Shoe Carnival (SCVL) Stock Overview
Operates as a family footwear retailer in the United States. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 5/6 |
| Future Growth | 1/6 |
| Past Performance | 1/6 |
| Financial Health | 6/6 |
| Dividends | 5/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
SCVL passed our risk checks.
SCVL Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Shoe Carnival, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$17.94 |
| 52 Week High | US$26.57 |
| 52 Week Low | US$15.04 |
| Beta | 1.43 |
| 1 Month Change | 1.82% |
| 3 Month Change | -11.71% |
| 1 Year Change | -8.38% |
| 3 Year Change | -22.47% |
| 5 Year Change | -45.44% |
| Change since IPO | 420.84% |
Recent News & Updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Mar 30
Shoe Carnival's Rebannering Plan Might Not Be Going Well (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Shoe Carnival faces challenges as its rebannering to higher-end Shoe Station stores underperforms expectations, with negative comps and flat gross margins. SCVL's transformation is hindered by a slowing sneaker market, consumer spending pressure, and upcoming 2026 tariff impacts that will further constrain margins. With a forward P/E of 10.66, SCVL's valuation is in line with peers, but 2026 EPS is likely at the low end of guidance ($1.40), implying 7% downside. I downgrade SCVL to hold as the rebannering strategy's risks and execution uncertainty outweigh near-term value potential. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Feb 23
SCVL: Index Removals Will Pressure Overvalued Shares Despite New Buyback
Analysts have kept Shoe Carnival's fair value estimate steady at $19.00, with only small tweaks to inputs such as the discount rate and future P/E assumptions shaping this price target update. What's in the News Shoe Carnival, Inc.Narrative Update • Feb 09
SCVL: Index Removals And Buybacks Will Guide A Steady Valuation Outlook
Analysts have maintained their Shoe Carnival fair value estimate at $19.00. The slight adjustment in the discount rate and future P/E reflects updated views on the company’s risk profile and expected earnings multiple, rather than a change in the headline price target.Analysis Article • Feb 05
Shoe Carnival, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SCVL) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.7x Shoe Carnival, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SCVL ) may be sending very bullish...Narrative Update • Jan 25
SCVL: Index Removals And Buybacks Will Shape A Steady Forward Outlook
Analysts kept their fair value estimate for Shoe Carnival steady at US$19.00. They pointed to only slight tweaks in discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions that did not materially change their price target view.Narrative Update • Jan 10
SCVL: Index Removals And Buyback Plan Will Frame A Steady Outlook
Analysts kept their fair value estimate for Shoe Carnival steady at $19.00, with only slight adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate and assumed future P/E that reflect fine tuning rather than a shift in their core view. What's in the News Shoe Carnival was removed from several S&P benchmarks, including the S&P 600, S&P 600 Consumer Discretionary sector, S&P 1000, and S&P Composite 1500 indices.Narrative Update • Dec 20
SCVL: Share Repurchases And Guidance Will Support Fairly Valued Outlook
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Shoe Carnival to approximately $19.00, citing slightly higher discount rate and future earnings multiple assumptions while keeping revenue growth and profit margin expectations effectively unchanged. What's in the News The Board of Directors authorized a new share repurchase plan allowing Shoe Carnival to buy back up to $50 million of its stock, funded from cash on hand, with the program running through December 31, 2026 (share repurchase announcement).Narrative Update • Dec 06
SCVL: Value Positioning Will Support Guidance Amid Rebanner Progress And Earnings Reset
Analysts have nudged their price target on Shoe Carnival slightly higher to approximately $19.00 per share, reflecting modestly lower discount rate assumptions while maintaining broadly unchanged expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future valuation multiples. What's in the News Shoe Carnival reaffirmed its Fiscal 2025 net sales outlook while raising the lower end of its EPS guidance to a range of $1.80 to $2.10, reflecting stronger third quarter results and faster progress on store rebanners (Corporate guidance, raised).Narrative Update • Nov 21
SCVL: Value-Focused Positioning Will Appeal To Budget-Conscious Shoppers Ahead
Narrative Update: Shoe Carnival Analyst Price Target Analysts have lowered Shoe Carnival’s fair value estimate from $22.00 to $19.00, citing weaker-than-expected back-to-school sales and a more cautious outlook on the company’s growth and profitability metrics. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts note that the company’s value-driven positioning could appeal to budget-conscious consumers, especially in uncertain economic conditions.Analysis Article • Sep 08
Shoe Carnival, Inc. (NASDAQ:SCVL) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 26%
Shoe Carnival, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SCVL ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 26% share price jump in the...Analysis Article • Sep 05
Is There An Opportunity With Shoe Carnival, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SCVL) 25% Undervaluation?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Shoe Carnival fair value estimate is US$34.46 Shoe Carnival is...Narrative Update • Aug 27
Rebanner Expansion Will Attract Premium Shoppers Yet Will Face Uncertainties
The downward revision in Shoe Carnival's price target reflects weaker fundamentals, notably a decline in both expected revenue growth and net profit margin, resulting in a new fair value estimate of $21.00. What's in the News No shares repurchased under the buyback program announced on December 12, 2024.Analysis Article • Jul 07
Shoe Carnival, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SCVL) Share Price Is Matching Sentiment Around Its Earnings
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may...Analysis Article • Mar 27
Shoe Carnival's (NASDAQ:SCVL) Dividend Will Be Increased To $0.15
Shoe Carnival, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SCVL ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable...Seeking Alpha • Mar 21
I Still Like Growth Prospects At Shoe Carnival, But Have A Hold For Now
Summary Shoe Carnival remains debt-free with plans for organic and acquired growth, but I have downgraded my rating from Buy to Hold pending evidence of growth strategy success. Despite modestly better fiscal 2024 results, the share price has fallen, and the company faces negative EPS revisions and declining growth compared to peers. The rebranding to Shoe Station aims to improve margins, supported by a strong balance sheet, growing dividends, and share repurchases. While the stock's valuation may not appeal to all investors, its potential for growth makes it a possibility among growth investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Mar 11
Here's What To Make Of Shoe Carnival's (NASDAQ:SCVL) Decelerating Rates Of Return
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Analysis Article • Feb 19
Shoe Carnival, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SCVL) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.5x Shoe Carnival, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SCVL ) may be sending very bullish...Analysis Article • Jan 02
At US$33.08, Is It Time To Put Shoe Carnival, Inc. (NASDAQ:SCVL) On Your Watch List?
