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U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis

UpdatedFeb 02, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies791
  • 7D-2.0%
  • 3M-4.0%
  • 1Y2.9%
  • YTD1.3%

Over the last 7 days, the Consumer Discretionary industry has dropped 2.0%, driven by pullbacks in Home Depot and Carvana of 3.1% and 15%, respectively. Over the last year, the industry has been flat overall. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 20% annually.

Sector Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Mon, 02 Feb 2026US$7.9tUS$3.6tUS$218.5b19.3x36.1x2.2x
Wed, 31 Dec 2025US$7.7tUS$3.6tUS$221.5b18.9x34.9x2.2x
Fri, 28 Nov 2025US$7.6tUS$3.6tUS$221.3b18.6x34.2x2.1x
Sun, 26 Oct 2025US$7.7tUS$3.5tUS$222.7b19x34.8x2.2x
Tue, 23 Sep 2025US$7.9tUS$3.5tUS$220.8b20x35.6x2.3x
Thu, 21 Aug 2025US$7.2tUS$3.5tUS$217.3b19.8x33x2.1x
Sat, 19 Jul 2025US$7.0tUS$3.4tUS$215.6b18.7x32.4x2x
Mon, 16 Jun 2025US$6.7tUS$3.4tUS$217.6b17.3x30.6x1.9x
Wed, 14 May 2025US$6.8tUS$3.4tUS$219.1b17.9x30.8x2x
Fri, 11 Apr 2025US$5.9tUS$3.4tUS$211.6b15.4x28x1.7x
Sun, 09 Mar 2025US$6.5tUS$3.4tUS$214.3b17.6x30.3x1.9x
Tue, 04 Feb 2025US$7.4tUS$3.3tUS$193.3b18.8x38.2x2.2x
Thu, 02 Jan 2025US$7.0tUS$3.3tUS$201.5b18.3x34.9x2.1x
Sat, 30 Nov 2024US$6.9tUS$3.3tUS$199.9b19.3x34.6x2.1x
Mon, 28 Oct 2024US$5.9tUS$3.2tUS$179.8b17.9x32.9x1.9x
Wed, 25 Sep 2024US$5.9tUS$3.2tUS$177.8b17.9x33x1.8x
Fri, 23 Aug 2024US$5.6tUS$3.2tUS$173.5b17.5x32.2x1.8x
Sun, 21 Jul 2024US$5.6tUS$3.1tUS$167.3b17.7x33.3x1.8x
Tue, 18 Jun 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$167.8b17.8x32x1.7x
Thu, 16 May 2024US$5.5tUS$3.1tUS$164.3b18.3x33.3x1.8x
Sat, 13 Apr 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$160.5b17.4x33.7x1.8x
Mon, 11 Mar 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$155.6b16.7x33.9x1.7x
Wed, 07 Feb 2024US$5.2tUS$3.1tUS$159.9b17.2x32.3x1.7x
Fri, 05 Jan 2024US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$141.4b17.4x36x1.7x
Sun, 03 Dec 2023US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$139.4b16.1x36.5x1.7x
Tue, 31 Oct 2023US$4.5tUS$3.0tUS$121.6b14.3x36.8x1.5x
Thu, 28 Sep 2023US$4.6tUS$3.0tUS$112.2b14.9x41.3x1.6x
Sat, 26 Aug 2023US$4.8tUS$3.0tUS$112.3b15.4x42.7x1.6x
Mon, 24 Jul 2023US$5.0tUS$2.9tUS$100.4b15.5x49.6x1.7x
Wed, 21 Jun 2023US$4.8tUS$2.9tUS$98.8b14.8x49x1.7x
Fri, 19 May 2023US$4.4tUS$2.9tUS$99.9b14.1x43.8x1.5x
Sun, 16 Apr 2023US$4.4tUS$2.9tUS$81.6b14.1x53.4x1.5x
Tue, 14 Mar 2023US$4.3tUS$3.1tUS$87.1b13.4x49.1x1.4x
Thu, 09 Feb 2023US$4.8tUS$3.1tUS$86.7b13.4x55.3x1.6x
Price to Earnings Ratio

55.3x


Total Market Cap: US$4.8tTotal Earnings: US$86.7bTotal Revenue: US$3.1tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Price to Earnings3Y Average 36.9x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Consumer Discretionary industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 36.9x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.8x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 2.2x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 36% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 4.9% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary sector?

