Citi Trends, Inc.

NasdaqGS:CTRN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$519.3m

Citi Trends Valuation

Is CTRN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CTRN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

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Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: CTRN ($60.62) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($79.42)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: CTRN is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CTRN?

Key metric: As CTRN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CTRN. This is calculated by dividing CTRN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CTRN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio67x
EarningsUS$7.34m
Market CapUS$519.30m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CTRN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CTRN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average44.5x
GCO Genesco
9.1xn/aUS$360.4m
REF Reformation
137.2x36.43%US$776.9m
SHOE Shoe Station Group
14.2x44.55%US$333.8m
ZUMZ Zumiez
17.6x38.34%US$223.4m
CTRN Citi Trends
67x33.47%US$519.3m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CTRN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (67x) compared to the peer average (44.5x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CTRN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LUXE LuxExperience B.V
1.9x-81.52%US$1.02b
LE Lands' End
0.9x-98.14%US$305.19m
COSG Grand Gallery
0.001xn/aUS$14.81k
No more companies available in this PE range
CTRN 67.0xIndustry Avg. 16.6xNo. of Companies12PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CTRN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (67x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (16.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CTRN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CTRN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio67x
Fair PE Ratio19.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CTRN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (67x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CTRN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$60.62
US$91.00
+50.12%
10.99%US$101.00US$81.00n/a2
Sep ’27US$67.87
US$91.00
+34.08%
10.99%US$101.00US$81.00n/a2
Jun ’27US$44.28
US$67.50
+52.44%
0.74%US$68.00US$67.00n/a2
May ’27US$47.96
US$67.50
+40.74%
0.74%US$68.00US$67.00n/a2
Apr ’27US$44.09
US$67.50
+53.10%
0.74%US$68.00US$67.00n/a2
Mar ’27US$47.38
US$57.00
+20.30%
3.51%US$59.00US$55.00n/a2
Feb ’27US$43.15
US$57.00
+32.10%
3.51%US$59.00US$55.00n/a2
Jan ’27US$41.56
US$55.50
+33.54%
6.31%US$59.00US$52.00n/a2
Dec ’26US$44.07
US$48.00
+8.92%
10.42%US$53.00US$43.00n/a2
Nov ’26US$35.82
US$48.00
+34.00%
10.42%US$53.00US$43.00n/a2
Oct ’26US$31.16
US$48.00
+54.04%
10.42%US$53.00US$43.00n/a2
Sep ’26US$35.63
US$48.00
+34.72%
10.42%US$53.00US$43.00US$67.872
Aug ’26US$29.09
US$38.50
+32.35%
3.90%US$40.00US$37.00US$66.672
Jul ’26US$33.04
US$38.50
+16.53%
3.90%US$40.00US$37.00US$56.322
Jun ’26US$26.48
US$30.50
+15.18%
4.92%US$32.00US$29.00US$44.282
May ’26US$21.94
US$30.50
+39.02%
4.92%US$32.00US$29.00US$47.962
Apr ’26US$21.42
US$30.50
+42.39%
4.92%US$32.00US$29.00US$44.092
Mar ’26US$24.63
US$32.50
+31.95%
10.77%US$36.00US$29.00US$47.382
Feb ’26US$25.90
US$24.50
-5.41%
18.37%US$29.00US$20.00US$43.152
Jan ’26US$26.25
US$28.00
+6.67%
22.02%US$35.00US$20.00US$41.563
Dec ’25US$19.95
US$23.00
+15.29%
38.40%US$35.00US$14.00US$44.073
Nov ’25US$18.85
US$23.00
+22.02%
38.40%US$35.00US$14.00US$35.823
Oct ’25US$18.06
US$23.00
+27.35%
38.40%US$35.00US$14.00US$31.163
Sep ’25US$14.30
US$23.00
+60.84%
38.40%US$35.00US$14.00US$35.633
US$91
Fair Value
33.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/11 14:16
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/08/01
Annual Earnings2026/01/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Citi Trends, Inc. is covered by 12 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jeremy HamblinCraig-Hallum Capital Group LLC
Michael BakerD.A. Davidson & Co.
Brian TunickJ.P. Morgan