An Intrinsic Calculation For Meituan (HKG:3690) Suggests It's 46% Undervalued
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Hong Kong (HSI) Market Analysis & Valuation
UpdatedFeb 24, 2025
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies2305
- 7D2.6%
- 3M14.9%
- 1Y25.9%
- YTD11.7%
Over the last 7 days, the market has risen 2.6%, driven by gains of 7.5% in the Communication Services sector. As for the past 12 months, the market is up 26%. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 12% per annum.
Market Valuation and Performance
Has the Hong Kong Market valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, 24 Feb 2025 | HK$48.1t | HK$43.3t | HK$3.5t | 10.3x | 13.6x | 1.1x |
| Wed, 22 Jan 2025 | HK$43.8t | HK$43.1t | HK$3.5t | 9.9x | 12.5x | 1x |
| Fri, 20 Dec 2024 | HK$44.1t | HK$42.6t | HK$3.6t | 10x | 12.1x | 1x |
| Sun, 17 Nov 2024 | HK$43.2t | HK$43.0t | HK$3.7t | 9.8x | 11.8x | 1x |
| Tue, 15 Oct 2024 | HK$45.2t | HK$43.6t | HK$3.6t | 10x | 12.6x | 1x |
| Thu, 12 Sep 2024 | HK$38.1t | HK$43.6t | HK$3.6t | 8.7x | 10.6x | 0.9x |
| Sat, 10 Aug 2024 | HK$39.2t | HK$43.0t | HK$3.5t | 9x | 11.2x | 0.9x |
| Mon, 08 Jul 2024 | HK$41.0t | HK$42.6t | HK$3.5t | 9.5x | 11.8x | 1x |
| Wed, 05 Jun 2024 | HK$42.0t | HK$43.3t | HK$3.4t | 9.7x | 12.2x | 1x |
| Fri, 03 May 2024 | HK$41.1t | HK$43.2t | HK$3.4t | 9.4x | 12.1x | 1x |
| Sun, 31 Mar 2024 | HK$38.7t | HK$43.5t | HK$3.4t | 9.1x | 11.3x | 0.9x |
| Tue, 27 Feb 2024 | HK$38.1t | HK$43.8t | HK$3.4t | 8.9x | 11.2x | 0.9x |
| Thu, 25 Jan 2024 | HK$35.9t | HK$44.5t | HK$3.4t | 8.9x | 10.7x | 0.8x |
| Sat, 23 Dec 2023 | HK$37.0t | HK$46.0t | HK$3.5t | 9x | 10.6x | 0.8x |
| Mon, 20 Nov 2023 | HK$38.6t | HK$45.4t | HK$3.4t | 8.9x | 11.2x | 0.8x |
| Wed, 18 Oct 2023 | HK$39.3t | HK$45.0t | HK$3.4t | 9x | 11.5x | 0.9x |
| Fri, 15 Sep 2023 | HK$40.1t | HK$45.2t | HK$3.5t | 9.2x | 11.6x | 0.9x |
| Sun, 13 Aug 2023 | HK$41.2t | HK$45.5t | HK$3.6t | 9.6x | 11.3x | 0.9x |
| Tue, 11 Jul 2023 | HK$40.8t | HK$45.7t | HK$3.7t | 9.6x | 11.2x | 0.9x |
| Thu, 08 Jun 2023 | HK$42.5t | HK$46.4t | HK$3.7t | 9.5x | 11.4x | 0.9x |
| Sat, 06 May 2023 | HK$45.2t | HK$47.6t | HK$3.8t | 9.8x | 11.9x | 1x |
| Mon, 03 Apr 2023 | HK$43.7t | HK$47.8t | HK$4.0t | 9.7x | 11x | 0.9x |
| Wed, 01 Mar 2023 | HK$42.5t | HK$47.3t | HK$4.2t | 8.8x | 10.2x | 0.9x |
| Fri, 27 Jan 2023 | HK$46.0t | HK$48.1t | HK$4.3t | 9.1x | 10.7x | 1x |
| Sun, 25 Dec 2022 | HK$41.4t | HK$46.8t | HK$4.2t | 8.7x | 9.9x | 0.9x |
| Tue, 22 Nov 2022 | HK$38.3t | HK$46.0t | HK$4.1t | 8.3x | 9.4x | 0.8x |
| Thu, 20 Oct 2022 | HK$36.5t | HK$45.2t | HK$4.0t | 8.3x | 9.1x | 0.8x |
| Sat, 17 Sep 2022 | HK$39.9t | HK$46.2t | HK$4.1t | 8.9x | 9.8x | 0.9x |
| Mon, 15 Aug 2022 | HK$41.9t | HK$46.9t | HK$4.3t | 8.6x | 9.7x | 0.9x |
| Wed, 13 Jul 2022 | HK$43.7t | HK$47.0t | HK$4.3t | 9.2x | 10.1x | 0.9x |
| Fri, 10 Jun 2022 | HK$45.5t | HK$47.2t | HK$4.4t | 9x | 10.4x | 1x |
| Sun, 08 May 2022 | HK$42.6t | HK$47.3t | HK$4.3t | 9x | 9.8x | 0.9x |
| Tue, 05 Apr 2022 | HK$47.1t | HK$48.0t | HK$4.5t | 9.3x | 10.6x | 1x |
| Thu, 03 Mar 2022 | HK$47.9t | HK$46.7t | HK$4.5t | 8.6x | 10.6x | 1x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
10.6x
Current Market PE
- Investors are optimistic on the Hong Kong market, and appear confident in strong long term growth rates.
- The market is trading at a PE ratio of 13.6x which is higher than its 3-year average PE of 11.1x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for companies in the Hong Kong industry have declined 7.9% per year over the last three years.
- Revenues have also declined 2.5% per year.
- This means overall sales from these companies are declining and profits are subsequently falling as well.
Sector Trends
Which sectors have driven the changes within the Hong Kong Market?
| HK Market | 2.60% | |
| Tech | 13.02% | |
| Healthcare | 8.91% | |
| Telecom | 7.55% | |
| Utilities | 1.90% | |
| Financials | 1.28% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | 0.92% | |
| Industrials | 0.43% | |
| Information Technology | 0% | 0 |
| Financials | 0% | 0 |
| Health Care | 0% | 0 |
| Industrials | 0% | 0 |
| Real Estate | -0.54% | |
| Consumer Staples | -1.09% | |
| Energy | -2.71% | |
| Materials | -2.89% | |
Sector PE
- Investors favour the Tech sector the most for future growth, which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 30.6x.
- The market's confidence is likely because analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 26.6% which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 2.9% per year.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Healthcare sector, expecting annual earnings growth of 29% over the next 5 years.
- This is better than its past earnings decline of 3.5% per year.
- In contrast, the Energy industry is expected to see its earnings growth to stay flat over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | Sector | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 700 Tencent Holdings | HK$517.00 | 8.9% +HK$381.2b | 77.8% | PE25.7x | Telecom | |
| 1810 Xiaomi | HK$51.70 | 15.7% +HK$175.6b | 291.1% | PE62.5x | Tech | |
| 1211 BYD | HK$392.40 | 7.7% +HK$81.9b | 111.9% | PE31.4x | Consumer Discretionary | |
| 762 China Unicom (Hong Kong) | HK$10.82 | 31.3% +HK$78.9b | 91.5% | PE15.1x | Telecom | |
| 728 China Telecom | HK$6.72 | 14.3% +HK$76.9b | 56.3% | PE17.6x | Telecom |
