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U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis

UpdatedFeb 05, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies796
  • 7D-2.9%
  • 3M-2.3%
  • 1Y3.0%
  • YTD-0.5%

Over the last 7 days, the Consumer Discretionary industry has dropped 2.9%, driven by a pullback from Amazon.com of 4.1%. As for the longer term, the industry's performance has been flat for the past year. Earnings are forecast to grow by 20% annually.

Sector Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Thu, 05 Feb 2026US$7.9tUS$3.6tUS$217.4b19.8x36.2x2.2x
Sat, 03 Jan 2026US$7.7tUS$3.6tUS$221.6b19.2x34.5x2.2x
Mon, 01 Dec 2025US$7.6tUS$3.6tUS$221.3b18.5x34.6x2.1x
Wed, 29 Oct 2025US$7.9tUS$3.5tUS$222.9b18.7x35.4x2.3x
Fri, 26 Sep 2025US$7.8tUS$3.5tUS$221.3b19.4x35.2x2.2x
Sun, 24 Aug 2025US$7.3tUS$3.5tUS$217.6b20.4x33.6x2.1x
Tue, 22 Jul 2025US$7.1tUS$3.4tUS$215.7b19x32.9x2.1x
Thu, 19 Jun 2025US$6.7tUS$3.4tUS$216.9b17.4x30.8x1.9x
Sat, 17 May 2025US$6.8tUS$3.4tUS$220.1b17.7x30.9x2x
Mon, 14 Apr 2025US$5.8tUS$3.4tUS$211.8b15.7x27.6x1.7x
Wed, 12 Mar 2025US$6.2tUS$3.4tUS$214.4b17x29x1.8x
Fri, 07 Feb 2025US$7.3tUS$3.3tUS$193.6b19.2x37.7x2.2x
Sun, 05 Jan 2025US$7.1tUS$3.3tUS$201.8b18.2x35.3x2.1x
Tue, 03 Dec 2024US$6.9tUS$3.3tUS$199.4b19.4x34.6x2.1x
Thu, 31 Oct 2024US$5.9tUS$3.2tUS$180.1b18.3x33x1.9x
Sat, 28 Sep 2024US$6.0tUS$3.2tUS$177.9b18.2x33.5x1.9x
Mon, 26 Aug 2024US$5.6tUS$3.2tUS$173.7b17.6x32.1x1.8x
Wed, 24 Jul 2024US$5.6tUS$3.1tUS$167.4b17.6x33.7x1.8x
Fri, 21 Jun 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$166.6b18x32.7x1.7x
Sun, 19 May 2024US$5.5tUS$3.1tUS$164.8b18.3x33.2x1.8x
Tue, 16 Apr 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$160.5b16.7x32.9x1.7x
Thu, 14 Mar 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$156.5b17.4x33.9x1.7x
Sat, 10 Feb 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$152.3b17.7x34.7x1.7x
Mon, 08 Jan 2024US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$141.5b17.5x35.9x1.7x
Wed, 06 Dec 2023US$5.0tUS$3.1tUS$139.3b15.8x36.2x1.7x
Fri, 03 Nov 2023US$4.6tUS$3.0tUS$124.8b14.8x36.9x1.5x
Sun, 01 Oct 2023US$4.7tUS$3.0tUS$113.9b15x41.4x1.6x
Tue, 29 Aug 2023US$4.8tUS$3.0tUS$112.3b15.4x42.7x1.6x
Thu, 27 Jul 2023US$5.0tUS$2.9tUS$101.9b15.8x49.4x1.7x
Sat, 24 Jun 2023US$4.8tUS$2.9tUS$98.6b14.2x48.5x1.6x
Mon, 22 May 2023US$4.3tUS$2.9tUS$99.0b14x43.7x1.5x
Wed, 19 Apr 2023US$4.4tUS$2.9tUS$81.5b14.2x53.9x1.5x
Fri, 17 Mar 2023US$4.4tUS$3.1tUS$86.9b13.5x50.8x1.4x
Sun, 12 Feb 2023US$4.7tUS$3.1tUS$86.0b13.1x54.7x1.5x
Price to Earnings Ratio

54.7x


Total Market Cap: US$4.7tTotal Earnings: US$86.0bTotal Revenue: US$3.1tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Price to Earnings3Y Average 36.9x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Consumer Discretionary industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 36.9x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.8x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 2.2x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 36% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 5.0% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary sector?

