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U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis

UpdatedApr 11, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies789
  • 7D5.1%
  • 3M-11.2%
  • 1Y20.7%
  • YTD-6.7%

The Consumer Discretionary industry is up 5.1% in the last week, with Amazon.com up 14%. This takes the industry's 12 month performance to a gain of 21%. Earnings are forecast to grow by 20% annually.

Sector Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Sun, 12 Apr 2026US$7.3tUS$3.6tUS$198.7b19x36.6x2x
Tue, 10 Mar 2026US$7.3tUS$3.6tUS$204.4b18.5x35.5x2x
Thu, 05 Feb 2026US$7.9tUS$3.6tUS$217.4b19.8x36.2x2.2x
Sat, 03 Jan 2026US$7.7tUS$3.6tUS$221.6b19.2x34.5x2.2x
Mon, 01 Dec 2025US$7.6tUS$3.6tUS$221.3b18.5x34.6x2.1x
Wed, 29 Oct 2025US$7.9tUS$3.5tUS$222.9b18.7x35.4x2.3x
Fri, 26 Sep 2025US$7.8tUS$3.5tUS$221.3b19.4x35.2x2.2x
Sun, 24 Aug 2025US$7.3tUS$3.5tUS$217.6b20.4x33.6x2.1x
Tue, 22 Jul 2025US$7.1tUS$3.4tUS$215.7b19x32.9x2.1x
Thu, 19 Jun 2025US$6.7tUS$3.4tUS$216.9b17.4x30.8x1.9x
Sat, 17 May 2025US$6.8tUS$3.4tUS$220.1b17.7x30.9x2x
Mon, 14 Apr 2025US$5.8tUS$3.4tUS$211.8b15.7x27.6x1.7x
Wed, 12 Mar 2025US$6.2tUS$3.4tUS$214.4b17x29x1.8x
Fri, 07 Feb 2025US$7.3tUS$3.3tUS$193.6b19.2x37.7x2.2x
Sun, 05 Jan 2025US$7.1tUS$3.3tUS$201.8b18.2x35.3x2.1x
Tue, 03 Dec 2024US$6.9tUS$3.3tUS$199.4b19.4x34.6x2.1x
Thu, 31 Oct 2024US$5.9tUS$3.2tUS$180.1b18.3x33x1.9x
Sat, 28 Sep 2024US$6.0tUS$3.2tUS$177.9b18.2x33.5x1.9x
Mon, 26 Aug 2024US$5.6tUS$3.2tUS$173.7b17.6x32.1x1.8x
Wed, 24 Jul 2024US$5.6tUS$3.1tUS$167.4b17.6x33.7x1.8x
Fri, 21 Jun 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$166.6b18x32.7x1.7x
Sun, 19 May 2024US$5.5tUS$3.1tUS$164.8b18.3x33.2x1.8x
Tue, 16 Apr 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$160.5b16.7x32.9x1.7x
Thu, 14 Mar 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$156.5b17.4x33.9x1.7x
Sat, 10 Feb 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$152.3b17.7x34.7x1.7x
Mon, 08 Jan 2024US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$141.5b17.5x35.9x1.7x
Wed, 06 Dec 2023US$5.0tUS$3.1tUS$139.3b15.8x36.2x1.7x
Fri, 03 Nov 2023US$4.6tUS$3.0tUS$124.8b14.8x36.9x1.5x
Sun, 01 Oct 2023US$4.7tUS$3.0tUS$113.9b15x41.4x1.6x
Tue, 29 Aug 2023US$4.8tUS$3.0tUS$112.3b15.4x42.7x1.6x
Thu, 27 Jul 2023US$5.0tUS$2.9tUS$101.9b15.8x49.4x1.7x
Sat, 24 Jun 2023US$4.8tUS$2.9tUS$98.6b14.2x48.5x1.6x
Mon, 22 May 2023US$4.3tUS$2.9tUS$99.0b14x43.7x1.5x
Wed, 19 Apr 2023US$4.4tUS$2.9tUS$81.5b14.2x53.9x1.5x
Price to Earnings Ratio

53.9x


Total Market Cap: US$4.4tTotal Earnings: US$81.5bTotal Revenue: US$2.9tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Price to Earnings3Y Average 35.9x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Consumer Discretionary industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 35.9x.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PS ratio of 1.9x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 35% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 7.9% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary sector?

US Market3.31%
Consumer Discretionary5.06%
General Merchandise and Department Stores10.95%
Retail Distributors5.92%
Consumer Durables4.82%
Luxury4.56%
Specialty Stores3.12%
Leisure2.75%
Auto Components2.66%
Hospitality1.38%
Online Retail and Ecommerce0%0
Consumer Services-1.62%
Auto-2.38%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Luxury industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 28.6x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 18.4%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 14.4% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Auto industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 35% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 36% per year.
  • In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 7.1% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
AMZN Amazon.comUS$238.3813.6%
+US$311.7b		28.9%PE33x
HD Home DepotUS$337.344.9%
+US$15.7b		-4.7%PE23.7x
BABA Alibaba Group HoldingUS$127.334.3%
+US$11.8b		18.2%PE21x
LOW Lowe's CompaniesUS$244.225.7%
+US$7.4b		10.8%PE20.6x
SBUX StarbucksUS$96.606.9%
+US$7.1b		13.1%PE80.4x

Latest News

AMZN
US$238.38
Amazon.com
7D
13.6%
1Y
28.9%
MAR
US$354.10
Marriott International
7D
6.7%
1Y
57.2%

MAR: Future Outlook Will Balance Buybacks With Expanding Luxury Wellness Resort Platform

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Marriott International slightly higher from $356.12 to $356.92, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and forward P/E assumptions. What's in the News Marriott plans a joint venture with the Leali family to bring luxury wellness brand Lefay into its portfolio, with Lefay positioned as the first brand in the group focused exclusively on luxury wellness hospitality, including two existing Italian resorts and a pipeline of three additional properties in Tuscany, Southern Italy, and the Swiss Alps (Key Developments).
DASH
US$152.58
DoorDash
7D
-2.5%
1Y
-15.5%
BABA
US$127.33
Alibaba Group Holding
7D
4.3%
1Y
18.2%

BABA: AI Agents And Chips Will Drive Future Cloud Monetization

Alibaba Group Holding's fair value estimate has been adjusted slightly higher to about $189.70 per share, as analysts factor in updated assumptions on growth, margins, and future P/E, while also incorporating a recent wave of mixed price target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alibaba Group Holding points to a split view, with several firms revising price targets and ratings while reassessing execution, growth priorities, and balance sheet trends.
MCD
US$305.68
McDonald's
7D
-0.5%
1Y
-1.4%
LOW
US$244.22
Lowe's Companies
7D
5.7%
1Y
10.8%

LOW: Q4 Execution And AI Shopping Tools Will Support Housing Cycle Upside

The analyst price target for Lowe's Companies is modestly lower at $285.58, down from $286.18, as analysts weigh recent Q4 earnings strength and market share gains against more cautious FY26 guidance and near term margin pressure. Analyst Commentary Recent research views around Lowe's are mixed, with many firms lifting price targets on the back of Q4 execution and market share gains, while others trim targets or stay cautious given FY26 guidance and margin pressure.
NKE
US$42.62
NIKE
7D
-3.6%
1Y
-21.6%
VFS
US$4.19
VinFast Auto
7D
-7.7%
1Y
44.0%

VFS: Future Premium EV Lineup And Margins Will Support Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on VinFast Auto slightly, with fair value moving from $6.38 to $6.30 as they factor in a higher future P/E of about 118x and a modest adjustment to projected profit margins. What's in the News VinFast highlighted the VF 9 as a fully electric, three row SUV with all wheel drive, up to 402 horsepower and a rated range of up to 518 kilometres per full charge.
TSLA
US$348.95
Tesla
7D
-3.2%
1Y
38.3%

Tesla: Three Scenarios, Zero Upside

Apr 07
ULTA
US$520.38
Ulta Beauty
7D
-3.2%
1Y
44.0%
BKNG
US$173.46
Booking Holdings
7D
3.4%
1Y
-5.5%

BKNG: AI Disruption Fears Should Ease As Agentic Tools Mature

Analysts have trimmed Booking Holdings' blended fair value estimate marginally to about $5,800 per share. This reflects a slightly higher discount rate and modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin, and forward P/E assumptions as they weigh strong Q4 execution against mixed price target revisions and ongoing AI related debate around the OTA model.
HD
US$337.34
Home Depot
7D
4.9%
1Y
-4.7%

HD: Pro Ecosystem And AI Tools Will Support Post Storm Demand Recovery

The analyst price target for Home Depot has been nudged lower by about $2 to reflect a fair value update to $408.18, as analysts factor in a slightly higher discount rate, modest tweaks to long term revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and updated P/E expectations following a wave of recent Q4 driven target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Home Depot clusters around a constructive view on long term earnings power, balanced by some caution on the near term macro backdrop and valuation after the Q4 run up.
SBUX
US$96.60
Starbucks
7D
6.9%
1Y
13.1%
PDD
US$100.17
PDD Holdings
7D
-0.7%
1Y
10.7%

PDD: Future Returns Will Depend On Regulatory Outcomes And Margin Volatility

Analysts reduced their price target on PDD Holdings by $28 to reflect a lower fair value estimate of $110.11, incorporating updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher forward P/E multiple following recent regulatory developments and mixed research views. Analyst Commentary Recent research on PDD Holdings presents a mixed picture, with some firms turning more cautious while others still see upside potential.
HLT
US$323.43
Hilton Worldwide Holdings
7D
6.1%
1Y
52.3%
FIVE
US$217.37
Five Below
7D
-7.7%
1Y
259.5%

FIVE: Higher Margin Outlook Under New Leadership Will Support Repricing

The analyst fair value estimate for Five Below has shifted from $125.00 to $305.00. This change reflects a series of higher Street price targets that generally cite assumptions of stronger revenue growth, higher profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple under current management.