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U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis

UpdatedMar 30, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies785
  • 7D-1.6%
  • 3M-15.1%
  • 1Y5.5%
  • YTD-13.5%

Over the last 7 days, the Consumer Discretionary industry has dropped 1.6%, driven by pullbacks in Tesla and Amazon.com of 5.0% and 2.9%, respectively. In the past year, the industry has gained 5.5%. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 20% per annum.

Sector Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Mon, 30 Mar 2026US$6.8tUS$3.6tUS$198.9b18.2x34x1.9x
Wed, 25 Feb 2026US$7.4tUS$3.6tUS$207.4b20.1x35.5x2x
Fri, 23 Jan 2026US$7.7tUS$3.6tUS$221.3b19.7x35x2.2x
Sun, 21 Dec 2025US$7.8tUS$3.6tUS$220.7b19.6x35.2x2.2x
Tue, 18 Nov 2025US$7.5tUS$3.5tUS$221.4b17.5x33.8x2.1x
Thu, 16 Oct 2025US$7.6tUS$3.5tUS$220.8b18.5x34.3x2.2x
Sat, 13 Sep 2025US$7.7tUS$3.5tUS$222.0b19.7x34.5x2.2x
Mon, 11 Aug 2025US$7.0tUS$3.4tUS$217.8b18.8x32.1x2x
Wed, 09 Jul 2025US$6.9tUS$3.4tUS$216.1b18.9x31.8x2x
Fri, 06 Jun 2025US$6.6tUS$3.4tUS$217.3b17.2x30.3x1.9x
Sun, 04 May 2025US$6.3tUS$3.4tUS$217.2b16.9x28.9x1.8x
Tue, 01 Apr 2025US$6.2tUS$3.4tUS$211.9b16.4x29.2x1.8x
Thu, 27 Feb 2025US$6.9tUS$3.4tUS$210.1b18.4x32.8x2x
Sat, 25 Jan 2025US$7.3tUS$3.3tUS$202.3b18.9x36.2x2.2x
Mon, 23 Dec 2024US$7.2tUS$3.3tUS$200.7b18.2x35.7x2.1x
Wed, 20 Nov 2024US$6.7tUS$3.4tUS$197.9b18.1x33.9x2x
Fri, 18 Oct 2024US$5.8tUS$3.2tUS$178.3b18.4x32.7x1.8x
Sun, 15 Sep 2024US$5.6tUS$3.2tUS$177.5b17.4x31.7x1.8x
Tue, 13 Aug 2024US$5.2tUS$3.2tUS$172.9b16.8x30.1x1.7x
Thu, 11 Jul 2024US$5.8tUS$3.1tUS$167.3b17.2x34.5x1.8x
Sat, 08 Jun 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$168.0b17.9x32.4x1.8x
Mon, 06 May 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$166.4b17.4x32.7x1.8x
Wed, 03 Apr 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$160.5b18.2x33.7x1.8x
Fri, 01 Mar 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$154.1b17.6x34.9x1.8x
Sun, 28 Jan 2024US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$146.5b17.4x34.6x1.7x
Tue, 26 Dec 2023US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$141.3b17.7x37.6x1.7x
Thu, 23 Nov 2023US$5.0tUS$3.0tUS$138.9b15.3x35.7x1.6x
Sat, 21 Oct 2023US$4.5tUS$3.0tUS$113.0b14.5x39.5x1.5x
Mon, 18 Sep 2023US$5.0tUS$3.0tUS$112.5b15.1x44.6x1.7x
Wed, 16 Aug 2023US$4.9tUS$3.0tUS$112.1b16.2x43.8x1.6x
Fri, 14 Jul 2023US$5.1tUS$2.9tUS$99.9b15.4x51.2x1.8x
Sun, 11 Jun 2023US$4.7tUS$2.9tUS$99.3b14.3x47.1x1.6x
Tue, 09 May 2023US$4.2tUS$2.9tUS$92.3b14x46x1.5x
Thu, 06 Apr 2023US$4.3tUS$2.9tUS$81.6b13.3x53.1x1.5x
Price to Earnings Ratio

53.1x


Total Market Cap: US$4.3tTotal Earnings: US$81.6bTotal Revenue: US$2.9tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Price to Earnings3Y Average 36.1x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Consumer Discretionary industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 36.1x.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PS ratio of 1.9x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 35% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 7.8% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary sector?

US Market-1.89%
Consumer Discretionary-1.56%
Retail Distributors4.24%
Consumer Services1.76%
Specialty Stores0.66%
Consumer Durables0.36%
Auto Components0.22%
Online Retail and Ecommerce0%0
Leisure-0.17%
Auto-1.49%
General Merchandise and Department Stores-2.16%
Luxury-2.33%
Hospitality-3.42%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Luxury industry, which is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 28.6x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 18.3%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 14.4% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Leisure industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 35% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 36% per year.
  • In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 7.0% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
PDD PDD HoldingsUS$99.813.7%
+US$5.1b		-15.7%PE9.9x
JD JD.comUS$28.704.2%
+US$1.6b		-30.2%PE13.9x
VFS VinFast AutoUS$3.3916.5%
+US$1.1b		6.6%PS2.3x
CHWY ChewyUS$26.1210.7%
+US$1.1b		-19.7%PE48.8x
ORLY O'Reilly AutomotiveUS$90.111.6%
+US$1.0b		-5.6%PE29.7x

