Calculating The Fair Value Of Seres Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:601127)
Jan 21
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Chinese (SSE) Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis
UpdatedJan 21, 2025
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies586
- 7D5.2%
- 3M5.6%
- 1Y22.8%
- YTD0.8%
Over the last 7 days, the Consumer Discretionary industry has risen 3.1%, driven by gains in Anhui Jianghuai Automobile GroupLtd and SAIC Motor of 15% and 5.0%, respectively. Meanwhile, DR actually underperformed within the industry, shrinking 6.9% in the last week. In the last 12 months, the industry was up 17%. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 21% per annum.
Sector Valuation and Performance
Has the Chinese Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 21 Jan 2025 | CN¥6.3t | CN¥5.6t | CN¥250.2b | 30x | 25.3x | 1.1x |
| Thu, 19 Dec 2024 | CN¥6.5t | CN¥5.6t | CN¥251.1b | 30.8x | 25.9x | 1.2x |
| Sat, 16 Nov 2024 | CN¥6.2t | CN¥5.6t | CN¥251.0b | 28.7x | 24.8x | 1.1x |
| Mon, 14 Oct 2024 | CN¥5.8t | CN¥5.7t | CN¥254.2b | 25.2x | 22.7x | 1x |
| Wed, 11 Sep 2024 | CN¥4.8t | CN¥5.7t | CN¥252.5b | 22.1x | 19.1x | 0.8x |
| Fri, 09 Aug 2024 | CN¥5.0t | CN¥5.8t | CN¥246.2b | 22.9x | 20.1x | 0.9x |
| Sun, 07 Jul 2024 | CN¥5.0t | CN¥5.8t | CN¥245.9b | 23.8x | 20.5x | 0.9x |
| Tue, 04 Jun 2024 | CN¥5.5t | CN¥5.8t | CN¥245.1b | 25.6x | 22.6x | 1x |
| Thu, 02 May 2024 | CN¥5.8t | CN¥5.8t | CN¥242.6b | 26.8x | 23.9x | 1x |
| Sat, 30 Mar 2024 | CN¥5.6t | CN¥5.8t | CN¥221.1b | 27.7x | 25.5x | 1x |
| Mon, 26 Feb 2024 | CN¥5.3t | CN¥5.6t | CN¥209.1b | 25.9x | 25.3x | 0.9x |
| Wed, 24 Jan 2024 | CN¥5.2t | CN¥5.6t | CN¥208.0b | 26.8x | 24.8x | 0.9x |
| Fri, 22 Dec 2023 | CN¥5.6t | CN¥5.6t | CN¥206.2b | 30.4x | 27x | 1x |
| Sun, 19 Nov 2023 | CN¥5.7t | CN¥5.6t | CN¥206.1b | 33.1x | 27.8x | 1x |
| Tue, 17 Oct 2023 | CN¥5.7t | CN¥5.6t | CN¥198.0b | 33.1x | 28.9x | 1x |
| Thu, 14 Sep 2023 | CN¥5.7t | CN¥5.6t | CN¥196.7b | 32.1x | 29.1x | 1x |
| Sat, 12 Aug 2023 | CN¥5.8t | CN¥5.6t | CN¥177.9b | 32.8x | 32.8x | 1x |
| Mon, 10 Jul 2023 | CN¥5.9t | CN¥5.6t | CN¥165.1b | 34x | 35.9x | 1.1x |
| Wed, 07 Jun 2023 | CN¥5.5t | CN¥5.6t | CN¥165.4b | 31.1x | 33.5x | 1x |
| Fri, 05 May 2023 | CN¥5.7t | CN¥5.7t | CN¥169.1b | 31.7x | 33.6x | 1x |
| Sun, 02 Apr 2023 | CN¥6.0t | CN¥5.8t | CN¥142.7b | 33x | 42.1x | 1x |
| Tue, 28 Feb 2023 | CN¥6.2t | CN¥5.8t | CN¥153.7b | 35.3x | 40.6x | 1.1x |
| Thu, 26 Jan 2023 | CN¥6.2t | CN¥5.8t | CN¥154.7b | 32.8x | 40x | 1.1x |
| Sat, 24 Dec 2022 | CN¥5.8t | CN¥5.8t | CN¥154.3b | 30.4x | 37.6x | 1x |
| Mon, 21 Nov 2022 | CN¥5.8t | CN¥5.8t | CN¥152.7b | 32.4x | 37.7x | 1x |
| Wed, 19 Oct 2022 | CN¥5.7t | CN¥5.7t | CN¥152.1b | 32.5x | 37.3x | 1x |
| Fri, 16 Sep 2022 | CN¥6.0t | CN¥5.7t | CN¥151.6b | 34.1x | 39.4x | 1.1x |
