Monro, Inc.

NasdaqGS:MNRO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$871.2m

Monro Valuation

Is MNRO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MNRO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MNRO ($28.82) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($27.4)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MNRO is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MNRO?

Key metric: As MNRO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MNRO. This is calculated by dividing MNRO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MNRO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio33.2x
EarningsUS$26.03m
Market CapUS$871.23m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MNRO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MNRO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.2x
ARKO Arko
40.9x31.6%US$759.5m
AAP Advance Auto Parts
50.5x49.3%US$2.2b
SAH Sonic Automotive
11.1x10.7%US$2.2b
CANG Cango
18.4xn/aUS$392.4m
MNRO Monro
33.2x17.6%US$871.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MNRO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.2x) compared to the peer average (30.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MNRO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TKLF Tokyo Lifestyle
1.7xn/aUS$11.23m
SSOK Sunstock
1.8xn/aUS$771.79k
MASN Maison Luxe
0.08xn/aUS$144.03k
EXPR.Q Express
0.000002xn/aUS$11.24k
MNRO 33.2xIndustry Avg. 15.6xNo. of Companies11PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MNRO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.2x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (15.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MNRO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MNRO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio33.2x
Fair PE Ratio14.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MNRO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MNRO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$28.82
US$29.33
+1.8%
5.8%US$31.00US$27.00n/a3
Nov ’25US$27.65
US$29.33
+6.1%
5.8%US$31.00US$27.00n/a3
Oct ’25US$28.87
US$28.50
-1.3%
5.3%US$30.00US$27.00n/a2
Sep ’25US$27.09
US$28.50
+5.2%
5.3%US$30.00US$27.00n/a2
Aug ’25US$29.02
US$28.50
-1.8%
5.3%US$30.00US$27.00n/a2
May ’25US$26.71
US$29.00
+8.6%
3.4%US$30.00US$28.00n/a2
Apr ’25US$30.61
US$29.00
-5.3%
3.4%US$30.00US$28.00n/a2
Mar ’25US$33.36
US$29.00
-13.1%
3.4%US$30.00US$28.00n/a2
Feb ’25US$32.26
US$30.33
-6.0%
6.8%US$33.00US$28.00n/a3
Jan ’25US$29.34
US$28.00
-4.6%
5.8%US$30.00US$26.00n/a3
Dec ’24US$29.90
US$28.00
-6.4%
5.8%US$30.00US$26.00n/a3
Nov ’24US$24.60
US$28.00
+13.8%
5.8%US$30.00US$26.00US$27.653
Oct ’24US$27.77
US$36.67
+32.0%
6.4%US$40.00US$35.00US$28.873
Sep ’24US$33.58
US$37.50
+11.7%
6.7%US$40.00US$35.00US$27.092
Aug ’24US$36.06
US$37.50
+4.0%
6.7%US$40.00US$35.00US$29.022
Jul ’24US$40.63
US$42.50
+4.6%
5.9%US$45.00US$40.00US$23.502
Jun ’24US$41.34
US$42.50
+2.8%
5.9%US$45.00US$40.00US$23.652
May ’24US$48.90
US$43.50
-11.0%
3.4%US$45.00US$42.00US$26.712
Apr ’24US$49.43
US$43.50
-12.0%
3.4%US$45.00US$42.00US$30.612
Mar ’24US$49.95
US$43.50
-12.9%
3.4%US$45.00US$42.00US$33.362
Feb ’24US$53.05
US$43.50
-18.0%
3.4%US$45.00US$42.00US$32.262
Jan ’24US$45.20
US$43.50
-3.8%
3.4%US$45.00US$42.00US$29.342
Dec ’23US$45.96
US$43.50
-5.4%
3.4%US$45.00US$42.00US$29.902
Nov ’23US$47.59
US$43.50
-8.6%
3.4%US$45.00US$42.00US$24.602

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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