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U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis

UpdatedNov 14, 2025
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies803
  • 7D-5.5%
  • 3M1.3%
  • 1Y9.3%
  • YTD5.4%

Over the last 7 days, the Consumer Discretionary industry has dropped 3.2%, driven by Amazon.com declining 6.3%. This takes the industry's 12 month performance to a gain of 11%. Earnings are forecast to grow by 20% annually.

Sector Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Tue, 18 Nov 2025US$7.8tUS$3.5tUS$223.7b18.4x34.7x2.2x
Thu, 16 Oct 2025US$7.6tUS$3.5tUS$220.8b18.5x34.3x2.2x
Sat, 13 Sep 2025US$7.7tUS$3.5tUS$222.0b19.7x34.5x2.2x
Mon, 11 Aug 2025US$7.0tUS$3.4tUS$217.8b18.8x32.1x2x
Wed, 09 Jul 2025US$6.9tUS$3.4tUS$216.1b18.9x31.8x2x
Fri, 06 Jun 2025US$6.6tUS$3.4tUS$217.3b17.2x30.3x1.9x
Sun, 04 May 2025US$6.3tUS$3.4tUS$217.2b16.9x28.9x1.8x
Tue, 01 Apr 2025US$6.2tUS$3.4tUS$211.9b16.4x29.2x1.8x
Thu, 27 Feb 2025US$6.9tUS$3.4tUS$210.1b18.4x32.8x2x
Sat, 25 Jan 2025US$7.3tUS$3.3tUS$202.3b18.9x36.2x2.2x
Mon, 23 Dec 2024US$7.2tUS$3.3tUS$200.7b18.2x35.7x2.1x
Wed, 20 Nov 2024US$6.7tUS$3.4tUS$197.9b18.1x33.9x2x
Fri, 18 Oct 2024US$5.8tUS$3.2tUS$178.3b18.4x32.7x1.8x
Sun, 15 Sep 2024US$5.6tUS$3.2tUS$177.5b17.4x31.7x1.8x
Tue, 13 Aug 2024US$5.2tUS$3.2tUS$172.9b16.8x30.1x1.7x
Thu, 11 Jul 2024US$5.8tUS$3.1tUS$167.3b17.2x34.5x1.8x
Sat, 08 Jun 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$168.0b17.9x32.4x1.8x
Mon, 06 May 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$166.4b17.4x32.7x1.8x
Wed, 03 Apr 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$160.5b18.2x33.7x1.8x
Fri, 01 Mar 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$154.1b17.6x34.9x1.8x
Sun, 28 Jan 2024US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$146.5b17.4x34.6x1.7x
Tue, 26 Dec 2023US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$141.3b17.7x37.6x1.7x
Thu, 23 Nov 2023US$5.0tUS$3.0tUS$138.9b15.3x35.7x1.6x
Sat, 21 Oct 2023US$4.5tUS$3.0tUS$113.0b14.5x39.5x1.5x
Mon, 18 Sep 2023US$5.0tUS$3.0tUS$112.5b15.1x44.6x1.7x
Wed, 16 Aug 2023US$4.9tUS$3.0tUS$112.1b16.2x43.8x1.6x
Fri, 14 Jul 2023US$5.1tUS$2.9tUS$99.9b15.4x51.2x1.8x
Sun, 11 Jun 2023US$4.7tUS$2.9tUS$99.3b14.3x47.1x1.6x
Tue, 09 May 2023US$4.2tUS$2.9tUS$92.3b14x46x1.5x
Thu, 06 Apr 2023US$4.3tUS$2.9tUS$81.6b13.3x53.1x1.5x
Sat, 04 Mar 2023US$4.6tUS$3.1tUS$86.2b14.5x53.2x1.5x
Mon, 30 Jan 2023US$4.8tUS$3.0tUS$109.4b13.2x43.9x1.6x
Wed, 28 Dec 2022US$3.9tUS$3.0tUS$108.9b11.9x36.3x1.3x
Fri, 25 Nov 2022US$4.4tUS$3.0tUS$108.0b11.5x40.3x1.4x
Price to Earnings Ratio

40.3x


Total Market Cap: US$4.4tTotal Earnings: US$108.0bTotal Revenue: US$3.0tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Price to Earnings3Y Average 37.3x202320242025
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Consumer Discretionary industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 37.3x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.8x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 2.2x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 27% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 5.5% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary sector?

US Market-2.74%
Consumer Discretionary-5.49%
Luxury1.12%
Online Retail and Ecommerce0%0
Retail Distributors-2.01%
Leisure-2.51%
Specialty Stores-2.59%
Hospitality-3.59%
Consumer Services-4.93%
Consumer Durables-5.53%
General Merchandise and Department Stores-5.90%
Auto-8.07%
Auto Components-8.78%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Auto industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 103x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 34.3%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 16.2% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Leisure industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 50% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 22% per year.
  • In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 6.2% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
MCD McDonald'sUS$304.901.9%
+US$4.1b		4.7%PE25.8x
NKE NIKEUS$62.903.5%
+US$3.1b		-16.0%PE32.1x
DASH DoorDashUS$210.653.2%
+US$2.8b		22.0%PE105.2x
AZO AutoZoneUS$3.86k3.4%
+US$2.1b		21.7%PE25.7x
ONON On HoldingUS$41.4018.4%
+US$2.1b		-19.6%PE48x

