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U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Analysis

UpdatedJun 04, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies151
  • 7D-1.6%
  • 3M-7.2%
  • 1Y-1.0%
  • YTD-5.7%

Over the last 7 days, the Specialty Stores industry has dropped 1.6%, driven by a pullback from Carvana of 13%. In contrast, Victoria's Secret has gained 38%. As for the longer term, the industry's performance has been flat for the past year. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 9.9% annually.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Specialty Stores Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Thu, 04 Jun 2026US$903.8bUS$758.9bUS$39.1b19.6x23.1x1.2x
Sat, 02 May 2026US$948.2bUS$745.6bUS$37.4b19.9x25.4x1.3x
Mon, 30 Mar 2026US$903.4bUS$748.8bUS$37.8b19.2x23.9x1.2x
Wed, 25 Feb 2026US$996.4bUS$743.3bUS$37.4b20.6x26.7x1.3x
Fri, 23 Jan 2026US$1.0tUS$736.0bUS$36.6b20.5x28.5x1.4x
Sun, 21 Dec 2025US$985.0bUS$735.8bUS$36.0b20.3x27.3x1.3x
Tue, 18 Nov 2025US$935.7bUS$735.7bUS$36.4b16.6x25.7x1.3x
Thu, 16 Oct 2025US$979.5bUS$731.6bUS$36.4b16.6x26.9x1.3x
Sat, 13 Sep 2025US$1.0tUS$732.4bUS$35.6b18.7x29x1.4x
Mon, 11 Aug 2025US$962.5bUS$735.1bUS$35.3b17.6x27.3x1.3x
Wed, 09 Jul 2025US$931.1bUS$733.1bUS$35.0b18.3x26.6x1.3x
Fri, 06 Jun 2025US$926.6bUS$732.6bUS$34.9b16.9x26.5x1.3x
Sun, 04 May 2025US$881.7bUS$727.1bUS$35.7b15.5x24.7x1.2x
Tue, 01 Apr 2025US$841.5bUS$724.4bUS$35.6b16.1x23.6x1.2x
Thu, 27 Feb 2025US$924.0bUS$727.3bUS$35.5b14.7x26x1.3x
Sat, 25 Jan 2025US$921.3bUS$701.4bUS$35.2b16.3x26.1x1.3x
Mon, 23 Dec 2024US$895.4bUS$706.5bUS$34.4b16.6x26x1.3x
Wed, 20 Nov 2024US$887.2bUS$703.6bUS$32.6b16x27.2x1.3x
Fri, 18 Oct 2024US$483.1bUS$548.8bUS$18.1b14.9x26.7x0.9x
Sun, 15 Sep 2024US$483.2bUS$552.2bUS$17.4b15x27.7x0.9x
Tue, 13 Aug 2024US$449.4bUS$551.0bUS$17.0b15.6x26.4x0.8x
Thu, 11 Jul 2024US$458.4bUS$551.7bUS$17.6b15.5x26.1x0.8x
Sat, 08 Jun 2024US$471.2bUS$552.9bUS$17.7b15.9x26.6x0.9x
Mon, 06 May 2024US$425.9bUS$554.7bUS$16.7b15.2x25.4x0.8x
Wed, 03 Apr 2024US$465.2bUS$552.3bUS$17.1b15.7x27.2x0.8x
Fri, 01 Mar 2024US$449.8bUS$551.2bUS$15.8b14.8x28.4x0.8x
Sun, 28 Jan 2024US$432.6bUS$574.3bUS$16.1b13.9x26.8x0.8x
Tue, 26 Dec 2023US$432.6bUS$574.4bUS$16.1b13.7x26.8x0.8x
Thu, 23 Nov 2023US$394.7bUS$574.7bUS$17.6b14x22.4x0.7x
Sat, 21 Oct 2023US$371.7bUS$566.5bUS$18.4b12.5x20.2x0.7x
Mon, 18 Sep 2023US$395.2bUS$567.9bUS$18.3b12.2x21.6x0.7x
Wed, 16 Aug 2023US$419.3bUS$570.9bUS$18.2b11x23x0.7x
Fri, 14 Jul 2023US$427.2bUS$572.7bUS$18.3b10.4x23.3x0.7x
Sun, 11 Jun 2023US$395.3bUS$574.2bUS$18.2b9.8x21.7x0.7x
Price to Earnings Ratio

