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U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Analysis

UpdatedMar 27, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies158
  • 7D0.7%
  • 3M-6.5%
  • 1Y8.2%
  • YTD-4.8%

Over the last 7 days, the Specialty Stores industry has remained flat, although notably O'Reilly Automotive gained 5.0%. The past year has been better, since the industry has gained 8.2% in that time. Earnings are forecast to grow by 9.4% annually.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Specialty Stores Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Sat, 28 Mar 2026US$929.8bUS$748.8bUS$37.8b19.5x24.6x1.2x
Mon, 23 Feb 2026US$1.0tUS$744.9bUS$37.7b21.9x26.8x1.4x
Wed, 21 Jan 2026US$1.0tUS$736.0bUS$36.6b20.1x28.3x1.4x
Fri, 19 Dec 2025US$996.1bUS$735.8bUS$36.3b21.1x27.4x1.4x
Sun, 16 Nov 2025US$936.1bUS$735.7bUS$36.4b17x25.7x1.3x
Tue, 14 Oct 2025US$945.2bUS$731.6bUS$36.4b16.3x26x1.3x
Thu, 11 Sep 2025US$1.0tUS$732.1bUS$35.9b18.6x28.6x1.4x
Sat, 09 Aug 2025US$965.2bUS$735.1bUS$35.3b17.6x27.3x1.3x
Mon, 07 Jul 2025US$937.7bUS$733.1bUS$35.0b18.4x26.8x1.3x
Wed, 04 Jun 2025US$917.3bUS$732.4bUS$34.9b16.7x26.3x1.3x
Fri, 02 May 2025US$868.3bUS$726.9bUS$35.7b15.3x24.3x1.2x
Sun, 30 Mar 2025US$841.5bUS$724.4bUS$35.6b16.3x23.6x1.2x
Tue, 25 Feb 2025US$911.6bUS$719.1bUS$35.8b14.9x25.5x1.3x
Thu, 23 Jan 2025US$923.5bUS$701.5bUS$35.2b16.6x26.2x1.3x
Sat, 21 Dec 2024US$882.3bUS$706.5bUS$34.4b16.6x25.7x1.2x
Mon, 18 Nov 2024US$886.4bUS$703.6bUS$32.6b15.8x27.2x1.3x
Wed, 16 Oct 2024US$476.9bUS$548.8bUS$18.1b15x26.4x0.9x
Fri, 13 Sep 2024US$465.2bUS$552.4bUS$17.6b14.3x26.4x0.8x
Sun, 11 Aug 2024US$449.4bUS$551.0bUS$17.0b15.7x26.4x0.8x
Tue, 09 Jul 2024US$456.6bUS$551.7bUS$17.6b14.9x26x0.8x
Thu, 06 Jun 2024US$461.7bUS$553.0bUS$17.8b16.9x26x0.8x
Sat, 04 May 2024US$420.2bUS$554.7bUS$16.7b15.2x25.1x0.8x
Mon, 01 Apr 2024US$469.0bUS$552.3bUS$17.1b15.7x27.5x0.8x
Wed, 28 Feb 2024US$442.3bUS$549.5bUS$15.7b15.1x28.2x0.8x
Fri, 26 Jan 2024US$425.3bUS$574.3bUS$16.1b13.7x26.4x0.7x
Sun, 24 Dec 2023US$432.6bUS$574.4bUS$16.1b13.7x26.8x0.8x
Tue, 21 Nov 2023US$392.9bUS$575.4bUS$17.6b13.7x22.3x0.7x
Thu, 19 Oct 2023US$379.9bUS$566.5bUS$18.4b12.8x20.7x0.7x
Sat, 16 Sep 2023US$395.8bUS$567.8bUS$18.4b11.7x21.6x0.7x
Mon, 14 Aug 2023US$419.5bUS$571.0bUS$18.2b10.9x23x0.7x
Wed, 12 Jul 2023US$428.6bUS$572.7bUS$18.3b10.8x23.4x0.7x
Fri, 09 Jun 2023US$395.7bUS$574.1bUS$18.4b10x21.5x0.7x
Sun, 07 May 2023US$404.2bUS$576.5bUS$19.0b11.1x21.2x0.7x
Tue, 04 Apr 2023US$414.0bUS$577.3bUS$20.5b10.3x20.2x0.7x
Price to Earnings Ratio

20.2x


Total Market Cap: US$414.0bTotal Earnings: US$20.5bTotal Revenue: US$577.3bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 25.3x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Specialty Retail industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 25.3x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.0x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 1.2x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Specialty Retail industry have grown 23% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 9.1% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market-1.62%
Consumer Discretionary-0.27%
Specialty Stores0.68%
Automotive Retail2.97%
Apparel Retail1.39%
Home Improvement Retail0.046%
Specialty Stores-0.58%
Computer and Electronics Retail-1.72%
Home Furnishing Retail-2.77%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Apparel Retail industry, which is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 27.0x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 8.0%, which is higher than its past year's earnings growth of 2.6% per year.
  • Investors are most pessimistic about the Computer and Electronics Retail industry, which is trading below its 3-year average of 31.0x.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Automotive Retail industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 17% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 4.8% per year.
  • In contrast, the Home Improvement Retail industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 6.1% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
LOW Lowe's CompaniesUS$230.312.5%
+US$3.0b		0.8%PE19.4x
CVNA CarvanaUS$302.047.4%
+US$3.0b		47.8%PE30.7x
ORLY O'Reilly AutomotiveUS$90.113.2%
+US$2.4b		-4.0%PE29.8x
CHWY ChewyUS$26.1211.8%
+US$1.2b		-18.8%PE48.8x
HD Home DepotUS$321.650.3%
+US$896.4m		-10.2%PE22.6x

