Zumiez Inc.

NasdaqGS:ZUMZ Stock Report

Market Cap: US$436.8m

Zumiez Valuation

Is ZUMZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ZUMZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ZUMZ ($22.82) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($4.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ZUMZ is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ZUMZ?

Key metric: As ZUMZ is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ZUMZ. This is calculated by dividing ZUMZ's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ZUMZ's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.5x
SalesUS$885.73m
Market CapUS$436.81m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ZUMZ's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ZUMZ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.4x
CURV Torrid Holdings
0.4x0.8%US$414.5m
LE Lands' End
0.3x-0.2%US$478.2m
SFIX Stitch Fix
0.4x-3.5%US$539.3m
JILL J.Jill
0.6x1.6%US$396.7m
ZUMZ Zumiez
0.5x2.9%US$436.8m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ZUMZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (0.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ZUMZ's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

41 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TA TravelCenters of America
0.1x-0.8%US$1.30b
ODP ODP
0.1x-2.1%US$821.02m
ARKO Arko
0.09x-1.7%US$811.56m
AAN Aaron's Company
0.1x2.4%US$306.82m
ZUMZ 0.5xIndustry Avg. 0.5xNo. of Companies41PS00.61.21.82.43+
41 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ZUMZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (0.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ZUMZ's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ZUMZ PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ZUMZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ZUMZ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$22.82
US$25.50
+11.7%
2.0%US$26.00US$25.00n/a2
Nov ’25US$19.55
US$25.50
+30.4%
2.0%US$26.00US$25.00n/a2
Oct ’25US$20.44
US$25.50
+24.8%
2.0%US$26.00US$25.00n/a2
Sep ’25US$27.74
US$19.50
-29.7%
2.6%US$20.00US$19.00n/a2
Aug ’25US$24.87
US$19.50
-21.6%
2.6%US$20.00US$19.00n/a2
Jul ’25US$18.73
US$19.50
+4.1%
2.6%US$20.00US$19.00n/a2
Jun ’25US$18.78
US$15.00
-20.1%
6.7%US$16.00US$14.00n/a2
May ’25US$17.12
US$15.00
-12.4%
6.7%US$16.00US$14.00n/a2
Apr ’25US$14.80
US$15.00
+1.4%
6.7%US$16.00US$14.00n/a2
Mar ’25US$17.50
US$18.50
+5.7%
2.7%US$19.00US$18.00n/a2
Feb ’25US$17.89
US$18.50
+3.4%
2.7%US$19.00US$18.00n/a2
Jan ’25US$20.34
US$18.50
-9.0%
2.7%US$19.00US$18.00n/a2
Dec ’24US$21.14
US$18.50
-12.5%
2.7%US$19.00US$18.00n/a2
Nov ’24US$16.06
US$17.00
+5.9%
5.9%US$18.00US$16.00US$19.552
Oct ’24US$17.80
US$17.00
-4.5%
5.9%US$18.00US$16.00US$20.442
Sep ’24US$18.83
US$15.50
-17.7%
3.2%US$16.00US$15.00US$27.742
Aug ’24US$18.78
US$15.50
-17.5%
3.2%US$16.00US$15.00US$24.872
Jul ’24US$16.66
US$15.50
-7.0%
3.2%US$16.00US$15.00US$18.732
Mar ’24US$23.21
US$23.50
+1.2%
6.4%US$25.00US$22.00US$17.502
Feb ’24US$26.92
US$23.50
-12.7%
6.4%US$25.00US$22.00US$17.892
Jan ’24US$21.74
US$23.50
+8.1%
6.4%US$25.00US$22.00US$20.342
Dec ’23US$21.83
US$24.50
+12.2%
2.0%US$25.00US$24.00US$21.142
Nov ’23US$22.55
US$24.50
+8.6%
2.0%US$25.00US$24.00US$16.062

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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