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U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Analysis

UpdatedFeb 03, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies154
  • 7D-2.2%
  • 3M5.8%
  • 1Y5.2%
  • YTD4.3%

Over the last 7 days, the Specialty Stores industry has dropped 2.2%, driven by declines in Carvana and Home Depot of 14% and 2.2%, respectively. Over the past 12 months, the industry was up 5.2%. Earnings are forecast to grow by 10% annually.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Specialty Stores Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Tue, 03 Feb 2026US$992.4bUS$733.0bUS$36.5b20.4x27.2x1.4x
Thu, 01 Jan 2026US$974.9bUS$735.9bUS$36.6b18.8x26.7x1.3x
Sat, 29 Nov 2025US$968.4bUS$741.0bUS$36.2b18x26.7x1.3x
Mon, 27 Oct 2025US$976.9bUS$733.3bUS$36.4b16.8x26.8x1.3x
Wed, 24 Sep 2025US$1.0tUS$734.5bUS$35.7b18.9x28.5x1.4x
Fri, 22 Aug 2025US$995.1bUS$738.0bUS$35.5b18.5x28.1x1.3x
Sun, 20 Jul 2025US$884.6bUS$733.1bUS$35.0b17.1x25.3x1.2x
Tue, 17 Jun 2025US$882.7bUS$732.6bUS$35.0b17.1x25.3x1.2x
Thu, 15 May 2025US$923.3bUS$727.6bUS$35.7b15.7x25.9x1.3x
Sat, 12 Apr 2025US$842.7bUS$724.8bUS$35.6b13.8x23.7x1.2x
Mon, 10 Mar 2025US$881.7bUS$726.6bUS$35.8b14.4x24.7x1.2x
Wed, 05 Feb 2025US$907.9bUS$702.9bUS$35.4b16.7x25.7x1.3x
Fri, 03 Jan 2025US$887.2bUS$703.3bUS$35.0b16.6x25.3x1.3x
Sun, 01 Dec 2024US$943.0bUS$706.5bUS$33.0b17.8x28.5x1.3x
Tue, 29 Oct 2024US$461.2bUS$549.3bUS$17.9b14.7x25.7x0.8x
Thu, 26 Sep 2024US$485.0bUS$552.3bUS$17.4b15.6x27.8x0.9x
Sat, 24 Aug 2024US$476.6bUS$552.1bUS$17.1b15.7x27.8x0.9x
Mon, 22 Jul 2024US$463.5bUS$551.7bUS$17.6b16.2x26.4x0.8x
Wed, 19 Jun 2024US$474.2bUS$552.3bUS$17.6b16.2x26.9x0.9x
Fri, 17 May 2024US$444.2bUS$554.3bUS$16.9b15.6x26.3x0.8x
Sun, 14 Apr 2024US$434.3bUS$552.4bUS$17.2b15.7x25.3x0.8x
Tue, 12 Mar 2024US$439.9bUS$546.2bUS$16.2b14.2x27.2x0.8x
Thu, 08 Feb 2024US$423.9bUS$555.1bUS$16.2b14.1x26.2x0.8x
Sat, 06 Jan 2024US$423.0bUS$574.4bUS$16.1b13.2x26.2x0.7x
Mon, 04 Dec 2023US$411.1bUS$575.1bUS$16.3b14.7x25.3x0.7x
Wed, 01 Nov 2023US$367.7bUS$568.8bUS$18.0b11.3x20.4x0.6x
Fri, 29 Sep 2023US$380.8bUS$566.6bUS$18.4b10.7x20.7x0.7x
Sun, 27 Aug 2023US$401.9bUS$572.3bUS$18.2b11x22.1x0.7x
Tue, 25 Jul 2023US$424.0bUS$572.7bUS$18.2b10.7x23.2x0.7x
Thu, 22 Jun 2023US$404.7bUS$574.2bUS$18.3b10.1x22.1x0.7x
Sat, 20 May 2023US$394.8bUS$575.6bUS$18.4b10.6x21.5x0.7x
Mon, 17 Apr 2023US$403.4bUS$575.4bUS$20.2b10x19.9x0.7x
Wed, 15 Mar 2023US$365.4bUS$530.6bUS$22.4b9.3x16.3x0.7x
Fri, 10 Feb 2023US$404.7bUS$542.7bUS$23.6b9.8x17.1x0.7x
Price to Earnings Ratio

17.1x


Total Market Cap: US$404.7bTotal Earnings: US$23.6bTotal Revenue: US$542.7bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 24.9x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Specialty Retail industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 24.9x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 0.98x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 1.4x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Specialty Retail industry have grown 16% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 11% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market-0.35%
Consumer Discretionary-1.37%
Specialty Stores-2.19%
Home Furnishing Retail4.14%
Computer and Electronics Retail2.23%
Apparel Retail0.72%
Specialty Stores-1.52%
Home Improvement Retail-2.28%
Automotive Retail-9.24%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Automotive Retail industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 20.3x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 22.1%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 0.7% per year.
  • Investors are most pessimistic about the Computer and Electronics Retail industry, which is trading below its 3-year average of 31.4x.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Automotive Retail industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 22% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 0.7% per year.
  • In contrast, the Home Furnishing Retail industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 4.9% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
WSM Williams-SonomaUS$214.034.6%
+US$1.1b		4.7%PE22.6x
GME GameStopUS$25.857.7%
+US$824.1m		-0.2%PE27.4x
ROST Ross StoresUS$190.111.4%
+US$821.6m		29.3%PE29.5x
GAP GapUS$28.677.5%
+US$743.8m		24.1%PE12.5x
FIVE Five BelowUS$197.804.9%
+US$509.1m		114.2%PE35.4x

