Vital Farms, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:VITL) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 30% Share Price Bounce
Aug 16
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U.S. Food Industry Analysis
UpdatedAug 17, 2025
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies144
- 7D-0.2%
- 3M-1.0%
- 1Y-12.5%
- YTD-3.8%
Last week, the Food industry hasn't moved much but Archer-Daniels-Midland is up 3.3% in that time. As for the longer term, the industry has declined 12% in the last year. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 16% per annum.
Industry Valuation and Performance
Has the U.S. Food Industry valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 17 Aug 2025 | US$449.9b | US$555.2b | US$16.3b | 20.9x | 27.7x | 0.8x |
| Tue, 15 Jul 2025 | US$455.0b | US$547.2b | US$24.0b | 19.4x | 19x | 0.8x |
| Thu, 12 Jun 2025 | US$518.2b | US$548.1b | US$24.4b | 19x | 21.2x | 0.9x |
| Sat, 10 May 2025 | US$436.2b | US$468.1b | US$22.7b | 18.9x | 19.2x | 0.9x |
| Mon, 07 Apr 2025 | US$440.6b | US$471.4b | US$24.5b | 16.9x | 18x | 0.9x |
| Wed, 05 Mar 2025 | US$453.6b | US$471.2b | US$24.4b | 18.3x | 18.6x | 1x |
| Fri, 31 Jan 2025 | US$438.6b | US$478.4b | US$22.2b | 20.5x | 19.7x | 0.9x |
| Sun, 29 Dec 2024 | US$446.8b | US$464.4b | US$21.6b | 20x | 20.7x | 1x |
| Tue, 26 Nov 2024 | US$465.9b | US$459.1b | US$21.4b | 19.9x | 21.7x | 1x |
| Thu, 24 Oct 2024 | US$482.2b | US$462.1b | US$22.6b | 17.9x | 21.3x | 1x |
| Sat, 21 Sep 2024 | US$500.8b | US$461.6b | US$22.2b | 19.7x | 22.6x | 1.1x |
| Mon, 19 Aug 2024 | US$482.7b | US$461.0b | US$22.2b | 19.8x | 21.8x | 1x |
| Wed, 17 Jul 2024 | US$458.1b | US$472.8b | US$24.4b | 17.9x | 18.7x | 1x |
| Fri, 14 Jun 2024 | US$457.5b | US$473.6b | US$25.1b | 14.5x | 18.2x | 1x |
| Sun, 12 May 2024 | US$491.4b | US$474.0b | US$24.3b | 15.7x | 20.2x | 1x |
| Tue, 09 Apr 2024 | US$480.0b | US$472.1b | US$24.7b | 16.6x | 19.4x | 1x |
| Thu, 07 Mar 2024 | US$469.0b | US$477.1b | US$24.9b | 15.3x | 18.8x | 1x |
| Sat, 03 Feb 2024 | US$495.6b | US$491.0b | US$25.9b | 16.1x | 19.2x | 1x |
| Mon, 01 Jan 2024 | US$495.8b | US$490.0b | US$25.5b | 16.6x | 19.4x | 1x |
| Wed, 29 Nov 2023 | US$479.4b | US$490.5b | US$25.6b | 15.8x | 18.7x | 1x |
| Fri, 27 Oct 2023 | US$462.8b | US$489.2b | US$26.1b | 17.2x | 17.7x | 0.9x |
| Sun, 24 Sep 2023 | US$499.6b | US$491.3b | US$26.2b | 18.4x | 19.1x | 1x |
| Tue, 22 Aug 2023 | US$522.2b | US$491.1b | US$26.4b | 16.1x | 19.8x | 1.1x |
| Thu, 20 Jul 2023 | US$543.7b | US$494.2b | US$26.1b | 17.3x | 20.8x | 1.1x |
| Sat, 17 Jun 2023 | US$554.4b | US$499.3b | US$26.7b | 16.9x | 20.7x | 1.1x |
| Mon, 15 May 2023 | US$578.3b | US$499.1b | US$27.7b | 18.9x | 20.9x | 1.2x |
| Wed, 12 Apr 2023 | US$567.8b | US$495.5b | US$28.2b | 18.2x | 20.1x | 1.1x |
| Fri, 10 Mar 2023 | US$532.4b | US$493.6b | US$28.1b | 17x | 18.9x | 1.1x |
| Sun, 05 Feb 2023 | US$546.5b | US$491.2b | US$27.9b | 18.2x | 19.6x | 1.1x |
| Tue, 03 Jan 2023 | US$560.0b | US$485.6b | US$27.6b | 18x | 20.3x | 1.2x |
| Thu, 01 Dec 2022 | US$574.0b | US$485.1b | US$27.7b | 19.4x | 20.7x | 1.2x |
| Sat, 29 Oct 2022 | US$558.3b | US$480.7b | US$29.2b | 21.6x | 19.1x | 1.2x |
| Mon, 26 Sep 2022 | US$521.8b | US$471.7b | US$29.0b | 19.2x | 18x | 1.1x |
| Wed, 24 Aug 2022 | US$562.4b | US$470.2b | US$29.0b | 19.3x | 19.4x | 1.2x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
19.4x
Current Industry PE
- Investors are optimistic on the American Food industry, and appear confident in long term growth rates.
- The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 27.7x which is higher than its 3-year average PE of 19.7x.
- The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.0x is higher than the industry's current PS ratio of 0.81x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for companies in the Food industry have declined 18% per year over the last three years.
- Meanwhile revenues for these companies have grown 5.7% per year.
- This means that although more sales are being generated, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased, which has decreased profits.
Industry Trends
Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Staples industry?
| US Market | 1.05% | |
| Consumer Staples | -1.04% | |
| Food | -0.19% | |
| Agricultural Products | 1.32% | |
| Packaged Foods and Meats | -0.42% | |
Industry PE
- Investors are most optimistic about the Packaged Foods and Meats industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 21.8x.
- Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 15.6%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 1.6% per year.
- Investors are most pessimistic about the Agricultural Products industry, although it looks like investor sentiment has improved given that it's trading above its 3-year average of 12.6x.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Packaged Foods and Meats industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 16% over the next 5 years.
- This is better than its past earnings decline of 1.6% per year.
- In contrast, the Agricultural Products industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 15% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland | US$59.75 | 3.3% +US$917.7m | 1.1% | PE26.1x | |
| LW Lamb Weston Holdings | US$54.15 | 5.0% +US$362.3m | -11.1% | PE21.1x | |
| MDLZ Mondelez International | US$62.08 | 0.4% +US$323.5m | -11.5% | PE22.1x | |
| CALM Cal-Maine Foods | US$110.65 | 2.7% +US$141.1m | 56.4% | PE4.4x | |
| VITL Vital Farms | US$47.75 | 5.0% +US$101.4m | 53.8% | PE41.4x |