Latest News

TSCO
US$44.87
Tractor Supply
7D
-2.0%
1Y
-16.1%
HD
US$321.65
Home Depot
7D
0.3%
1Y
-10.2%
MUSA
US$506.24
Murphy USA
7D
7.0%
1Y
10.0%
CHWY
US$26.12
Chewy
7D
11.8%
1Y
-18.8%
WSM
US$175.29
Williams-Sonoma
7D
-1.8%
1Y
10.3%
FIVE
US$221.72
Five Below
7D
-2.5%
1Y
202.9%
BOBS
US$10.31
Bob's Discount Furniture
7D
-17.5%
1Y
n/a
PAG
US$148.41
Penske Automotive Group
7D
5.6%
1Y
5.0%

PAG: Persistent Buybacks And Rising Dividend Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have slightly trimmed their price target on Penske Automotive Group to about $181.11, citing only minor tweaks to fair value assumptions, discount rate, and long-term P/E inputs, rather than any major shift in the underlying outlook. What's in the News From October 1, 2025 to December 31, 2025, Penske Automotive Group repurchased 242,589 shares for US$40.39 million, representing 0.37% of its shares under an existing buyback program.
LOW
US$230.31
Lowe's Companies
7D
2.5%
1Y
0.8%

LOW: Q4 Execution And AI Adoption Will Support Home Improvement Recovery

Analysts now see Lowe's fair value as broadly unchanged at about $286, with only a fractional shift in the price target despite a wide range of new research views that balance Q4 strength, tempered FY26 guidance, and differing expectations for how quickly the home improvement cycle could improve. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed but generally constructive picture around Lowe's, with most price targets clustering around the mid to high $200s and a spread of views on how to weigh Q4 strength against FY26 guidance and the broader home improvement backdrop.
WRBY
US$20.33
Warby Parker
7D
-10.4%
1Y
8.9%

WRBY: Store Expansion And AI Glasses Roadmap Will Support Higher Premium Multiple

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Warby Parker has moved modestly higher to $29.17. Analysts cite updated models after Q4 results, a clearer long term growth roadmap, and potential contributions from planned AI glasses partnerships with Google as key supports for this shift.
BOOT
US$149.23
Boot Barn Holdings
7D
-5.5%
1Y
43.3%

BOOT: Future Returns Will Reflect Stronger Margins And Execution Risks

Analyst price targets for Boot Barn Holdings have been lifted by $10 to $237.14, as analysts factor in recent target increases across firms. They emphasize expectations for sustained demand, improving profitability, and a lower assumed future P/E multiple of about 25x in their updated models.
CVNA
US$302.04
Carvana
7D
7.4%
1Y
47.8%

CVNA: TAM Expansion And Defensible E Commerce Model Will Drive Future Execution Risk

Carvana's updated analyst price target has moved from about $481 to roughly $429 as analysts factor in ongoing retail unit and EBITDA headwinds, while still highlighting the company's defensible e commerce model and share gains in a fragmented used vehicle market as key supports to the long term story. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Carvana clusters around a common theme, with analysts trimming price targets while still pointing to a resilient e commerce model, share gains in used vehicles and potential upside from newer growth areas like new car sales.
ULTA
US$510.34
Ulta Beauty
7D
-3.7%
1Y
42.0%

ULTA: Mixed Margin Signals And New Initiatives Will Shape Future Upside Potential

The updated analyst price target for Ulta Beauty edges higher to about $504 from about $485, as analysts factor in slightly lower modeled revenue growth, a modestly higher profit margin profile, and a small adjustment in the future P/E and discount rate following recent research updates that balance mixed post earnings reactions with ongoing support for the business model. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ulta Beauty reflects a mixed backdrop, with many firms adjusting models and price targets after the latest quarterly update and forward guidance.
AZO
US$3,316.71
AutoZone
7D
1.0%
1Y
-12.0%

AZO: DIFM Momentum And Weather Recovery Are Expected To Drive Returns

AutoZone's updated fair value estimate edges up to $4,225.38 from $4,205.75. This reflects analysts' slightly higher long term profit margin and P/E assumptions, even as they weigh recent mixed same store sales trends and weather related volatility against improving DIFM momentum and easing cost pressures.
ORLY
US$90.11
O'Reilly Automotive
7D
3.2%
1Y
-4.0%

ORLY: Store Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on O'Reilly Automotive by a few dollars, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions on discount rate and future P/E, while keeping fair value essentially unchanged at $105.72. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on O'Reilly Automotive centers on modest price target cuts and one downgrade, with most reports pointing to fine tuning of assumptions rather than a wholesale reset of the story.
BBWI
US$16.80
Bath & Body Works
7D
-13.4%
1Y
-45.7%

Bath & Body Works is a dominant, high-quality consumer brand with near-perfect business economics, temporarily depressed by a demand trough

Most investors look at BBWI and see a mall candle retailer. That framing undersells it significantly.