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U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis

UpdatedJun 12, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies771
  • 7D-1.2%
  • 3M6.2%
  • 1Y7.5%
  • YTD-3.9%

Over the last 7 days, the Consumer Discretionary industry has dropped 1.2%, driven by a pullback from Tesla of 4.6%. Meanwhile, Home Depot actually outperformed within the industry, gaining 5.2% in the last week. In the past year, the industry has gained 7.5%. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 21% per annum.

Sector Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Fri, 12 Jun 2026US$7.4tUS$3.7tUS$214.7b18.7x34.2x2x
Sun, 10 May 2026US$7.9tUS$3.7tUS$208.9b18.9x37.9x2.2x
Tue, 07 Apr 2026US$6.9tUS$3.6tUS$197.8b18.8x35.1x1.9x
Thu, 05 Mar 2026US$7.3tUS$3.6tUS$206.1b19.4x35.2x2x
Sat, 31 Jan 2026US$7.9tUS$3.6tUS$218.5b19.3x36.2x2.2x
Mon, 29 Dec 2025US$7.8tUS$3.6tUS$221.4b19.2x35.4x2.2x
Wed, 26 Nov 2025US$7.4tUS$3.6tUS$225.4b18.6x33x2.1x
Fri, 24 Oct 2025US$7.6tUS$3.5tUS$218.0b19x35x2.2x
Sun, 21 Sep 2025US$7.9tUS$3.5tUS$220.7b19.5x35.6x2.3x
Tue, 19 Aug 2025US$7.2tUS$3.5tUS$217.2b19.8x33.1x2.1x
Thu, 17 Jul 2025US$6.9tUS$3.4tUS$215.6b18.8x32.2x2x
Sat, 14 Jun 2025US$6.7tUS$3.4tUS$217.5b17.3x31x2x
Mon, 12 May 2025US$6.4tUS$3.4tUS$218.6b17.1x29.1x1.9x
Wed, 09 Apr 2025US$5.6tUS$3.4tUS$211.5b14.6x26.4x1.6x
Fri, 07 Mar 2025US$6.7tUS$3.4tUS$214.1b17.7x31.4x2x
Sun, 02 Feb 2025US$7.4tUS$3.3tUS$193.4b19x38.2x2.2x
Tue, 31 Dec 2024US$7.2tUS$3.3tUS$201.9b18.5x35.7x2.2x
Thu, 28 Nov 2024US$6.9tUS$3.3tUS$199.8b19x34.4x2.1x
Sat, 26 Oct 2024US$5.9tUS$3.2tUS$180.1b17.9x32.8x1.9x
Mon, 23 Sep 2024US$5.8tUS$3.2tUS$177.7b17.8x32.5x1.8x
Wed, 21 Aug 2024US$5.5tUS$3.2tUS$172.8b17.5x32.1x1.8x
Fri, 19 Jul 2024US$5.7tUS$3.1tUS$167.3b17.9x34.1x1.8x
Sun, 16 Jun 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$167.8b17.7x32x1.7x
Tue, 14 May 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$166.8b18.3x32.7x1.8x
Thu, 11 Apr 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$160.4b17.6x33.7x1.8x
Sat, 09 Mar 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$155.6b16.7x33.9x1.7x
Mon, 05 Feb 2024US$5.2tUS$3.1tUS$159.6b16.8x32.6x1.7x
Wed, 03 Jan 2024US$5.2tUS$3.1tUS$141.5b17.8x37x1.7x
Fri, 01 Dec 2023US$5.0tUS$3.1tUS$139.6b16x36x1.6x
Sun, 29 Oct 2023US$4.4tUS$3.0tUS$121.6b14.2x36.5x1.5x
Tue, 26 Sep 2023US$4.7tUS$3.0tUS$112.4b14.9x42.1x1.6x
Thu, 24 Aug 2023US$4.8tUS$3.0tUS$111.9b15.7x43.3x1.6x
Sat, 22 Jul 2023US$5.0tUS$2.9tUS$100.4b15.5x49.6x1.7x
Mon, 19 Jun 2023US$4.8tUS$2.9tUS$98.9b14.9x49x1.7x
Price to Earnings Ratio

49x


Total Market Cap: US$4.8tTotal Earnings: US$98.9bTotal Revenue: US$2.9tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Price to Earnings3Y Average 35.3x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Consumer Discretionary industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 35.3x.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PS ratio of 1.9x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 29% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 8.2% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary sector?