Latest News

DASH
US$210.65
DoorDash
7D
3.2%
1Y
22.0%

DASH: Accelerating Expansion Into Grocery And Retail Will Drive Outperformance Ahead

Analysts have lowered their average price target for DoorDash by approximately $27 to $275, citing continued strong revenue growth and margin improvement as well as increased near-term investment in technology and global expansion. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on DoorDash reflects a range of perspectives, as analysts weigh the company's impressive operational trends and investments against emerging pressures on margins and competition.
SE
US$145.75
Sea
7D
-6.0%
1Y
34.2%

SE: Share Momentum Will Continue as E-Commerce Edges Out Smaller Competitors

Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Sea Limited from $196.66 to $192.68 per share. They cite more moderate growth expectations and ongoing investment impacts, despite continued strength across business segments.
AMZN
US$232.87
Amazon.com
7D
-6.3%
1Y
15.5%

AMZN: Accelerating Cloud Demand and Mega AI Deal Will Drive Further Gains

Amazon.com’s analyst price target has shifted higher, rising from approximately $288 to $293 per share. Analysts cite accelerating AWS revenue growth and improved profit margins, fueled by major new cloud deals and robust financial results.
AZO
US$3,855.26
AutoZone
7D
3.4%
1Y
21.7%

AZO: Market Share Gains Will Drive Outperformance Despite Margin Headwinds

Analysts have modestly raised AutoZone's fair value estimate to $4,583 from $4,570. They cite opportunities for market share gains, ongoing store expansion, and resilience in core demand despite near-term margin headwinds.
NKE
US$62.90
NIKE
7D
3.5%
1Y
-16.0%

NKE: Margin Recovery And Channel Inventory Progress Will Drive Upside Momentum

NIKE’s analyst price target saw a modest increase, rising by approximately $0.43 to $83.70. Analysts noted improving inventory trends and better-than-expected margin recovery, while acknowledging ongoing macro and tariff headwinds.
HD
US$358.03
Home Depot
7D
-3.3%
1Y
-12.8%

HD: Accelerating Demand Momentum Will Support Broad-Based Gains In 2025

Home Depot’s analyst price target has been modestly reduced from $437.81 to $433.12. Analysts cite a more challenging near-term outlook for the home improvement sector and delayed recovery expectations, balanced against some signs of improving demand.
ORLY
US$99.56
O'Reilly Automotive
7D
1.5%
1Y
22.7%

ORLY: Strengthening Supply Chain Will Support Share Gains Into 2025

O'Reilly Automotive's analyst price target increased from $115 to a range between $120 and $125, as analysts cite improving same-store sales, sustained pricing tailwinds, and ongoing strength in the company's supply chain and consumer base as key drivers for the upward revision. Analyst Commentary Analyst sentiment on O'Reilly Automotive has recently tilted positive, reflecting the company's operational momentum and sector position.
ONON
US$41.40
On Holding
7D
18.4%
1Y
-19.6%
MH
US$15.27
McGraw Hill
7D
38.2%
1Y
n/a
RCL
US$246.71
Royal Caribbean Cruises
7D
-6.9%
1Y
6.5%

RCL: Earnings Upside Will Emerge As Conservative 2026 Guidance Resets Expectations

Analysts have modestly reduced their price target for Royal Caribbean Cruises, trimming it from approximately $344 to $337. They cite a slightly higher discount rate, marginally slower revenue growth and profit margin projections, as well as recent indications of softer yield momentum in upcoming quarters.
FLUT
US$191.11
Flutter Entertainment
7D
-16.9%
1Y
-28.4%
BABA
US$157.71
Alibaba Group Holding
7D
-4.9%
1Y
76.5%
EAT
US$121.09
Brinker International
7D
13.6%
1Y
-1.5%

EAT: Operational Momentum And Share Repurchases Will Drive Confidence Ahead

Brinker International's consensus analyst price target has decreased from $171 to $159. This change reflects analysts' more cautious outlook on near-term sales momentum and profit growth, even though there is continued optimism for Chili's longer-term transformation initiatives.
PDD
US$129.04
PDD Holdings
7D
-6.6%
1Y
10.0%

PDD: Merchant Support Initiatives And Global Expansion Will Drive Near-Term Earnings Volatility

The analyst price target for PDD Holdings increased modestly by $0.65 to $145.77 per share. Analysts cited balanced growth initiatives and sustained profitability following stronger-than-expected second quarter results.
MCD
US$304.90
McDonald's
7D
1.9%
1Y
4.7%

MCD: Value Focus And Consumer Trends Will Shape Performance Amid Mixed Signals

McDonald's analyst price target edged slightly lower to $330.87 from $331.14, a modest adjustment reflecting analysts' cautious outlook over mixed consumer traffic trends and evolving value strategies, while balancing these factors against resilient revenue growth forecasts. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on McDonald's reflects a broad mix of optimism and caution, with price targets being adjusted in response to changing consumer dynamics and evolving company strategies.
TSLA
US$408.92
Tesla
7D
-8.2%
1Y
20.7%