Guess?, Inc.

NYSE:GES Stock Report

Market Cap: US$883.7m

Guess? Valuation

Is GES undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GES when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GES ($17.07) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($24.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GES is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GES?

Key metric: As GES is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GES. This is calculated by dividing GES's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GES's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.2x
EarningsUS$170.94m
Market CapUS$883.72m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GES's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GES vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.4x
SCVL Shoe Carnival
12.3x12.1%US$921.2m
CAL Caleres
7.1x2.1%US$1.1b
CHS Chico's FAS
8.4xn/aUS$937.0m
JILL J.Jill
9.6x21.8%US$396.7m
GES Guess?
5.2xn/aUS$883.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GES is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.2x) compared to the peer average (9.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GES's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TKLF Tokyo Lifestyle
1.9xn/aUS$14.10m
MASN Maison Luxe
0.08xn/aUS$144.03k
FTCH.Q Farfetch
n/an/aUS$395.00
EXPR.Q Express
0.000002xn/aUS$374.00
GES 5.2xIndustry Avg. 17.2xNo. of Companies10PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GES is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.2x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (17.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GES's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GES PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GES's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GES forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$17.07
US$21.75
+27.4%
19.9%US$29.00US$18.00n/a4
Nov ’25US$16.97
US$22.75
+34.1%
16.6%US$29.00US$19.00n/a4
Oct ’25US$19.71
US$22.75
+15.4%
16.6%US$29.00US$19.00n/a4
Sep ’25US$20.72
US$22.75
+9.8%
16.6%US$29.00US$19.00n/a4
Aug ’25US$22.88
US$28.47
+24.4%
15.4%US$37.00US$25.00n/a5
Jul ’25US$19.64
US$28.47
+45.0%
15.4%US$37.00US$25.00n/a5
Jun ’25US$23.27
US$28.47
+22.4%
15.4%US$37.00US$25.00n/a5
May ’25US$25.97
US$30.39
+17.0%
11.3%US$37.00US$26.36n/a6
Apr ’25US$33.40
US$30.77
-7.9%
10.7%US$37.00US$26.36n/a7
Mar ’25US$25.34
US$27.31
+7.8%
14.6%US$33.00US$23.00n/a6
Feb ’25US$23.13
US$27.10
+17.2%
14.3%US$32.50US$23.00n/a5
Jan ’25US$23.06
US$26.70
+15.8%
16.0%US$32.50US$22.00n/a5
Dec ’24US$22.82
US$26.70
+17.0%
16.0%US$32.50US$22.00n/a5
Nov ’24US$21.64
US$27.30
+26.2%
15.3%US$32.50US$22.00US$16.975
Oct ’24US$21.64
US$27.30
+26.2%
15.3%US$32.50US$22.00US$19.715
Sep ’24US$24.48
US$26.38
+7.7%
15.9%US$32.50US$22.00US$20.724
Aug ’24US$20.84
US$23.50
+12.8%
4.8%US$25.00US$22.00US$22.884
Jul ’24US$19.45
US$23.50
+20.8%
4.8%US$25.00US$22.00US$19.644
Jun ’24US$18.88
US$24.00
+27.1%
3.4%US$25.00US$23.00US$23.273
May ’24US$18.49
US$24.00
+29.8%
3.4%US$25.00US$23.00US$25.973
Apr ’24US$19.46
US$24.00
+23.3%
3.4%US$25.00US$23.00US$33.403
Mar ’24US$21.50
US$24.00
+11.6%
4.2%US$25.00US$23.00US$25.342
Feb ’24US$23.39
US$24.00
+2.6%
4.2%US$25.00US$23.00US$23.132
Jan ’24US$20.69
US$24.00
+16.0%
4.2%US$25.00US$23.00US$23.062
Dec ’23US$20.71
US$24.00
+15.9%
4.2%US$25.00US$23.00US$22.822
Nov ’23US$17.67
US$25.50
+44.3%
9.8%US$28.00US$23.00US$21.642

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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