Afya (AFYA) Stock Overview
Operates as a medical education group in Brazil. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 6/6 |
| Future Growth | 1/6 |
| Past Performance | 4/6 |
| Financial Health | 4/6 |
| Dividends | 4/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
AFYA Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 24 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
US$14.86
FV
6.4% undervalued intrinsic discount9.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
72
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Afya Limited Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$13.91 |
| 52 Week High | US$19.90 |
| 52 Week Low | US$13.00 |
| Beta | 0.39 |
| 1 Month Change | -7.27% |
| 3 Month Change | -9.85% |
| 1 Year Change | -28.30% |
| 3 Year Change | 23.98% |
| 5 Year Change | -39.97% |
| Change since IPO | -42.26% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • May 05
AFYA: Future Margin Discipline And Non Core Investments Will Drive Re Rating
Afya's updated analyst price target has edged to about $20.90 from roughly $20.70, as analysts factor in higher modeled revenue growth and profit margins alongside a lower assumed future P/E. They are also weighing recent price target cuts and downgrades tied to rising investments in non-core businesses and a slower ramp-up in medical practice solutions.Narrative Update • Apr 20
AFYA: Future Margin Discipline And Dividend Payouts Will Drive Re Rating
Afya's analyst price target has moved from $22 to $17, as analysts respond to rising investments in non core businesses and a slower than expected ramp up in medical practice solutions. This also feeds into more conservative assumptions on fair value, profit margins and future P/E multiples.Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 05
AFYA: Future Margin Discipline And Non Core Investments Will Drive Re Rating
Afya's updated analyst price target has edged to about $20.90 from roughly $20.70, as analysts factor in higher modeled revenue growth and profit margins alongside a lower assumed future P/E. They are also weighing recent price target cuts and downgrades tied to rising investments in non-core businesses and a slower ramp-up in medical practice solutions.Narrative Update • Apr 20
AFYA: Future Margin Discipline And Dividend Payouts Will Drive Re Rating
Afya's analyst price target has moved from $22 to $17, as analysts respond to rising investments in non core businesses and a slower than expected ramp up in medical practice solutions. This also feeds into more conservative assumptions on fair value, profit margins and future P/E multiples.
Narrative Update • Apr 06
AFYA: Non Core Investments And Dividends Will Shape A More Balanced Outlook
The updated analyst price target on Afya edges up slightly to about $15.87 from $15.80, as analysts factor in a lower discount rate and a modestly higher margin outlook, while also acknowledging recent sector downgrades and concerns around the pace of returns from newer business lines. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a clear shift toward caution on Afya, with several Bearish analysts recalibrating expectations for both the core education business and newer service lines.
Narrative Update • Mar 23
AFYA: Recent Downgrades Will Set Up Longer-Term Upside From Core Operations
Narrative Update on Afya The analyst price target for Afya is now aligned with a fair value estimate of about $17.14, down from $17.95, as analysts factor in softer revenue growth assumptions, slightly lower future P/E expectations, and higher perceived risk tied to increased investments in non core businesses and a longer ramp up in medical practice solutions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Afya has shifted toward a more cautious stance, with several downgrades and trims to price targets as analysts reassess the balance between growth projects and near term returns.Narrative Update • Mar 09
AFYA: Non Core Investments Will Set Up Future Shareholder Upside
Afya's updated analyst price target edges up to about $15.80 from roughly $15.73, as analysts factor in a mix of slightly higher modeled revenue growth and modestly lower profit margins, along with Street research pointing to near term pressure from increased investment in non core businesses and a slower buildout of medical practice solutions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research leans cautious on Afya, with several bearish analysts revisiting their ratings and fair value assumptions.Narrative Update • Feb 22
AFYA: Recent Rating Cuts Will Set Up Medium-Term Revaluation Opportunity
