Investing IdeasBrowse All StocksMarkets
Have your own idea? Try our Stock Screener
Header cover image

U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis

UpdatedFeb 11, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies795
  • 7D-2.6%
  • 3M-3.5%
  • 1Y4.1%
  • YTD-2.5%

Over the last 7 days, the Consumer Discretionary industry has dropped 2.6%, driven by Amazon.com declining 11%. In the past year, the industry has gained 4.1%. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 20% annually.

Sector Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Wed, 11 Feb 2026US$7.6tUS$3.6tUS$218.5b20.5x34.6x2.1x
Fri, 09 Jan 2026US$7.8tUS$3.6tUS$221.7b19.4x35.2x2.2x
Sun, 07 Dec 2025US$7.7tUS$3.6tUS$221.9b18.7x34.7x2.2x
Tue, 04 Nov 2025US$8.0tUS$3.5tUS$227.5b18.5x35.2x2.3x
Thu, 02 Oct 2025US$7.8tUS$3.5tUS$221.2b19.6x35.1x2.2x
Sat, 30 Aug 2025US$7.3tUS$3.5tUS$218.1b20.1x33.5x2.1x
Mon, 28 Jul 2025US$7.1tUS$3.4tUS$213.0b18.9x33.4x2.1x
Wed, 25 Jun 2025US$6.8tUS$3.4tUS$217.5b17.9x31.4x2x
Fri, 23 May 2025US$6.7tUS$3.4tUS$220.1b17.2x30.5x2x
Sun, 20 Apr 2025US$5.7tUS$3.4tUS$211.8b15.7x26.9x1.7x
Tue, 18 Mar 2025US$6.2tUS$3.4tUS$212.6b16.9x29.2x1.8x
Thu, 13 Feb 2025US$7.1tUS$3.4tUS$203.3b18.8x35x2.1x
Sat, 11 Jan 2025US$7.0tUS$3.3tUS$201.7b18.1x34.8x2.1x
Mon, 09 Dec 2024US$7.3tUS$3.3tUS$201.1b19.4x36.1x2.2x
Wed, 06 Nov 2024US$5.9tUS$3.2tUS$182.1b18.2x32.5x1.8x
Fri, 04 Oct 2024US$5.9tUS$3.2tUS$178.7b18.1x33.1x1.9x
Sun, 01 Sep 2024US$5.5tUS$3.2tUS$177.3b17.7x31x1.7x
Tue, 30 Jul 2024US$5.5tUS$3.1tUS$167.6b17.4x32.7x1.7x
Thu, 27 Jun 2024US$5.5tUS$3.1tUS$166.7b17.6x32.8x1.8x
Sat, 25 May 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$167.8b18.1x31.8x1.7x
Mon, 22 Apr 2024US$5.0tUS$3.1tUS$160.7b16.8x31.3x1.6x
Wed, 20 Mar 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$156.6b17x34x1.7x
Fri, 16 Feb 2024US$5.2tUS$3.1tUS$151.5b18.3x34.6x1.7x
Sun, 14 Jan 2024US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$141.5b17.3x36.3x1.7x
Tue, 12 Dec 2023US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$139.2b16.6x36.7x1.7x
Thu, 09 Nov 2023US$4.8tUS$3.0tUS$129.2b15x37.2x1.6x
Sat, 07 Oct 2023US$4.7tUS$3.0tUS$113.8b15x41.4x1.6x
Mon, 04 Sep 2023US$5.0tUS$3.0tUS$112.1b16.1x44.7x1.7x
Wed, 02 Aug 2023US$5.1tUS$2.9tUS$103.5b15.8x49.2x1.7x
Fri, 30 Jun 2023US$4.8tUS$2.9tUS$100.2b14.9x48.3x1.7x
Sun, 28 May 2023US$4.4tUS$2.9tUS$99.5b13.6x43.9x1.5x
Tue, 25 Apr 2023US$4.3tUS$2.9tUS$79.8b13.8x54.2x1.5x
Thu, 23 Mar 2023US$2.7tUS$2.0tUS$71.5b13.1x37.9x1.4x
Sat, 18 Feb 2023US$4.7tUS$3.1tUS$81.9b14x57.8x1.5x
Price to Earnings Ratio

57.8x


Total Market Cap: US$4.7tTotal Earnings: US$81.9bTotal Revenue: US$3.1tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Price to Earnings3Y Average 36.8x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Consumer Discretionary industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 36.8x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.8x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 2.1x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 39% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 5.4% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary sector?

US Market0.99%
Consumer Discretionary-2.62%
Auto Components6.20%
Consumer Durables6.20%
Luxury5.64%
Retail Distributors3.86%
Leisure3.05%
Hospitality1.41%
Consumer Services1.07%
Specialty Stores0.67%
Auto0.61%
Online Retail and Ecommerce0%0
General Merchandise and Department Stores-8.23%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Auto industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 129x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 33.5%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 36.2% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Leisure industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 42% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 37% per year.
  • In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 8.0% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
TSLA TeslaUS$425.210.8%
+US$12.2b		29.4%PE420.6x
MAR Marriott InternationalUS$359.3512.9%
+US$11.0b		24.8%PE37.1x
HD Home DepotUS$389.682.3%
+US$8.5b		-6.4%PE26.6x
BABA Alibaba Group HoldingUS$166.511.7%
+US$6.4b		47.6%PE20.5x
RCL Royal Caribbean CruisesUS$347.306.4%
+US$5.7b		35.3%PE22x

