1788 Stock Overview
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides brokerage, corporate finance, asset management, loans and financing, financial products, and market making and investment services in Hong Kong and internationally.
Guotai Junan International Holdings Competitors
Price History & Performance
|Historical stock prices|
|Current Share Price||HK$0.56|
|52 Week High||HK$1.26|
|52 Week Low||HK$0.56|
|1 Month Change||-28.21%|
|3 Month Change||-38.46%|
|1 Year Change||-54.10%|
|3 Year Change||-57.25%|
|5 Year Change||-78.46%|
|Change since IPO||-59.42%|
Recent News & Updates
Analysts Have Just Cut Their Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited (HKG:1788) Revenue Estimates By 31%
Today is shaping up negative for Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited ( HKG:1788 ) shareholders, with the...
|1788||HK Capital Markets||HK Market|
Return vs Industry: 1788 underperformed the Hong Kong Capital Markets industry which returned -38.5% over the past year.
Return vs Market: 1788 underperformed the Hong Kong Market which returned -28.8% over the past year.
|1788 Average Weekly Movement||5.4%|
|Capital Markets Industry Average Movement||7.1%|
|Market Average Movement||6.5%|
|10% most volatile stocks in HK Market||12.7%|
|10% least volatile stocks in HK Market||3.1%|
Stable Share Price: 1788 is not significantly more volatile than the rest of Hong Kong stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 5% a week.
Volatility Over Time: 1788's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides brokerage, corporate finance, asset management, loans and financing, financial products, and market making and investment services in Hong Kong and internationally. The company’s Wealth Management segment provides a range financial services and solutions to individual investors and small to medium-sized businesses and family office, including brokerage, loans and financing, and other wealth management services. Its Institutional Investor Services segment offers market making, investments, structured product solutions, lending, and other services to corporations, governments, and financial institutions.
Guotai Junan International Holdings Fundamentals Summary
|1788 fundamental statistics|
Is 1788 overvalued?See Fair Value and valuation analysis
Earnings & Revenue
|1788 income statement (TTM)|
|Cost of Revenue||HK$156.51m|
Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2022
Next Earnings Date
|Earnings per share (EPS)||0.033|
|Net Profit Margin||15.88%|
How did 1788 perform over the long term?See historical performance and comparison
10.7%Current Dividend Yield
Is 1788 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score 2/6
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1788?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
|What is 1788's n/a Ratio?|
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 1788's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
|1788 PE Ratio vs Peers|
|Company||PE||Estimated Growth||Market Cap|
1911 China Renaissance Holdings
1469 Get Nice Financial Group
1428 Bright Smart Securities & Commodities Group
3678 Holly Futures
1788 Guotai Junan International Holdings
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1788 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.8x) compared to the peer average (9.5x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 1788's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Capital Markets Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1788 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.8x) compared to the Hong Kong Capital Markets industry average (9x)
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 1788's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
|Current PE Ratio||16.8x|
|Fair PE Ratio||7x|
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1788 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x).
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 1788 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 1788 (HK$0.56) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$0.79)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 1788 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.
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How is Guotai Junan International Holdings forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 3 analysts?
Future Growth Score5/6
Future Growth Score 5/6
Earnings vs Savings Rate
Earnings vs Market
High Growth Earnings
Revenue vs Market
High Growth Revenue
Forecasted annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: 1788's forecast earnings growth (25.8% per year) is above the savings rate (1.6%).
Earnings vs Market: 1788's earnings (25.8% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (16.8% per year).
High Growth Earnings: 1788's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: 1788's revenue (20.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (9.7% per year).
High Growth Revenue: 1788's revenue (20.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: 1788's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (4.5%).
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How has Guotai Junan International Holdings performed over the past 5 years?
Past Performance Score1/6
Past Performance Score 1/6
Growing Profit Margin
Earnings vs Industry
Historical annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue History
Quality Earnings: 1788 has a large one-off gain of HK$78.1M impacting its June 30 2022 financial results.
Growing Profit Margin: 1788's current net profit margins (15.9%) are lower than last year (42.4%).
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: 1788's earnings have grown by 1.1% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: 1788's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: 1788 had negative earnings growth (-83.2%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Capital Markets industry average (2.7%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: 1788's Return on Equity (2.1%) is considered low.
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How is Guotai Junan International Holdings's financial position?
Financial Health Score3/6
Financial Health Score 3/6
Short Term Liabilities
Long Term Liabilities
Financial Position Analysis
Short Term Liabilities: 1788's short term assets (HK$89.6B) exceed its short term liabilities (HK$80.1B).
Long Term Liabilities: 1788's short term assets (HK$89.6B) exceed its long term liabilities (HK$16.0B).
Debt to Equity History and Analysis
Debt Level: 1788 has more cash than its total debt.
