Seeking Alpha • Aug 13
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U.S. Energy Sector Analysis
UpdatedAug 16, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies427
- 7D6.9%
- 3M1.8%
- 1Y41.7%
- YTD33.7%
Over the last 7 days, the Energy industry has risen 6.9%, driven by gains in ExxonMobil Holdings and Chevron of 4.6% and 7.2%, respectively. During this same period, the Sable Offshore underperformed, falling 13%. This means that the industry has gained 42% over the past year. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 6.0% per annum.
Sector Valuation and Performance
Has the U.S. Energy Sector valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 16 Aug 2026 | US$3.1t | US$2.1t | US$172.4b | 14.9x | 18.2x | 1.5x |
| Tue, 14 Jul 2026 | US$2.8t | US$1.9t | US$125.0b | 16.5x | 22.5x | 1.5x |
| Thu, 11 Jun 2026 | US$2.9t | US$1.9t | US$125.1b | 16.2x | 23.2x | 1.5x |
| Sat, 09 May 2026 | US$2.9t | US$1.9t | US$125.0b | 15.7x | 23.1x | 1.5x |
| Mon, 06 Apr 2026 | US$3.0t | US$1.9t | US$130.7b | 17.6x | 23.3x | 1.6x |
| Wed, 04 Mar 2026 | US$2.9t | US$1.9t | US$130.8b | 17.3x | 22.3x | 1.5x |
| Fri, 30 Jan 2026 | US$2.6t | US$1.9t | US$127.2b | 16.7x | 20.4x | 1.4x |
| Sun, 28 Dec 2025 | US$2.3t | US$1.9t | US$126.3b | 14.9x | 18.2x | 1.2x |
| Tue, 25 Nov 2025 | US$2.3t | US$1.9t | US$124.7b | 15.5x | 18.5x | 1.2x |
| Thu, 23 Oct 2025 | US$2.3t | US$1.9t | US$125.3b | 13.7x | 18.1x | 1.2x |
| Sat, 20 Sep 2025 | US$2.3t | US$1.9t | US$125.9b | 13.6x | 18.5x | 1.3x |
| Mon, 18 Aug 2025 | US$2.2t | US$1.9t | US$126.3b | 13.1x | 17.7x | 1.2x |
| Wed, 16 Jul 2025 | US$2.3t | US$1.9t | US$134.5b | 11.8x | 17.4x | 1.2x |
| Fri, 13 Jun 2025 | US$2.3t | US$1.9t | US$134.4b | 12.1x | 17x | 1.2x |
| Sun, 11 May 2025 | US$2.2t | US$1.9t | US$135.2b | 11.7x | 16.1x | 1.1x |
| Tue, 08 Apr 2025 | US$2.1t | US$1.9t | US$143.8b | 11x | 14.4x | 1.1x |
| Thu, 06 Mar 2025 | US$2.3t | US$1.9t | US$143.5b | 12.3x | 15.9x | 1.2x |
| Sat, 01 Feb 2025 | US$2.4t | US$1.9t | US$158.3b | 12.4x | 15.4x | 1.3x |
| Mon, 30 Dec 2024 | US$2.2t | US$1.9t | US$158.3b | 11.6x | 14.2x | 1.2x |
| Wed, 27 Nov 2024 | US$2.5t | US$1.9t | US$158.6b | 12.2x | 15.5x | 1.3x |
| Fri, 25 Oct 2024 | US$2.3t | US$2.0t | US$173.0b | 11.3x | 13.5x | 1.2x |
| Sun, 22 Sep 2024 | US$2.3t | US$2.0t | US$172.6b | 11.8x | 13.3x | 1.2x |
| Tue, 20 Aug 2024 | US$2.3t | US$2.0t | US$172.2b | 11.6x | 13.5x | 1.2x |
| Thu, 18 Jul 2024 | US$2.3t | US$1.9t | US$176.0b | 12x | 13.3x | 1.2x |
| Sat, 15 Jun 2024 | US$2.2t | US$1.9t | US$176.1b | 11.1x | 12.6x | 1.1x |
| Mon, 13 May 2024 | US$2.3t | US$1.9t | US$175.2b | 11.7x | 13.4x | 1.2x |
| Wed, 10 Apr 2024 | US$2.5t | US$2.0t | US$206.1b | 10.9x | 12.1x | 1.3x |
| Fri, 08 Mar 2024 | US$2.3t | US$2.0t | US$207.0b | 9.2x | 10.9x | 1.1x |
| Sun, 04 Feb 2024 | US$2.2t | US$2.1t | US$229.0b | 8.4x | 9.7x | 1.1x |
| Tue, 02 Jan 2024 | US$2.3t | US$2.1t | US$242.2b | 8.6x | 9.3x | 1.1x |
| Thu, 30 Nov 2023 | US$2.3t | US$2.1t | US$242.5b | 8.7x | 9.3x | 1.1x |
| Sat, 28 Oct 2023 | US$2.3t | US$2.1t | US$252.4b | 7.8x | 9x | 1.1x |
| Mon, 25 Sep 2023 | US$2.4t | US$2.2t | US$272.6b | 7.6x | 8.7x | 1.1x |
| Wed, 23 Aug 2023 | US$2.3t | US$2.2t | US$272.4b | 7.7x | 8.5x | 1.1x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
8.5x
Current Industry PE
- Investors are optimistic on the American Energy industry, and appear confident in long term growth rates.
- The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 18.2x which is higher than its 3-year average PE of 15.5x.
- The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.2x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 1.5x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for companies in the Energy industry have declined 14% per year over the last three years.
- Meanwhile revenues have remained mostly flat.
- This means that although sales have remained flat, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased, which has decreased profits.
Industry Trends
Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Energy sector?
| US Market | 0.63% | |
| Energy | 6.92% | |
| Energy Services | 8.01% | |
| Oil and Gas | 6.79% | |
Industry PE
- Investors are most optimistic about the Energy Services industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 21.7x.
- Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 22.9%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 14.0% per year.
- Investors are most pessimistic about the Oil and Gas industry, although it looks like investor sentiment has improved given that it's trading above its 3-year average of 15.1x.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Energy Services industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 23% over the next 5 years.
- This is better than its past earnings decline of 14% per year.
- In contrast, the Oil and Gas industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 4.1% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XOM ExxonMobil Holdings | US$160.10 | 4.6% +US$29.0b | 50.3% | PE20.1x | |
| CVX Chevron | US$200.00 | 7.2% +US$26.4b | 27.8% | PE19.1x | |
| MPC Marathon Petroleum | US$355.42 | 19.2% +US$16.1b | 118.9% | PE11.7x | |
| VLO Valero Energy | US$341.67 | 14.5% +US$12.5b | 149.8% | PE13.7x | |
| PSX Phillips 66 | US$233.61 | 14.6% +US$11.9b | 89.0% | PE13.2x |