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U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis

UpdatedMar 12, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies793
  • 7D-1.7%
  • 3M-8.9%
  • 1Y13.0%
  • YTD-6.8%

Over the last 7 days, the Consumer Discretionary industry has dropped 1.7%, driven by a pullback from Amazon.com of 1.9%. Over the past 12 months, the industry was up 13%. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 20% per annum.

Sector Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Thu, 12 Mar 2026US$7.3tUS$3.6tUS$205.0b18.1x35.7x2x
Sat, 07 Feb 2026US$7.4tUS$3.6tUS$218.2b20.2x34.1x2.1x
Mon, 05 Jan 2026US$7.6tUS$3.6tUS$221.6b19.2x34.4x2.1x
Wed, 03 Dec 2025US$7.7tUS$3.6tUS$221.0b18.3x34.7x2.2x
Fri, 31 Oct 2025US$7.8tUS$3.5tUS$222.4b18.2x35.3x2.2x
Sun, 28 Sep 2025US$7.8tUS$3.5tUS$221.3b19.5x35.1x2.2x
Tue, 26 Aug 2025US$7.3tUS$3.5tUS$217.5b19.9x33.6x2.1x
Thu, 24 Jul 2025US$7.1tUS$3.4tUS$214.8b19.1x33.2x2.1x
Sat, 21 Jun 2025US$6.7tUS$3.4tUS$217.0b17.7x30.7x1.9x
Mon, 19 May 2025US$6.8tUS$3.4tUS$220.1b17.7x31x2x
Wed, 16 Apr 2025US$5.9tUS$3.4tUS$211.6b15.6x27.7x1.7x
Fri, 14 Mar 2025US$6.3tUS$3.4tUS$214.8b16.6x29.5x1.9x
Sun, 09 Feb 2025US$7.1tUS$3.4tUS$203.2b18.8x35.2x2.1x
Tue, 07 Jan 2025US$7.1tUS$3.3tUS$201.8b18.7x35.2x2.1x
Thu, 05 Dec 2024US$7.0tUS$3.3tUS$199.8b19.6x35x2.1x
Sat, 02 Nov 2024US$5.8tUS$3.2tUS$182.0b17.9x31.9x1.8x
Mon, 30 Sep 2024US$6.0tUS$3.2tUS$177.9b18.2x33.7x1.9x
Wed, 28 Aug 2024US$5.5tUS$3.2tUS$176.8b17.6x30.9x1.7x
Fri, 26 Jul 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$167.0b17.3x32.5x1.7x
Sun, 23 Jun 2024US$5.5tUS$3.1tUS$166.5b17.8x33x1.8x
Tue, 21 May 2024US$5.5tUS$3.1tUS$164.8b18.3x33.2x1.8x
Thu, 18 Apr 2024US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$160.6b16.7x32x1.7x
Sat, 16 Mar 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$156.6b17.1x33.9x1.7x
Mon, 12 Feb 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$152.4b17.7x34.7x1.7x
Wed, 10 Jan 2024US$5.2tUS$3.1tUS$141.4b17.5x36.5x1.7x
Fri, 08 Dec 2023US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$139.3b16.3x36.3x1.7x
Sun, 05 Nov 2023US$4.8tUS$3.0tUS$127.8b15x37.2x1.6x
Tue, 03 Oct 2023US$4.7tUS$3.0tUS$113.9b14.9x41.4x1.6x
Thu, 31 Aug 2023US$5.0tUS$3.0tUS$112.1b15.7x44.4x1.7x
Sat, 29 Jul 2023US$5.0tUS$2.9tUS$103.5b15.3x48.4x1.7x
Mon, 26 Jun 2023US$4.8tUS$2.9tUS$98.6b14.2x48.5x1.6x
Wed, 24 May 2023US$4.3tUS$2.9tUS$99.2b13.8x43.2x1.5x
Fri, 21 Apr 2023US$4.3tUS$2.9tUS$80.6b13.9x53.5x1.5x
Sun, 19 Mar 2023US$3.1tUS$2.3tUS$83.3b13.3x36.8x1.3x
Price to Earnings Ratio

36.8x


Total Market Cap: US$3.1tTotal Earnings: US$83.3bTotal Revenue: US$2.3tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Price to Earnings3Y Average 36.3x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Consumer Discretionary industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 36.3x.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PS ratio of 1.8x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 35% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 16% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary sector?

