Haidilao International Holding Ltd.'s (HKG:6862) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 32% Above Its Share Price
Apr 17
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Hong Kong (HSI) Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis
UpdatedApr 18, 2025
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies449
- 7D2.3%
- 3M9.0%
- 1Y20.3%
- YTD9.3%
The Consumer Discretionary industry has gained 2.3% in the last week and Pop Mart International Group up 10%. This takes the industry's 12 month performance to a gain of 20%. Earnings are forecast to grow by 17% annually.
Sector Valuation and Performance
Has the Hong Kong Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 19 Apr 2025 | HK$4.9t | HK$4.5t | HK$226.9b | 10x | 21.6x | 1.1x |
| Mon, 17 Mar 2025 | HK$5.4t | HK$4.4t | HK$215.3b | 11.1x | 25.2x | 1.2x |
| Wed, 12 Feb 2025 | HK$4.6t | HK$4.3t | HK$201.3b | 10.1x | 22.6x | 1.1x |
| Fri, 10 Jan 2025 | HK$4.1t | HK$4.2t | HK$199.2b | 9.9x | 20.6x | 1x |
| Sun, 08 Dec 2024 | HK$4.3t | HK$4.3t | HK$199.6b | 10.2x | 21.6x | 1x |
| Tue, 05 Nov 2024 | HK$4.5t | HK$4.3t | HK$194.5b | 9.4x | 23.3x | 1.1x |
| Thu, 03 Oct 2024 | HK$4.6t | HK$4.3t | HK$197.1b | 9.4x | 23.2x | 1.1x |
| Sat, 31 Aug 2024 | HK$3.6t | HK$4.3t | HK$199.4b | 8.5x | 18.2x | 0.8x |
| Mon, 29 Jul 2024 | HK$3.6t | HK$4.1t | HK$174.1b | 8.6x | 20.4x | 0.9x |
| Wed, 26 Jun 2024 | HK$3.9t | HK$4.0t | HK$174.5b | 9.6x | 22.1x | 1x |
| Fri, 24 May 2024 | HK$4.0t | HK$4.0t | HK$173.2b | 9.7x | 23x | 1x |
| Sun, 21 Apr 2024 | HK$3.6t | HK$4.0t | HK$169.1b | 8.8x | 21.3x | 0.9x |
| Tue, 19 Mar 2024 | HK$3.7t | HK$3.9t | HK$169.4b | 9.8x | 21.8x | 0.9x |
| Thu, 15 Feb 2024 | HK$3.2t | HK$3.9t | HK$156.4b | 9.2x | 20.8x | 0.8x |
| Sat, 13 Jan 2024 | HK$3.4t | HK$3.9t | HK$155.7b | 9.9x | 22x | 0.9x |
| Mon, 11 Dec 2023 | HK$3.6t | HK$3.8t | HK$153.1b | 9.8x | 23.4x | 0.9x |
| Wed, 08 Nov 2023 | HK$4.1t | HK$3.8t | HK$148.4b | 9.3x | 27.6x | 1.1x |
| Fri, 06 Oct 2023 | HK$4.1t | HK$3.8t | HK$141.5b | 9.3x | 29.1x | 1.1x |
| Sun, 03 Sep 2023 | HK$4.4t | HK$3.8t | HK$143.2b | 9.9x | 30.4x | 1.1x |
| Tue, 01 Aug 2023 | HK$4.9t | HK$3.6t | HK$124.2b | 10.8x | 39.1x | 1.3x |
| Thu, 29 Jun 2023 | HK$4.4t | HK$3.6t | HK$114.9b | 10.6x | 38.6x | 1.2x |
| Sat, 27 May 2023 | HK$4.3t | HK$3.7t | HK$106.8b | 10.4x | 40.6x | 1.2x |
| Mon, 24 Apr 2023 | HK$4.8t | HK$3.7t | HK$106.6b | 10.6x | 44.6x | 1.3x |
| Wed, 22 Mar 2023 | HK$4.6t | HK$3.5t | HK$97.8b | 9.6x | 47.4x | 1.3x |
| Fri, 17 Feb 2023 | HK$5.4t | HK$3.6t | HK$100.8b | 10.7x | 53.4x | 1.5x |
| Sun, 15 Jan 2023 | HK$5.7t | HK$3.7t | HK$102.9b | 10.6x | 55.4x | 1.5x |
| Tue, 13 Dec 2022 | HK$5.4t | HK$3.6t | HK$98.6b | 9.5x | 54.6x | 1.5x |
| Thu, 10 Nov 2022 | HK$4.4t | HK$3.5t | HK$75.9b | 9.2x | 58.5x | 1.3x |
| Sat, 08 Oct 2022 | HK$4.9t | HK$3.4t | HK$69.1b | 9.4x | 70.4x | 1.4x |
| Mon, 05 Sep 2022 | HK$5.2t | HK$3.4t | HK$70.8b | 10.1x | 72.9x | 1.5x |
| Wed, 03 Aug 2022 | HK$5.6t | HK$3.5t | HK$70.6b | 10.1x | 79.1x | 1.6x |
| Fri, 01 Jul 2022 | HK$6.1t | HK$3.5t | HK$70.5b | 11.3x | 86.7x | 1.7x |
| Sun, 29 May 2022 | HK$5.3t | HK$3.5t | HK$74.8b | 10x | 70.5x | 1.5x |
| Tue, 26 Apr 2022 | HK$4.8t | HK$3.6t | HK$67.2b | 10.6x | 71.7x | 1.4x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
71.7x
Current Industry PE
- Investors are pessimistic on the Hong Kong Consumer Discretionary industry, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates will be lower than they have historically.
- The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 21.6x which is lower than its 3-year average PE of 39.0x.
- The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PS ratio of 1.2x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 50% per year over the last three years.
- Revenues for these companies have grown 7.9% per year.
- This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.
Industry Trends
Which industries have driven the changes within the Hong Kong Consumer Discretionary sector?
| HK Market | 3.42% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | 2.35% | |
| Specialty Stores | 9.26% | |
| Auto | 4.32% | |
| Consumer Services | 3.51% | |
| Luxury | 3.50% | |
| Retail Distributors | 1.95% | |
| Auto Components | 0.74% | |
| Leisure | 0.55% | |
| General Merchandise and Department Stores | 0.15% | |
| Online Retail and Ecommerce | 0% | 0 |
| Consumer Durables | -0.22% | |
| Hospitality | -1.65% | |
Industry PE
- Investors are most optimistic about the Specialty Stores industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 20.3x.
- Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 26.9%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 21.8% per year.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Specialty Stores industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 27% over the next 5 years.
- This is better than its past earnings decline of 22% per year.
- In contrast, the Leisure industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 10% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9992 Pop Mart International Group | HK$164.50 | 10.0% +HK$19.9b | 422.2% | PE65.6x | |
| 2097 MIXUE Group | HK$466.60 | 11.4% +HK$18.1b | n/a | PE37.5x | |
| 2020 ANTA Sports Products | HK$89.90 | 7.2% +HK$17.0b | 7.3% | PE15.2x | |
| 6181 Laopu Gold | HK$777.00 | 4.6% +HK$5.7b | n/a | PE83.5x | |
| 1929 Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group | HK$9.38 | 3.4% +HK$3.1b | -9.8% | PE20.9x |
