
Earnings2021/07/31
Annual Earnings2021/01/30


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.