Investing IdeasBrowse All StocksMarkets
Have your own idea? Try our Stock Screener
Header cover image

U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis

UpdatedFeb 03, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies792
  • 7D-1.4%
  • 3M-2.3%
  • 1Y3.9%
  • YTD1.8%

Over the last 7 days, the Consumer Discretionary industry has dropped 1.4%, driven by Amazon.com declining 0.7%. This takes the industry's 12 month performance to a gain of 3.9%. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 20% per annum.

Sector Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Tue, 03 Feb 2026US$7.9tUS$3.6tUS$218.4b19.7x36.2x2.2x
Thu, 01 Jan 2026US$7.7tUS$3.6tUS$221.5b18.7x34.8x2.2x
Sat, 29 Nov 2025US$7.6tUS$3.6tUS$221.4b18.5x34.5x2.1x
Mon, 27 Oct 2025US$7.7tUS$3.5tUS$222.7b19x34.7x2.2x
Wed, 24 Sep 2025US$7.8tUS$3.5tUS$220.8b19.9x35.4x2.2x
Fri, 22 Aug 2025US$7.1tUS$3.5tUS$217.5b19.7x32.5x2x
Sun, 20 Jul 2025US$7.0tUS$3.4tUS$215.7b18.7x32.3x2x
Tue, 17 Jun 2025US$6.7tUS$3.4tUS$217.6b17.6x30.6x1.9x
Thu, 15 May 2025US$6.9tUS$3.4tUS$219.1b18.1x31.3x2x
Sat, 12 Apr 2025US$5.8tUS$3.4tUS$211.8b15.7x27.3x1.7x
Mon, 10 Mar 2025US$6.5tUS$3.4tUS$214.3b17.6x30.3x1.9x
Wed, 05 Feb 2025US$7.3tUS$3.3tUS$193.5b19.3x37.5x2.2x
Fri, 03 Jan 2025US$7.0tUS$3.3tUS$201.5b18.2x34.9x2.1x
Sun, 01 Dec 2024US$6.9tUS$3.3tUS$199.8b19.3x34.5x2.1x
Tue, 29 Oct 2024US$5.9tUS$3.2tUS$179.8b18.3x33x1.9x
Thu, 26 Sep 2024US$5.9tUS$3.2tUS$177.8b17.7x33.4x1.9x
Sat, 24 Aug 2024US$5.5tUS$3.2tUS$173.7b17.6x31.6x1.7x
Mon, 22 Jul 2024US$5.6tUS$3.1tUS$167.4b17.7x33.3x1.8x
Wed, 19 Jun 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$167.9b17.7x32.4x1.7x
Fri, 17 May 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$164.8b18.3x33x1.8x
Sun, 14 Apr 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$160.5b17.4x33.7x1.8x
Tue, 12 Mar 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$155.6b16.9x33.8x1.7x
Thu, 08 Feb 2024US$5.2tUS$3.1tUS$157.3b17.1x32.8x1.7x
Sat, 06 Jan 2024US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$141.5b17.5x35.9x1.7x
Mon, 04 Dec 2023US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$139.4b16.1x36.5x1.7x
Wed, 01 Nov 2023US$4.5tUS$3.0tUS$120.8b14.6x37.3x1.5x
Fri, 29 Sep 2023US$4.7tUS$3.0tUS$112.2b15.1x41.7x1.6x
Sun, 27 Aug 2023US$4.8tUS$3.0tUS$112.3b15.4x42.7x1.6x
Tue, 25 Jul 2023US$5.0tUS$2.9tUS$100.4b15.6x50x1.7x
Thu, 22 Jun 2023US$4.8tUS$2.9tUS$98.7b14.6x48.4x1.6x
Sat, 20 May 2023US$4.3tUS$2.9tUS$99.0b13.9x43.7x1.5x
Mon, 17 Apr 2023US$4.4tUS$2.9tUS$81.1b14x53.8x1.5x
Wed, 15 Mar 2023US$4.3tUS$3.1tUS$86.7b13.3x49.5x1.4x
Fri, 10 Feb 2023US$4.8tUS$3.1tUS$86.2b13.4x55.6x1.6x
Price to Earnings Ratio

55.6x


Total Market Cap: US$4.8tTotal Earnings: US$86.2bTotal Revenue: US$3.1tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Price to Earnings3Y Average 36.9x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Consumer Discretionary industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 36.9x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.8x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 2.2x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 36% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 5.0% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary sector?

