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U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis

UpdatedJan 21, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies802
  • 7D-4.7%
  • 3M-0.5%
  • 1Y2.6%
  • YTD-0.04%

Over the last 7 days, the Consumer Discretionary industry has dropped 4.7%, driven by Amazon.com declining 2.9%. Over the last year, the industry has been flat overall. Earnings are forecast to grow by 20% annually.

Sector Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Thu, 22 Jan 2026US$7.6tUS$3.6tUS$221.4b19.6x34.4x2.1x
Sat, 20 Dec 2025US$7.8tUS$3.6tUS$220.8b19.6x35.2x2.2x
Mon, 17 Nov 2025US$7.5tUS$3.5tUS$221.4b18x33.8x2.1x
Wed, 15 Oct 2025US$7.6tUS$3.5tUS$220.7b18.2x34.2x2.2x
Fri, 12 Sep 2025US$7.5tUS$3.5tUS$222.0b20.1x33.8x2.2x
Sun, 10 Aug 2025US$7.0tUS$3.4tUS$217.8b18.8x32.1x2x
Tue, 08 Jul 2025US$7.0tUS$3.4tUS$216.1b18.7x32.2x2x
Thu, 05 Jun 2025US$6.7tUS$3.4tUS$217.5b17.4x31x2x
Sat, 03 May 2025US$6.1tUS$3.4tUS$213.9b16.7x28.7x1.8x
Mon, 31 Mar 2025US$6.2tUS$3.4tUS$211.9b16.4x29.2x1.8x
Wed, 26 Feb 2025US$6.9tUS$3.4tUS$210.9b18.7x32.9x2x
Fri, 24 Jan 2025US$7.3tUS$3.3tUS$202.1b18.9x36.1x2.2x
Sun, 22 Dec 2024US$7.2tUS$3.3tUS$200.7b18.2x35.7x2.1x
Tue, 19 Nov 2024US$6.6tUS$3.4tUS$197.7b18.1x33.6x2x
Thu, 17 Oct 2024US$5.8tUS$3.2tUS$178.4b18.3x32.6x1.8x
Sat, 14 Sep 2024US$5.6tUS$3.2tUS$177.5b17.3x31.6x1.8x
Mon, 12 Aug 2024US$5.2tUS$3.2tUS$172.9b17x30.2x1.7x
Wed, 10 Jul 2024US$5.7tUS$3.1tUS$167.3b17x34.3x1.8x
Fri, 07 Jun 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$168.0b18x32.4x1.7x
Sun, 05 May 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$166.4b17.4x32.7x1.8x
Tue, 02 Apr 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$160.4b18.4x33.8x1.8x
Thu, 29 Feb 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$154.3b17.7x34.9x1.8x
Sat, 27 Jan 2024US$5.0tUS$3.1tUS$146.5b17.4x34.4x1.6x
Mon, 25 Dec 2023US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$141.3b17.7x37.6x1.7x
Wed, 22 Nov 2023US$4.9tUS$3.0tUS$138.3b15.6x35.7x1.6x
Fri, 20 Oct 2023US$4.5tUS$3.0tUS$113.0b14.7x40.2x1.5x
Sun, 17 Sep 2023US$5.0tUS$3.0tUS$112.5b15.1x44.6x1.7x
Tue, 15 Aug 2023US$5.0tUS$3.0tUS$112.6b16.1x44.4x1.7x
Thu, 13 Jul 2023US$5.0tUS$2.9tUS$99.9b15.6x50.5x1.7x
Sat, 10 Jun 2023US$4.7tUS$2.9tUS$99.3b14.3x47.1x1.6x
Mon, 08 May 2023US$4.2tUS$2.9tUS$92.4b14.2x45.8x1.4x
Wed, 05 Apr 2023US$4.4tUS$2.9tUS$81.6b13.4x54.4x1.5x
Fri, 03 Mar 2023US$4.5tUS$3.1tUS$86.9b13.8x51.8x1.5x
Sun, 29 Jan 2023US$4.8tUS$3.0tUS$109.4b13.2x43.9x1.6x
Price to Earnings Ratio

43.9x


Total Market Cap: US$4.8tTotal Earnings: US$109.4bTotal Revenue: US$3.0tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Price to Earnings3Y Average 37x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Consumer Discretionary industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 37.0x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.8x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 2.2x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 26% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 5.3% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary sector?

US Market-2.00%
Consumer Discretionary-4.66%
Online Retail and Ecommerce0%0
Retail Distributors-1.06%
Leisure-1.52%
Specialty Stores-1.84%
Consumer Services-3.20%
Auto Components-3.66%
Consumer Durables-3.84%
General Merchandise and Department Stores-4.64%
Luxury-4.88%
Hospitality-5.72%
Auto-6.26%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Auto industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 119x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 33.2%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 35.3% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Leisure industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 49% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 35% per year.
  • In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 7.5% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
HD Home DepotUS$384.642.3%
+US$8.7b		-6.2%PE26.3x
SBUX StarbucksUS$96.435.8%
+US$6.0b		-1.3%PE59.1x
AZO AutoZoneUS$3.67k5.7%
+US$3.3b		10.4%PE24.7x
ORLY O'Reilly AutomotiveUS$98.784.0%
+US$3.2b		19.4%PE33.6x
LOW Lowe's CompaniesUS$277.110.8%
+US$1.2b		7.4%PE23x

Latest News

TSCO
US$53.17
Tractor Supply
7D
3.9%
1Y
-7.5%

TSCO: New Store Expansion And Outdoor Offerings Will Support Future Upside

Analysts reduced their implied fair value estimate for Tractor Supply from about US$63.15 to US$61.22. They cited slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, a modestly higher discount rate, a small change in forecast profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple in their updated models.
ULTA
US$683.45
Ulta Beauty
7D
3.0%
1Y
63.3%