Latest News

TSLA
US$361.83
Tesla
7D
-5.0%
1Y
39.6%

The academically fascinating Tesla

Paraphrasing Charlie Munger, I would neither buy nor short Tesla, Inc. at present.
NAVN
US$12.21
Navan
7D
37.3%
1Y
n/a
HD
US$321.65
Home Depot
7D
-2.8%
1Y
-12.2%
SCI
US$81.57
Service Corporation International
7D
6.6%
1Y
1.7%

SCI: Ongoing Buybacks And Stable Assumptions Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have kept their $97.83 price target for Service Corporation International broadly unchanged, with only very small tweaks to the discount rate, long term revenue growth outlook, profit margin assumptions, and future P/E input that underpin their valuation framework. What's in the News From October 1, 2025 to February 12, 2026, Service Corporation International repurchased 1,288,154 shares for US$102.18 million, representing 0.92% of its shares under the existing buyback program (Key Developments).
MUSA
US$506.24
Murphy USA
7D
10.3%
1Y
7.8%
CHWY
US$26.12
Chewy
7D
10.7%
1Y
-19.7%
PDD
US$99.81
PDD Holdings
7D
3.7%
1Y
-15.7%
AMZN
US$199.34
Amazon.com
7D
-5.1%
1Y
4.8%
BABA
US$122.69
Alibaba Group Holding
7D
-2.7%
1Y
-7.2%

BABA: AI Cloud And Chip Investments Will Drive Future Earnings Power

The updated analyst price target for Alibaba Group Holding edges lower to reflect slightly softer margin assumptions and a reduced fair value estimate of about $190. Analysts are balancing optimism around higher modeled revenue growth and a modestly higher future P/E with recent target cuts and downgrades across several research desks.
VFS
US$3.39
VinFast Auto
7D
16.5%
1Y
6.6%

VFS: 2025 And 2026 Delivery Expansion Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have kept their VinFast Auto price target steady at $6.38, with the unchanged fair value reflecting updated views on higher discount rates, adjusted revenue growth assumptions, softer profit margin expectations, and a higher future P/E estimate. What's in the News VinFast has completed a new brand structure with three automotive lines: Lac Hong for ultra luxury models, VF for mass market passenger EVs spanning VF 3 to VF 9 and the VF MPV 7, and Green for commercial and service mobility solutions such as Limo Green, Herio Green, Nerio Green and Minio Green (Key Developments).
ABNB
US$122.87
Airbnb
7D
-7.3%
1Y
2.9%

ABNB: AI Multiple Compression Will Limit Upside Despite Easing Disintermediation Concerns

Airbnb's fair value estimate has been trimmed slightly, with the updated analyst price target moving a touch lower as analysts balance stronger revenue growth and margins with modestly lower assumed future P/E and discount rate, while also factoring in recent research that views the company as relatively insulated from AI disintermediation and supported by travel demand and new product levers such as reserve now pay later and expanding hotel inventory. Analyst Commentary Street research around Airbnb has been active, with a mix of reassessments on artificial intelligence risk, refreshed models after recent results, and several valuation resets.
BKNG
US$4,062.14
Booking Holdings
7D
-7.6%
1Y
-11.8%

BKNG: AI Disruption Fears Easing Should Support Future Cash Generation

The analyst price target for Booking Holdings edges slightly lower in this update, with a modest trim in fair value to $5,802 per share, as analysts balance solid Q4 execution and resilient profitability against mixed target revisions across the Street and ongoing debate around AI driven disruption and opportunity for online travel agencies. Analyst Commentary Street research around Booking Holdings is split between confidence in execution and concern about how AI and new shopping models could affect long term profitability and valuation multiples.
JD
US$28.70
JD.com
7D
4.2%
1Y
-30.2%

JD: Europe Expansion And Ongoing Investments Will Reshape Profitability Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for JD.com from about $60.47 to $53.57 as price targets across the Street move lower. The change reflects updated models that factor in a slightly higher discount rate, modestly softer margin expectations, and ongoing investment spending that is weighing on near term profitability.
SBUX
US$86.81
Starbucks
7D
-7.5%
1Y
-11.5%

SBUX: Balanced Risk Reward As Turnaround Execution And Margins Guide Future Performance

Analysts have adjusted the Starbucks fair value estimate from $95.06 to $99.94, reflecting slightly lower revenue growth assumptions, higher expected margins, and a similar future P/E, with recent price target shifts and mixed ratings pointing to a more balanced risk and reward profile at current levels. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture for Starbucks, with price targets clustered around the high US$80s to low US$110s and a growing number of neutral or peer perform ratings.
DASH
US$146.60
DoorDash
7D
-8.4%
1Y
-19.8%

DASH: Offensive Commerce Investments And AI Relief Will Support Future Upside

DoorDash's analyst price target edges slightly lower by about $3, reflecting modestly reduced fair value and P/E assumptions, even as analysts point to solid Q4 execution, ongoing investment plans, and easing fears around AI driven disintermediation following OpenAI's reported pivot away from native ChatGPT checkout. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture around DoorDash, with many firms trimming price targets while still pointing to resilient execution, healthy order trends, and a clearer outlook on AI related risks.
ORLY
US$90.11
O'Reilly Automotive
7D
1.6%
1Y
-5.6%

ORLY: Store Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on O'Reilly Automotive by a few dollars, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions on discount rate and future P/E, while keeping fair value essentially unchanged at $105.72. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on O'Reilly Automotive centers on modest price target cuts and one downgrade, with most reports pointing to fine tuning of assumptions rather than a wholesale reset of the story.