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U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Analysis

UpdatedMar 11, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies159
  • 7D-1.7%
  • 3M-3.2%
  • 1Y14.4%
  • YTD-0.1%

Over the last 7 days, the Specialty Stores industry has dropped 1.7%, driven by Home Depot declining 2.7%. On the other hand Ross Stores is actually up 7.7%. In the past year, the industry has gained 14%. Earnings are forecast to grow by 9.3% annually.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Specialty Stores Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Wed, 11 Mar 2026US$963.7bUS$745.2bUS$38.2b18.8x25.2x1.3x
Fri, 06 Feb 2026US$1.0tUS$737.8bUS$36.5b20.8x28x1.4x
Sun, 04 Jan 2026US$969.8bUS$735.9bUS$36.6b19.8x26.5x1.3x
Tue, 02 Dec 2025US$969.8bUS$741.0bUS$36.2b18.1x26.8x1.3x
Thu, 30 Oct 2025US$983.6bUS$734.4bUS$36.4b16.6x27.1x1.3x
Sat, 27 Sep 2025US$1.0tUS$734.5bUS$36.4b17.7x27.7x1.4x
Mon, 25 Aug 2025US$1.0tUS$738.4bUS$35.5b19.4x28.7x1.4x
Wed, 23 Jul 2025US$924.2bUS$733.1bUS$35.0b17.6x26.4x1.3x
Fri, 20 Jun 2025US$878.8bUS$732.6bUS$34.9b17.5x25.1x1.2x
Sun, 18 May 2025US$938.6bUS$727.9bUS$35.6b16.2x26.4x1.3x
Tue, 15 Apr 2025US$847.6bUS$723.0bUS$35.6b14.1x23.8x1.2x
Thu, 13 Mar 2025US$851.0bUS$725.5bUS$36.0b13.6x23.6x1.2x
Sat, 08 Feb 2025US$918.2bUS$702.5bUS$35.4b16.4x25.9x1.3x
Mon, 06 Jan 2025US$889.4bUS$701.4bUS$35.2b16.5x25.3x1.3x
Wed, 04 Dec 2024US$947.1bUS$706.5bUS$33.0b17.3x28.7x1.3x
Fri, 01 Nov 2024US$455.6bUS$549.8bUS$17.7b14.4x25.7x0.8x
Sun, 29 Sep 2024US$487.5bUS$552.2bUS$17.5b15.3x27.9x0.9x
Tue, 27 Aug 2024US$485.0bUS$552.0bUS$17.1b15.7x28.4x0.9x
Thu, 25 Jul 2024US$467.9bUS$551.8bUS$17.6b15.1x26.6x0.8x
Sat, 22 Jun 2024US$471.8bUS$552.2bUS$17.6b15.9x26.8x0.9x
Mon, 20 May 2024US$442.9bUS$551.8bUS$17.1b16.1x25.9x0.8x
Wed, 17 Apr 2024US$418.3bUS$552.4bUS$17.2b15.6x24.4x0.8x
Fri, 15 Mar 2024US$451.2bUS$546.2bUS$16.5b14.6x27.4x0.8x
Sun, 11 Feb 2024US$436.2bUS$555.2bUS$15.8b14.7x27.6x0.8x
Tue, 09 Jan 2024US$422.0bUS$574.4bUS$16.1b13.5x26.2x0.7x
Thu, 07 Dec 2023US$409.9bUS$574.8bUS$16.1b13.5x25.4x0.7x
Sat, 04 Nov 2023US$386.6bUS$574.7bUS$17.9b14x21.6x0.7x
Mon, 02 Oct 2023US$381.3bUS$566.5bUS$18.4b11.3x20.7x0.7x
Wed, 30 Aug 2023US$413.2bUS$572.3bUS$18.2b11.5x22.7x0.7x
Fri, 28 Jul 2023US$426.9bUS$574.3bUS$18.1b10.6x23.6x0.7x
Sun, 25 Jun 2023US$408.1bUS$572.6bUS$18.3b10x22.3x0.7x
Tue, 23 May 2023US$394.1bUS$575.6bUS$18.4b10.4x21.4x0.7x
Thu, 20 Apr 2023US$405.3bUS$575.0bUS$20.3b10.4x20x0.7x
Sat, 18 Mar 2023US$361.3bUS$530.4bUS$22.3b9.3x16.2x0.7x
Price to Earnings Ratio