ULTA: Rising Sector Optimism Will Likely Mask Mounting Margin Investment Risk

Our analyst price target for Ulta Beauty has been lifted from US$477.51 to US$485.43 as analysts factor in stronger top line expectations, a slightly higher future P/E assumption, and broadly supportive recent research that highlights sector optimism and Ulta's execution, even though it requires ongoing investment to address competitive pressures. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Ulta Beauty has centered on higher price targets and refreshed views on the core beauty retail story, with several firms updating their models after company meetings, store visits, and broader sector reviews.
DASH
US$206.48
DoorDash
7D
-3.1%
1Y
16.2%

DASH: Tech Replatforming And AI Investments Will Reshape Margins And Sentiment

Narrative update The analyst price target for DoorDash has been reset lower, with our fair value estimate moving from about $231 to $212 as analysts factor in higher projected revenue growth, slightly softer margin expectations tied to heavier tech and platform investment, and a reduced future P/E multiple, despite broadly constructive research commentary on the company. Analyst Commentary Recent research on DoorDash has been generally constructive, but it also highlights a set of risks that investors should weigh carefully.
CCL
US$28.25
Carnival Corporation &
7D
-6.4%
1Y
11.9%

CCL: Strong Cruise Demand And New Dividend Will Support Multi-Year Earnings Upside

Narrative Update: Carnival Corporation & Analysts have lifted their price target on Carnival Corporation & to about $45, up from roughly $42.50. They cite stronger cruise spending data, firm demand trends, favorable capacity through fiscal 2029, and updated estimates that point to higher revenue growth, slightly better profit margins, and a lower assumed future P/E multiple.
AZO
US$3,671.68
AutoZone
7D
5.7%
1Y
10.4%

AZO: Do It For Me Strength Will Counter Recent Caution On Do It Yourself

Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their AutoZone fair value estimate by about $118 to $4,213, reflecting slightly higher discount rate assumptions, a modestly lower profit margin outlook, and a higher future P/E input following recent price target resets and sector views from major research firms. Analyst Commentary Street research on AutoZone has turned more mixed recently, with some firms trimming price targets while others see an improved risk and reward profile after the stock's pullback.
TSLA
US$431.44
Tesla
7D
-1.8%
1Y
3.9%

TSLA: Autonomy And Robotaxi Progress Will Reshape Long-Term Equity Story

Analysts have nudged their Tesla price targets higher by aligning models with slightly lower discount rates, marginally firmer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple. Recent research highlights both upside tied to full self driving and robotaxi potential, as well as ongoing concerns about auto fundamentals and execution risk.
ORLY
US$98.78
O'Reilly Automotive
7D
4.0%
1Y
19.4%

ORLY: Pricing Tailwinds And Expanded Buybacks Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on O'Reilly Automotive by $5, citing slightly higher discount rate and P/E assumptions, along with recent Street research that includes a modest target cut at Morgan Stanley and an upgrade with supportive pricing commentary at Raymond James. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are highlighting a constructive setup for O'Reilly Automotive, pointing to recent research that balances a modest price target trim against more optimistic rating changes and commentary on pricing.
LOW
US$277.11
Lowe's Companies
7D
0.8%
1Y
7.4%

LOW: Lock-In Housing And AI Tools Will Support Gradual Home Improvement Recovery

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Lowe's Companies has been raised by about US$5 to reflect slightly higher modeled fair value, modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions, as analysts point to valuation, pent up demand in home improvement and a healthier mix across do it yourself and pro customers as key supports for the update. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Lowe's highlights a mix of optimism around long term home improvement demand and caution around near term earnings visibility, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings after the latest results and outlook updates.
WSM
US$215.54
Williams-Sonoma
7D
4.3%
1Y
1.6%
FLUT
US$181.07
Flutter Entertainment
7D
-9.4%
1Y
-32.1%
AMZN
US$231.31
Amazon.com
7D
-2.9%
1Y
-1.7%
SBUX
US$96.43
Starbucks
7D
5.8%
1Y
-1.3%
BABA
US$168.67
Alibaba Group Holding
7D
-0.7%
1Y
95.2%
SE
US$121.13
Sea
7D
-3.3%
1Y
2.3%

SE: Future Share Gains Will Stem From Fintech And Share Repurchase Program

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Sea slightly lower to about US$191 from roughly US$192, citing recent Street research that highlights segment wide revenue strength, ongoing growth investments, and a mix of higher and lower price targets across firms following the Q3 report. Analyst Commentary Street research around the Q3 print is fairly constructive, but with different views on how much upside is left relative to current pricing and execution risks.
PDD
US$105.91
PDD Holdings
7D
-1.8%
1Y
2.7%

PDD: Long Term Tariff Resilience Will Support Future Upside Potential

The analyst price target for PDD Holdings has been raised from $140 to $170. Analysts point to the company’s resilience in adjusting to U.S. tariffs and duty rule changes, while accepting ongoing margin pressure as it continues to invest for the long term.
HD
US$384.64
Home Depot
7D
2.3%
1Y
-6.2%

HD: Ongoing Investments And Wholesale Expansion Will Support Post Headwind Share Gains

Analysts have trimmed their Home Depot price targets, with cuts such as US$455 to US$430 and US$475 to US$430, reflecting softer near term demand, recent earnings misses, and the expected impact of lower margin wholesale mix. They still see the company well positioned for a future housing recovery and share gains when conditions improve.