Latest News

GM
US$80.27
General Motors
7D
-6.3%
1Y
71.9%
RCL
US$347.30
Royal Caribbean Cruises
7D
6.4%
1Y
35.3%
TPR
US$153.18
Tapestry
7D
20.6%
1Y
88.3%
MAR
US$359.35
Marriott International
7D
12.9%
1Y
24.8%

MAR: Future Outlook Will Balance Midscale Expansion, New Brands And Moderate Room Growth

Analysts now set a higher fair value estimate for Marriott International, lifting it by about US$6 to US$321.48, citing updated assumptions around the discount rate, long term revenue growth, profit margin profile and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Marriott reached 100 signed agreements for City Express by Marriott properties in the U.S. and Canada, with six hotels open in 2025 and four more expected by year end, highlighting ongoing build out of its midscale offering.
BKNG
US$4,281.14
Booking Holdings
7D
-7.1%
1Y
-14.7%
BABA
US$166.51
Alibaba Group Holding
7D
1.7%
1Y
47.6%

BABA: AI And Cloud Expansion Will Drive Future Earnings Power

Analysts have nudged their price target framework for Alibaba Group Holding slightly higher to about $198 per share, reflecting updated assumptions that include modestly adjusted revenue growth, profit margin expectations, discount rate and future P/E, informed by mixed but generally constructive recent analyst commentary on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alibaba reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with analysts reassessing both growth drivers and execution risks across the cloud and core retail businesses.
CVNA
US$391.69
Carvana
7D
-4.5%
1Y
44.5%

CVNA: Expanding Market Reach Into New Car Sales Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts nudged their price target for Carvana higher to $600 from $550, citing a mix of refined growth and profitability assumptions, modestly lower discount rates, and a higher future P/E multiple supported by recent research that highlights both expanding total addressable market opportunities and pushback against short seller claims. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Carvana has been active, with a mix of higher and lower price targets, rating changes, and fresh views on how the business model and total addressable market could influence valuation.
ORLY
US$93.44
O'Reilly Automotive
7D
-3.8%
1Y
5.9%

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:ORLY) Yearly Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

Feb 07
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:ORLY) Yearly Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year
AMZN
US$206.96
Amazon.com
7D
-11.2%
1Y
-9.6%

AMZN: AI Infrastructure And Advertising Mix Will Support Future Cash Flow Durability

Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Amazon.com by about US$10 to US$285, largely reflecting updated assumptions for a slightly higher discount rate and lower future P/E, even as they factor in modestly higher revenue growth and profit margin expectations supported by recent research commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Amazon.com shows a mixed but generally engaged view, with many firms revisiting their models, tweaking price targets and, in a few cases, ratings.
SBUX
US$97.53
Starbucks
7D
4.8%
1Y
-12.2%
HD
US$389.68
Home Depot
7D
2.3%
1Y
-6.4%

HD: Wholesale Expansion And AI Tools Will Support Post Headwind Share Positioning

Our updated Home Depot narrative reflects a slightly lower analyst price target of about $394 per share, as analysts broadly recalibrated their models. They are balancing recent target cuts tied to softer near term trends with fresh upward revisions from firms citing longer term earnings drivers and share gain potential.
MELI
US$2,025.32
MercadoLibre
7D
-3.6%
1Y
-0.5%

MELI: Higher Sector Take Rates Will Support 2026 Margin Expansion

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for MercadoLibre to about US$2,805 from roughly US$2,847, citing updated price targets, such as the recent move to US$2,900, and discussion of competitive take rates that feed into slightly adjusted growth and margin assumptions, the discount rate, and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a mix of optimism and caution around MercadoLibre, with price target adjustments and peer developments feeding into updated views on growth, margins, and valuation.
TSLA
US$425.21
Tesla
7D
0.8%
1Y
29.4%
EBAY
US$87.48
eBay
7D
-5.3%
1Y
27.8%

EBAY: GenAI ROIC Execution And E Commerce Risks Will Shape 2026 Outlook

Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their price target on eBay by $10 to $112, noting potential rewards for companies that can demonstrate stronger returns on invested capital from GenAI and GPU-related technologies, while also acknowledging that certain internet subsectors, including parts of e-commerce, may continue to trade on lower P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research has brought a higher price target for eBay, with bullish analysts focusing on how the company could benefit if it can convert GenAI and GPU-related tools into better returns on invested capital, while more cautious voices are watching how e-commerce valuations hold up in areas facing disruption risk.
DASH
US$185.64
DoorDash
7D
-8.1%
1Y
-3.9%

DASH: Future Tech Platform Investments Will Drive Long Term Profitability

Our updated fair value estimate for DoorDash edges lower to about $342 per share from roughly $357, as analysts balance a series of mixed price target revisions with expectations for faster revenue growth, slightly leaner margins, and a more moderate future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on DoorDash reflects a split tape, with several downward price target revisions offset by a cluster of more optimistic views, including target hikes and an upgrade to a more positive rating.
LOW
US$284.67
Lowe's Companies
7D
3.6%
1Y
10.8%

LOW: Lock-In Housing And AI Tools Will Support Gradual Home Improvement Recovery

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Lowe's Companies has been raised by about US$5 to reflect slightly higher modeled fair value, modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions, as analysts point to valuation, pent up demand in home improvement and a healthier mix across do it yourself and pro customers as key supports for the update. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Lowe's highlights a mix of optimism around long term home improvement demand and caution around near term earnings visibility, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings after the latest results and outlook updates.