US Market-1.47%
Consumer Discretionary-1.71%
Auto0.56%
Online Retail and Ecommerce0%0
Consumer Services-1.10%
General Merchandise and Department Stores-1.12%
Hospitality-2.07%
Specialty Stores-3.67%
Auto Components-3.80%
Leisure-4.01%
Retail Distributors-4.17%
Luxury-6.83%
Consumer Durables-7.51%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Luxury industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 28.5x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 18.3%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 10.9% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Auto industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 35% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 47% per year.
  • In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 6.8% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
TSLA TeslaUS$407.820.6%
+US$8.5b		69.4%PE403.4x
BABA Alibaba Group HoldingUS$136.292.3%
+US$6.8b		-0.6%PE16.7x
SBUX StarbucksUS$101.442.8%
+US$3.1b		5.6%PE84.4x
XPEV XPengUS$19.2919.3%
+US$3.0b		-22.0%PS1.8x
JD JD.comUS$28.1110.7%
+US$2.5b		-30.4%PE13.5x

Latest News

RIVN
US$16.65
Rivian Automotive
7D
11.6%
1Y
50.5%
LOW
US$246.88
Lowe's Companies
7D
-4.5%
1Y
8.1%

LOW: Housing And AI Adoption Will Support Home Improvement Recovery

The analyst price target for Lowe's Companies edges up to $286.48 from $286.13 as analysts factor in slightly lower modeled revenue growth and profit margins, along with a modestly higher assumed discount rate and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates around Lowe's cluster around the same Q4 earnings print and FY26 outlook, but they split into two clear camps.
BABA
US$136.29
Alibaba Group Holding
7D
2.3%
1Y
-0.6%

BABA: AI Cloud And Chip Investments Will Support Long Term Upside

The analyst price target for Alibaba Group Holding has inched higher to $199.61 from $198.28, with analysts pointing to Alibaba's focus on AI driven cloud monetization, its inclusion on a major APAC conviction list, and ongoing debates around margins and capital intensity as key factors shaping their updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alibaba highlights a split view, with some firms adding the stock to high conviction lists while others move to more cautious ratings.
AMZN
US$212.65
Amazon.com
7D
-1.9%
1Y
6.9%

AMZN: AI Cloud Partnerships Will Support Future Cash Flow Resilience

Analysts have made a minor reduction to their Amazon.com price target, reflecting slightly higher discount rates. They continue to point to ongoing support from AWS-focused research, AI-related capital expenditure commentary, and views that Amazon's e-commerce and advertising businesses remain relatively well positioned against AI disintermediation risks.
TJX
US$157.88
TJX Companies
7D
-2.4%
1Y
36.9%

TJX: Off Price Execution And FY27 Guidance Will Shape Multi Year Outlook

The analyst price target for TJX Companies has moved higher, reflecting a fair value increase from $164.11 to $171.78. Analysts point to strong recent results, updated models, and sustained resilience in off-price retail as key supports for this change.
TSLA
US$407.82
Tesla
7D
0.6%
1Y
69.4%

Tesla will achieve a 392% PE ratio increase according to recent forecasts

Tesla (TSLA) Investment Narrative Tesla is one of the most prominent companies in the global transition toward electric vehicles and sustainable energy. The company designs and manufactures electric vehicles, battery storage systems, and solar energy products.
BKNG
US$4,322.42
Booking Holdings
7D
1.6%
1Y
-1.8%

