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U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis

UpdatedJul 02, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies777
  • 7D3.7%
  • 3M9.8%
  • 1Y6.0%
  • YTD-2.5%

In the last week, the Consumer Discretionary industry is up 3.2%, with Tesla up 13%. Meanwhile, TJX Companies actually underperformed within the industry, shrinking 8.4% in the last week. This means that the industry has gained 5.6% over the past year. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 21% annually.

Sector Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Thu, 02 Jul 2026US$7.5tUS$3.7tUS$214.5b18.8x35x2x
Sat, 30 May 2026US$8.0tUS$3.7tUS$213.2b18.6x37.6x2.2x
Mon, 27 Apr 2026US$7.8tUS$3.6tUS$194.2b19x40x2.1x
Wed, 25 Mar 2026US$7.0tUS$3.6tUS$199.4b18.5x35.3x1.9x
Fri, 20 Feb 2026US$7.5tUS$3.6tUS$207.4b20.5x36.1x2.1x
Sun, 18 Jan 2026US$7.8tUS$3.6tUS$221.5b19.4x35.3x2.2x
Tue, 16 Dec 2025US$7.7tUS$3.6tUS$221.9b19.3x34.8x2.2x
Thu, 13 Nov 2025US$7.8tUS$3.5tUS$222.5b18.6x35.2x2.2x
Sat, 11 Oct 2025US$7.6tUS$3.5tUS$221.1b17.9x34.3x2.2x
Mon, 08 Sep 2025US$7.5tUS$3.5tUS$221.6b20.2x34x2.2x
Wed, 06 Aug 2025US$6.8tUS$3.4tUS$216.3b18.2x31.6x2x
Fri, 04 Jul 2025US$7.0tUS$3.4tUS$216.1b19x32.2x2x
Sun, 01 Jun 2025US$6.7tUS$3.4tUS$217.6b16.8x30.6x1.9x
Tue, 29 Apr 2025US$6.1tUS$3.4tUS$210.5b16.5x29.1x1.8x
Thu, 27 Mar 2025US$6.5tUS$3.4tUS$211.7b16.6x30.6x1.9x
Sat, 22 Feb 2025US$7.1tUS$3.4tUS$211.9b18.7x33.4x2.1x
Mon, 20 Jan 2025US$7.2tUS$3.3tUS$201.8b18.9x35.8x2.2x
Wed, 18 Dec 2024US$7.5tUS$3.3tUS$201.0b18.7x37.2x2.2x
Fri, 15 Nov 2024US$6.8tUS$3.3tUS$194.8b18.4x35.1x2x
Sun, 13 Oct 2024US$5.9tUS$3.2tUS$178.6b18x32.9x1.8x
Tue, 10 Sep 2024US$5.4tUS$3.2tUS$177.4b16.8x30.4x1.7x
Thu, 08 Aug 2024US$5.1tUS$3.2tUS$172.8b16.3x29.5x1.6x
Sat, 06 Jul 2024US$5.7tUS$3.1tUS$167.3b17.1x34.2x1.8x
Mon, 03 Jun 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$167.6b18.2x32x1.7x
Wed, 01 May 2024US$5.2tUS$3.1tUS$159.9b17x32.7x1.7x
Fri, 29 Mar 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$160.2b18.2x33.8x1.8x
Sun, 25 Feb 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$153.0b17.8x34.9x1.7x
Tue, 23 Jan 2024US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$141.4b17.4x35.9x1.7x
Thu, 21 Dec 2023US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$139.4b16.9x38.6x1.8x
Sat, 18 Nov 2023US$4.9tUS$3.0tUS$138.2b15.6x35.4x1.6x
Mon, 16 Oct 2023US$4.7tUS$3.0tUS$114.0b14.9x41x1.6x
Wed, 13 Sep 2023US$5.1tUS$3.0tUS$112.7b15.2x44.8x1.7x
Fri, 11 Aug 2023US$5.0tUS$3.0tUS$112.8b16.8x44.7x1.7x
Sun, 09 Jul 2023US$4.9tUS$2.9tUS$99.8b15x49.4x1.7x
Price to Earnings Ratio

49.4x


Total Market Cap: US$4.9tTotal Earnings: US$99.8bTotal Revenue: US$2.9tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Price to Earnings3Y Average 35x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Consumer Discretionary industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 35.0x.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PS ratio of 1.9x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 29% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 8.2% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary sector?

