LOPE

Grand Canyon EducationNasdaqGS:LOPE Stock Report

Market Cap

US$3.9b

7D

0.3%

1Y

7.7%

Updated

19 Sep, 2021

Data

Company Financials +
LOPE fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation3/6
Future Growth1/6
Past Performance2/6
Financial Health5/6
Dividends0/6

LOPE Overview

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. provides education services to colleges and universities in the United States.

Grand Canyon Education Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Grand Canyon Education
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$87.79
52 Week HighUS$75.64
52 Week LowUS$115.96
Beta0.55
1 Month Change2.42%
3 Month Change-2.37%
1 Year Change7.72%
3 Year Change-20.63%
5 Year Change117.19%
Change since IPO640.84%

Recent News & Updates

Sep 12
Should You Be Adding Grand Canyon Education (NASDAQ:LOPE) To Your Watchlist Today?

Should You Be Adding Grand Canyon Education (NASDAQ:LOPE) To Your Watchlist Today?

Like a puppy chasing its tail, some new investors often chase 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story...

Aug 06
Grand Canyon Education's (NASDAQ:LOPE) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

Grand Canyon Education's (NASDAQ:LOPE) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a...

Jun 28
Does Grand Canyon Education (NASDAQ:LOPE) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Does Grand Canyon Education (NASDAQ:LOPE) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...

Jun 16

Grand Canyon Education: Accelerated Growth, Oversold, And Flying Under The Radar

Grand Canyon Education provides educational services to colleges and universities. The company has high profitability measurements and low valuation measurements. A two-month pullback has put the stock in oversold territory and at support from the lower rail of a trend channel.

Shareholder Returns

LOPEUS Consumer ServicesUS Market
7D0.3%0.07%-0.6%
1Y7.7%-53.8%33.8%

Return vs Industry: LOPE exceeded the US Consumer Services industry which returned -53.8% over the past year.

Return vs Market: LOPE underperformed the US Market which returned 33.8% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is LOPE's price volatile compared to industry and market?
LOPE volatility
LOPE Beta0.55
Industry Beta0.90
Market Beta1

Stable Share Price: LOPE is less volatile than 75% of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 2% a week.

Volatility Over Time: LOPE's weekly volatility (2%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
19494,138Brian Muellerhttps://www.gce.com

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. provides education services to colleges and universities in the United States. The company’s technology services include learning management system, internal administration, infrastructure, and support services; academic services comprises program and curriculum, faculty and related training and development, class scheduling, and skills and simulation lab sites; and counseling services and support include admission, financial aid, and field experience counseling services. It also offers marketing and communication services, such as lead acquisition, digital communications strategy, brand identity, media planning and strategy, video, and data science and analysis services; and back office services comprising finance and accounting, human resources, audit, procurement services.

Valuation

Is Grand Canyon Education undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

>50%

Undervalued compared to fair value


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: LOPE ($87.79) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($191.95)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LOPE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: LOPE's PE Ratio (14.7x) is in line with the US Consumer Services industry average.

PE vs Market: LOPE is good value based on its PE Ratio (14.7x) compared to the US market (17.8x).


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: LOPE is poor value based on its PEG Ratio (2.2x)


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: LOPE is overvalued based on its PB Ratio (2.5x) compared to the US Consumer Services industry average (1.9x).


Future Growth

How is Grand Canyon Education forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 5 analysts?

6.7%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: LOPE's forecast earnings growth (6.7% per year) is above the savings rate (2%).

Earnings vs Market: LOPE's earnings (6.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: LOPE's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: LOPE's revenue (6.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: LOPE's revenue (6.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if LOPE's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time


Past Performance

How has Grand Canyon Education performed over the past 5 years?

12.0%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: LOPE has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: LOPE's current net profit margins (30.4%) are lower than last year (31.1%).


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: LOPE's earnings have grown by 12% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: LOPE's earnings growth over the past year (5.2%) is below its 5-year average (12% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: LOPE earnings growth over the past year (5.2%) underperformed the Consumer Services industry 35.4%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: LOPE's Return on Equity (17.3%) is considered low.


Financial Health

How is Grand Canyon Education's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: LOPE's short term assets ($147.1M) do not cover its short term liabilities ($169.0M).

Long Term Liabilities: LOPE's short term assets ($147.1M) exceed its long term liabilities ($135.3M).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: LOPE's debt to equity ratio (8.2%) is considered satisfactory.

Reducing Debt: LOPE's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 14.9% to 8.2% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: LOPE's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (236.2%).

Interest Coverage: LOPE earns more interest than it pays, so coverage of interest payments is not a concern.


Balance Sheet


Dividend

What is Grand Canyon Education current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate LOPE's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate LOPE's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if LOPE's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if LOPE's dividend payments have been increasing.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of LOPE's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the US market.


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

2.7yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Brian Mueller (67 yo)

13.17yrs

Tenure

US$2,105,208

Compensation

Mr. Brian E. Mueller has been the Chief Executive Officer of Grand Canyon Education, Inc. since July 1, 2008 and also serves as its President. Mr. Mueller serves as Chairman, President, Chief Executive Off...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Brian's total compensation ($USD2.11M) is below average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD5.27M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Brian's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.


Leadership Team

Experienced Management: LOPE's management team is considered experienced (2.7 years average tenure).


Board Members

Experienced Board: LOPE's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 2.1 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Grand Canyon Education, Inc.'s employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
  • Ticker: LOPE
  • Exchange: NasdaqGS
  • Founded: 1949
  • Industry: Education Services
  • Sector: Consumer Services
  • Market Cap: US$3.927b
  • Shares outstanding: 44.73m
  • Website: https://www.gce.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
  • 2600 West Camelback Road
  • Phoenix
  • Arizona
  • 85017
  • United States

Listings


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2021/09/19 22:09
End of Day Share Price2021/09/17 00:00
Earnings2021/06/30
Annual Earnings2020/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.