Bosideng International Holdings Limited's (HKG:3998) 28% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up
Oct 09
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Hong Kong (HSI) Market Analysis & Valuation
UpdatedOct 11, 2024
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies2292
- 7D-3.4%
- 3M8.2%
- 1Y15.6%
- YTD21.7%
Over the last 7 days, the market has dropped 3.4%, driven by a pullback of 3.8% in the Financials sector. In contrast to the last week, the market is actually up 16% over the past year. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 12% annually.
Market Valuation and Performance
Has the Hong Kong Market valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 11 Oct 2024 | HK$45.3t | HK$43.5t | HK$3.6t | 10x | 12.7x | 1x |
| Sun, 08 Sep 2024 | HK$39.2t | HK$43.7t | HK$3.6t | 9x | 10.9x | 0.9x |
| Tue, 06 Aug 2024 | HK$38.8t | HK$43.1t | HK$3.5t | 8.8x | 11x | 0.9x |
| Thu, 04 Jul 2024 | HK$41.5t | HK$42.6t | HK$3.5t | 9.5x | 12x | 1x |
| Sat, 01 Jun 2024 | HK$41.5t | HK$43.3t | HK$3.4t | 9.7x | 12.1x | 1x |
| Mon, 29 Apr 2024 | HK$40.6t | HK$43.2t | HK$3.4t | 9.1x | 11.9x | 0.9x |
| Wed, 27 Mar 2024 | HK$38.6t | HK$43.5t | HK$3.3t | 8.8x | 11.6x | 0.9x |
| Fri, 23 Feb 2024 | HK$38.5t | HK$43.8t | HK$3.4t | 8.9x | 11.3x | 0.9x |
| Sun, 21 Jan 2024 | HK$35.1t | HK$44.3t | HK$3.4t | 8.8x | 10.3x | 0.8x |
| Tue, 19 Dec 2023 | HK$37.5t | HK$45.9t | HK$3.5t | 9x | 10.8x | 0.8x |
| Thu, 16 Nov 2023 | HK$39.2t | HK$45.3t | HK$3.4t | 9x | 11.4x | 0.9x |
| Sat, 14 Oct 2023 | HK$39.3t | HK$45.0t | HK$3.4t | 9.1x | 11.5x | 0.9x |
| Mon, 11 Sep 2023 | HK$39.9t | HK$44.9t | HK$3.4t | 9.4x | 11.6x | 0.9x |
| Wed, 09 Aug 2023 | HK$41.7t | HK$45.6t | HK$3.6t | 9.7x | 11.4x | 0.9x |
| Fri, 07 Jul 2023 | HK$41.0t | HK$45.6t | HK$3.6t | 9.7x | 11.2x | 0.9x |
| Sun, 04 Jun 2023 | HK$42.2t | HK$46.6t | HK$3.7t | 9.4x | 11.3x | 0.9x |
| Tue, 02 May 2023 | HK$44.7t | HK$47.6t | HK$3.8t | 9.7x | 11.8x | 0.9x |
| Thu, 30 Mar 2023 | HK$43.6t | HK$48.0t | HK$4.1t | 9.3x | 10.6x | 0.9x |
| Sat, 25 Feb 2023 | HK$42.9t | HK$47.2t | HK$4.2t | 8.8x | 10.2x | 0.9x |
| Mon, 23 Jan 2023 | HK$45.3t | HK$48.1t | HK$4.3t | 9x | 10.6x | 0.9x |
| Wed, 21 Dec 2022 | HK$40.7t | HK$46.8t | HK$4.2t | 8.7x | 9.8x | 0.9x |
| Fri, 18 Nov 2022 | HK$39.0t | HK$46.2t | HK$4.1t | 8.4x | 9.5x | 0.8x |
| Sun, 16 Oct 2022 | HK$36.6t | HK$45.2t | HK$4.0t | 8.2x | 9.2x | 0.8x |
| Tue, 13 Sep 2022 | HK$41.3t | HK$46.6t | HK$4.1t | 9x | 10x | 0.9x |
| Thu, 11 Aug 2022 | HK$41.2t | HK$46.9t | HK$4.3t | 8.6x | 9.5x | 0.9x |
| Sat, 09 Jul 2022 | HK$45.1t | HK$47.1t | HK$4.4t | 9.2x | 10.4x | 1x |
| Mon, 06 Jun 2022 | HK$44.6t | HK$47.3t | HK$4.4t | 8.9x | 10.2x | 0.9x |
| Wed, 04 May 2022 | HK$44.5t | HK$47.7t | HK$4.4t | 9.2x | 10.2x | 0.9x |
| Fri, 01 Apr 2022 | HK$46.1t | HK$47.7t | HK$4.6t | 8.9x | 10x | 1x |
| Sun, 27 Feb 2022 | HK$48.1t | HK$46.7t | HK$4.5t | 8.8x | 10.7x | 1x |
| Tue, 25 Jan 2022 | HK$50.3t | HK$46.4t | HK$4.4t | 9.1x | 11.3x | 1.1x |
| Thu, 23 Dec 2021 | HK$48.7t | HK$46.1t | HK$4.4t | 9.1x | 11x | 1.1x |
| Sat, 20 Nov 2021 | HK$50.7t | HK$45.9t | HK$4.4t | 9.4x | 11.5x | 1.1x |
| Mon, 18 Oct 2021 | HK$51.3t | HK$44.4t | HK$4.4t | 9.7x | 11.8x | 1.2x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
11.8x
Current Market PE
- Investors are optimistic on the Hong Kong market, and appear confident in strong long term growth rates.
- The market is trading at a PE ratio of 12.7x which is higher than its 3-year average PE of 10.9x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for Hong Kong listed companies have declined 6.4% per year over the last three years.
- Meanwhile revenues have been flat.
- This means that either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses is increasing since sales have remained steady while profits have fallen.
Sector Trends
Which sectors have driven the changes within the Hong Kong Market?
| HK Market | -3.38% | |
| Tech | 2.03% | |
| Information Technology | 0% | |
| Financials | 0% | |
| Health Care | 0% | |
| Industrials | 0% | |
| Utilities | -1.52% | |
| Healthcare | -2.19% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | -2.19% | |
| Industrials | -2.28% | |
| Energy | -2.54% | |
| Telecom | -3.67% | |
| Financials | -3.78% | |
| Materials | -4.58% | |
| Consumer Staples | -6.23% | |
| Real Estate | -9.53% | |
Sector PE
- Investors favour the Tech sector the most for future growth, which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 24.3x.
- The market's confidence is likely because analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 25.2% which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 2.9% per year.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Healthcare sector, expecting annual earnings growth of 26% over the next 5 years.
- This is better than its past earnings decline of 2.5% per year.
- In contrast, the Energy industry is expected to see its earnings growth to stay flat over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | Sector | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2550 Easou Technology Holdings | HK$58.20 | 72.2% +HK$8.0b | n/a | PE422.3x | Telecom | |
| 3998 Bosideng International Holdings | HK$4.96 | 8.5% +HK$4.4b | 47.2% | PE16.1x | Consumer Discretionary | |
| 2443 Autostreets Development | HK$9.15 | 89.4% +HK$3.6b | n/a | PS15.2x | Consumer Discretionary | |
| 9992 Pop Mart International Group | HK$58.25 | 4.9% +HK$3.6b | 138.7% | PE46x | Consumer Discretionary | |
| 151 Want Want China Holdings | HK$5.55 | 4.9% +HK$3.1b | 10.1% | PE14.9x | Consumer Staples |