16.2x


Total Market Cap: US$361.3bTotal Earnings: US$22.3bTotal Revenue: US$530.4bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 25.2x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Specialty Retail industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 25.2x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.00x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 1.3x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Specialty Retail industry have grown 20% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 12% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market-0.62%
Consumer Discretionary0.33%
Specialty Stores-1.65%
Computer and Electronics Retail0.82%
Apparel Retail0.16%
Automotive Retail-1.05%
Home Improvement Retail-2.80%
Specialty Stores-3.01%
Home Furnishing Retail-5.67%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Specialty Stores industry, which is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 27.9x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 14.5%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 6.6% per year.
  • Investors are most pessimistic about the Computer and Electronics Retail industry, which is trading below its 3-year average of 31.3x.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Automotive Retail industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 17% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 4.8% per year.
  • In contrast, the Home Furnishing Retail industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 5.4% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
ROST Ross StoresUS$212.937.7%
+US$4.9b		65.5%PE32.1x
AZO AutoZoneUS$3.73k2.4%
+US$1.5b		4.6%PE25.2x
ORLY O'Reilly AutomotiveUS$94.710.9%
+US$704.3m		7.3%PE31.3x
MUSA Murphy USAUS$435.396.2%
+US$470.4m		-7.1%PE17.1x
BURL Burlington StoresUS$305.471.7%
+US$316.5m		29.7%PE31.1x

Latest News

WSM
US$188.39
Williams-Sonoma
7D
-5.6%
1Y
7.7%
MUSA
US$435.39
Murphy USA
7D
6.2%
1Y
-7.1%
RERE
US$6.21
ATRenew
7D
15.9%
1Y
78.4%
AZO
US$3,726.02
AutoZone
7D
2.4%
1Y
4.6%
BURL
US$305.47
Burlington Stores
7D
1.7%
1Y
29.7%

BURL: Store Expansion And Margin Outlook Support More Confident 2026 Earnings Path

The analyst price target for Burlington Stores has moved from about $343 to $371, as analysts point to a stronger Q4 performance, an improved margin outlook, and a more confident multi-year earnings path supported by store growth and the off-price model. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates cluster around a similar message: Q4 results came in ahead of expectations, and that is feeding into higher earnings estimates and meaningfully higher price targets for Burlington Stores.
FND
US$59.73
Floor & Decor Holdings
7D
-10.0%
1Y
-33.5%

FND: 2026 Housing Turnover Recovery Will Support Store Expansion And Margin Inflection

Analysts have trimmed their average price targets for Floor & Decor by a few dollars to a range in the mid $60s to high $70s, reflecting recent Q4 comps softness and weather related headwinds, while still acknowledging signs of improving trends in certain regions and updated post earnings models. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates around Floor & Decor skew cautious on near term trading, but there are a few constructive signals you might want to keep in mind as you think about the story.
VSCO
US$47.71
Victoria's Secret
7D
-23.2%
1Y
193.6%

VSCO: Brand Repositioning And Margin Momentum Should Outrun Ongoing Execution Risks

The analyst price target for Victoria's Secret has moved higher, with our fair value estimate increasing by $3 to $55, as analysts point to ongoing brand repositioning, improving sales momentum and margins, and refreshed earnings models following recent Q4 results. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Victoria's Secret reflects a mix of optimism about the brand repositioning and Q4 execution alongside more cautious views on how much upside is already reflected in the stock.
HD
US$357.15
Home Depot
7D
-2.7%
1Y
-3.0%

HD: Pro Ecosystem And AI Tools Will Support Post Storm Demand Recovery

Our Home Depot fair value estimate increases from $398.00 to about $410.27, reflecting analysts' higher price targets following Q4 results and updated models that point to steadier home improvement trends and slightly stronger profitability assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have generally raised their price targets for Home Depot following Q4 results, pointing to stable execution, resilience in home improvement demand and an outlook they view as supportive of higher valuations.
GAP
US$23.13
Gap
7D
-15.1%
1Y
7.0%
ROST
US$212.93
Ross Stores
7D
7.7%
1Y
65.5%
EYE
US$27.50
National Vision Holdings
7D
3.3%
1Y
125.0%
ULTA
US$647.23
Ulta Beauty
7D
-3.2%
1Y
88.9%

ULTA: Fair Outlook Balances Middle East Expansion With Ongoing Demand Uncertainty

Ulta Beauty's analyst-derived fair value estimate has shifted from about $675 to roughly $684, with analysts pointing to updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and forward P/E multiples following a series of recent price target increases and rating actions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research activity around Ulta Beauty has been active, with several firms updating price targets and ratings as they refresh their models on revenue growth, profitability, and sector positioning in specialty beauty retail.
TSCO
US$50.34
Tractor Supply
7D
-2.4%
1Y
-6.6%

TSCO: Store Expansion And Capital Returns Will Drive Future Shareholder Upside

Analysts have modestly revised their price target on Tractor Supply, citing small adjustments to inputs such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. Together, these changes translate into a slightly different implied valuation from the prior $57.59 fair value estimate.
ORLY
US$94.71
O'Reilly Automotive
7D
0.9%
1Y
7.3%

ORLY: Store Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Attractive Future Risk Reward

Narrative Update on O'Reilly Automotive The analyst price target for O'Reilly Automotive has been trimmed by a few dollars, reflecting a modest reset in valuation multiples such as future P/E following recent research updates from several firms. However, underlying fair value inputs like growth and margins remain essentially unchanged.
LOW
US$251.11
Lowe's Companies
7D
-2.6%
1Y
7.9%
GME
US$24.37
GameStop
7D
2.3%
1Y
7.8%