Afya's analyst price target has been trimmed by $0.01 to $17.95 as analysts factor in slightly higher assumed revenue growth, a lower discount rate, and a reduced profit margin outlook, in line with the recent wave of downgrades and target cuts across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Afya has turned more cautious, with several downgrades and modest target cuts clustering over a short period.Analysis Article • Feb 10
There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Afya's (NASDAQ:AFYA) Returns On Capital
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Typically, we'll want...Narrative Update • Feb 08
AFYA: Recalibrated Street Views Will Highlight Earnings Guidance And Share Buyback Potential
Afya's updated analyst price target has shifted from about US$25.62 to about US$22.95. Analysts cite more cautious assumptions around revenue growth and profit margins, which are partly reflected in recent target cuts and downgrades from several firms.Narrative Update • Jan 24
AFYA: Share Repurchases And Reaffirmed 2025 Guidance Will Support Medium-Term Outlook
Afya's analyst fair value estimate edged down from about $18.53 to $17.96 as analysts trimmed long term assumptions and lowered price targets following a series of recent downgrades and updated sector views. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Afya has turned more cautious, with several price target cuts and rating downgrades feeding into the lower fair value estimate.Narrative Update • Jan 09
AFYA: Share Repurchases And Guidance Will Offset Softer Sector Enthusiasm
Afya's analyst price target has been revised slightly lower, with recent cuts to US$18 and US$22 from prior targets of US$19 and US$24.50, as analysts factor in updated estimates for Brazil education peers and Afya's comparatively smaller benefit from the local easing cycle. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Afya has tilted more cautious, with price targets adjusted lower and one major bank stepping back from a more bullish stance.Narrative Update • Dec 23
AFYA: Share Buybacks And Guidance Will Support Steady Prospects Ahead
Analysts have raised their price target on Afya by approximately 8 percent to about R$15.60 from roughly R$14.40. This change reflects expectations of slightly faster revenue growth and a modestly lower discount rate, partially offset by a leaner profit margin outlook and a higher assumed future P/E multiple.Narrative Update • Dec 09
AFYA: Preferred Share Buyback Will Support Medium-Term Earnings Outlook
Analysts have modestly trimmed their price target on Afya, reducing fair value by approximately 1 percent to about $18.53. This reflects expectations for slower revenue growth and slightly lower profit margins, partly offset by a higher assumed future P/E multiple.Seeking Alpha • Dec 01
Afya's 3Q25 And Investor Day Provide More Data On Undergraduate Competition Increasing
Summary Afya (AFYA) faces mounting competition and regulatory risks in its core undergraduate medical education segment, which comprises the majority of its business. AFYA's efforts to offset undergraduate challenges with graduate education and digital ecosystem offerings remain too small and lower-margin to drive significant growth. The company trades at under 10x expected cash flows, has low leverage, and announced a 4% share repurchase program, signaling a potential shift toward capital returns. Despite a seemingly cheap valuation, I maintain a Hold rating due to persistent concerns about margin pressure and growth sustainability in AFYA's main segment. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Oct 12
Brazil Medical Education And Digital Trends Will Secure Future Opportunity
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Afya from $19.30 to $18.78, citing sector-wide regulatory changes and a narrowed valuation gap compared to industry peers. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates reflect a nuanced view of Afya’s prospects, balancing optimism regarding its near-term outlook with tempered expectations due to evolving sector dynamics.Analysis Article • Sep 30
Here's Why Afya (NASDAQ:AFYA) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...Analysis Article • Sep 12
Investors Will Want Afya's (NASDAQ:AFYA) Growth In ROCE To Persist
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Ideally, a business...Analysis Article • Jul 26
Afya Limited's (NASDAQ:AFYA) Subdued P/E Might Signal An Opportunity
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may...Analysis Article • Jun 15
Is Now The Time To Put Afya (NASDAQ:AFYA) On Your Watchlist?