Shoe Carnival, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SCVL ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a...Analysis Article • Nov 24
Shoe Carnival, Inc. (NASDAQ:SCVL) Just Reported Third-Quarter Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?
Last week, you might have seen that Shoe Carnival, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SCVL ) released its third-quarter result to the...Analysis Article • Nov 22
Shoe Carnival (NASDAQ:SCVL) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Analysis Article • Nov 07
Shoe Carnival, Inc. (NASDAQ:SCVL) Shares Could Be 27% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Shoe Carnival fair value estimate is US$51.87 Shoe Carnival is...Analysis Article • Sep 21
Shoe Carnival, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SCVL) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors
Shoe Carnival, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:SCVL ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16x might make it look like a buy right now...
New Narrative • Sep 15
Rogan's Acquisition And Digital Marketing Propel Record Sales And Market Expansion
Acquisition and integration strategies, including digital marketing shifts, are significantly enhancing revenue, market share, and operational efficiency.Seeking Alpha • Sep 12
Shoe Carnival Expects A Positive H2 2024, But The Stock Is Too Pricey
Summary Shoe Carnival's 2Q24 results showed a 13% sales increase, driven by acquisitions and calendar shifts, with comparable sales down 2.1% but improving sequentially. Margins improved due to higher sales, but are expected to decrease in 2H24 due to marketing expenses and calendar shifts. Management's positive guidance for 2H24 includes comparable sales up to 5%, driven by digital marketing and store conversions, but I maintain a Hold rating. Despite strong management and no debt, SCVL's 10.5% yield is low for a footwear retailer, especially heading into a potential recession. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Aug 13
The Returns At Shoe Carnival (NASDAQ:SCVL) Aren't Growing
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. One common approach is to try and...Seeking Alpha • Aug 02
Enhancing Customer Experience - Shoe Carnival's 'Fit Finder' And Its Potential For Growth
Summary Strategic Positioning: Shoe Carnival is leveraging strategic acquisitions and a digital-first marketing approach, including innovative features like the "Fit Finder," to navigate a complex retail landscape and improve the customer experience. Financial Performance: The company saw a 6.8% revenue increase in Q1 2024, driven by the acquisition of Rogan's Shoes and improvements in its e-commerce platform, despite rising SG&A expenses. SCVL's cautious expansion is expected to achieve 3.63% revenue growth, with profit growth at 0% to 2% due to integration and marketing costs. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jul 27
Calculating The Fair Value Of Shoe Carnival, Inc. (NASDAQ:SCVL)
Key Insights Shoe Carnival's estimated fair value is US$48.90 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...Seeking Alpha • Jul 27
After A Two-Year Slump, Shoe Carnival Is Back On Track For Growth
Summary Shoe Carnival, Inc. is turning around its fortunes with Q1 of fiscal 2024 being a pivotal point. The company is launching initiatives to grow the business and constrain costs, and they are expected to lead to 6% earnings growth. Shoe Carnival has a competitive advantage in the retail footwear business, with a focus on customer experience. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| SCVL | US Specialty Retail | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 4.8% | -1.6% | 2.2% |
| 1Y | -8.4% | 5.6% | 31.1% |
Return vs Industry: SCVL underperformed the US Specialty Retail industry which returned 5.6% over the past year.
Return vs Market: SCVL underperformed the US Market which returned 31.1% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| SCVL volatility | |
|---|---|
| SCVL Average Weekly Movement | 6.5% |
| Specialty Retail Industry Average Movement | 7.4% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.3% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.1% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: SCVL has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: SCVL's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1978 | 3,650 | Cliff Sifford | www.shoecarnival.com |
Shoe Carnival, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a family footwear retailer in the United States. It offers various products, including dress and casual shoes, sandals, boots, and athletic shoes; and non-athletics for men's, women's and children's shoes, as well as accessories. The company also operates stores.
Shoe Carnival, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| SCVL fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$493.07m |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$52.27m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$1.14b |
9.4x
P/E Ratio0.4x
P/S RatioIs SCVL overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| SCVL income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$1.14b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$720.17m |
| Gross Profit | US$415.15m |
| Other Expenses | US$362.88m |
| Earnings | US$52.27m |
Last Reported Earnings
Jan 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
May 21, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 1.90 |
| Gross Margin | 36.57% |
| Net Profit Margin | 4.60% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 0% |
How did SCVL perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
3.8%
Current Dividend Yield31%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/11 12:07 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/08 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/01/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/01/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Shoe Carnival, Inc. is covered by 11 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Mitchel Kummetz | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |
| Randal Konik | Jefferies LLC |
| David Mann | Johnson Rice & Company, L.L.C. |