| Sun, 14 Aug 2022 | CN¥6.2t | CN¥5.8t | CN¥172.1b | 36.4x | 36.2x | 1.1x |
| Tue, 12 Jul 2022 | CN¥6.3t | CN¥5.9t | CN¥173.2b | 34.8x | 36.2x | 1.1x |
| Thu, 09 Jun 2022 | CN¥6.0t | CN¥5.9t | CN¥174.1b | 33.1x | 34.4x | 1x |
| Sat, 07 May 2022 | CN¥5.4t | CN¥5.9t | CN¥174.1b | 29.3x | 30.9x | 0.9x |
| Mon, 04 Apr 2022 | CN¥5.8t | CN¥6.0t | CN¥220.9b | 29.1x | 26.4x | 1x |
| Wed, 02 Mar 2022 | CN¥6.6t | CN¥6.0t | CN¥230.1b | 31.1x | 28.6x | 1.1x |
| Fri, 28 Jan 2022 | CN¥6.6t | CN¥5.9t | CN¥229.0b | 30.1x | 28.9x | 1.1x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
28.9x
Current Industry PE
- Investors are pessimistic on the Chinese Consumer Discretionary industry, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates will be lower than they have historically.
- The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 25.0x which is lower than its 3-year average PE of 30.2x.
- The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PS ratio of 1.0x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 3.0% per year over the last three years, while revenues have remained mostly flat.
- This means that companies overall are more efficiently conducting business since profits are increasing while sales have been flat.
Industry Trends
Which industries have driven the changes within the Chinese Consumer Discretionary sector?
| CN Market | 4.24% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | 5.21% | |
| Leisure | 8.83% | |
| Consumer Services | 7.94% | |
| Hospitality | 6.79% | |
| General Merchandise and Department Stores | 6.27% | |
| Auto Components | 6.18% | |
| Auto | 5.87% | |
| Luxury | 5.35% | |
| Specialty Stores | 5.35% | |
| Retail Distributors | 4.14% | |
| Consumer Durables | 3.39% | |
| Online Retail and Ecommerce | 0% | 0 |
Industry PE
- Investors are most optimistic about the General Merchandise and Department Stores industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 45.7x.
- Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 15.9%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 5.3% per year.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Consumer Services industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 77% over the next 5 years.
- This is better than its past earnings growth rate of 23% per year.
- In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 14% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600418 Anhui Jianghuai Automobile GroupLtd | CN¥39.44 | 14.7% +CN¥11.1b | 203.4% | PE145.3x | |
| 600104 SAIC Motor | CN¥17.09 | 5.0% +CN¥9.4b | 29.1% | PE20.3x | |
| 601127 Seres GroupLtd | CN¥136.66 | 3.5% +CN¥7.0b | 127.0% | PE53x | |
| 601689 Ningbo Tuopu GroupLtd | CN¥56.53 | 6.5% +CN¥5.8b | 47.7% | PE34.2x | |
| 600690 Haier Smart Home | CN¥27.77 | 2.1% +CN¥5.3b | 28.2% | PE13.8x |