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Analysis Article • May 30
Is Afya (NASDAQ:AFYA) A Risky Investment?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • May 11
Earnings Beat: Afya Limited Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
It's been a good week for Afya Limited ( NASDAQ:AFYA ) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest...Analysis Article • Apr 28
The Return Trends At Afya (NASDAQ:AFYA) Look Promising
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd...Analysis Article • Feb 27
We Think Afya (NASDAQ:AFYA) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...New Narrative • Jan 23
AFYA Market Outlook
Laureate Education (NASDAQ: LAUR): An international network of campus-based and online universities, Laureate offers undergraduate and postgraduate degree programs globally, including in Latin AmericaAnalysis Article • Jan 16
Is There An Opportunity With Afya Limited's (NASDAQ:AFYA) 48% Undervaluation?
Key Insights Afya's estimated fair value is US$29.81 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Afya's US$15.64 share...Analysis Article • Dec 13
Should You Be Adding Afya (NASDAQ:AFYA) To Your Watchlist Today?
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...Seeking Alpha • Nov 30
Afya Continues To Be An Opportunity Even After Brazil's Depreciation
Summary Afya's 3Q24 results showed 12% organic revenue growth and 16% overall growth, driven by the Unidom acquisition and strong performance in medical education and software segments. The company leveraged its cost structure, achieving a 300bps increase in adj EBITDA margin and a 68% YoY net income growth despite higher financial costs. Afya's valuation remains attractive, with a P/E of 11x and a potential yield of 20% in a few years, justifying a Buy rating. Despite country-level challenges, Afya's growth potential and strategic capital allocation make it a compelling investment opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Nov 21
Expanding Medical Practice Solutions And Tactical Acquisitions Fuel Robust Revenue Growth
Strategic acquisitions and expansion in medical practice solutions are expected to enhance revenue, profitability, and operational efficiency.Analysis Article • Nov 17
Afya (NASDAQ:AFYA) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...Analysis Article • Nov 03
Investors Holding Back On Afya Limited (NASDAQ:AFYA)
With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 18x in the United States, you could be forgiven for...Analysis Article • Oct 18
Returns At Afya (NASDAQ:AFYA) Are On The Way Up
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Seeking Alpha • Aug 29
Afya: Q2 2024 Was Not Surprising, Still An Opportunity Despite New Info On Market Supply
Summary Afya's Q2 2024 results showed stable operations with 14% revenue growth, driven by increased enrollment and tuition, and improved operating margins. A favorable Supreme Court ruling on medical seat openings and new financing from the IFC are positive developments for Afya. Despite short-term stability, long-term concerns arise due to potential oversupply in Brazil's medical education and profession markets. Financial expenses decreased due to a 20% reduction in net debt and lower Brazilian interbank rates, enhancing Afya's financial position. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Aug 29
Here's Why Afya (NASDAQ:AFYA) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors
Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...Analysis Article • Aug 15
Is It Time To Consider Buying Afya Limited (NASDAQ:AFYA)?
While Afya Limited ( NASDAQ:AFYA ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw a decent share price growth of...Analysis Article • Jul 17
Afya (NASDAQ:AFYA) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Jun 20
Afya Limited (NASDAQ:AFYA) Shares Could Be 43% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights The projected fair value for Afya is US$30.02 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Afya's US$17.24...Seeking Alpha • Jun 06
Afya's Results Are Improving And The Market Is Undervaluing It
Summary Afya Limited reports strong 1Q24 results with revenue up 13%, adjusted EBITDA up 20%, and net income up 77%. The company increases its total approved seats to 2,500 through acquisitions and organic growth. Afya's valuation becomes more attractive as the stock price decreases, trading at an EV/NOPAT ratio of 11x. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • May 14
Do Afya's (NASDAQ:AFYA) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?
Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...Seeking Alpha • Apr 29
AFYA: Mr Market Is Mistaken
Summary The company's 2023 earnings and revenue were strong, but its stock price has declined significantly. The selloff is largely due to AFYA's declining revenue growth rates. Guidance is also soft, adding to concerns from investors and analysts. However, AFYA's business model is not broken and the market's overreaction provides a wide margin of safety to invest in a profitable company with a dominant position. Investors who can readjust their expectations to see AFYA in a different light will see that AFYA is a strong and growing business that is selling at a discount. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Apr 27
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Afya Limited (NASDAQ:AFYA)?
Afya Limited ( NASDAQ:AFYA ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a decent share price growth of 12% on...Analysis Article • Apr 09
Afya (NASDAQ:AFYA) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Seeking Alpha • Mar 19
Afya Is Performing Well And Is A Buy
Summary Afya is one of the leading private medical education providers in Brazil. The company's model has several quality characteristics including high pricing power, and resiliency to economic cycles. Afya has a significant runway to grow organically and inorganically, via seat expansions, price adjustments and acquisitions. The current stock price represents a low multiple of FY24E free cash flow adjusted for CAPEX. This leaves most growth potential as additional upside. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Mar 17
Are Investors Undervaluing Afya Limited (NASDAQ:AFYA) By 39%?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Afya fair value estimate is US$35.18 Current share price of...Analysis Article • Feb 10
Be Wary Of Afya (NASDAQ:AFYA) And Its Returns On Capital
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Amongst...Analysis Article • Jan 21
Afya Limited (NASDAQ:AFYA) Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may...Analysis Article • Jan 03
Should You Think About Buying Afya Limited (NASDAQ:AFYA) Now?
Afya Limited ( NASDAQ:AFYA ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share price rise of 44% in the...Analysis Article • Dec 07
These 4 Measures Indicate That Afya (NASDAQ:AFYA) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • Nov 02
Afya (NASDAQ:AFYA) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Analysis Article • Sep 20
What Does Afya Limited's (NASDAQ:AFYA) Share Price Indicate?
While Afya Limited ( NASDAQ:AFYA ) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw a double-digit share...Analysis Article • Aug 17
Does Afya (NASDAQ:AFYA) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?
Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...Shareholder Returns
| AFYA | US Consumer Services | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -3.5% | -1.6% | 2.1% |
| 1Y | -28.3% | -21.2% | 30.6% |
Return vs Industry: AFYA underperformed the US Consumer Services industry which returned -19% over the past year.
Return vs Market: AFYA underperformed the US Market which returned 31% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| AFYA volatility | |
|---|---|
| AFYA Average Weekly Movement | 4.8% |
| Consumer Services Industry Average Movement | 7.9% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.1% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: AFYA has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: AFYA's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1999 | 9,395 | Virgílio Deloy Gibbon | www.afya.com.br |
Afya Limited operates as a medical education group in Brazil. The company operates in three segments: Undergraduate, Continuing Education, and Medical Practice Solutions. The Undergraduate segment offers educational services through undergraduate courses related to medical school, health sciences, and other non-health undergraduate programs, including medicine, dentistry, nursing, radiology, psychology, pharmacy, physical education, physiotherapy, nutrition, biomedicine, business administration, accounting, law, civil and industrial engineering, and pedagogy.
Afya Limited Fundamentals Summary
| AFYA fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$1.28b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$152.71m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$750.36m |
8.2x
P/E Ratio1.7x
P/S RatioIs AFYA overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| AFYA income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | R$3.70b |
| Cost of Revenue | R$1.31b |
| Gross Profit | R$2.38b |
| Other Expenses | R$1.63b |
| Earnings | R$752.46m |
Last Reported Earnings
Dec 31, 2025
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 8.37 |
| Gross Margin | 64.46% |
| Net Profit Margin | 20.35% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 42.0% |
How did AFYA perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
5.0%
Current Dividend Yield41%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/07 21:10 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Afya Limited is covered by 14 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Flavio Yoshida | BofA Global Research |
| Raphael Elage | Bradesco S.A. Corretora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários |
| Valeria Parini | Bradesco S.A. Corretora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários |