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U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis

UpdatedMar 20, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies793
  • 7D-1.0%
  • 3M-12.3%
  • 1Y8.1%
  • YTD-10.3%

Over the last 7 days, the Consumer Discretionary industry has dropped 2.5%, driven by a pullback from Tesla of 3.7%. Meanwhile, Coupang actually outperformed within the industry, gaining 7.0% in the last week. This takes the industry's 12 month performance to a gain of 10.0%. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 20% annually.

Sector Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Fri, 20 Mar 2026US$7.0tUS$3.6tUS$199.5b18.6x35.2x1.9x
Sun, 15 Feb 2026US$7.4tUS$3.6tUS$207.6b20.3x35.6x2.1x
Tue, 13 Jan 2026US$8.0tUS$3.6tUS$221.6b19.8x36.1x2.3x
Thu, 11 Dec 2025US$7.7tUS$3.6tUS$222.0b19.3x34.5x2.2x
Sat, 08 Nov 2025US$7.7tUS$3.5tUS$223.5b17.9x34.6x2.2x
Mon, 06 Oct 2025US$7.8tUS$3.5tUS$220.9b19.5x35.1x2.2x
Wed, 03 Sep 2025US$7.4tUS$3.5tUS$221.8b20.4x33.3x2.1x
Fri, 01 Aug 2025US$7.0tUS$3.4tUS$211.4b18.5x33.2x2.1x
Sun, 29 Jun 2025US$6.9tUS$3.4tUS$216.2b18x31.8x2x
Tue, 27 May 2025US$6.6tUS$3.4tUS$220.2b17x30.2x1.9x
Thu, 24 Apr 2025US$5.9tUS$3.4tUS$210.6b16.2x27.8x1.7x
Sat, 22 Mar 2025US$6.3tUS$3.4tUS$211.8b16.7x29.5x1.8x
Mon, 17 Feb 2025US$7.3tUS$3.4tUS$205.0b18.6x35.5x2.2x
Wed, 15 Jan 2025US$6.9tUS$3.3tUS$201.8b18.4x34.4x2.1x
Fri, 13 Dec 2024US$7.4tUS$3.3tUS$201.0b19.5x36.8x2.2x
Sun, 10 Nov 2024US$6.4tUS$3.2tUS$180.7b18.9x35.2x2x
Tue, 08 Oct 2024US$5.9tUS$3.2tUS$178.8b17.9x33x1.9x
Thu, 05 Sep 2024US$5.4tUS$3.2tUS$177.2b17.2x30.5x1.7x
Sat, 03 Aug 2024US$5.5tUS$3.2tUS$174.7b16.8x31.3x1.7x
Mon, 01 Jul 2024US$5.5tUS$3.1tUS$167.2b17.4x33x1.8x
Wed, 29 May 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$167.9b18.1x32.1x1.7x
Fri, 26 Apr 2024US$5.2tUS$3.1tUS$159.9b16.7x32.5x1.7x
Sun, 24 Mar 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$159.5b17.5x33.6x1.7x
Tue, 20 Feb 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$152.0b18.1x34.8x1.7x
Thu, 18 Jan 2024US$5.0tUS$3.1tUS$141.6b16.8x35.5x1.6x
Sat, 16 Dec 2023US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$139.6b17.1x37.9x1.7x
Mon, 13 Nov 2023US$4.8tUS$3.0tUS$131.1b14.9x36.3x1.6x
Wed, 11 Oct 2023US$4.8tUS$3.0tUS$113.8b15.1x42x1.6x
Fri, 08 Sep 2023US$4.9tUS$3.0tUS$112.2b15.5x44x1.7x
Sun, 06 Aug 2023US$5.1tUS$3.0tUS$110.5b16.3x46.1x1.7x
Tue, 04 Jul 2023US$5.0tUS$2.9tUS$99.8b15x49.8x1.7x
Thu, 01 Jun 2023US$4.4tUS$2.9tUS$99.4b13.3x44x1.5x
Sat, 29 Apr 2023US$4.3tUS$2.9tUS$87.9b13.8x49.2x1.5x
Mon, 27 Mar 2023US$4.2tUS$2.9tUS$81.0b13.3x52.3x1.5x
Price to Earnings Ratio

52.3x


Total Market Cap: US$4.2tTotal Earnings: US$81.0bTotal Revenue: US$2.9tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Price to Earnings3Y Average 36.2x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Consumer Discretionary industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 36.2x.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PS ratio of 1.9x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 36% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 7.6% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary sector?

US Market-0.66%
Consumer Discretionary-0.95%
Hospitality1.70%
Consumer Services0.89%
Luxury0.44%
Online Retail and Ecommerce0%0
General Merchandise and Department Stores-0.60%
Auto Components-0.97%
Consumer Durables-1.39%
Leisure-1.60%
Specialty Stores-1.61%
Auto-2.54%
Retail Distributors-4.35%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Luxury industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 28.6x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 18.5%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 14.4% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Leisure industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 35% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 36% per year.
  • In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 7.0% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
AMZN Amazon.comUS$208.760.5%
+US$11.7b		6.4%PE28.9x
BKNG Booking HoldingsUS$4.29k1.8%
+US$2.4b		-6.4%PE25.2x
MAR Marriott InternationalUS$324.892.7%
+US$2.3b		32.7%PE33.1x
ABNB AirbnbUS$130.792.4%
+US$1.9b		3.7%PE31.2x
VIK Viking HoldingsUS$71.475.4%
+US$1.6b		78.8%PE27.8x

Latest News

LOW
US$229.71
Lowe's Companies
7D
-4.1%
1Y
1.5%
BABA
US$124.90
Alibaba Group Holding
7D
-6.9%
1Y
-8.8%
RCL
US$272.00
Royal Caribbean Cruises
7D
2.1%
1Y
26.7%
SBUX
US$95.83
Starbucks
7D
-4.3%
1Y
-3.5%

SBUX: Balanced Risk Reward As Turnaround Execution And Margins Guide Future Performance

Analysts have adjusted the Starbucks fair value estimate from $95.06 to $99.94, reflecting slightly lower revenue growth assumptions, higher expected margins, and a similar future P/E, with recent price target shifts and mixed ratings pointing to a more balanced risk and reward profile at current levels. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture for Starbucks, with price targets clustered around the high US$80s to low US$110s and a growing number of neutral or peer perform ratings.
VIK
US$71.47
Viking Holdings
7D
5.4%
1Y
78.8%

VIK: New Partnerships And Itineraries Will Support A Stronger Forward Outlook

Analysts have increased their price target on Viking Holdings by about $1.80 per share, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Viking took delivery of the Viking Eldir, a 190 guest Longship built at Meyer’s Neptun Werft in Germany.
HD
US$328.21
Home Depot
7D
-3.2%
1Y
-7.7%
PDD
US$97.43
PDD Holdings
7D
-4.1%
1Y
-25.6%
AZO
US$3,341.58
AutoZone
7D
-7.5%
1Y
-6.5%

AZO: DIFM Momentum And Weather Recovery Are Expected To Drive Returns

AutoZone's updated fair value estimate edges up to $4,225.38 from $4,205.75. This reflects analysts' slightly higher long term profit margin and P/E assumptions, even as they weigh recent mixed same store sales trends and weather related volatility against improving DIFM momentum and easing cost pressures.
CCL
US$24.94
Carnival Corporation &
7D
4.3%
1Y
17.6%

CCL: Strong Cruise Demand And New Dividend Are Expected To Support Upside

Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Carnival Corporation & to $37.70 from $38.00 as higher discount rates and fuel cost headwinds offset steady expectations for cruise demand and profitability. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Carnival Corporation & reflects a mix of optimism on demand and profitability, set against caution around fuel costs, geopolitical risks and valuation expectations.
TSLA
US$380.30
Tesla
7D
-2.8%
1Y
52.9%

TSLA: AI And Energy Bets Will Confront Auto And Autonomy Execution Risks

Narrative Update: Tesla The updated analyst price target for Tesla shifts slightly to about $422, as analysts factor in modest adjustments to revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and a somewhat higher discount rate. This comes alongside mixed but generally constructive research that highlights Tesla's role in autonomous driving and energy, while acknowledging execution and cost risks.
MCD
US$309.58
McDonald's
7D
-4.4%
1Y
0.8%

MCD: Value Repositioning And Digital Efficiencies Are Expected To Support Breakout Potential

Analysts have nudged our McDonald's fair value estimate higher from $341.28 to $344.09. This reflects their higher Street price targets that point to the brand's global reach, franchise model, operational efficiencies, and steady U.S. business momentum.
MAR
US$324.89
Marriott International
7D
2.7%
1Y
32.7%

MAR: Future Outlook Will Balance Buybacks With Expanding Midscale And Resort Footprint

Analysts have nudged their price target for Marriott International higher to $354.84 from $353.76, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Several banks, including Scotia Capital (USA) Inc., HSBC Securities (USA) Inc., BofA Securities, Inc., U.S. Bancorp Investments, Inc., J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, and Truist Securities, Inc., have been added as co lead underwriters for Marriott International, Inc.'s US$594.462m fixed income offering (Key Developments).
ABNB
US$130.79
Airbnb
7D
2.4%
1Y
3.7%
EXPE
US$239.41
Expedia Group
7D
5.2%
1Y
38.3%

EXPE: B2B Strength And AI Risk Reset Will Support 2026 Upside

Analysts have modestly revised our Expedia Group fair value estimate higher to $366.92 per share, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profitability and sector wide P/E multiples, following a broad reset of Street price targets that mostly cluster in the $225 to $360 range with Neutral or equivalent ratings. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Expedia Group has centered on recalibrated price targets, mostly paired with Neutral or equivalent ratings, and a tighter range of fundamental expectations following the latest Q4 update and 2026 outlook.
AMZN
US$208.76
Amazon.com
7D
0.5%
1Y
6.4%

AMZN: AI Cloud Partnerships Will Support Future Cash Flow Resilience

Analysts have made a minor reduction to their Amazon.com price target, reflecting slightly higher discount rates. They continue to point to ongoing support from AWS-focused research, AI-related capital expenditure commentary, and views that Amazon's e-commerce and advertising businesses remain relatively well positioned against AI disintermediation risks.
BKNG
US$4,294.29
Booking Holdings
7D
1.8%
1Y
-6.4%

BKNG: AI Relief And Solid Travel Demand Will Support Future Cash Generation

Our updated analyst price target for Booking Holdings edges slightly lower to $5,816 from $5,874 as analysts factor in a modestly lower fair value and P/E, alongside slightly higher revenue growth and profit margin expectations. This outlook is supported by research that highlights resilient OTA fundamentals and easing AI disintermediation concerns following the reported ChatGPT checkout pivot.