| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3/6 |
| Future Growth | 1/6 |
| Past Performance | 2/6 |
| Financial Health | 5/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
LOPE Overview
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. provides education services to colleges and universities in the United States.
Rewards
Risk Analysis
No risks detected for LOPE from our risk checks.
Grand Canyon Education Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$87.79 |
| 52 Week High | US$75.64 |
| 52 Week Low | US$115.96 |
| Beta | 0.55 |
| 1 Month Change | 2.42% |
| 3 Month Change | -2.37% |
| 1 Year Change | 7.72% |
| 3 Year Change | -20.63% |
| 5 Year Change | 117.19% |
| Change since IPO | 640.84% |
Recent News & Updates
Should You Be Adding Grand Canyon Education (NASDAQ:LOPE) To Your Watchlist Today?
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Grand Canyon Education's (NASDAQ:LOPE) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a...
Does Grand Canyon Education (NASDAQ:LOPE) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Grand Canyon Education: Accelerated Growth, Oversold, And Flying Under The Radar
Grand Canyon Education provides educational services to colleges and universities. The company has high profitability measurements and low valuation measurements. A two-month pullback has put the stock in oversold territory and at support from the lower rail of a trend channel.
Shareholder Returns
| LOPE | US Consumer Services | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 0.3% | 0.07% | -0.6% |
| 1Y | 7.7% | -53.8% | 33.8% |
Return vs Industry: LOPE exceeded the US Consumer Services industry which returned -53.8% over the past year.
Return vs Market: LOPE underperformed the US Market which returned 33.8% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| LOPE volatility | |
|---|---|
| LOPE Beta | 0.55 |
| Industry Beta | 0.90 |
| Market Beta | 1 |
Stable Share Price: LOPE is less volatile than 75% of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 2% a week.
Volatility Over Time: LOPE's weekly volatility (2%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1949 | 4,138 | Brian Mueller | https://www.gce.com |
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. provides education services to colleges and universities in the United States. The company’s technology services include learning management system, internal administration, infrastructure, and support services; academic services comprises program and curriculum, faculty and related training and development, class scheduling, and skills and simulation lab sites; and counseling services and support include admission, financial aid, and field experience counseling services. It also offers marketing and communication services, such as lead acquisition, digital communications strategy, brand identity, media planning and strategy, video, and data science and analysis services; and back office services comprising finance and accounting, human resources, audit, procurement services.
Valuation
Is Grand Canyon Education undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?
>50%
Undervalued compared to fair value
Share Price vs. Fair Value
Below Fair Value: LOPE ($87.79) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($191.95)
Significantly Below Fair Value: LOPE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Price To Earnings Ratio
PE vs Industry: LOPE's PE Ratio (14.7x) is in line with the US Consumer Services industry average.
PE vs Market: LOPE is good value based on its PE Ratio (14.7x) compared to the US market (17.8x).
Price to Earnings Growth Ratio
PEG Ratio: LOPE is poor value based on its PEG Ratio (2.2x)
Price to Book Ratio
PB vs Industry: LOPE is overvalued based on its PB Ratio (2.5x) compared to the US Consumer Services industry average (1.9x).
Future Growth
How is Grand Canyon Education forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 5 analysts?
6.7%
Forecasted annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: LOPE's forecast earnings growth (6.7% per year) is above the savings rate (2%).
Earnings vs Market: LOPE's earnings (6.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.8% per year).
High Growth Earnings: LOPE's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: LOPE's revenue (6.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.8% per year).
High Growth Revenue: LOPE's revenue (6.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if LOPE's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
Past Performance
How has Grand Canyon Education performed over the past 5 years?
12.0%
Historical annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue History
Quality Earnings: LOPE has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: LOPE's current net profit margins (30.4%) are lower than last year (31.1%).
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: LOPE's earnings have grown by 12% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: LOPE's earnings growth over the past year (5.2%) is below its 5-year average (12% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: LOPE earnings growth over the past year (5.2%) underperformed the Consumer Services industry 35.4%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: LOPE's Return on Equity (17.3%) is considered low.
Financial Health
How is Grand Canyon Education's financial position?
Financial Position Analysis
Short Term Liabilities: LOPE's short term assets ($147.1M) do not cover its short term liabilities ($169.0M).
Long Term Liabilities: LOPE's short term assets ($147.1M) exceed its long term liabilities ($135.3M).
Debt to Equity History and Analysis
Debt Level: LOPE's debt to equity ratio (8.2%) is considered satisfactory.
Reducing Debt: LOPE's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 14.9% to 8.2% over the past 5 years.
Debt Coverage: LOPE's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (236.2%).
Interest Coverage: LOPE earns more interest than it pays, so coverage of interest payments is not a concern.
Balance Sheet
Dividend
What is Grand Canyon Education current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
Dividend Yield vs Market
Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate LOPE's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.
High Dividend: Unable to evaluate LOPE's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.
Stability and Growth of Payments
Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if LOPE's dividends per share have been stable in the past.
Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if LOPE's dividend payments have been increasing.
Current Payout to Shareholders
Dividend Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.
Future Payout to Shareholders
Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of LOPE's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the US market.
Next Steps
Management
How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?
2.7yrs
Average management tenure
CEO
Brian Mueller (67 yo)
13.17yrs
Tenure
US$2,105,208
Compensation
Mr. Brian E. Mueller has been the Chief Executive Officer of Grand Canyon Education, Inc. since July 1, 2008 and also serves as its President. Mr. Mueller serves as Chairman, President, Chief Executive Off...
CEO Compensation Analysis
Compensation vs Market: Brian's total compensation ($USD2.11M) is below average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD5.27M).
Compensation vs Earnings: Brian's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.
Leadership Team
Experienced Management: LOPE's management team is considered experienced (2.7 years average tenure).
Board Members
Experienced Board: LOPE's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 2.1 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.
Ownership
Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?
Insider Trading Volume
Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.
Recent Insider Transactions
Ownership Breakdown
Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.
Top Shareholders
Company Information
Grand Canyon Education, Inc.'s employee growth, exchange listings and data sources
Key Information
- Name: Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
- Ticker: LOPE
- Exchange: NasdaqGS
- Founded: 1949
- Industry: Education Services
- Sector: Consumer Services
- Market Cap: US$3.927b
- Shares outstanding: 44.73m
- Website: https://www.gce.com
Number of Employees
Location
- Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
- 2600 West Camelback Road
- Phoenix
- Arizona
- 85017
- United States
Listings
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2021/09/19 22:09 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2021/09/17 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2021/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2020/12/31 |
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.