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U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Analysis

UpdatedAug 23, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies161
  • 7D-3.2%
  • 3M3.0%
  • 1Y-6.4%
  • YTD-2.3%

Over the last 7 days, the Specialty Stores industry has dropped 3.2%, driven by a pullback from TJX Companies of 7.6%. Meanwhile, Chewy actually outperformed within the industry, gaining 7.1% in the last week. Overall the industry is down 6.5% in 12 months. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 9.1% per annum.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Specialty Stores Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Sun, 23 Aug 2026US$941.9bUS$771.2bUS$40.9b19x23x1.2x
Tue, 21 Jul 2026US$953.9bUS$760.0bUS$39.5b20.8x24.1x1.3x
Thu, 18 Jun 2026US$957.7bUS$759.6bUS$39.6b19.1x24.2x1.3x
Sat, 16 May 2026US$877.2bUS$751.1bUS$37.6b18.7x23.3x1.2x
Mon, 13 Apr 2026US$947.6bUS$743.4bUS$37.6b19.6x25.2x1.3x
Wed, 11 Mar 2026US$963.7bUS$745.2bUS$38.2b18.8x25.2x1.3x
Fri, 06 Feb 2026US$1.0tUS$737.8bUS$36.5b20.8x28x1.4x
Sun, 04 Jan 2026US$969.8bUS$735.9bUS$36.6b19.8x26.5x1.3x
Tue, 02 Dec 2025US$969.8bUS$741.0bUS$36.2b18.1x26.8x1.3x
Thu, 30 Oct 2025US$983.6bUS$734.4bUS$36.4b16.6x27.1x1.3x
Sat, 27 Sep 2025US$1.0tUS$734.5bUS$36.4b17.7x27.7x1.4x
Mon, 25 Aug 2025US$1.0tUS$738.4bUS$35.5b19.4x28.7x1.4x
Wed, 23 Jul 2025US$924.2bUS$733.1bUS$35.0b17.6x26.4x1.3x
Fri, 20 Jun 2025US$878.8bUS$732.6bUS$34.9b17.5x25.1x1.2x
Sun, 18 May 2025US$938.6bUS$727.9bUS$35.6b16.2x26.4x1.3x
Tue, 15 Apr 2025US$847.6bUS$723.0bUS$35.6b14.1x23.8x1.2x
Thu, 13 Mar 2025US$851.0bUS$725.5bUS$36.0b13.6x23.6x1.2x
Sat, 08 Feb 2025US$918.2bUS$702.5bUS$35.4b16.4x25.9x1.3x
Mon, 06 Jan 2025US$889.4bUS$701.4bUS$35.2b16.5x25.3x1.3x
Wed, 04 Dec 2024US$947.1bUS$706.5bUS$33.0b17.3x28.7x1.3x
Fri, 01 Nov 2024US$455.6bUS$549.8bUS$17.7b14.4x25.7x0.8x
Sun, 29 Sep 2024US$487.5bUS$552.2bUS$17.5b15.3x27.9x0.9x
Tue, 27 Aug 2024US$485.0bUS$552.0bUS$17.1b15.7x28.4x0.9x
Thu, 25 Jul 2024US$467.9bUS$551.8bUS$17.6b15.1x26.6x0.8x
Sat, 22 Jun 2024US$471.8bUS$552.2bUS$17.6b15.9x26.8x0.9x
Mon, 20 May 2024US$442.9bUS$551.8bUS$17.1b16.1x25.9x0.8x
Wed, 17 Apr 2024US$418.3bUS$552.4bUS$17.2b15.6x24.4x0.8x
Fri, 15 Mar 2024US$451.2bUS$546.2bUS$16.5b14.6x27.4x0.8x
Sun, 11 Feb 2024US$436.2bUS$555.2bUS$15.8b14.7x27.6x0.8x
Tue, 09 Jan 2024US$422.0bUS$574.4bUS$16.1b13.5x26.2x0.7x
Thu, 07 Dec 2023US$409.9bUS$574.8bUS$16.1b13.5x25.4x0.7x
Sat, 04 Nov 2023US$386.6bUS$574.7bUS$17.9b14x21.6x0.7x
Mon, 02 Oct 2023US$381.3bUS$566.5bUS$18.4b11.3x20.7x0.7x
Wed, 30 Aug 2023US$413.2bUS$572.3bUS$18.2b11.5x22.7x0.7x
Price to Earnings Ratio