US Market-1.46%
Consumer Discretionary-2.88%
Leisure5.29%
Consumer Durables4.15%
Retail Distributors3.45%
Luxury2.80%
Specialty Stores2.42%
Auto Components1.29%
Hospitality0.23%
Online Retail and Ecommerce0%0
Consumer Services-0.83%
General Merchandise and Department Stores-5.05%
Auto-5.32%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Auto industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 126x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 33.5%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 31.5% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Leisure industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 47% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 30% per year.
  • In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 7.9% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
TSLA TeslaUS$406.01-5.9%
US$88.6b		7.4%PE401.6x
HD Home DepotUS$387.203.2%
+US$11.8b		-6.4%PE26.4x
RCL Royal Caribbean CruisesUS$328.6512.7%
+US$9.4b		23.1%PE20.8x
MCD McDonald'sUS$323.693.5%
+US$7.8b		12.1%PE27.4x
TJX TJX CompaniesUS$153.944.2%
+US$6.8b		22.7%PE33.4x

Latest News

BKNG
US$4,607.13
Booking Holdings
7D
-9.9%
1Y
-3.6%
TSLA
US$406.01
Tesla
7D
-5.9%
1Y
7.4%
TJX
US$153.94
TJX Companies
7D
4.2%
1Y
22.7%
EBAY
US$85.84
eBay
7D
-9.8%
1Y
27.4%
SE
US$106.26
Sea
7D
-16.0%
1Y
-13.7%
DASH
US$195.83
DoorDash
7D
-5.2%
1Y
-0.08%

DASH: Future Tech Platform Investments Will Drive Long Term Profitability

Our updated fair value estimate for DoorDash edges lower to about $342 per share from roughly $357, as analysts balance a series of mixed price target revisions with expectations for faster revenue growth, slightly leaner margins, and a more moderate future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on DoorDash reflects a split tape, with several downward price target revisions offset by a cluster of more optimistic views, including target hikes and an upgrade to a more positive rating.
RCL
US$328.65
Royal Caribbean Cruises
7D
12.7%
1Y
23.1%
CCL
US$32.09
Carnival Corporation &
7D
11.7%
1Y
18.0%

CCL: Resilient Cruise Demand And Caribbean Capacity Are Expected To Sustain Upside

Analysts have raised their price target for Carnival Corporation & to US$38 from US$35, citing updated assumptions for higher revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins, a lower discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple supported by recent research pointing to resilient cruise demand and favorable capacity trends. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Carnival Corporation & points to a cluster of higher price targets, with several firms updating their models following sector work and company specific reports.
HD
US$387.20
Home Depot
7D
3.2%
1Y
-6.4%
ABNB
US$124.61
Airbnb
7D
-5.3%
1Y
-3.9%
AMZN
US$232.99
Amazon.com
7D
-4.1%
1Y
-1.3%
MCD
US$323.69
McDonald's
7D
3.5%
1Y
12.1%
MAR
US$324.56
Marriott International
7D
4.0%
1Y
11.0%

MAR: Future Outlook Will Balance Midscale Expansion, Brand Extensions And Moderate Room Growth

Analysts have lifted their implied price outlook for Marriott International from about US$302 to roughly US$316, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Marriott has reached 100 signed agreements for City Express by Marriott properties in the U.S. and Canada, with six locations already open in 2025 and four more expected by year end, expanding its midscale presence across leisure and airport adjacent markets such as Kissimmee, Dulles, Amarillo, Sandusky, and Carson City (Key Developments).
BABA
US$159.14
Alibaba Group Holding
7D
-9.4%
1Y
60.3%

BABA: Cloud And AI Execution Will Drive Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power

Alibaba's fair value estimate edges higher to about $196.46, with analysts pointing to stronger modeled cloud and AI demand, along with updated price targets that reflect both rising capital expenditure in cloud and more moderate growth in retail revenue. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alibaba highlights a split view, with some bullish analysts focusing on cloud and AI execution, while more cautious voices focus on spending levels and retail trends.
MELI
US$2,052.78
MercadoLibre
7D
-9.5%
1Y
3.9%

MELI: Argentina De Risking Will Support Upside Despite Brazilian E Commerce Pressures

Narrative Update The updated analyst fair value estimate for MercadoLibre has moved from about $3,406 to roughly $3,285. This reflects a slightly higher discount rate and more measured assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, in line with recent Street research where analysts have modestly adjusted price targets while weighing Argentina de risking against a more competitive Brazilian e commerce backdrop.
LOW
US$275.85
Lowe's Companies
7D
2.4%
1Y
6.7%

LOW: Lock-In Housing And AI Tools Will Support Gradual Home Improvement Recovery

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Lowe's Companies has been raised by about US$5 to reflect slightly higher modeled fair value, modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions, as analysts point to valuation, pent up demand in home improvement and a healthier mix across do it yourself and pro customers as key supports for the update. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Lowe's highlights a mix of optimism around long term home improvement demand and caution around near term earnings visibility, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings after the latest results and outlook updates.