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U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Analysis

UpdatedApr 23, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies157
  • 7D1.4%
  • 3M-5.6%
  • 1Y15.7%
  • YTD1.0%

Over the last 7 days, the Specialty Stores industry has risen 1.4%, driven by gains from Carvana of 12%. During this same period, the Tractor Supply underperformed, falling 13%. This means that the industry has gained 16% over the past year. Earnings are forecast to grow by 9.8% annually.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Specialty Stores Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Thu, 23 Apr 2026US$978.4bUS$743.5bUS$37.3b20.8x26.2x1.3x
Sat, 21 Mar 2026US$913.3bUS$748.6bUS$37.8b19.1x24.2x1.2x
Mon, 16 Feb 2026US$1.0tUS$737.0bUS$37.0b21.4x27.4x1.4x
Wed, 14 Jan 2026US$1.0tUS$735.9bUS$36.6b21x28.3x1.4x
Fri, 12 Dec 2025US$999.6bUS$735.9bUS$36.4b20.2x27.4x1.4x
Sun, 09 Nov 2025US$943.9bUS$736.3bUS$36.4b18.4x26x1.3x
Tue, 07 Oct 2025US$998.7bUS$733.8bUS$36.4b17.1x27.4x1.4x
Thu, 04 Sep 2025US$1.0tUS$739.8bUS$35.6b19.2x28.4x1.4x
Sat, 02 Aug 2025US$934.8bUS$735.4bUS$35.3b18x26.5x1.3x
Mon, 30 Jun 2025US$883.8bUS$733.1bUS$35.0b17.6x25.2x1.2x
Wed, 28 May 2025US$899.5bUS$732.3bUS$35.4b16x25.4x1.2x
Fri, 25 Apr 2025US$849.3bUS$725.5bUS$35.7b15x23.8x1.2x
Sun, 23 Mar 2025US$832.6bUS$725.0bUS$35.6b16.5x23.4x1.1x
Tue, 18 Feb 2025US$908.6bUS$705.3bUS$35.5b16.8x25.6x1.3x
Thu, 16 Jan 2025US$881.3bUS$701.4bUS$35.2b15.9x25x1.3x
Sat, 14 Dec 2024US$931.5bUS$706.4bUS$34.3b16.4x27.1x1.3x
Mon, 11 Nov 2024US$479.5bUS$549.3bUS$17.8b15.1x26.9x0.9x
Wed, 09 Oct 2024US$465.4bUS$548.9bUS$18.1b14.3x25.7x0.8x
Fri, 06 Sep 2024US$470.0bUS$552.7bUS$17.6b14.3x26.6x0.9x
Sun, 04 Aug 2024US$450.7bUS$551.5bUS$17.0b15.1x26.5x0.8x
Tue, 02 Jul 2024US$463.0bUS$551.7bUS$17.5b15.4x26.4x0.8x
Thu, 30 May 2024US$441.7bUS$552.8bUS$17.5b16.5x25.3x0.8x
Sat, 27 Apr 2024US$428.8bUS$555.0bUS$16.9b15.2x25.3x0.8x
Mon, 25 Mar 2024US$458.9bUS$546.6bUS$16.8b15.5x27.3x0.8x
Wed, 21 Feb 2024US$432.9bUS$556.0bUS$15.9b14.9x27.2x0.8x
Fri, 19 Jan 2024US$423.3bUS$574.3bUS$16.1b13.4x26.2x0.7x
Sun, 17 Dec 2023US$425.7bUS$574.8bUS$16.1b13.8x26.4x0.7x
Tue, 14 Nov 2023US$377.7bUS$574.5bUS$17.7b10.8x21.3x0.7x
Thu, 12 Oct 2023US$381.3bUS$566.5bUS$18.4b12.6x20.7x0.7x
Sat, 09 Sep 2023US$398.2bUS$567.8bUS$17.7b11.6x22.5x0.7x
Mon, 07 Aug 2023US$422.6bUS$571.5bUS$18.1b10.9x23.3x0.7x
Wed, 05 Jul 2023US$421.0bUS$572.6bUS$18.4b10.5x22.9x0.7x
Fri, 02 Jun 2023US$378.1bUS$574.8bUS$17.8b9.8x21.3x0.7x
Sun, 30 Apr 2023US$403.1bUS$575.2bUS$19.0b10.9x21.3x0.7x
Price to Earnings Ratio