US Market-0.23%
Consumer Discretionary-2.01%
Online Retail and Ecommerce0%0
Consumer Services-0.59%
General Merchandise and Department Stores-0.66%
Retail Distributors-0.94%
Hospitality-1.40%
Leisure-2.00%
Luxury-2.79%
Consumer Durables-2.80%
Auto-3.58%
Specialty Stores-3.66%
Auto Components-4.14%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Auto industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 124x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 35.2%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 31.5% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Leisure industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 47% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 23% per year.
  • In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 7.5% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
TSLA TeslaUS$430.41-1.1%
US$167.7b		12.2%PE425.7x
AMZN Amazon.comUS$239.300.4%
+US$9.4b		0.8%PE33.4x
RCL Royal Caribbean CruisesUS$324.6510.7%
+US$7.8b		24.5%PE20.6x
CCL Carnival Corporation &US$30.024.7%
+US$3.8b		11.0%PE15x
DECK Deckers OutdoorUS$119.3417.8%
+US$2.6b		-30.1%PE16.7x

Latest News

TSLA
US$430.41
Tesla
7D
-1.1%
1Y
12.2%
DECK
US$119.34
Deckers Outdoor
7D
17.8%
1Y
-30.1%
GM
US$84.00
General Motors
7D
5.8%
1Y
75.4%
LVS
US$52.73
Las Vegas Sands
7D
-13.4%
1Y
17.4%
HD
US$374.59
Home Depot
7D
-3.1%
1Y
-8.4%
RCL
US$324.65
Royal Caribbean Cruises
7D
10.7%
1Y
24.5%
SBUX
US$91.95
Starbucks
7D
-4.5%
1Y
-15.0%
CCL
US$30.02
Carnival Corporation &
7D
4.7%
1Y
11.0%
AMZN
US$239.30
Amazon.com
7D
0.4%
1Y
0.8%
F
US$13.88
Ford Motor
7D
3.3%
1Y
40.3%
MCD
US$315.00
McDonald's
7D
0.7%
1Y
8.6%
SE
US$116.49
Sea
7D
-7.5%
1Y
-4.4%

SE: Future Upside Will Stem From Fintech And Share Repurchases

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Sea to about $190 from roughly $191, reflecting updated discount rate and P/E assumptions after mixed price target moves. These changes highlight solid Q3 execution, as well as ongoing investment and profitability trade offs.
CVNA
US$401.11
Carvana
7D
-15.3%
1Y
59.4%

CVNA: TAM Expansion And S&P 500 Inclusion Will Shape Future Execution Risk

Analysts have lifted their implied fair value for Carvana by about $62 per share to roughly $481, citing a higher assumed future P/E multiple and an improved profit margin outlook, supported by recent price target increases and total addressable market expansion themes across several research notes. Analyst Commentary Bullish and cautious views on Carvana are both coming through in recent research, and they often tie back to how much value analysts see in the company’s expansion efforts and its ability to execute against that opportunity.
PDD
US$101.05
PDD Holdings
7D
-5.4%
1Y
-4.0%

PDD: Regulatory Clarity And Resilient Margins Will Drive Future Repricing

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for PDD Holdings higher to about $185 from roughly $174, reflecting updated assumptions around a higher future P/E multiple and slightly stronger profit margins after recent regulatory clarity in China and mixed but resilient quarterly results. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on PDD Holdings has been mixed, with some firms taking a more cautious stance on the domestic business while others focus on execution, resilience to regulatory changes, and updated valuation frameworks.
NKE
US$61.81
NIKE
7D
-4.9%
1Y
-19.3%

Nike - A Fundamental and Historical Valuation

Business Overview Key Metrics Total: 7/17 +1 ✅ Projected Operating Margin: 13.65% +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Revenue CAGR: 5.88% +1 ✅ Last 5-Year ROIC: 18.60% +1 ✅ Estimated Cost of Capital: 11.54% (less than ROIC) +1 ✅ Last 5-Year Shares Outstanding CAGR: -1.28% +1 ✅ Projected 5-Year EPS CAGR: 16.37% +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Dividend CAGR: 9.13% +1 ✅ Moody's Rating: A2 +2 ✅✅ Morningstar Moat: Wide -1 ❌ Morningstar Uncertainty: High Nike runs with a solid operating margin above the ~10% mark showing it still has some competitive advantage over competitors even with the maturity of its business and a highly competitive industry. Despite currently having revenue growth below the economy growth rate, its projections point to a slightly higher than economy growth rate of ~5-6% over the next couple of years.
LOW
US$267.06
Lowe's Companies
7D
-3.9%
1Y
4.1%

LOW: Lock-In Housing And AI Tools Will Support Gradual Home Improvement Recovery

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Lowe's Companies has been raised by about US$5 to reflect slightly higher modeled fair value, modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions, as analysts point to valuation, pent up demand in home improvement and a healthier mix across do it yourself and pro customers as key supports for the update. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Lowe's highlights a mix of optimism around long term home improvement demand and caution around near term earnings visibility, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings after the latest results and outlook updates.