Is There An Opportunity With Kellanova's (NYSE:K) 44% Undervaluation?
Jul 22
U.S. Food Industry Analysis
UpdatedJul 22, 2024
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies134
- 7D2.2%
- 3M-3.2%
- 1Y-11.5%
- YTD-4.0%
In the last week, the Food industry is up 2.2%, with Mondelez International up 3.3%. Meanwhile, Freshpet actually underperformed within the industry, shrinking 7.1% in the last week. In the past year, the industry is down 12%. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 9.6% annually.
Industry Valuation and Performance
Has the U.S. Food Industry valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, 22 Jul 2024 | US$468.1b | US$467.5b | US$24.2b | 18.7x | 19.4x | 1x |
| Wed, 19 Jun 2024 | US$458.9b | US$473.7b | US$25.1b | 14.9x | 18.3x | 1x |
| Fri, 17 May 2024 | US$489.0b | US$474.0b | US$24.3b | 17x | 20.1x | 1x |
| Sun, 14 Apr 2024 | US$472.0b | US$472.0b | US$24.7b | 16.4x | 19.1x | 1x |
| Tue, 12 Mar 2024 | US$477.7b | US$477.1b | US$24.9b | 15.2x | 19.2x | 1x |
| Thu, 08 Feb 2024 | US$477.2b | US$483.8b | US$25.0b | 15.7x | 19.1x | 1x |
| Sat, 06 Jan 2024 | US$498.9b | US$490.0b | US$25.4b | 16.7x | 19.6x | 1x |
| Mon, 04 Dec 2023 | US$483.1b | US$490.4b | US$25.5b | 15.9x | 18.9x | 1x |
| Wed, 01 Nov 2023 | US$462.5b | US$488.7b | US$26.1b | 17.2x | 17.7x | 0.9x |
| Fri, 29 Sep 2023 | US$491.1b | US$494.0b | US$26.2b | 18.6x | 18.8x | 1x |
| Sun, 27 Aug 2023 | US$517.6b | US$491.0b | US$26.3b | 16.4x | 19.7x | 1.1x |
| Tue, 25 Jul 2023 | US$551.8b | US$494.2b | US$26.1b | 17.5x | 21.1x | 1.1x |
| Thu, 22 Jun 2023 | US$547.4b | US$499.3b | US$26.7b | 17.1x | 20.5x | 1.1x |
| Sat, 20 May 2023 | US$566.9b | US$499.2b | US$27.7b | 18.6x | 20.5x | 1.1x |
| Mon, 17 Apr 2023 | US$562.7b | US$495.6b | US$28.2b | 18.4x | 20x | 1.1x |
| Wed, 15 Mar 2023 | US$537.4b | US$493.6b | US$28.0b | 16.8x | 19.2x | 1.1x |
| Fri, 10 Feb 2023 | US$536.8b | US$492.2b | US$27.2b | 18.6x | 19.7x | 1.1x |
| Sun, 08 Jan 2023 | US$568.6b | US$486.6b | US$28.0b | 18.6x | 20.3x | 1.2x |
| Tue, 06 Dec 2022 | US$565.5b | US$484.9b | US$27.7b | 19.5x | 20.4x | 1.2x |
| Thu, 03 Nov 2022 | US$554.8b | US$482.1b | US$28.5b | 21.3x | 19.4x | 1.2x |
| Sat, 01 Oct 2022 | US$504.8b | US$472.1b | US$29.1b | 17.6x | 17.3x | 1.1x |
| Mon, 29 Aug 2022 | US$557.8b | US$470.4b | US$29.0b | 18.9x | 19.3x | 1.2x |
| Wed, 27 Jul 2022 | US$539.0b | US$455.8b | US$28.3b | 17.3x | 19x | 1.2x |
| Fri, 24 Jun 2022 | US$521.5b | US$455.1b | US$28.1b | 17.6x | 18.5x | 1.1x |
| Sun, 22 May 2022 | US$531.4b | US$452.8b | US$27.8b | 18.5x | 19.1x | 1.2x |
| Tue, 19 Apr 2022 | US$582.2b | US$439.1b | US$25.9b | 26.6x | 22.5x | 1.3x |
| Thu, 17 Mar 2022 | US$535.4b | US$439.0b | US$25.9b | 24.4x | 20.7x | 1.2x |
| Sat, 12 Feb 2022 | US$554.1b | US$434.8b | US$27.7b | 21.1x | 20x | 1.3x |
| Mon, 10 Jan 2022 | US$555.7b | US$421.0b | US$27.3b | 20.7x | 20.4x | 1.3x |
| Wed, 08 Dec 2021 | US$499.3b | US$418.6b | US$27.5b | 20.8x | 18.2x | 1.2x |
| Fri, 05 Nov 2021 | US$524.6b | US$415.0b | US$26.9b | 22.3x | 19.5x | 1.3x |
| Sun, 03 Oct 2021 | US$510.4b | US$402.8b | US$26.2b | 22.1x | 19.5x | 1.3x |
| Tue, 31 Aug 2021 | US$517.6b | US$404.7b | US$26.2b | 18x | 19.7x | 1.3x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
20x
Current Industry PE
- Investors are relatively neutral on the American Food industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
- The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 19.5x.
- The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.1x is higher than the industry's current PS ratio of 1.0x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for companies in the Food industry have declined 2.5% per year over the last three years.
- Meanwhile revenues for these companies have grown 4.9% per year.
- This means that although more sales are being generated, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased, which has decreased profits.
Industry Trends
Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Staples industry?
| US Market | -2.12% | |
| Consumer Staples | 1.34% | |
| Food | 2.21% | |
| Packaged Foods and Meats | 2.29% | |
| Agricultural Products | 1.66% | |
Industry PE
- Investors are most optimistic about the Packaged Foods and Meats industry, which is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 21.7x.
- Analysts expect its future annual earnings growth (11.6%) to be largely in line with prior year's earnings growth.
- Investors are most pessimistic about the Agricultural Products industry, which is trading below its 3-year average of 12.7x.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Packaged Foods and Meats industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 12% over the next 5 years.
- This is roughly in line with its past earnings growth rate.
- In contrast, the Agricultural Products industry is expected to see its earnings decline by 2.8% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDLZ Mondelez International | US$66.45 | 3.3% +US$2.8b | -10.6% | PE20.8x | |
| KHC Kraft Heinz | US$33.12 | 2.6% +US$1.0b | -8.9% | PE14.3x | |
| GIS General Mills | US$64.38 | 2.4% +US$848.4m | -16.7% | PE14.4x | |
| TSN Tyson Foods | US$59.73 | 3.9% +US$804.6m | 11.7% | PS0.4x | |
| HRL Hormel Foods | US$31.79 | 4.1% +US$679.9m | -21.5% | PE22.7x |
