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U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis

UpdatedApr 09, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies786
  • 7D0.7%
  • 3M-12.9%
  • 1Y13.8%
  • YTD-9.2%

Over the last 7 days, the Consumer Discretionary industry has remained flat, although notably Amazon.com gained 5.1%. As for the the longer term, the industry is up 14% over the past 12 months. Earnings are forecast to grow by 20% annually.

Sector Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Thu, 09 Apr 2026US$6.9tUS$3.6tUS$198.7b19x34.8x1.9x
Sat, 07 Mar 2026US$7.3tUS$3.6tUS$204.4b18.7x35.9x2x
Mon, 02 Feb 2026US$7.9tUS$3.6tUS$218.5b19.3x36.1x2.2x
Wed, 31 Dec 2025US$7.7tUS$3.6tUS$221.5b18.9x34.9x2.2x
Fri, 28 Nov 2025US$7.6tUS$3.6tUS$221.3b18.6x34.2x2.1x
Sun, 26 Oct 2025US$7.7tUS$3.5tUS$222.7b19x34.8x2.2x
Tue, 23 Sep 2025US$7.9tUS$3.5tUS$220.8b20x35.6x2.3x
Thu, 21 Aug 2025US$7.2tUS$3.5tUS$217.3b19.8x33x2.1x
Sat, 19 Jul 2025US$7.0tUS$3.4tUS$215.6b18.7x32.4x2x
Mon, 16 Jun 2025US$6.7tUS$3.4tUS$217.6b17.3x30.6x1.9x
Wed, 14 May 2025US$6.8tUS$3.4tUS$219.1b17.9x30.8x2x
Fri, 11 Apr 2025US$5.9tUS$3.4tUS$211.6b15.4x28x1.7x
Sun, 09 Mar 2025US$6.5tUS$3.4tUS$214.3b17.6x30.3x1.9x
Tue, 04 Feb 2025US$7.4tUS$3.3tUS$193.3b18.8x38.2x2.2x
Thu, 02 Jan 2025US$7.0tUS$3.3tUS$201.5b18.3x34.9x2.1x
Sat, 30 Nov 2024US$6.9tUS$3.3tUS$199.9b19.3x34.6x2.1x
Mon, 28 Oct 2024US$5.9tUS$3.2tUS$179.8b17.9x32.9x1.9x
Wed, 25 Sep 2024US$5.9tUS$3.2tUS$177.8b17.9x33x1.8x
Fri, 23 Aug 2024US$5.6tUS$3.2tUS$173.5b17.5x32.2x1.8x
Sun, 21 Jul 2024US$5.6tUS$3.1tUS$167.3b17.7x33.3x1.8x
Tue, 18 Jun 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$167.8b17.8x32x1.7x
Thu, 16 May 2024US$5.5tUS$3.1tUS$164.3b18.3x33.3x1.8x
Sat, 13 Apr 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$160.5b17.4x33.7x1.8x
Mon, 11 Mar 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$155.6b16.7x33.9x1.7x
Wed, 07 Feb 2024US$5.2tUS$3.1tUS$159.9b17.2x32.3x1.7x
Fri, 05 Jan 2024US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$141.4b17.4x36x1.7x
Sun, 03 Dec 2023US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$139.4b16.1x36.5x1.7x
Tue, 31 Oct 2023US$4.5tUS$3.0tUS$121.6b14.3x36.8x1.5x
Thu, 28 Sep 2023US$4.6tUS$3.0tUS$112.2b14.9x41.3x1.6x
Sat, 26 Aug 2023US$4.8tUS$3.0tUS$112.3b15.4x42.7x1.6x
Mon, 24 Jul 2023US$5.0tUS$2.9tUS$100.4b15.5x49.6x1.7x
Wed, 21 Jun 2023US$4.8tUS$2.9tUS$98.8b14.8x49x1.7x
Fri, 19 May 2023US$4.4tUS$2.9tUS$99.9b14.1x43.8x1.5x
Sun, 16 Apr 2023US$4.4tUS$2.9tUS$81.6b14.1x53.4x1.5x
Price to Earnings Ratio

53.4x


Total Market Cap: US$4.4tTotal Earnings: US$81.6bTotal Revenue: US$2.9tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Price to Earnings3Y Average 35.9x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Consumer Discretionary industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 35.9x.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PS ratio of 1.9x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 35% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 7.9% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary sector?

US Market2.97%
Consumer Discretionary0.68%
General Merchandise and Department Stores4.40%
Consumer Durables3.67%
Leisure3.40%
Retail Distributors3.33%
Hospitality3.11%
Luxury2.42%
Specialty Stores2.08%
Auto Components1.44%
Consumer Services0.51%
Online Retail and Ecommerce0%0
Auto-8.50%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Luxury industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 28.6x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 18.5%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 14.4% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Leisure industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 35% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 36% per year.
  • In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 7.1% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
AMZN Amazon.comUS$221.255.1%
+US$114.6b		15.8%PE30.6x
BKNG Booking HoldingsUS$181.008.1%
+US$10.8b		-2.0%PE26.5x
SBUX StarbucksUS$97.217.5%
+US$7.7b		9.6%PE80.9x
HD Home DepotUS$336.162.0%
+US$6.6b		-5.4%PE23.7x
DASH DoorDashUS$160.696.8%
+US$4.4b		-14.8%PE74.7x