US Market-0.35%
Consumer Discretionary-1.37%
Consumer Services1.30%
Leisure0.41%
Hospitality0.34%
Online Retail and Ecommerce0%0
Retail Distributors-0.79%
General Merchandise and Department Stores-1.33%
Luxury-1.35%
Consumer Durables-1.55%
Auto-1.82%
Specialty Stores-2.19%
Auto Components-2.91%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Auto industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 124x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 33.7%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 31.5% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Leisure industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 47% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 23% per year.
  • In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 7.9% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
TSLA TeslaUS$421.81-2.1%
US$149.7b		7.5%PE417.2x
RCL Royal Caribbean CruisesUS$334.0514.0%
+US$10.4b		28.1%PE21.2x
CCL Carnival Corporation &US$32.4513.2%
+US$7.2b		20.0%PE16.3x
MCD McDonald'sUS$318.531.8%
+US$4.0b		9.8%PE27x
VIK Viking HoldingsUS$75.708.6%
+US$2.7b		51.0%PE35.8x

Latest News

CCL
US$32.45
Carnival Corporation &
7D
13.2%
1Y
20.0%

Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With Carnival Corporation &'s (NYSE:CCL) Earnings

Feb 03
Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With Carnival Corporation &'s (NYSE:CCL) Earnings
F
US$13.81
Ford Motor
7D
2.8%
1Y
39.6%
GM
US$84.27
General Motors
7D
6.1%
1Y
75.9%
RCL
US$334.05
Royal Caribbean Cruises
7D
14.0%
1Y
28.1%
TSLA
US$421.81
Tesla
7D
-2.1%
1Y
7.5%

TSLA: AI And Autonomy Bets Will Test Weak Auto Fundamentals

Analysts have nudged their Tesla price targets higher to around US$419 from about US$391, reflecting updated models that apply a richer future P/E assumption, even as they factor in more conservative revenue growth and profit margin expectations, alongside a slightly lower discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Tesla shows a wide spread of opinions, even as many firms revisit their price targets and long term assumptions.
DECK
US$116.25
Deckers Outdoor
7D
14.8%
1Y
-31.9%
HD
US$378.12
Home Depot
7D
-2.2%
1Y
-7.5%
SBUX
US$91.69
Starbucks
7D
-4.8%
1Y
-15.2%
AMZN
US$242.96
Amazon.com
7D
-0.7%
1Y
0.4%
MCD
US$318.53
McDonald's
7D
1.8%
1Y
9.8%
BABA
US$168.39
Alibaba Group Holding
7D
-1.7%
1Y
70.8%

BABA: Cloud And AI Execution Will Drive Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power

Alibaba's fair value estimate edges higher to about $196.46, with analysts pointing to stronger modeled cloud and AI demand, along with updated price targets that reflect both rising capital expenditure in cloud and more moderate growth in retail revenue. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alibaba highlights a split view, with some bullish analysts focusing on cloud and AI execution, while more cautious voices focus on spending levels and retail trends.
SE
US$113.59
Sea
7D
-9.8%
1Y
-6.8%

SE: Future Upside Will Stem From Fintech And Share Repurchases

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Sea to about $190 from roughly $191, reflecting updated discount rate and P/E assumptions after mixed price target moves. These changes highlight solid Q3 execution, as well as ongoing investment and profitability trade offs.
CVNA
US$407.89
Carvana
7D
-13.9%
1Y
62.1%

CVNA: TAM Expansion And S&P 500 Inclusion Will Shape Future Execution Risk

Analysts have lifted their implied fair value for Carvana by about $62 per share to roughly $481, citing a higher assumed future P/E multiple and an improved profit margin outlook, supported by recent price target increases and total addressable market expansion themes across several research notes. Analyst Commentary Bullish and cautious views on Carvana are both coming through in recent research, and they often tie back to how much value analysts see in the company’s expansion efforts and its ability to execute against that opportunity.
MELI
US$2,147.22
MercadoLibre
7D
-6.4%
1Y
9.2%

MELI: Argentina De Risking Will Support Upside Despite Brazilian E Commerce Pressures

Narrative Update The updated analyst fair value estimate for MercadoLibre has moved from about $3,406 to roughly $3,285. This reflects a slightly higher discount rate and more measured assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, in line with recent Street research where analysts have modestly adjusted price targets while weighing Argentina de risking against a more competitive Brazilian e commerce backdrop.
VIK
US$75.70
Viking Holdings
7D
8.6%
1Y
51.0%

VIK: Future Profitability Assumptions Will Likely Remain Too Optimistic

Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Viking Holdings at US$59.00, with updated assumptions that include slight changes to revenue growth, profit margin, discount rate, and future P/E expectations that support the revised price target rationale. What's in the News Viking and the PGA TOUR entered a new multi-year marketing partnership that names Viking as the Official Cruise Line of the PGA TOUR and PGA TOUR Champions, with the agreement currently running through 2030 (Key Developments).
LOW
US$269.06
Lowe's Companies
7D
-3.2%
1Y
4.9%

LOW: Lock-In Housing And AI Tools Will Support Gradual Home Improvement Recovery

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Lowe's Companies has been raised by about US$5 to reflect slightly higher modeled fair value, modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions, as analysts point to valuation, pent up demand in home improvement and a healthier mix across do it yourself and pro customers as key supports for the update. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Lowe's highlights a mix of optimism around long term home improvement demand and caution around near term earnings visibility, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings after the latest results and outlook updates.