Reducing Debt: 1788's debt to equity ratio has increased from 181% to 423.4% over the past 5 years.
Debt Coverage: 1788's debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (17.2%).
Interest Coverage: Insufficient data to determine if 1788's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT.
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What is Guotai Junan International Holdings's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
Dividend Score 5/6
Cash Flow Coverage
Current Dividend Yield
Dividend Yield vs Market
|Guotai Junan International Holdings Dividend Yield vs Market|
|Company (Guotai Junan International Holdings)||10.7%|
|Market Bottom 25% (HK)||3.0%|
|Market Top 25% (HK)||9.0%|
|Industry Average (Capital Markets)||4.9%|
|Analyst forecast in 3 Years (Guotai Junan International Holdings)||8.5%|
Notable Dividend: 1788's dividend (10.71%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the Hong Kong market (3.01%).
High Dividend: 1788's dividend (10.71%) is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the Hong Kong market (8.95%)
Stability and Growth of Payments
Stable Dividend: 1788's dividend payments have been volatile in the past 10 years.
Growing Dividend: 1788's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.
Earnings Payout to Shareholders
Earnings Coverage: With its reasonable payout ratio (60.3%), 1788's dividend payments are covered by earnings.
Cash Payout to Shareholders
Cash Flow Coverage: With its low cash payout ratio (5.1%), 1788's dividend payments are thoroughly covered by cash flows.
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How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?
Average management tenure
Haiying Qi (40 yo)
Ms. Haiying Qi has been Executive Director of Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited since March 05, 2015, has been its Chief Executive Officer since December 14, 2021 and had been its Deputy CEO sinc...
CEO Compensation Analysis
|Haiying Qi's Compensation vs Guotai Junan International Holdings Earnings|
|Date||Total Comp.||Salary||Company Earnings|
|Jun 30 2022||n/a||n/a|
|Mar 31 2022||n/a||n/a|
|Dec 31 2021||HK$9m||HK$3m|
|Sep 30 2021||n/a||n/a|
|Jun 30 2021||n/a||n/a|
|Mar 31 2021||n/a||n/a|
|Dec 31 2020||HK$12m||HK$3m|
|Sep 30 2020||n/a||n/a|
|Jun 30 2020||n/a||n/a|
|Mar 31 2020||n/a||n/a|
|Dec 31 2019||HK$11m||HK$3m|
|Sep 30 2019||n/a||n/a|
|Jun 30 2019||n/a||n/a|
|Mar 31 2019||n/a||n/a|
|Dec 31 2018||HK$10m||HK$3m|
|Sep 30 2018||n/a||n/a|
|Jun 30 2018||n/a||n/a|
|Mar 31 2018||n/a||n/a|
|Dec 31 2017||HK$12m||HK$4m|
|Sep 30 2017||n/a||n/a|
|Jun 30 2017||n/a||n/a|
|Mar 31 2017||n/a||n/a|
|Dec 31 2016||HK$11m||HK$3m|
|Sep 30 2016||n/a||n/a|
|Jun 30 2016||n/a||n/a|
|Mar 31 2016||n/a||n/a|
|Dec 31 2015||HK$8m||HK$3m|
Compensation vs Market: Haiying's total compensation ($USD1.20M) is above average for companies of similar size in the Hong Kong market ($USD564.72K).
Compensation vs Earnings: Haiying's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.
Experienced Management: 1788's management team is considered experienced (2.8 years average tenure).
Experienced Board: 1788's board of directors are considered experienced (5.9 years average tenure).
Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?
Insider Trading Volume
Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.
|Owner Type||Number of Shares||Ownership Percentage|
Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.
|Ownership||Name||Shares||Current Value||Change %||Portfolio %|
Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited's employee growth, exchange listings and data sources
- Name: Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited
- Ticker: 1788
- Exchange: SEHK
- Founded: 1995
- Industry: Investment Banking and Brokerage
- Sector: Diversified Financials
- Implied Market Cap: HK$5.543b
- Shares outstanding: 9.56b
- Website: https://www.gtjai.com
Number of Employees
- Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited
- Grand Millennium Plaza
- 27th Floor, Low Block
- Hong Kong
|Ticker||Exchange||Primary Security||Security Type||Country||Currency||Listed on|
|1788||SEHK (The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Ltd.)||Yes||Ordinary Shares||HK||HKD||Jul 2010|
|GUE||DB (Deutsche Boerse AG)||Yes||Ordinary Shares||DE||EUR||Jul 2010|
|1788||SZSC (The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong - Shenzhen - Hong Kong Stock Connect)||Yes||Ordinary Shares||HK||HKD||Jul 2010|
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
|Data||Last Updated (UTC time)|
|Company Analysis||2022/10/03 00:00|
|End of Day Share Price||2022/10/03 00:00|
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.