21.7x


Total Market Cap: US$395.3bTotal Earnings: US$18.2bTotal Revenue: US$574.2bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 25.6x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Specialty Retail industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 25.6x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.0x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 1.2x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Specialty Retail industry have grown 29% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 9.7% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market0.35%
Consumer Discretionary-4.25%
Specialty Stores-1.58%
Computer and Electronics Retail6.74%
Home Furnishing Retail1.33%
Apparel Retail0.23%
Home Improvement Retail-1.50%
Specialty Stores-2.21%
Automotive Retail-7.06%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Automotive Retail industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 22.1x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 16.9%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 6.6% per year.
  • Investors are most pessimistic about the Computer and Electronics Retail industry, which is trading below its 3-year average of 29.3x.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Automotive Retail industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 17% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 6.6% per year.
  • In contrast, the Home Furnishing Retail industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 7.0% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
VSXY Victoria's SecretUS$78.9638.1%
+US$1.7b		285.7%PE29.8x
BBY Best BuyUS$71.7311.1%
+US$1.5b		3.0%PE13.2x
TJX TJX CompaniesUS$157.900.6%
+US$808.9m		23.3%PE30.1x
AZO AutoZoneUS$3.06k1.1%
+US$559.3m		-17.6%PE20.2x
KMX CarMaxUS$46.038.9%
+US$535.0m		-30.2%PE26.4x

Latest News

VSXY
US$78.96
Victoria's Secret
7D
38.1%
1Y
285.7%
Seeking Alpha • 12h

Victoria's Secret & Co.: Downgrade To Hold As Risk/Reward No Longer As Attractive

Summary Victoria's Secret & Co. delivered strong Q1 2026 results, with 15% net sales growth and significant margin expansion. Core intimates, PINK, and Beauty all posted double-digit growth, while international sales surged and regular-price selling improved profit quality. Despite operational progress, I downgrade VSXY to hold, as much of the turnaround is already priced in and forward margin clarity is needed. I await sustained momentum and a cleaner margin bridge before considering a more bullish stance or a better entry point. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
BBY
US$71.73
Best Buy
7D
11.1%
1Y
3.0%
Seeking Alpha • 13h

Best Buy Q1: Improving Sales, Positive Outlook, Shares Fairly Valued

Summary Best Buy overcame a decline in appliance sales with strong domestic sales growth in its broad electronics categories, including gaming consoles, computing, and mobile phones. The company also noted that consumers have shown an appetite for larger-ticket items despite the more challenged macroeconomic environment. The positive takes were paired with reaffirmation of the full-year outlook. I view shares as fairly valued at current pricing. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ULTA
US$471.21
Ulta Beauty
7D
-7.1%
1Y
1.2%
ORLY
US$87.38
O'Reilly Automotive
7D
-1.8%
1Y
-4.1%
Narrative Update • Jun 03

ORLY: Expanded Buybacks And Tactical Rating Shift Will Support Bullish Thesis

The analyst fair value estimate for O'Reilly Automotive has been revised from $84.67 to $97.40, as analysts point to higher assumed profit margins, a modest adjustment to revenue growth expectations, a slightly lower discount rate, and updated future P/E assumptions supported by a wave of recent price target increases across the sector. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around O'Reilly Automotive has been active, with multiple firms adjusting price targets across the auto parts retail group.
TSCO
US$29.14
Tractor Supply
7D
-5.0%
1Y
-40.9%
CVNA
US$63.65
Carvana
7D
-12.8%
1Y
-7.9%
Seeking Alpha • Jun 03