US Market-2.36%
Consumer Discretionary-1.23%
Specialty Stores4.85%
Luxury4.71%
Consumer Durables3.91%
Retail Distributors3.32%
Leisure2.70%
Hospitality2.34%
Consumer Services1.52%
Online Retail and Ecommerce0%0
General Merchandise and Department Stores-2.68%
Auto-4.74%
Auto Components-4.88%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Retail Distributors industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 19.7x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 22.6%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 19.0% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Leisure industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 38% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 10% per year.
  • In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 7.8% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
HD Home DepotUS$326.015.2%
+US$16.0b		-10.2%PE23.2x
TJX TJX CompaniesUS$168.346.1%
+US$10.7b		35.3%PE32.1x
SBUX StarbucksUS$102.288.6%
+US$9.3b		8.4%PE77.9x
MCD McDonald'sUS$284.774.4%
+US$8.6b		-6.1%PE23.3x
LOW Lowe's CompaniesUS$221.056.5%
+US$7.6b		-1.1%PE18.7x

Latest News

MAR
US$396.89
Marriott International
7D
3.0%
1Y
50.8%
AMZN
US$241.51
Amazon.com
7D
-1.8%
1Y
13.9%
BKNG
US$163.59
Booking Holdings
7D
-2.3%
1Y
-25.1%
SE
US$85.69
Sea
7D
-6.9%
1Y
-44.6%
TJX
US$168.34
TJX Companies
7D
6.1%
1Y
35.3%
NKE
US$45.96
NIKE
7D
5.4%
1Y
-26.8%
Seeking Alpha • 22h

Nike: 29 Times Earnings And Negative Guidance

Summary Nike trades at a historically normal multiple despite management guiding for declining revenue, margin pressure, and a 20% drop in Greater China. Current valuation assumes a rapid earnings recovery, yet management forecasts further declines over the next two quarters, challenging the Buy consensus and $60 price target. Sell-side analysts maintain a Buy rating and 34% upside target, but this appears disconnected from Nike's own guidance and recent earnings trajectory. While a relief rally is possible if Q4 beats low expectations, the competitive landscape and structural challenges suggest the era of premium multiples may be over. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
F
US$14.71
Ford Motor
7D
-4.1%
1Y
39.7%
PDD
US$81.30
PDD Holdings
7D
-5.3%
1Y
-21.4%
Narrative Update • Jun 11

PDD: Heavy Supply Chain Investments Will Support Long-Term Ecosystem Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on PDD Holdings, with one model price fair value moving from about $148.52 to $119.85. This reflects softer revenue growth assumptions, slightly lower margin expectations, a higher discount rate, and a reduced future P/E multiple following recent Q1 commentary.
LOW
US$221.05
Lowe's Companies
7D
6.5%
1Y
-1.1%
Narrative Update • Jun 11

LOW: Reaffirmed FY26 Outlook And Pro Expansion Will Support Home Improvement Recovery

Analysts have trimmed the average price target for Lowe's by about $5 to reflect softer near term housing and home improvement trends, while also pointing to steady execution, stable DIY spending, and reaffirmed 2026 guidance as key support for earnings expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a clear reset in price targets around Lowe's, with most firms trimming their numbers while still highlighting consistent execution, stable DIY trends, and reaffirmed long term guidance.
MCD
US$284.77
McDonald's
7D
4.4%
1Y
-6.1%
BABA
US$112.69
Alibaba Group Holding
7D
-10.5%
1Y
-3.4%
TSLA
US$399.15
Tesla
7D
-4.6%
1Y
25.1%
SBUX
US$102.28
Starbucks
7D
8.6%
1Y
8.4%
HD
US$326.01
Home Depot
7D
5.2%
1Y
-10.2%
CMG
US$31.25
Chipotle Mexican Grill
7D
10.9%
1Y
-38.6%
Narrative Update • Jun 06

CMG: 2026 International Expansion Plans Will Support Higher P E Multiple

Analysts have trimmed the Chipotle Mexican Grill fair value estimate by about $0.52 to $42.88, reflecting a mix of lower average price targets and a slightly higher discount rate, even as revenue growth expectations and future P/E assumptions remain broadly steady across recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Chipotle Mexican Grill highlights a split between analysts who see current levels as an opportunity and those who are more cautious on the company’s execution and growth trajectory.
RIVN
US$15.54
Rivian Automotive
7D
-14.2%
1Y
11.7%