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U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis

UpdatedFeb 12, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies795
  • 7D-0.9%
  • 3M-2.0%
  • 1Y1.5%
  • YTD-3.2%

The Consumer Discretionary is pretty flat in the last 7 days, but Tesla has stood out, gaining 5.6%. Furthermore, the industry has been flat for the past year as well. Earnings are forecast to grow by 20% annually.

Sector Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Thu, 12 Feb 2026US$7.6tUS$3.6tUS$205.5b20.2x36.9x2.1x
Sat, 10 Jan 2026US$7.9tUS$3.6tUS$221.6b19.1x35.9x2.2x
Mon, 08 Dec 2025US$7.7tUS$3.6tUS$221.9b18.7x34.7x2.2x
Wed, 05 Nov 2025US$7.9tUS$3.5tUS$225.7b18.2x35.2x2.3x
Fri, 03 Oct 2025US$7.9tUS$3.5tUS$220.8b19.7x35.6x2.3x
Sun, 31 Aug 2025US$7.3tUS$3.5tUS$220.7b20.2x33x2.1x
Tue, 29 Jul 2025US$7.1tUS$3.4tUS$212.9b18.8x33.4x2.1x
Thu, 26 Jun 2025US$6.8tUS$3.4tUS$217.4b17.8x31.4x2x
Sat, 24 May 2025US$6.7tUS$3.4tUS$220.3b16.9x30.4x2x
Mon, 21 Apr 2025US$5.7tUS$3.4tUS$211.8b15.7x26.9x1.7x
Wed, 19 Mar 2025US$6.2tUS$3.4tUS$212.7b16.7x29.3x1.8x
Fri, 14 Feb 2025US$7.1tUS$3.4tUS$203.4b18.9x35x2.1x
Sun, 12 Jan 2025US$6.9tUS$3.3tUS$200.2b18x34.6x2.1x
Tue, 10 Dec 2024US$7.3tUS$3.3tUS$201.1b19.4x36.1x2.2x
Thu, 07 Nov 2024US$6.0tUS$3.2tUS$181.8b18.5x33.1x1.9x
Sat, 05 Oct 2024US$5.9tUS$3.2tUS$178.6b18.4x32.8x1.8x
Mon, 02 Sep 2024US$5.5tUS$3.2tUS$177.3b17.7x31x1.7x
Wed, 31 Jul 2024US$5.5tUS$3.1tUS$167.7b17.5x33x1.8x
Fri, 28 Jun 2024US$5.6tUS$3.1tUS$166.7b17.4x33.4x1.8x
Sun, 26 May 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$167.8b18.1x32.1x1.7x
Tue, 23 Apr 2024US$5.0tUS$3.1tUS$160.7b16.8x31.3x1.6x
Thu, 21 Mar 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$159.2b17.3x33.4x1.7x
Sat, 17 Feb 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$151.8b18.1x35x1.7x
Mon, 15 Jan 2024US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$141.5b17.3x36.3x1.7x
Wed, 13 Dec 2023US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$139.2b16.7x36.8x1.7x
Fri, 10 Nov 2023US$4.8tUS$3.0tUS$130.2b14.8x36.7x1.6x
Sun, 08 Oct 2023US$4.7tUS$3.0tUS$113.8b15x41.4x1.6x
Tue, 05 Sep 2023US$5.0tUS$3.0tUS$112.1b16.1x44.7x1.7x
Thu, 03 Aug 2023US$5.0tUS$2.9tUS$105.2b15.8x47.2x1.7x
Sat, 01 Jul 2023US$4.9tUS$2.9tUS$99.8b14.9x49x1.7x
Mon, 29 May 2023US$4.4tUS$2.9tUS$99.5b13.6x43.9x1.5x
Wed, 26 Apr 2023US$4.2tUS$2.9tUS$79.3b13.4x53.1x1.4x
Fri, 24 Mar 2023US$4.3tUS$2.9tUS$80.7b13.1x52.8x1.5x
Sun, 19 Feb 2023US$4.7tUS$3.1tUS$81.9b14x57.8x1.5x
Price to Earnings Ratio

57.8x


Total Market Cap: US$4.7tTotal Earnings: US$81.9bTotal Revenue: US$3.1tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Price to Earnings3Y Average 36.8x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Consumer Discretionary industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 36.8x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.8x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 2.1x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 36% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 5.4% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary sector?

US Market1.43%
Consumer Discretionary-0.90%
Auto6.81%
Auto Components5.76%
Consumer Durables3.76%
Luxury2.22%
Retail Distributors2.13%
Online Retail and Ecommerce0%0
Specialty Stores-1.08%
Hospitality-1.22%
Consumer Services-1.27%
Leisure-2.59%
General Merchandise and Department Stores-5.72%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Luxury industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 28.4x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 19.3%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 14.7% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Leisure industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 42% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 37% per year.
  • In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 8.2% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
TSLA TeslaUS$428.277.8%
+US$116.6b		20.3%PE423.6x
BABA Alibaba Group HoldingUS$164.323.3%
+US$11.6b		38.9%PE20.2x
MAR Marriott InternationalUS$358.7510.5%
+US$8.0b		23.5%PE36.5x
LOW Lowe's CompaniesUS$287.044.1%
+US$6.3b		14.7%PE23.8x
SE SeaUS$114.527.8%
+US$4.9b		-12.3%PE47.8x