Carvana Bears Are In Panic Mode Again: Used Car Prices Just Hit A 2-Year High

Summary Carvana benefits from a wholesale used car market that remains firm, defying bearish expectations of price normalization. The March 2026 Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index rose 6.2% year over year to 215.3, reaching a two-year high. Non-adjusted wholesale prices increased 5.7% year over year and 4.2% month over month, signaling persistent pricing strength. Inventory remains tight, supporting the thesis of a prolonged period of elevated used car prices. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
HD
US$312.97
Home Depot
7D
-1.5%
1Y
-16.0%
Narrative Update • Jun 02

HD: Pro Ecosystem Expansion And 2026 Plan Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed the Home Depot price target to $370 from about $408, reflecting slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, a lower forward P/E near 27x, and modestly better profit margin expectations after recent Q1 updates. Analyst Commentary Street research on Home Depot has shifted to slightly lower price targets, but most firms keep positive or at least neutral views on the stock, focusing on execution against a slower home improvement backdrop and updated earnings models after Q1 results.
LOW
US$207.65
Lowe's Companies
7D
-4.2%
1Y
-9.1%
KMX
US$46.03
CarMax
7D
8.9%
1Y
-30.2%
Narrative Update • Jun 01

KMX: Starboard Reforms And New Leadership Will Support Multiple Rerating Potential

CarMax's analyst fair value estimate has been adjusted slightly lower to $78.20 from $79.69, as analysts factor in more moderate revenue declines, a marginally higher profit margin, and the view that any push to reignite unit growth by trimming used gross profit per unit could cap future P/E expansion. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CarMax presents a mixed picture, with a blend of cautious views and more supportive voices.
WSM
US$207.11
Williams-Sonoma
7D
1.9%
1Y
29.5%
Narrative Update • Jun 01

WSM: Digital Strengths And Margin Resilience Balance Premium Multiples And Macro Risks

Analysts have lifted the Williams-Sonoma fair value estimate to $207.00 from $198.74, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth, a modestly lower discount rate, and a somewhat lower future P/E multiple supported by recent price target increases tied to the company's e-commerce mix, digital capabilities, and margin execution. Analyst Commentary Street research on Williams-Sonoma has been active, with a series of price target revisions and rating reiterations that highlight both confidence in execution and awareness of potential headwinds.
TJX
US$157.90
TJX Companies
7D
0.6%
1Y
23.3%
Narrative Update • Jun 01

TJX: Off Price Q1 Execution And FY27 Guidance Will Drive Upside

Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for TJX Companies has moved higher from $171.78 to $177.63 as analysts point to a series of Q1 earnings beats, broad-based comp and transaction growth across banners, and ongoing optimism around the off price model and margin performance. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on TJX Companies has tilted clearly positive, with multiple firms lifting their price targets after the Q1 report.
DKS
US$224.17
DICK'S Sporting Goods
7D
2.3%
1Y
26.9%
Narrative Update • May 31

DKS: Foot Locker Fast Break Turnaround And World Cup Demand Will Drive Upside

Analyst price targets for DICK'S Sporting Goods have moved higher into a roughly $220 to $280 range, as analysts point to Q1 results, positive Foot Locker comps, Fast Break remodel progress, and potential World Cup related demand as key supports for the updated bull case. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has tilted more optimistic on DICK'S Sporting Goods, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets into the US$220 to US$280 range and highlighting Q1 execution, early progress at Foot Locker, and World Cup related demand as key supports for the stock.
ROST
US$232.62
Ross Stores
7D
-0.4%
1Y
63.2%
GAP
US$21.19
Gap
7D
-11.9%
1Y
0.8%
MUSA
US$542.16
Murphy USA
7D
5.1%
1Y
28.3%
AZO
US$3,061.65
AutoZone
7D
1.1%
1Y
-17.6%