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U.S. Luxury Industry Analysis

UpdatedFeb 02, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies65
  • 7D-2.8%
  • 3M8.2%
  • 1Y-18.1%
  • YTD-2.9%

Over the last 7 days, the Luxury industry has dropped 2.8%, driven by a pullback from NIKE of 5.0%. In contrast, Deckers Outdoor has gained 19%. The industry has fallen 18% in the last year. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 19% annually.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Luxury Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Mon, 02 Feb 2026US$264.3bUS$149.5bUS$9.2b18.2x28.7x1.8x
Wed, 31 Dec 2025US$268.4bUS$149.5bUS$9.1b19.8x29.6x1.8x
Fri, 28 Nov 2025US$266.1bUS$152.7bUS$10.1b20.2x26.4x1.7x
Sun, 26 Oct 2025US$265.7bUS$148.3bUS$9.7b19.7x27.3x1.8x
Tue, 23 Sep 2025US$274.5bUS$148.0bUS$9.9b20.8x27.6x1.9x
Thu, 21 Aug 2025US$286.6bUS$157.2bUS$10.5b20x27.2x1.8x
Sat, 19 Jul 2025US$293.0bUS$160.2bUS$10.3b15.8x28.4x1.8x
Mon, 16 Jun 2025US$262.5bUS$161.5bUS$11.6b15.4x22.7x1.6x
Wed, 14 May 2025US$281.5bUS$161.0bUS$11.6b18.4x24.3x1.7x
Fri, 11 Apr 2025US$251.4bUS$161.6bUS$11.4b13.5x22x1.6x
Sun, 09 Mar 2025US$303.5bUS$162.2bUS$11.6b17.2x26.3x1.9x
Tue, 04 Feb 2025US$342.6bUS$161.1bUS$11.8b17.8x29x2.1x
Thu, 02 Jan 2025US$330.4bUS$160.6bUS$11.5b18.6x28.8x2.1x
Sat, 30 Nov 2024US$325.9bUS$161.7bUS$11.7b19.3x27.8x2x
Mon, 28 Oct 2024US$304.5bUS$162.0bUS$10.8b18.3x28.1x1.9x
Wed, 25 Sep 2024US$310.3bUS$163.1bUS$11.1b18.7x27.9x1.9x
Fri, 23 Aug 2024US$307.0bUS$162.9bUS$11.1b17.7x27.7x1.9x
Sun, 21 Jul 2024US$285.3bUS$168.4bUS$11.3b17.5x25.2x1.7x
Tue, 18 Jun 2024US$331.8bUS$168.1bUS$10.8b18.8x30.7x2x
Thu, 16 May 2024US$322.4bUS$164.0bUS$11.7b20.1x27.6x2x
Sat, 13 Apr 2024US$311.3bUS$164.4bUS$11.5b17.6x27x1.9x
Mon, 11 Mar 2024US$347.9bUS$164.5bUS$10.8b18.3x32.2x2.1x
Wed, 07 Feb 2024US$339.5bUS$159.6bUS$11.0b18x30.9x2.1x
Fri, 05 Jan 2024US$338.1bUS$159.4bUS$11.0b17.5x30.7x2.1x
Sun, 03 Dec 2023US$352.1bUS$158.9bUS$10.7b17x32.8x2.2x
Tue, 31 Oct 2023US$308.4bUS$158.9bUS$10.7b13.9x28.9x1.9x
Thu, 28 Sep 2023US$279.5bUS$156.8bUS$10.6b13.1x26.5x1.8x
Sat, 26 Aug 2023US$298.2bUS$156.2bUS$10.4b14.3x28.6x1.9x
Mon, 24 Jul 2023US$324.1bUS$156.7bUS$10.7b13.5x30.2x2.1x
Wed, 21 Jun 2023US$320.4bUS$155.6bUS$11.2b12.1x28.6x2.1x
Fri, 19 May 2023US$334.3bUS$155.4bUS$11.5b11.6x29.1x2.2x
Sun, 16 Apr 2023US$351.3bUS$160.7bUS$10.9b12.7x32.3x2.2x
Tue, 14 Mar 2023US$320.2bUS$157.9bUS$11.6b11x27.7x2x
Thu, 09 Feb 2023US$341.8bUS$158.1bUS$12.1b11.1x28.1x2.2x
Price to Earnings Ratio

28.1x


Total Market Cap: US$341.8bTotal Earnings: US$12.1bTotal Revenue: US$158.1bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Luxury Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 28.3x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Luxury industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 28.3x.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PS ratio of 1.9x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Luxury industry have declined 8.8% per year over the last three years.
  • Meanwhile revenues have remained mostly flat.
  • This means that although sales have remained flat, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased, which has decreased profits.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market-0.23%
Consumer Discretionary-2.01%
Luxury-2.79%
Textiles-1.67%
Footwear-1.94%
Apparel, Accessories and Luxury Goods-3.74%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Footwear industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 27.5x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 21.0%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 13.4% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Textiles industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 111% over the next 5 years.
  • In contrast, the Apparel, Accessories and Luxury Goods industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 17% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
DECK Deckers OutdoorUS$119.3417.8%
+US$2.6b		-30.1%PE16.7x
TPR TapestryUS$126.910.6%
+US$149.4m		72.6%PE95.7x
COLM Columbia SportswearUS$55.283.3%
+US$96.5m		-35.1%PE16x
KTB Kontoor BrandsUS$59.732.1%
+US$68.9m		-31.0%PE15.3x
GIII G-III Apparel GroupUS$29.352.5%
+US$30.0m		-0.6%PE8.4x

