Is Mister Car Wash (NYSE:MCW) A Risky Investment?
Jun 17
U.S. Consumer Services Industry Analysis
UpdatedJun 17, 2024
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies82
- 7D-1.2%
- 3M-6.9%
- 1Y19.4%
- YTD-3.0%
Over the last 7 days, the Consumer Services industry has dropped 1.2%, driven by New Oriental Education & Technology Group declining 4.2%. On the other hand Mister Car Wash is actually up 7.7%. In the past year, the industry has gained 19%. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 27% per annum.
Industry Valuation and Performance
Has the U.S. Consumer Services Industry valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, 17 Jun 2024 | US$90.0b | US$46.0b | US$1.8b | 19.2x | 50.7x | 2x |
| Wed, 15 May 2024 | US$95.7b | US$43.8b | US$1.7b | 19.8x | 55.7x | 2.2x |
| Fri, 12 Apr 2024 | US$93.9b | US$42.4b | US$1.2b | 19.5x | 80x | 2.2x |
| Sun, 10 Mar 2024 | US$95.5b | US$42.7b | US$1.1b | 18.6x | 88.2x | 2.2x |
| Tue, 06 Feb 2024 | US$91.7b | US$43.7b | US$994.0m | 23.1x | 92.2x | 2.1x |
| Thu, 04 Jan 2024 | US$108.4b | US$47.6b | US$959.9m | 21.1x | 113x | 2.3x |
| Sat, 02 Dec 2023 | US$107.3b | US$47.6b | US$961.2m | 21.2x | 111.7x | 2.3x |
| Mon, 30 Oct 2023 | US$91.3b | US$45.2b | US$792.4m | 18.2x | 115.2x | 2x |
| Wed, 27 Sep 2023 | US$91.1b | US$44.5b | US$666.2m | 18.2x | 136.8x | 2x |
| Fri, 25 Aug 2023 | US$92.8b | US$44.2b | US$642.1m | 18.7x | 144.5x | 2.1x |
| Sun, 23 Jul 2023 | US$92.3b | US$43.1b | US$231.8m | 23.8x | 398x | 2.1x |
| Tue, 20 Jun 2023 | US$89.5b | US$42.9b | US$309.3m | 23.2x | 289.5x | 2.1x |
| Thu, 18 May 2023 | US$86.3b | US$42.8b | US$377.9m | 23.7x | 228.4x | 2x |
| Sat, 15 Apr 2023 | US$89.7b | US$43.2b | -US$149,121,661.00 | 23.5x | -601.7x | 2.1x |
| Mon, 13 Mar 2023 | US$88.3b | US$43.4b | -US$246,104,086.00 | 26.2x | -358.8x | 2x |
| Wed, 08 Feb 2023 | US$83.1b | US$41.0b | -US$256,785,893.00 | 19.4x | -323.7x | 2x |
| Fri, 06 Jan 2023 | US$78.1b | US$41.3b | -US$1,215,901,040.00 | 18.8x | -64.3x | 1.9x |
| Sun, 04 Dec 2022 | US$78.2b | US$41.3b | -US$1,251,873,378.00 | 18.5x | -62.4x | 1.9x |
| Tue, 01 Nov 2022 | US$82.0b | US$44.6b | -US$1,117,299,105.00 | 15.5x | -73.4x | 1.8x |
| Thu, 29 Sep 2022 | US$80.4b | US$46.3b | -US$1,901,159,207.00 | 16.5x | -42.3x | 1.7x |
| Sat, 27 Aug 2022 | US$85.8b | US$46.7b | -US$2,134,082,628.00 | 17.8x | -40.2x | 1.8x |
| Mon, 25 Jul 2022 | US$79.3b | US$44.1b | -US$2,598,006,654.00 | 19.5x | -30.5x | 1.8x |
| Wed, 22 Jun 2022 | US$74.5b | US$44.3b | -US$2,579,306,494.00 | 18x | -28.9x | 1.7x |
| Fri, 20 May 2022 | US$71.6b | US$44.5b | -US$2,893,922,812.00 | 17.1x | -24.7x | 1.6x |
| Sun, 17 Apr 2022 | US$86.8b | US$46.5b | -US$2,903,088,563.00 | 20.4x | -29.9x | 1.9x |
| Tue, 15 Mar 2022 | US$72.4b | US$41.1b | -US$2,865,532,611.00 | 18.8x | -25.3x | 1.8x |
| Thu, 10 Feb 2022 | US$81.5b | US$40.8b | -US$2,078,626,651.00 | 16x | -39.2x | 2x |
| Sat, 08 Jan 2022 | US$81.0b | US$39.8b | -US$1,622,016,545.00 | 21.9x | -50x | 2x |
| Mon, 06 Dec 2021 | US$82.9b | US$40.5b | -US$1,491,793,073.00 | 14.1x | -55.6x | 2x |
| Wed, 03 Nov 2021 | US$102.4b | US$43.0b | -US$580,390,417.00 | 14.4x | -176.4x | 2.4x |
| Fri, 01 Oct 2021 | US$103.2b | US$42.4b | -US$571,625,948.00 | 14.4x | -180.5x | 2.4x |
| Sun, 29 Aug 2021 | US$104.3b | US$48.8b | US$125.5m | 15.6x | 830.9x | 2.1x |
| Mon, 05 Jul 2021 | US$122.5b | US$47.9b | US$225.8m | 17.7x | 542.5x | 2.6x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
542.5x
Current Industry PE
- Investors are pessimistic on the American Consumer Services industry, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates will be lower than they have historically.
- The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 50.7x which is lower than its 3-year average PE of 54.2x.
- The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PS ratio of 2.1x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for companies in the Consumer Services industry have grown 99% per year over the last three years, while revenues have remained mostly flat.
- This means that companies overall are more efficiently conducting business since profits are increasing while sales have been flat.
Industry Trends
Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?
| US Market | 0.97% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | -1.22% | |
| Consumer Services | -1.16% | |
| Specialized Consumer Services | 0.62% | |
| Education Services | -1.94% | |
Industry PE
- Investors are most optimistic about the Education Services industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 50.3x.
- Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 32.6%, which is lower than the prior year's growth of 55.3% per year.
- Investors are most pessimistic about the Specialized Consumer Services industry, which is trading below its 3-year average of 55.0x.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Education Services industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 33% over the next 5 years.
- However this is lower than its past earnings growth rate of 55% per year.
- In contrast, the Specialized Consumer Services industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 11% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCW Mister Car Wash | US$7.23 | 7.7% +US$166.1m | -17.9% | PE30.5x | |
| SCI Service Corporation International | US$72.45 | 1.6% +US$166.0m | 9.4% | PE20.1x | |
| AFYA Afya | US$17.03 | 7.3% +US$102.1m | 28.5% | PE16.9x | |
| DUOL Duolingo | US$199.14 | 0.6% +US$55.2m | 30.3% | PE188.3x | |
| HRB H&R Block | US$50.36 | 0.5% +US$33.5m | 53.2% | PE11x |