Latest News

AZO
US$3,722.41
AutoZone
7D
-1.7%
1Y
8.5%

AZO: Do It For Me Strength Will Support Upside After Recent Pullback

Narrative Update: AutoZone Analyst Targets Edge Lower Analysts have nudged their AutoZone fair value estimate slightly lower to about US$4,210 from roughly US$4,213, reflecting recent price target cuts from firms that remain generally constructive on the stock and its do-it-for-me business, while acknowledging adjusted expectations for growth and valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research on AutoZone shows a mix of optimism about long term execution and caution around near term valuation and demand trends.
CHWY
US$28.39
Chewy
7D
-9.7%
1Y
-25.6%

CHWY: Membership Price Increases And AI Efficiencies Will Reshape Profit Margins

Analysts recently adjusted their price targets on Chewy into the mid to high $40s, citing expectations for slightly stronger revenue growth, improved profit margins, a lower future P/E multiple, and growing confidence in the Chewy+ membership program and potential AI driven efficiencies. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Chewy reflects a mix of optimism around membership and AI driven efficiencies, alongside some caution on valuation, growth expectations, and margin assumptions.
ORLY
US$98.01
O'Reilly Automotive
7D
-2.2%
1Y
11.7%

ORLY: Pricing Tailwinds And Expanded Buybacks Will Support Future Returns

Narrative Update Analysts have nudged their price target on O'Reilly Automotive slightly higher by US$1. This reflects updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, supported by recent research that cites pricing tailwinds and a cleaner earnings backdrop.
ROST
US$190.11
Ross Stores
7D
1.4%
1Y
29.3%
HD
US$378.12
Home Depot
7D
-2.2%
1Y
-7.5%
TSCO
US$52.98
Tractor Supply
7D
-4.6%
1Y
-2.9%
BURL
US$298.68
Burlington Stores
7D
1.7%
1Y
9.1%

BURL: Margin Expansion And New Store Growth Will Drive Future Upside

Narrative Update: Burlington Stores (BURL) Analysts have made modest shifts to their Burlington Stores outlook, with recent price targets ranging from about $315 to $350. These targets reflect mixed views on near term headwinds, margin and unit growth investment, and expectations for continued consumer resilience in off price retail into 2026.
CVNA
US$407.89
Carvana
7D
-13.9%
1Y
62.1%

CVNA: TAM Expansion And S&P 500 Inclusion Will Shape Future Execution Risk

Analysts have lifted their implied fair value for Carvana by about $62 per share to roughly $481, citing a higher assumed future P/E multiple and an improved profit margin outlook, supported by recent price target increases and total addressable market expansion themes across several research notes. Analyst Commentary Bullish and cautious views on Carvana are both coming through in recent research, and they often tie back to how much value analysts see in the company’s expansion efforts and its ability to execute against that opportunity.
ANF
US$101.45
Abercrombie & Fitch
7D
4.5%
1Y
-12.2%

ANF: Recent Guidance And Buybacks Will Counter Near Term Margin Pressure

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Abercrombie & Fitch to $110 from $90, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple following recent conference feedback, earnings updates, and sector price target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on Abercrombie & Fitch has been active, with several firms updating targets and views based on recent earnings, conference feedback, and sector level revisions.
URBN
US$72.60
Urban Outfitters
7D
5.3%
1Y
35.2%

URBN: Q3 Margin Strength And Brand Initiatives Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have nudged their average price target for Urban Outfitters higher to about $85, reflecting updated views that incorporate recent Q3 strength across sales, margins and category breadth, along with slightly more conservative P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Urban Outfitters clusters around a similar theme, with most firms acknowledging Q3 outperformance while fine tuning their price targets and assumptions.
GAP
US$28.67
Gap
7D
7.5%
1Y
24.1%

GAP: Recent Earnings Momentum Will Likely Prove Difficult To Sustain

The analyst fair value estimate for Gap has been raised from $19.00 to $22.60, as analysts point to a series of price target upgrades tied to recent earnings outperformance, improving growth assumptions, and higher expected profitability across key brands and newer categories such as beauty and handbags. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Gap highlights a clear split between enthusiastic upgrades and more restrained, valuation conscious views.
GME
US$25.85
GameStop
7D
7.7%
1Y
-0.2%
W
US$104.72
Wayfair
7D
-4.9%
1Y
128.0%
WSM
US$214.03
Williams-Sonoma
7D
4.6%
1Y
4.7%

WSM: Premium P/E And Ongoing Buybacks Will Support Future Upside

Narrative Update on Williams-Sonoma The analyst price target for Williams-Sonoma has moved from $230 to $245, reflecting updated assumptions around slightly higher modeled revenue growth, a modestly lower discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple that analysts link to recent Street research, including revised targets from firms updating their views after the Q3 report. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Williams-Sonoma centers on how the Q3 report affected earnings models and valuation views, with price targets moving in both directions as analysts reassessed their assumptions.
FIVE
US$197.80
Five Below
7D
4.9%
1Y
114.2%

FIVE: Raised Guidance And Execution Support Future Margin And Valuation Balance

Analysts have raised their implied fair value estimate for Five Below from about $186 to roughly $214. This reflects updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue, improved profit margins, and a modestly richer future P/E multiple following a series of price target increases across Wall Street.
LOW
US$269.06
Lowe's Companies
7D
-3.2%
1Y
4.9%

LOW: Lock-In Housing And AI Tools Will Support Gradual Home Improvement Recovery

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Lowe's Companies has been raised by about US$5 to reflect slightly higher modeled fair value, modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions, as analysts point to valuation, pent up demand in home improvement and a healthier mix across do it yourself and pro customers as key supports for the update. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Lowe's highlights a mix of optimism around long term home improvement demand and caution around near term earnings visibility, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings after the latest results and outlook updates.