21.3x


Total Market Cap: US$403.1bTotal Earnings: US$19.0bTotal Revenue: US$575.2bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 25.5x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Specialty Retail industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 25.5x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.0x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 1.3x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Specialty Retail industry have grown 25% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 8.9% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market1.73%
Consumer Discretionary1.22%
Specialty Stores1.36%
Automotive Retail8.04%
Home Furnishing Retail2.62%
Computer and Electronics Retail1.47%
Specialty Stores0.15%
Home Improvement Retail0.13%
Apparel Retail0.094%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Automotive Retail industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 21.5x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 18.3%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 6.2% per year.
  • Investors are most pessimistic about the Computer and Electronics Retail industry, which is trading below its 3-year average of 30.4x.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Automotive Retail industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 18% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 6.2% per year.
  • In contrast, the Home Improvement Retail industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 6.0% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
CVNA CarvanaUS$416.7912.3%
+US$6.5b		88.6%PE42.4x
ULTA Ulta BeautyUS$563.914.6%
+US$1.1b		49.3%PE21.4x
DKS DICK'S Sporting GoodsUS$228.215.2%
+US$1.0b		23.8%PE23.9x
FIVE Five BelowUS$240.237.6%
+US$934.1m		224.0%PE37x
AZO AutoZoneUS$3.59k1.5%
+US$882.7m		-1.7%PE24.2x

Latest News

TSCO
US$38.96
Tractor Supply
7D
-12.9%
1Y
-23.2%

Tractor Supply Company Just Missed EPS By 9.0%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Apr 23
Tractor Supply Company Just Missed EPS By 9.0%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
ULTA
US$563.91
Ulta Beauty
7D
4.6%
1Y
49.3%
ASO
US$58.24
Academy Sports and Outdoors
7D
-1.4%
1Y
54.9%

ASO: Future Store Openings And Household Demand Trends Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Academy Sports and Outdoors higher by about $0.33 to roughly $60.28. This reflects a mix of updated assumptions on discount rates, margins, and future P/E multiples informed by recent shifts in Street price targets across major firms.
FND
US$51.69
Floor & Decor Holdings
7D
-2.8%
1Y
-25.9%

FND: Lower Future P/E Expectations Will Restrain Upside Despite Ongoing Store Expansion

Analysts have trimmed the implied fair value for Floor & Decor Holdings by about $9 to roughly $47, reflecting a series of reduced Street price targets and a more cautious stance on the stock's appropriate future P/E multiple, despite modest adjustments to revenue growth and margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Floor & Decor has leaned cautious, with several firms cutting price targets and, in some cases, downgrading the stock.
AEO
US$18.71
American Eagle Outfitters
7D
-3.7%
1Y
70.6%

AEO: Aerie Momentum And Share Repurchases Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have adjusted their views on American Eagle Outfitters, with price targets now ranging from $19 to $25. This reflects updated models after Q4 results, continued Aerie strength, and a cautious stance given the broader macro backdrop.
CVNA
US$416.79
Carvana
7D
12.3%
1Y
88.6%

CVNA: Retail Unit Expansion And Vertically Integrated Model Will Drive Future Upside

Carvana's updated analyst price target of $519, down from $600, reflects analysts factoring in recent Q4 profitability shortfalls and softer near term unit guidance, while still crediting the company's share gains, vertically integrated model, and defended position against AI disintermediation. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of price target trims after Carvana's Q4 report, but the tone across much of the Street still leans constructive.
DKS
US$228.21
DICK'S Sporting Goods
7D
5.2%
1Y
23.8%

DKS: Core Execution And Foot Locker Turnaround Will Support Future Earnings

Analysts now place fair value for DICK'S Sporting Goods at $300, up from $285. This reflects updated views on solid core Dick's performance, mixed but progressing Foot Locker turnaround efforts, and support from higher assumed future P/E multiples despite adjustments to revenue growth and margin assumptions.
URBN
US$75.18
Urban Outfitters
7D
10.2%
1Y
49.6%

URBN: Brand Execution And Rental Platform Will Support Further Upside Potential

Urban Outfitters' analyst price target has moved slightly lower to $82.50, with analysts pointing to strong contributions from Free People, Anthropologie and Nuuly. They are also aligning valuation more closely with peer average multiples and maintaining a measured stance on riskier ideas.
SIG
US$90.43
Signet Jewelers
7D
-2.4%
1Y
59.9%

SIG: Valentine Demand And FY27 Execution Will Support Long-Term Upside

Narrative Update on Signet Jewelers The analyst price target for Signet Jewelers has moved to $118, a $3 shift from the prior $115 level. Analysts highlight preliminary Q4 results, steady FY27 comp and EPS expectations near $10.48, and supportive Valentine's Day trends as key factors behind their updated view.
TJX
US$158.47
TJX Companies
7D
-1.1%
1Y
26.3%

TJX: Off Price Model And Shareholder Returns Will Support Future Upside

Narrative Update The blended Street price target for TJX has moved higher into a $172 to $185 range, as analysts cite strong recent quarterly results, resilient off-price fundamentals, and updated long-term guidance as support for revising their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of bullish analysts revising their TJX valuation frameworks higher, with most new targets falling into the low to mid US$170s and several stretching into the low US$180s.
LOW
US$245.19
Lowe's Companies
7D
0.5%
1Y
12.6%
KMX
US$39.58
CarMax
7D
-2.3%
1Y
-39.8%

KMX: Starboard Turnaround Push And AI Rollout Will Drive Re Rating Potential

Analysts have adjusted the CarMax fair value estimate upward by about $1.73 to $77.89, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue trends, profit margins, and future P/E expectations following a mix of recent target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CarMax shows a mix of views, with several bullish analysts adjusting price targets upward while a few take a more cautious stance.
AZO
US$3,589.99
AutoZone
7D
1.5%
1Y
-1.7%

AZO: DIFM Share Gains And Weather Recovery Are Expected To Drive Returns

AutoZone's fair value estimate has edged down by about $21 to $4,204.74, as analysts tweak their models to reflect slightly higher discount rates and modestly adjusted growth and margin assumptions, while still highlighting cost pressures easing and profit and DIFM commercial initiatives gaining traction. Analyst Commentary Street research around AutoZone has been active, with several firms adjusting price targets in a relatively tight band and focusing on execution around commercial growth, margins, and the impact of recent weather disruptions on same store sales.
FIVE
US$240.23
Five Below
7D
7.6%
1Y
224.0%

FIVE: New Leadership Execution And Margin Expansion Will Shape Bullish 2026 Outlook

Analysts have raised the implied fair value estimate for Five Below by about $32 to $261.32. They cite a series of recent price target increases across Wall Street and updated assumptions that factor in slightly lower revenue growth expectations, offset by higher projected profit margins and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple.
ROST
US$226.34
Ross Stores
7D
1.0%
1Y
63.8%

ROST: Holiday Beat And Off Price Momentum May Support Future Balanced Returns

Narrative Update Analysts have lifted Ross Stores' average price target by roughly $10 to the low $240s, citing a series of post earnings target hikes that point to broad based strength in recent results, stronger merchandise margins, and growing confidence in the off price model as value focused shoppers seek lower prices. Analyst Commentary Recent research activity around Ross Stores centers on a consistent message from Wall Street, stronger recent execution, a supportive backdrop for off price retail, and an earnings print that several firms describe as a clean or healthy beat.
BURL
US$337.02
Burlington Stores
7D
-0.6%
1Y
54.7%

BURL: Off Price Model And Store Expansion Will Support Bullish 2026 Outlook

Analysts have nudged Burlington Stores' blended price target higher into the mid to high $360s, citing a broad wave of raised targets tied to a solid Q4 beat, higher outer-year EPS estimates, and confidence in the company's off-price model and store expansion plans. Analyst Commentary Street research around Burlington Stores is clustered in a positive camp, with a wide set of bullish analysts lifting price targets into a tighter band in the mid to high $360s and some outliers above $390.