Latest News

TPR
US$154.67
Tapestry
7D
19.1%
1Y
81.7%
MAR
US$358.75
Marriott International
7D
10.5%
1Y
23.5%
HLT
US$325.13
Hilton Worldwide Holdings
7D
5.3%
1Y
18.9%
GM
US$79.82
General Motors
7D
-7.5%
1Y
67.4%
CPNG
US$17.66
Coupang
7D
-9.2%
1Y
-25.3%
BKNG
US$4,312.44
Booking Holdings
7D
-6.4%
1Y
-14.1%
SE
US$114.52
Sea
7D
7.8%
1Y
-12.3%

SE: Future Upside Will Stem From E Commerce And Share Repurchases

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Sea slightly lower to about US$189.55 per share, reflecting a modestly higher discount rate and only minor adjustments to long term growth, margin, and P/E assumptions following mixed Street price target moves and updated views on Shopee, Garena, and group wide investment spending. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to solid Q3 revenue across all three segments and see scope for continued execution in both e commerce and gaming to support the current fair value framework.
BABA
US$164.32
Alibaba Group Holding
7D
3.3%
1Y
38.9%

BABA: AI And Cloud Expansion Will Drive Future Earnings Power

Analysts have nudged their price target framework for Alibaba Group Holding slightly higher to about $198 per share, reflecting updated assumptions that include modestly adjusted revenue growth, profit margin expectations, discount rate and future P/E, informed by mixed but generally constructive recent analyst commentary on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alibaba reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with analysts reassessing both growth drivers and execution risks across the cloud and core retail businesses.
CMG
US$37.22
Chipotle Mexican Grill
7D
-6.8%
1Y
-35.0%

CMG: 2026 Unit Expansion And Share Repurchases Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts now see slightly lower upside for Chipotle, trimming the price target in line with a modest reduction in fair value to about $44.24 per share after reassessing the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Chipotle Mexican Grill has become more finely balanced, with several small downward price target revisions offset by a cluster of earlier target increases and a few rating changes.
CVNA
US$364.07
Carvana
7D
-7.4%
1Y
35.9%

CVNA: Expanding Market Reach Into New Car Sales Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts nudged their price target for Carvana higher to $600 from $550, citing a mix of refined growth and profitability assumptions, modestly lower discount rates, and a higher future P/E multiple supported by recent research that highlights both expanding total addressable market opportunities and pushback against short seller claims. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Carvana has been active, with a mix of higher and lower price targets, rating changes, and fresh views on how the business model and total addressable market could influence valuation.
TJX
US$150.75
TJX Companies
7D
-2.1%
1Y
21.2%

TJX: Elevated Off Price Optimism May Constrain Future Share Return Potential

Analysts have nudged their price expectations for TJX higher, reflected in our fair value estimate rising from US$124.91 to US$129.14. They cite recent price target increases across the Street that point to confidence in the company's off price positioning, ongoing top line trends, Q3 performance and updated guidance.
AMZN
US$204.08
Amazon.com
7D
-8.4%
1Y
-11.4%

AMZN: AI Infrastructure And Advertising Mix Will Support Future Cash Flow Durability

Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Amazon.com by about US$10 to US$285, largely reflecting updated assumptions for a slightly higher discount rate and lower future P/E, even as they factor in modestly higher revenue growth and profit margin expectations supported by recent research commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Amazon.com shows a mixed but generally engaged view, with many firms revisiting their models, tweaking price targets and, in a few cases, ratings.
HD
US$390.68
Home Depot
7D
0.9%
1Y
-4.0%

HD: Wholesale Expansion And AI Tools Will Support Post Headwind Share Positioning

Our updated Home Depot narrative reflects a slightly lower analyst price target of about $394 per share, as analysts broadly recalibrated their models. They are balancing recent target cuts tied to softer near term trends with fresh upward revisions from firms citing longer term earnings drivers and share gain potential.
TSLA
US$428.27
Tesla
7D
7.8%
1Y
20.3%
DASH
US$175.47
DoorDash
7D
-10.4%
1Y
-12.7%

DASH: Future Tech Platform Investments Will Drive Long Term Profitability

Our updated fair value estimate for DoorDash edges lower to about $342 per share from roughly $357, as analysts balance a series of mixed price target revisions with expectations for faster revenue growth, slightly leaner margins, and a more moderate future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on DoorDash reflects a split tape, with several downward price target revisions offset by a cluster of more optimistic views, including target hikes and an upgrade to a more positive rating.
LOW
US$287.04
Lowe's Companies
7D
4.1%
1Y
14.7%

LOW: Lock-In Housing And AI Tools Will Support Gradual Home Improvement Recovery

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Lowe's Companies has been raised by about US$5 to reflect slightly higher modeled fair value, modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions, as analysts point to valuation, pent up demand in home improvement and a healthier mix across do it yourself and pro customers as key supports for the update. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Lowe's highlights a mix of optimism around long term home improvement demand and caution around near term earnings visibility, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings after the latest results and outlook updates.