TravelCenters of America Inc.

NasdaqGS:TA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.3b

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TravelCenters of America Valuation

Is TA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate TA's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate TA's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TA?

Key metric: As TA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TA. This is calculated by dividing TA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.5x
EarningsUS$137.09m
Market CapUS$1.30b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.6x
ARKO Arko
41.1x31.6%US$752.5m
MNRO Monro
33.5x17.6%US$882.3m
CWH Camping World Holdings
n/a118.0%US$2.4b
ABG Asbury Automotive Group
14.2x19.6%US$5.1b
TA TravelCenters of America
9.5x-38.4%US$1.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x) compared to the peer average (23.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SSOK Sunstock
1.8xn/aUS$771.79k
MASN Maison Luxe
0.08xn/aUS$168.03k
FTCH.Q Farfetch
n/an/aUS$395.00
EXPR.Q Express
0.00006xn/aUS$374.00
No more companies available in this PE range
TA 9.5xIndustry Avg. 16.4xNo. of Companies11PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (10.9x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.5x
Fair PE Ratio5.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$85.67
0%
0.6%US$86.00US$85.00n/a3
Nov ’25n/a
US$85.67
0%
0.6%US$86.00US$85.00n/a3
Oct ’25n/a
US$85.67
0%
0.6%US$86.00US$85.00n/a3
Sep ’25n/a
US$85.67
0%
0.6%US$86.00US$85.00n/a3
Aug ’25n/a
US$85.67
0%
0.6%US$86.00US$85.00n/a3
Jul ’25n/a
US$85.67
0%
0.6%US$86.00US$85.00n/a3
Jun ’25n/a
US$85.67
0%
0.6%US$86.00US$85.00n/a3
May ’25n/a
US$85.67
0%
0.6%US$86.00US$85.00n/a3
Apr ’25n/a
US$85.67
0%
0.6%US$86.00US$85.00n/a3
Mar ’25n/a
US$85.67
0%
0.6%US$86.00US$85.00n/a3
Feb ’25n/a
US$85.67
0%
0.6%US$86.00US$85.00n/a3
Jan ’25n/a
US$85.67
0%
0.6%US$86.00US$85.00n/a3
Dec ’24n/a
US$85.67
0%
0.6%US$86.00US$85.00n/a3
Nov ’24n/a
US$85.67
0%
0.6%US$86.00US$85.00n/a3
Oct ’24n/a
US$85.67
0%
0.6%US$86.00US$85.00n/a3
Sep ’24n/a
US$85.67
0%
0.6%US$86.00US$85.00n/a3
Aug ’24n/a
US$85.67
0%
0.6%US$86.00US$85.00n/a3
Jul ’24n/a
US$85.67
0%
0.6%US$86.00US$85.00n/a3
Jun ’24n/a
US$85.67
0%
0.6%US$86.00US$85.00n/a3
May ’24US$86.09
US$85.67
-0.5%
0.6%US$86.00US$85.00n/a3
Apr ’24US$86.50
US$85.67
-1.0%
0.6%US$86.00US$85.00n/a3
Mar ’24US$84.26
US$80.50
-4.5%
11.1%US$86.00US$65.00n/a4
Feb ’24US$46.11
US$71.25
+54.5%
13.5%US$85.00US$60.00n/a4
Jan ’24US$44.78
US$71.25
+59.1%
13.5%US$85.00US$60.00n/a4
Dec ’23US$50.48
US$71.25
+41.1%
13.5%US$85.00US$60.00n/a4
Nov ’23US$63.83
US$75.00
+17.5%
10.9%US$85.00US$65.00n/a3

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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