Latest News

NKE
US$43.13
NIKE
7D
-3.4%
1Y
-27.3%
VFS
US$3.98
VinFast Auto
7D
-2.9%
1Y
36.3%

VFS: Future Premium EV Lineup And Margins Will Support Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on VinFast Auto slightly, with fair value moving from $6.38 to $6.30 as they factor in a higher future P/E of about 118x and a modest adjustment to projected profit margins. What's in the News VinFast highlighted the VF 9 as a fully electric, three row SUV with all wheel drive, up to 402 horsepower and a rated range of up to 518 kilometres per full charge.
TSLA
US$343.25
Tesla
7D
-10.0%
1Y
26.1%

Tesla: Three Scenarios, Zero Upside

Apr 07
TJX
US$161.64
TJX Companies
7D
-0.2%
1Y
28.2%

TJX Companies: Premium Will Fade As Retailers Compete More On Price

Apr 07
ONON
US$33.81
On Holding
7D
-2.8%
1Y
-24.9%

Nike's Loss Is On's Gain, Valuation Now Excessively Low (Rating Upgrade)

Apr 06
CVNA
US$338.81
Carvana
7D
8.6%
1Y
53.7%

CVNA: Retail Unit Expansion And AI Resilience Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts now place Carvana's price target at $519, reflecting a recalibration that weighs recent target cuts tied to Q4 margin pressure and softer near term guidance, while also considering views that AI disintermediation risks are limited and that unit growth and market share gains remain central to the long term story. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed but generally constructive picture around Carvana, with price targets reset to reflect Q4 margin pressure and softer near term guidance, while still leaning on the long term growth story.
AMZN
US$221.25
Amazon.com
7D
5.1%
1Y
15.8%

AMZN: Cloud AI Capex And OpenAI Deal Will Support Future Cash Flows

Analysts have nudged their price target on Amazon.com slightly higher to align with a modestly higher fair value estimate of about $281. This reflects updated views on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions informed by recent research pointing to AWS momentum, rising ad spend expectations and ongoing AI related investment.
BKNG
US$181.00
Booking Holdings
7D
8.1%
1Y
-2.0%

BKNG: AI Disruption Fears Should Ease As Agentic Tools Mature

Analysts have trimmed Booking Holdings' blended fair value estimate marginally to about $5,800 per share. This reflects a slightly higher discount rate and modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin, and forward P/E assumptions as they weigh strong Q4 execution against mixed price target revisions and ongoing AI related debate around the OTA model.
RCL
US$279.26
Royal Caribbean Cruises
7D
-1.0%
1Y
33.3%

RCL: Future Upside Will Rely On Enduring Cruise Demand Strength

Analysts maintained the Royal Caribbean Cruises fair value estimate at $425.00 and slightly adjusted underlying assumptions such as the discount rate and revenue growth, reflecting a mix of recent price target increases and trims across the Street while still leaning on expectations for solid demand and operational execution. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Royal Caribbean reflects a generally constructive tone, with most updates pointing to confidence in the company’s ability to execute on demand trends, pricing and capacity additions, even as some firms fine tune targets around shorter term Caribbean and geopolitical considerations.
APTV
US$60.73
Aptiv
7D
-2.2%
1Y
11.6%

APTV: Spin Offs And ADAS Content Are Expected To Reframe Earnings Profile

Aptiv's analyst price target has been trimmed from $109 to $107 as analysts factor in weaker revenue growth expectations, alongside higher projected margins and a higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a mix of reduced price targets and fresh upgrades, with several bullish analysts highlighting potential value as Aptiv prepares for portfolio changes and spin offs.
HD
US$336.16
Home Depot
7D
2.0%
1Y
-5.4%

HD: Pro Ecosystem And AI Tools Will Support Post Storm Demand Recovery

The analyst price target for Home Depot has been nudged lower by about $2 to reflect a fair value update to $408.18, as analysts factor in a slightly higher discount rate, modest tweaks to long term revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and updated P/E expectations following a wave of recent Q4 driven target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Home Depot clusters around a constructive view on long term earnings power, balanced by some caution on the near term macro backdrop and valuation after the Q4 run up.
SBUX
US$97.21
Starbucks
7D
7.5%
1Y
9.6%
DASH
US$160.69
DoorDash
7D
6.8%
1Y
-14.8%

DASH: Local Commerce Platform Investments Will Outweigh Multiple Compression Concerns

DoorDash's updated analyst price target moves lower to $198, as analysts factor in slightly softer revenue growth and margin assumptions, alongside higher future P/E expectations and ongoing sector wide multiple pressure. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates around DoorDash cluster around two themes: softer near term profit expectations and pressure on valuation multiples across the broader tech and internet peer group.
FIVE
US$228.18
Five Below
7D
-2.9%
1Y
264.2%

FIVE: Higher Margin Outlook Under New Leadership Will Support Repricing

The analyst fair value estimate for Five Below has shifted from $125.00 to $305.00. This change reflects a series of higher Street price targets that generally cite assumptions of stronger revenue growth, higher profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple under current management.
MAR
US$348.58
Marriott International
7D
4.5%
1Y
49.4%
LOW
US$243.66
Lowe's Companies
7D
3.3%
1Y
9.2%

LOW: Q4 Execution And AI Adoption Will Support Home Improvement Recovery

Analysts now see Lowe's fair value as broadly unchanged at about $286, with only a fractional shift in the price target despite a wide range of new research views that balance Q4 strength, tempered FY26 guidance, and differing expectations for how quickly the home improvement cycle could improve. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed but generally constructive picture around Lowe's, with most price targets clustering around the mid to high $200s and a spread of views on how to weigh Q4 strength against FY26 guidance and the broader home improvement backdrop.