Latest News

DECK
US$119.34
Deckers Outdoor
7D
17.8%
1Y
-30.1%
LULU
US$174.50
lululemon athletica
7D
-9.5%
1Y
-57.5%
LEVI
US$19.88
Levi Strauss
7D
-6.4%
1Y
6.5%
RL
US$353.41
Ralph Lauren
7D
-1.9%
1Y
43.7%
ONON
US$45.25
On Holding
7D
-2.6%
1Y
-22.7%
AS
US$36.63
Amer Sports
7D
-3.3%
1Y
18.4%
KTB
US$59.73
Kontoor Brands
7D
2.1%
1Y
-31.0%

KTB: Future Returns Will Depend On Resolving Ongoing Lee Brand Challenges

Analysts nudged their fair value estimate for Kontoor Brands up from $49.00 to $50.00, reflecting updated views around sector level price target resets, mixed brand level execution across Wrangler and Lee, and evolving expectations for earnings resilience and cash flow. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Kontoor Brands has been mixed, with some bearish analysts trimming price targets and stressing execution risks across the portfolio.
COLM
US$55.28
Columbia Sportswear
7D
3.3%
1Y
-35.1%

COLM: Trimmed Fair Value And Soft Guidance Will Set Up Sentiment Rebound

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Columbia Sportswear to $75.00 from $79.00, citing reduced revenue growth expectations. They also note a lower Street price target of $38.00, which reflects concerns about ongoing topline challenges following a "lackluster" Q3 and a cut to FY25 sales guidance.
ZGN
US$8.69
Ermenegildo Zegna
7D
-9.4%
1Y
-1.7%

ZGN: Leadership Transition Will Support Upside Potential Despite Recent Downgrade

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Ermenegildo Zegna slightly to about US$11.58 per share, reflecting a modestly higher discount rate and updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Recent research, including a downgrade, has helped to frame the more cautious stance.
WWW
US$17.72
Wolverine World Wide
7D
1.8%
1Y
-19.0%

WWW: Brand Mix Shift And Cost Discipline Will Support Margins Despite Tariff Headwinds

Analysts have reduced their price target on Wolverine World Wide by about $2. This reflects lower fair value estimates and slightly softer assumptions for growth, margins, and future P/E as they factor in recent downgrades and concerns around direct-to-consumer softness, brand challenges, and upcoming tariff pressure.
NKE
US$61.81
NIKE
7D
-4.9%
1Y
-19.3%

Nike - A Fundamental and Historical Valuation

Business Overview Key Metrics Total: 7/17 +1 ✅ Projected Operating Margin: 13.65% +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Revenue CAGR: 5.88% +1 ✅ Last 5-Year ROIC: 18.60% +1 ✅ Estimated Cost of Capital: 11.54% (less than ROIC) +1 ✅ Last 5-Year Shares Outstanding CAGR: -1.28% +1 ✅ Projected 5-Year EPS CAGR: 16.37% +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Dividend CAGR: 9.13% +1 ✅ Moody's Rating: A2 +2 ✅✅ Morningstar Moat: Wide -1 ❌ Morningstar Uncertainty: High Nike runs with a solid operating margin above the ~10% mark showing it still has some competitive advantage over competitors even with the maturity of its business and a highly competitive industry. Despite currently having revenue growth below the economy growth rate, its projections point to a slightly higher than economy growth rate of ~5-6% over the next couple of years.
TPR
US$126.91
Tapestry
7D
0.6%
1Y
72.6%

TPR: Higher Price Views And Buybacks Will Support Balanced Long Term Outlook

Analysts have lifted their Tapestry fair value estimate by about US$6 to roughly US$131.50. This reflects slightly higher modeled revenue growth, a modestly lower discount rate, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple supported by recent price target increases across major research firms.
PVH
US$62.36
PVH
7D
0.5%
1Y
-25.2%

PVH: Future Execution On Earnings Guidance Will Support Share Re Rating

The analyst price target for PVH has been adjusted modestly, with a US$1 move in fair value to US$79.0 as analysts factor in updated revenue growth and margin assumptions, along with recent Street research that includes a higher US$98 target from Jefferies. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from the Street have centered on refined revenue and margin assumptions for PVH, with the latest fair value estimate at US$79.0 sitting below a higher US$98 price target from Jefferies.
BIRK
US$37.76
Birkenstock Holding
7D
-4.5%
1Y
-32.2%
GIII
US$29.35
G-III Apparel Group
7D
2.5%
1Y
-0.6%
MOV
US$22.80
Movado Group
7D
1.3%
1Y
22.7%