US Market1.64%
Consumer Discretionary3.70%
Auto11.69%
Retail Distributors3.84%
Consumer Services3.71%
General Merchandise and Department Stores3.10%
Hospitality0.60%
Online Retail and Ecommerce0%0
Auto Components-0.27%
Leisure-0.53%
Luxury-0.71%
Consumer Durables-1.53%
Specialty Stores-1.73%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Retail Distributors industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 19.9x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 24.5%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 19.0% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Leisure industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 38% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 5.8% per year.
  • In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 8.2% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
TSLA TeslaUS$425.3013.3%
+US$186.9b		34.7%PE413.6x
AMZN Amazon.comUS$241.703.2%
+US$79.9b		9.9%PE28.6x
PDD PDD HoldingsUS$82.529.0%
+US$9.7b		-20.6%PE8.3x
HD Home DepotUS$350.842.3%
+US$8.0b		-5.7%PE25x
SE SeaUS$102.3310.3%
+US$5.9b		-31.5%PE39.1x

Latest News

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US$97.99
Alibaba Group Holding
7D
-1.8%
1Y
-11.5%
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AMZN
US$241.70
Amazon.com
7D
3.2%
1Y
9.9%
TCOM
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Trip.com Group
7D
-11.3%
1Y
-30.5%
CMG
US$35.00
Chipotle Mexican Grill
7D
10.4%
1Y
-38.3%
MAR
US$368.32
Marriott International
7D
-4.0%
1Y
32.7%
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TJX
US$151.35
TJX Companies
7D
-8.4%
1Y
20.8%
RCL
US$306.30
Royal Caribbean Cruises
7D
-4.6%
1Y
-6.1%
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RCL: Project And Fuel Headwinds Will Cap Further Upside Potential

Royal Caribbean Cruises' analyst fair value has been adjusted slightly lower from $268.88 to $261.31. This reflects updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, margins, and a more conservative future P/E, even as several firms revise price targets following shifts in fuel cost expectations and project specific risks around Perfect Day Mexico.
ROST
US$211.90
Ross Stores
7D
-7.3%
1Y
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TSLA
US$425.30
Tesla
7D
13.3%
1Y
34.7%
Narrative Update • Jun 29

TSLA: Safety Probes And Autonomy Delays Will Challenge AI Narrative Premium

The analyst price target for Tesla has been raised from $175.78 to $198.57 as analysts factor in slightly higher modeled revenue growth, modestly stronger profit margins, a lower discount rate, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple. This is tied to ongoing focus on robotaxis, Optimus, and AI driven narratives over near term delivery trends.
DASH
US$188.87
DoorDash
7D
6.1%
1Y
-20.9%
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MELI
US$1,742.19
MercadoLibre
7D
5.0%
1Y
-29.5%
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MCD
US$269.43
McDonald's
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-1.6%
1Y
-8.6%
SE
US$102.33
Sea
7D
10.3%
1Y
-31.5%
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SE: Q1 Execution And Reinvestment Plans Will Test Profitability Trajectory

The analyst price target for Sea has been trimmed by $4 to $101, as analysts factor in slightly lower revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions, alongside a modestly higher discount rate, even as recent research cites robust Q1 performance and refreshed longer term estimates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Sea highlights a mix of optimism around Q1 execution and more cautious valuation work, as analysts refresh long term models and price targets.
GM
US$75.52
General Motors
7D
-4.3%
1Y
43.4%
PDD
US$82.52
PDD Holdings
7D
9.0%
1Y
-20.6%
Narrative Update • Jun 25

PDD: Heavy Supply Chain And Brand Investments Will Drive Long-Term Upside

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HD
US$350.84
Home Depot
7D
2.3%
1Y
-5.7%