Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.

NYSE:ABG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.1b

Asbury Automotive Group Valuation

Is ABG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ABG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ABG ($266.82) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($229.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ABG is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ABG?

Key metric: As ABG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ABG. This is calculated by dividing ABG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ABG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.6x
EarningsUS$357.00m
Market CapUS$5.12b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ABG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ABG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.5x
GPI Group 1 Automotive
11.3x7.8%US$5.5b
VVV Valvoline
23.6x5.0%US$5.0b
AN AutoNation
9.9x6.9%US$6.8b
LAD Lithia Motors
13.1x13.3%US$10.4b
ABG Asbury Automotive Group
14.6x20.3%US$5.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ABG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the peer average (14.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ABG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TKLF Tokyo Lifestyle
1.9xn/aUS$14.10m
MASN Maison Luxe
0.1xn/aUS$144.03k
FTCH.Q Farfetch
n/an/aUS$395.00
EXPR.Q Express
0.000002xn/aUS$374.00
ABG 14.6xIndustry Avg. 17.2xNo. of Companies11PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ABG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (17.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ABG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ABG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.6x
Fair PE Ratio18x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ABG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ABG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$266.82
US$261.88
-1.9%
13.1%US$335.00US$220.00n/a8
Nov ’25US$227.98
US$262.50
+15.1%
10.3%US$305.00US$220.00n/a8
Oct ’25US$233.36
US$258.25
+10.7%
12.2%US$310.00US$216.00n/a8
Sep ’25US$245.64
US$251.88
+2.5%
14.7%US$310.00US$190.00n/a8
Aug ’25US$263.43
US$253.13
-3.9%
18.4%US$340.00US$185.00n/a8
Jul ’25US$228.24
US$253.13
+10.9%
18.4%US$340.00US$185.00n/a8
Jun ’25US$235.07
US$253.13
+7.7%
18.4%US$340.00US$185.00n/a8
May ’25US$210.64
US$255.67
+21.4%
17.2%US$340.00US$185.00n/a9
Apr ’25US$234.35
US$260.11
+11.0%
18.2%US$340.00US$185.00n/a9
Mar ’25US$209.80
US$258.75
+23.3%
19.3%US$340.00US$185.00n/a8
Feb ’25US$213.67
US$265.56
+24.3%
21.9%US$360.00US$165.00n/a9
Jan ’25US$224.97
US$266.88
+18.6%
23.3%US$360.00US$165.00n/a8
Dec ’24US$217.61
US$265.00
+21.8%
24.0%US$360.00US$165.00n/a8
Nov ’24US$196.34
US$265.00
+35.0%
23.2%US$360.00US$165.00US$227.988
Oct ’24US$230.07
US$270.63
+17.6%
22.3%US$360.00US$165.00US$233.368
Sep ’24US$233.48
US$274.50
+17.6%
24.8%US$396.00US$165.00US$245.648
Aug ’24US$225.46
US$269.88
+19.7%
28.2%US$396.00US$128.00US$263.438
Jul ’24US$240.42
US$261.75
+8.9%
29.1%US$396.00US$128.00US$228.248
Jun ’24US$204.89
US$261.75
+27.8%
29.1%US$396.00US$128.00US$235.078
May ’24US$198.33
US$261.75
+32.0%
29.1%US$396.00US$128.00US$210.648
Apr ’24US$210.00
US$266.75
+27.0%
27.3%US$396.00US$128.00US$234.358
Mar ’24US$232.85
US$264.38
+13.5%
26.0%US$377.00US$128.00US$209.808
Feb ’24US$231.64
US$238.13
+2.8%
31.3%US$377.00US$128.00US$213.678
Jan ’24US$179.25
US$246.25
+37.4%
33.4%US$377.00US$135.00US$224.978
Dec ’23US$182.74
US$246.25
+34.8%
33.4%US$377.00US$135.00US$217.618
Nov ’23US$167.75
US$246.25
+46.8%
33.4%US$377.00US$135.00US$196.348

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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