Narrative Update • Aug 20
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- 7D1.6%
- 3M13.4%
- 1Y-2.8%
- YTD-9.8%
Nomura Research Institute is up 4.4%, leading the way for the IT industry, which has gained 1.6%. The industry has been flat over the past 12 months despite the gain this week. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 12% annually.
Industry Valuation and Performance
Has the Japanese IT Industry valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 25 Aug 2026 | JP¥26.8t | JP¥15.5t | JP¥1.2t | 16.6x | 22.6x | 1.7x |
| Thu, 23 Jul 2026 | JP¥24.5t | JP¥15.2t | JP¥1.1t | 15.6x | 21.5x | 1.6x |
| Sat, 20 Jun 2026 | JP¥22.2t | JP¥15.2t | JP¥1.1t | 14.2x | 19.5x | 1.5x |
| Mon, 18 May 2026 | JP¥23.0t | JP¥15.2t | JP¥1.1t | 14.1x | 20.3x | 1.5x |
| Wed, 15 Apr 2026 | JP¥23.9t | JP¥15.1t | JP¥1.2t | 14.5x | 19.8x | 1.6x |
| Fri, 13 Mar 2026 | JP¥25.9t | JP¥15.9t | JP¥1.3t | 15x | 20.2x | 1.6x |
| Sun, 08 Feb 2026 | JP¥26.9t | JP¥15.8t | JP¥1.3t | 16.2x | 21.1x | 1.7x |
| Tue, 06 Jan 2026 | JP¥31.9t | JP¥15.4t | JP¥1.2t | 17.5x | 26.6x | 2.1x |
| Thu, 04 Dec 2025 | JP¥32.1t | JP¥15.4t | JP¥1.2t | 17.2x | 26.8x | 2.1x |
| Sat, 01 Nov 2025 | JP¥31.6t | JP¥15.5t | JP¥1.2t | 17.3x | 26.9x | 2x |
| Mon, 29 Sep 2025 | JP¥35.0t | JP¥19.9t | JP¥1.2t | 18.4x | 29.5x | 1.8x |
| Wed, 27 Aug 2025 | JP¥34.8t | JP¥19.9t | JP¥1.2t | 17.2x | 29.4x | 1.8x |
| Fri, 25 Jul 2025 | JP¥27.6t | JP¥15.0t | JP¥980.9b | 17.5x | 28.1x | 1.8x |
| Sun, 22 Jun 2025 | JP¥28.2t | JP¥15.0t | JP¥979.4b | 17.1x | 28.8x | 1.9x |
| Tue, 20 May 2025 | JP¥32.6t | JP¥19.6t | JP¥1.1t | 17.8x | 29.2x | 1.7x |
| Thu, 17 Apr 2025 | JP¥27.3t | JP¥19.5t | JP¥1.2t | 16x | 22.1x | 1.4x |
| Sat, 15 Mar 2025 | JP¥28.8t | JP¥20.0t | JP¥1.3t | 16.8x | 22.8x | 1.4x |
| Mon, 10 Feb 2025 | JP¥29.9t | JP¥20.0t | JP¥1.3t | 17.8x | 23.9x | 1.5x |
| Wed, 08 Jan 2025 | JP¥28.3t | JP¥19.8t | JP¥1.1t | 17.7x | 25.2x | 1.4x |
| Fri, 06 Dec 2024 | JP¥28.2t | JP¥19.8t | JP¥1.1t | 17.9x | 25.1x | 1.4x |
| Sun, 03 Nov 2024 | JP¥26.3t | JP¥19.7t | JP¥1.1t | 17.2x | 23.5x | 1.3x |
| Tue, 01 Oct 2024 | JP¥27.9t | JP¥19.7t | JP¥1.1t | 17.9x | 24.8x | 1.4x |
| Thu, 29 Aug 2024 | JP¥26.2t | JP¥19.7t | JP¥1.1t | 17.7x | 23.1x | 1.3x |
| Sat, 27 Jul 2024 | JP¥25.7t | JP¥19.6t | JP¥1.1t | 18.2x | 22.5x | 1.3x |
| Mon, 24 Jun 2024 | JP¥24.5t | JP¥19.5t | JP¥1.1t | 17.4x | 21.8x | 1.3x |
| Wed, 22 May 2024 | JP¥24.1t | JP¥19.5t | JP¥1.1t | 17.9x | 21.5x | 1.2x |
| Fri, 19 Apr 2024 | JP¥24.2t | JP¥19.2t | JP¥965.5b | 18.4x | 25x | 1.3x |
| Sun, 17 Mar 2024 | JP¥25.0t | JP¥19.2t | JP¥964.4b | 19.4x | 25.9x | 1.3x |
| Tue, 13 Feb 2024 | JP¥23.7t | JP¥19.2t | JP¥956.8b | 18.3x | 24.7x | 1.2x |
| Thu, 11 Jan 2024 | JP¥24.7t | JP¥19.6t | JP¥1.0t | 18.5x | 23.8x | 1.3x |
| Sat, 09 Dec 2023 | JP¥23.4t | JP¥19.6t | JP¥1.0t | 18x | 22.6x | 1.2x |
| Mon, 06 Nov 2023 | JP¥22.6t | JP¥19.0t | JP¥1.0t | 17.6x | 22.2x | 1.2x |
| Wed, 04 Oct 2023 | JP¥22.8t | JP¥18.8t | JP¥1.0t | 18.3x | 22.3x | 1.2x |
| Fri, 01 Sep 2023 | JP¥23.4t | JP¥18.8t | JP¥1.0t | 19.3x | 23x | 1.2x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
23x
Current Industry PE
- Investors are relatively neutral on the Japanese IT industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
- The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 24.2x.
- The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.5x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 1.7x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for companies in the IT industry have grown 5.1% per year over the last three years.
- Meanwhile revenues for these companies have declined 6.3% per year.
- This means that less sales are being generated overall, but since cost of doing business is lower, profits have been increasing.
Industry Trends
Which industries have driven the changes within the Japanese Tech industry?
| JP Market | -2.74% | |
| Tech | -8.26% | |
| IT | 1.62% | |
| Data Processing Services | 2.73% | |
| IT Consulting | 1.65% | |
| Internet Services and Infrastructure | 0.55% | |
Industry PE
- Investors are most optimistic about the Internet Services and Infrastructure industry even though it's trading below its 3-year average PE ratio of 36.8x.
- Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 15.0%, which is higher than its past year's earnings growth of 11.3% per year.
- Investors are most pessimistic about the Data Processing Services industry, which is trading close to its 3-year average of 16.9x.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Data Processing Services industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 16% over the next 5 years.
- This is roughly in line with its past earnings growth rate.
- In contrast, the IT Consulting industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 12% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6702 Fujitsu | JP¥3.74k | 3.7% +JP¥232.5b | 4.7% | PE20.4x | |
| 4307 Nomura Research Institute | JP¥5.12k | 5.9% +JP¥160.1b | -12.9% | PE155.2x | |
| 4684 OBICLtd | JP¥4.80k | 5.3% +JP¥104.7b | -8.8% | PE26.4x | |
| 4768 Otsuka | JP¥3.54k | 3.3% +JP¥42.5b | 17.9% | PE20x | |
| 3626 TISI | JP¥3.86k | 3.9% +JP¥30.4b | -21.3% | PE16.7x |