Guotai Junan International Holdings' (HKG:1788) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's
Aug 29
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Hong Kong (HSI) Capital Markets Industry Analysis
UpdatedAug 31, 2025
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies91
- 7D-2.4%
- 3M39.8%
- 1Y132.8%
- YTD67.8%
Over the last 7 days, the Capital Markets industry has dropped 2.4%, driven by China Galaxy Securities declining 11%. In contrast, Guotai Junan International Holdings has gained 12%. This takes the industry's 12 month performance to a gain of 133%. Earnings are forecast to grow by 12% annually.
Industry Valuation and Performance
Has the Hong Kong Capital Markets Industry valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 31 Aug 2025 | HK$1.5t | HK$182.2b | HK$44.5b | 35x | 34.3x | 8.4x |
| Tue, 29 Jul 2025 | HK$1.5t | HK$173.6b | HK$40.3b | 30.7x | 37x | 8.6x |
| Thu, 26 Jun 2025 | HK$1.3t | HK$172.5b | HK$39.7b | 24.9x | 33.7x | 7.8x |
| Sat, 24 May 2025 | HK$1.2t | HK$171.7b | HK$39.5b | 24.1x | 29.8x | 6.8x |
| Mon, 21 Apr 2025 | HK$1.1t | HK$161.9b | HK$34.1b | 19.5x | 31.5x | 6.6x |
| Wed, 19 Mar 2025 | HK$1.2t | HK$162.9b | HK$33.6b | 25.4x | 36x | 7.4x |
| Fri, 14 Feb 2025 | HK$1.1t | HK$160.6b | HK$31.9b | 20.5x | 34.1x | 6.8x |
| Sun, 12 Jan 2025 | HK$947.6b | HK$160.8b | HK$28.7b | 17.1x | 33x | 5.9x |
| Tue, 10 Dec 2024 | HK$1.1t | HK$161.6b | HK$28.7b | 21.9x | 38.4x | 6.8x |
| Thu, 07 Nov 2024 | HK$1.1t | HK$163.3b | HK$29.2b | 19.9x | 39.4x | 7x |
| Sat, 05 Oct 2024 | HK$1.2t | HK$161.8b | HK$28.3b | 23x | 44x | 7.7x |
| Mon, 02 Sep 2024 | HK$799.6b | HK$162.6b | HK$29.5b | 14.1x | 27.1x | 4.9x |
| Wed, 31 Jul 2024 | HK$767.4b | HK$160.1b | HK$29.9b | 15x | 25.7x | 4.8x |
| Fri, 28 Jun 2024 | HK$827.8b | HK$159.4b | HK$29.2b | 13.5x | 28.4x | 5.2x |
| Sun, 26 May 2024 | HK$892.4b | HK$160.1b | HK$29.3b | 10.1x | 30.4x | 5.6x |
| Tue, 23 Apr 2024 | HK$793.1b | HK$168.4b | HK$33.3b | 10.5x | 23.8x | 4.7x |
| Thu, 21 Mar 2024 | HK$870.3b | HK$160.2b | HK$35.0b | 9.2x | 24.8x | 5.4x |
| Sat, 17 Feb 2024 | HK$876.3b | HK$162.0b | HK$35.4b | 9.8x | 24.7x | 5.4x |
| Mon, 15 Jan 2024 | HK$869.1b | HK$163.4b | HK$34.6b | 10.1x | 25.1x | 5.3x |
| Wed, 13 Dec 2023 | HK$945.5b | HK$163.2b | HK$34.5b | 11x | 27.4x | 5.8x |
| Fri, 10 Nov 2023 | HK$989.8b | HK$174.2b | HK$33.2b | 10.6x | 29.8x | 5.7x |
| Sun, 08 Oct 2023 | HK$959.1b | HK$175.8b | HK$34.5b | 10.9x | 27.8x | 5.5x |
| Tue, 05 Sep 2023 | HK$1.0t | HK$171.1b | HK$34.4b | 11.1x | 29.7x | 6x |
| Thu, 03 Aug 2023 | HK$1.1t | HK$183.2b | HK$33.3b | 12.1x | 31.7x | 5.8x |
| Sat, 01 Jul 2023 | HK$966.9b | HK$182.1b | HK$33.0b | 11.9x | 29.3x | 5.3x |
| Mon, 29 May 2023 | HK$1.0t | HK$199.9b | HK$37.6b | 14.2x | 26.9x | 5.1x |
| Wed, 26 Apr 2023 | HK$1.0t | HK$199.9b | HK$36.2b | 13.2x | 28.7x | 5.2x |
| Fri, 24 Mar 2023 | HK$1.1t | HK$220.0b | HK$47.4b | 12.5x | 22.9x | 4.9x |
| Sun, 19 Feb 2023 | HK$1.1t | HK$218.9b | HK$45.7b | 12.2x | 23.4x | 4.9x |
| Tue, 17 Jan 2023 | HK$1.1t | HK$221.9b | HK$46.4b | 14.5x | 24.7x | 5.2x |
| Thu, 15 Dec 2022 | HK$1.1t | HK$215.3b | HK$44.5b | 14.7x | 24x | 5x |
| Sat, 12 Nov 2022 | HK$954.3b | HK$209.9b | HK$41.0b | 11.9x | 23.3x | 4.5x |
| Mon, 10 Oct 2022 | HK$905.0b | HK$217.4b | HK$40.4b | 9x | 22.4x | 4.2x |
| Wed, 07 Sep 2022 | HK$1.0t | HK$211.5b | HK$41.8b | 10.5x | 25x | 4.9x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
25x
Current Industry PE
- Investors are optimistic on the Hong Kong Capital Markets industry, and appear confident in long term growth rates.
- The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 34.4x which is higher than its 3-year average PE of 29.0x.
- The 3-year average PS ratio of 5.8x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 8.4x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for companies in the Capital Markets industry have remained mostly flat over the last three years.
- Meanwhile revenues for these companies have declined 5.0% per year.
- This means that the cost of doing business could be reducing since sales have declined but profits have remained steady.
Industry Trends
Which industries have driven the changes within the Hong Kong Financials industry?
| HK Market | -1.15% | |
| Financials | -2.85% | |
| Capital Markets | -2.40% | |
| Financial Exchanges and Data | 0.90% | |
| Asset Management | 0.017% | |
| Diversified Capital Markets | -4.24% | |
| Investment Banking and Brokerage | -5.03% | |
Industry PE
- Investors are most optimistic about the Financial Exchanges and Data industry, which is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 35.3x.
- Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 9.1%, which is lower than the prior year's growth of 32.3% per year.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Asset Management industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 24% over the next 5 years.
- This is better than its past earnings decline of 10.0% per year.
- In contrast, the Financial Exchanges and Data industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 9.1% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1788 Guotai Junan International Holdings | HK$5.90 | 12.0% +HK$6.0b | 836.5% | PE80x | |
| 388 Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing | HK$451.00 | 0.7% +HK$3.8b | 87.6% | PE36.9x | |
| 290 GoFintech Quantum Innovation | HK$1.88 | 5.6% +HK$910.0m | 144.2% | PS19.9x | |
| 6608 Bairong | HK$12.35 | 18.8% +HK$855.3m | 50.2% | PE15.7x | |
| 9636 JF SmartInvest Holdings | HK$76.25 | 1.9% +HK$679.1m | 990.8% | PE126.5x |