22.7x


Total Market Cap: US$413.2bTotal Earnings: US$18.2bTotal Revenue: US$572.3bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 25.7x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are pessimistic on the American Specialty Retail industry, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates will be lower than they have historically.
  • The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 22.9x which is lower than its 3-year average PE of 25.7x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.1x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 1.2x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Specialty Retail industry have grown 31% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 10% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market-1.49%
Consumer Discretionary0.023%
Specialty Stores-3.17%
Home Improvement Retail-1.08%
Specialty Stores-1.22%
Computer and Electronics Retail-1.47%
Home Furnishing Retail-2.29%
Automotive Retail-4.97%
Apparel Retail-5.46%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Automotive Retail industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 22.9x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 14.2%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 2.9% per year.
  • Investors are most pessimistic about the Computer and Electronics Retail industry, which is trading below its 3-year average of 26.9x.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Specialty Stores industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 16% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 1.3% per year.
  • In contrast, the Home Furnishing Retail industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 6.6% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
CHWY ChewyUS$24.027.1%
+US$655.1m		-39.3%PE38.5x
ULTA Ulta BeautyUS$521.462.1%
+US$460.4m		-1.5%PE18.9x
FIVE Five BelowUS$250.242.3%
+US$315.2m		76.5%PE31.4x
KMX CarMaxUS$62.133.7%
+US$313.6m		3.4%PE39.6x
WRBY Warby ParkerUS$27.445.9%
+US$189.1m		1.6%PE438.1x

Latest News

HD
US$335.61
Home Depot
7D
-1.0%
1Y
-18.7%
ULTA
US$521.46
Ulta Beauty
7D
2.1%
1Y
-1.5%
ANF
US$109.01
Abercrombie & Fitch
7D
0.8%
1Y
10.7%
ROST
US$239.04
Ross Stores
7D
-2.6%
1Y
62.3%
Narrative Update • Aug 21

ROST: Strong Q2 Traffic Trends Will Support Ongoing Off Price Momentum

Ross Stores' updated analyst fair value estimate has increased to $310 from $290, as analysts point to stronger Q2 comps, broader traffic gains, and improved margin expectations that are reflected in higher Street price targets across several firms. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see Ross Stores as executing well on both sales and profitability, with recent Q2 results and updated guidance acting as key support for higher fair value estimates across the Street.
LOW
US$216.09
Lowe's Companies
7D
-1.1%
1Y
-18.1%
CVNA
US$69.91
Carvana
7D
-7.5%
1Y
-2.3%
CHWY
US$24.02
Chewy
7D
7.1%
1Y
-39.3%
TJX
US$140.53
TJX Companies
7D
-7.6%
1Y
2.9%
Narrative Update • Aug 20

TJX: Margin Resilience And FY27 Earnings Outlook Will Drive Future Upside

The fair value estimate for TJX Companies has moved modestly lower to $172.80 as analysts factor in weaker Marmaxx comps and tougher competitive pressures, partly offset by resilient margins and a still supportive long term P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on TJX Companies points to a mixed but detailed picture, with bullish analysts focusing on the long term earnings profile and portfolio strength while bearish analysts focus on Marmaxx comps, competitive pressure, and near term execution risk.
BURL
US$326.50
Burlington Stores
7D
-6.1%
1Y
16.3%
Narrative Update • Aug 20

BURL: Burlington 2.0 And Store Expansion Will Drive Off Price Upside

Burlington Stores' analyst fair value estimate has been raised by about $10 to $386, with analysts pointing to higher price targets across the Street. These targets are supported by expectations for solid Q2 results, ongoing margin progress, and the relative appeal of the off-price model within softlines retail.
FIVE
US$250.24
Five Below
7D
2.3%
1Y
76.5%
WRBY
US$27.44
Warby Parker
7D
5.9%
1Y
1.6%
DKS
US$183.23
DICK'S Sporting Goods
7D
-9.3%
1Y
-19.5%
Narrative Update • Aug 12

DKS: Foot Locker Turnaround And Margin Pressures Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have nudged the DICK'S Sporting Goods fair value estimate higher to $188.03 from $183.09, citing refreshed models that reflect updated revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions, along with a broad series of recent price target increases on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research on DICK'S Sporting Goods shows a mixed tone.
ABG
US$214.81
Asbury Automotive Group
7D
2.0%
1Y
-15.4%
Narrative Update • Aug 11

ABG: Share Repurchases And Earnings Beat Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have increased their price target for Asbury Automotive Group from about $235.67 to $254.20. This change reflects updated assumptions regarding fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples.
KMX
US$62.13
CarMax
7D
3.7%
1Y
3.4%
Narrative Update • Aug 11

KMX: Future Returns Will Depend On Turnaround Execution And Competitive Pressures

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for CarMax from $51.31 to $54.85, reflecting higher price targets in the $44 to $66 range. They point to improving sales trends, better price competitiveness and early but uneven progress in the company's turnaround efforts.
ORLY
US$89.11
O'Reilly Automotive
7D
-2.1%
1Y
-12.9%
Narrative Update • Jul 31

ORLY: Trimmed Expectations And Buybacks Will Shape Returns As Deal Uncertainty Persists

Analysts trimmed the fair value estimate for O'Reilly Automotive by about $2 to $93.96, reflecting slightly softer modeled revenue growth, a modestly lower profit margin outlook, and a reduced future P/E assumption, even as recent research notes highlight solid same store sales trends and generally positive earnings commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent research on O'Reilly Automotive points to a mixed setup for investors, with strong reported same store sales and generally constructive commentary on fundamentals set against a series of trimmed price targets and valuation questions.
BOOT
US$165.57
Boot Barn Holdings
7D
1.4%
1Y
-4.6%