BKNG: AI Relief And Solid Travel Demand Will Support Future Cash Generation

Our updated analyst price target for Booking Holdings edges slightly lower to $5,816 from $5,874 as analysts factor in a modestly lower fair value and P/E, alongside slightly higher revenue growth and profit margin expectations. This outlook is supported by research that highlights resilient OTA fundamentals and easing AI disintermediation concerns following the reported ChatGPT checkout pivot.
HD
US$350.84
Home Depot
7D
-4.9%
1Y
-3.8%

HD: Pro Ecosystem And AI Tools Will Support Post Storm Demand Recovery

Our Home Depot fair value estimate increases from $398.00 to about $410.27, reflecting analysts' higher price targets following Q4 results and updated models that point to steadier home improvement trends and slightly stronger profitability assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have generally raised their price targets for Home Depot following Q4 results, pointing to stable execution, resilience in home improvement demand and an outlook they view as supportive of higher valuations.
XPEV
US$19.29
XPeng
7D
19.3%
1Y
-22.0%

XPEV: Global Expansion And AI Vehicle Rollout Will Test Execution And Pricing

XPeng's analyst fair value estimate has inched down by about $0.03 to $17.02, as analysts factor in a series of reduced price targets from several firms alongside mixed views on growth, margins, and upcoming guidance, partially balanced by at least one more optimistic upgrade. Analyst Commentary Recent research has tilted more cautious, with several bearish analysts trimming their price targets on XPeng as they reassess the balance between execution risks and the current valuation.
PDD
US$102.94
PDD Holdings
7D
1.7%
1Y
-12.7%

PDD: Future Returns Will Hinge On Managing Rising Regulatory And Policy Risks

Analysts have modestly lifted their PDD Holdings fair value estimate to about $119, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations, even as recent research includes both price target increases and reductions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on PDD Holdings reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with some firms lifting fair value and others pulling back on previous enthusiasm.
NKE
US$55.70
NIKE
7D
-5.0%
1Y
-24.3%
JD
US$28.11
JD.com
7D
10.7%
1Y
-30.4%

JD: Slower Revenue And Higher Marketing Spend Will Test Margin Resilience

Analysts have reduced their average fair value estimate for JD.com from about $28.36 to $26.40. This change reflects updated models after recent Q4 results and concerns about slower revenue growth, slightly lower profit margins, a higher discount rate, and ongoing pressure from advertising spend on profitability.
CMG
US$33.85
Chipotle Mexican Grill
7D
-7.8%
1Y
-32.4%
SBUX
US$101.44
Starbucks
7D
2.8%
1Y
5.6%

SBUX: Elevated Margin Assumptions Will Likely Prove Vulnerable To Restaurant Price Wars

Our updated Starbucks fair value estimate has increased to $77.37 from $71.88, reflecting analysts’ assumptions of slightly lower revenue growth, a higher profit margin profile, a modestly lower future P/E multiple, and a small reduction in the discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Starbucks has been active, with multiple firms updating price targets and ratings over the past several weeks.
DASH
US$169.48
DoorDash
7D
-4.7%
1Y
-9.7%

DASH: Offensive Global Commerce Investments And AI Integrations Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their DoorDash fair value estimate from $274.69 to $260.90, citing lower projected revenue growth and profit margins, slightly higher discount rates, and a richer assumed future P/E that have filtered through updated models following recent price target resets across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on DoorDash is mixed, with many firms trimming price targets while keeping positive ratings, and a smaller group leaning more cautious.
MCD
US$325.21
McDonald's
7D
-2.0%
1Y
8.6%

MCD: Value And Digital Execution Are Expected To Support Breakout Setup

Narrative Update McDonald's fair value estimate edges up by about $2 to $341.28 as analysts lift price targets across the stock. They cite what they see as higher quality growth, strong profitability and benefits from digital investments, marketing and value initiatives into 2026.