Estimating The Fair Value Of Aristocrat Leisure Limited (ASX:ALL)
Aug 31
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Australian (ASX) Market Analysis & Valuation
UpdatedSep 05, 2025
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies1566
- 7D-1.6%
- 3M4.0%
- 1Y10.7%
- YTD7.3%
Over the last 7 days, the market has dropped 2.3%, driven by losses in every sector, especially the Financials sector. In contrast to the last week, the market is actually up 10% over the past year. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 11% annually.
Market Valuation and Performance
Has the Australian Market valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 05 Sep 2025 | AU$3.0t | AU$1.2t | AU$111.5b | 20.5x | 26.7x | 2.5x |
| Sun, 03 Aug 2025 | AU$2.9t | AU$1.2t | AU$103.9b | 18.9x | 28.1x | 2.4x |
| Tue, 01 Jul 2025 | AU$2.9t | AU$1.2t | AU$102.5b | 18.2x | 27.9x | 2.4x |
| Thu, 29 May 2025 | AU$2.8t | AU$1.2t | AU$102.9b | 17.8x | 27.3x | 2.3x |
| Sat, 26 Apr 2025 | AU$2.7t | AU$1.2t | AU$104.1b | 17.2x | 25.5x | 2.2x |
| Mon, 24 Mar 2025 | AU$2.6t | AU$1.2t | AU$104.8b | 17.6x | 25.2x | 2.2x |
| Wed, 19 Feb 2025 | AU$2.8t | AU$1.2t | AU$101.5b | 19.9x | 27.8x | 2.4x |
| Fri, 17 Jan 2025 | AU$2.7t | AU$1.2t | AU$90.2b | 19.1x | 30.1x | 2.3x |
| Sun, 15 Dec 2024 | AU$2.7t | AU$1.2t | AU$89.2b | 20.3x | 30.7x | 2.3x |
| Tue, 12 Nov 2024 | AU$2.7t | AU$1.2t | AU$88.1b | 19.5x | 31x | 2.3x |
| Thu, 10 Oct 2024 | AU$2.7t | AU$1.2t | AU$87.7b | 19.5x | 30.9x | 2.3x |
| Sat, 07 Sep 2024 | AU$2.6t | AU$1.2t | AU$87.8b | 19.1x | 30x | 2.3x |
| Mon, 05 Aug 2024 | AU$2.6t | AU$1.2t | AU$92.3b | 19.3x | 28.4x | 2.3x |
| Wed, 03 Jul 2024 | AU$2.6t | AU$1.2t | AU$91.9b | 18.9x | 28x | 2.2x |
| Fri, 31 May 2024 | AU$2.5t | AU$1.2t | AU$92.2b | 19.1x | 27.6x | 2.2x |
| Sun, 28 Apr 2024 | AU$2.5t | AU$1.2t | AU$91.1b | 19.4x | 27.7x | 2.2x |
| Tue, 26 Mar 2024 | AU$2.6t | AU$1.2t | AU$96.0b | 19.5x | 27x | 2.2x |
| Thu, 22 Feb 2024 | AU$2.5t | AU$1.2t | AU$104.4b | 18.7x | 24.4x | 2.2x |
| Sat, 20 Jan 2024 | AU$2.5t | AU$1.2t | AU$115.4b | 18.6x | 21.6x | 2.1x |
| Mon, 18 Dec 2023 | AU$2.5t | AU$1.2t | AU$115.3b | 18.4x | 21.6x | 2.1x |
| Wed, 15 Nov 2023 | AU$2.3t | AU$1.2t | AU$117.7b | 18x | 19.9x | 2x |
| Fri, 13 Oct 2023 | AU$2.4t | AU$1.2t | AU$119.5b | 17.7x | 20x | 2x |
| Sun, 10 Sep 2023 | AU$2.4t | AU$1.2t | AU$120.9b | 18x | 20x | 2x |
| Tue, 08 Aug 2023 | AU$2.5t | AU$1.2t | AU$146.1b | 16.8x | 16.8x | 2.1x |
| Thu, 06 Jul 2023 | AU$2.4t | AU$1.2t | AU$145.4b | 16.3x | 16.7x | 2.1x |
| Sat, 03 Jun 2023 | AU$2.4t | AU$1.2t | AU$145.9b | 16.1x | 16.4x | 2.1x |
| Mon, 01 May 2023 | AU$2.5t | AU$1.2t | AU$145.0b | 16.3x | 16.9x | 2.1x |
| Wed, 29 Mar 2023 | AU$2.4t | AU$1.2t | AU$144.7b | 15.8x | 16.3x | 2x |
| Fri, 24 Feb 2023 | AU$2.4t | AU$1.1t | AU$136.9b | 16.5x | 17.9x | 2.2x |
| Sun, 22 Jan 2023 | AU$2.5t | AU$1.1t | AU$146.7b | 16.1x | 17.1x | 2.3x |
| Tue, 20 Dec 2022 | AU$2.4t | AU$1.1t | AU$149.5b | 14.6x | 16x | 2.2x |
| Thu, 17 Nov 2022 | AU$2.4t | AU$1.1t | AU$148.8b | 14.8x | 16.1x | 2.2x |
| Sat, 15 Oct 2022 | AU$2.2t | AU$1.1t | AU$151.9b | 14.4x | 14.7x | 2x |
| Mon, 12 Sep 2022 | AU$2.3t | AU$1.1t | AU$146.3b | 14.8x | 16x | 2.2x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
16x
Current Market PE
- Investors are optimistic on the Australian market, and appear confident in strong long term growth rates.
- The market is trading at a PE ratio of 26.5x which is higher than its 3-year average PE of 23.3x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for Australian listed companies have declined 8.7% per year over the last three years.
- Meanwhile revenues for these companies have grown 3.9% per year.
- This means that although more sales are being generated, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased, which has decreased profits.
Sector Trends
Which sectors have driven the changes within the Australian Market?
| AU Market | -1.56% | |
| Energy | -0.19% | |
| Materials | -0.50% | |
| Consumer Staples | -0.87% | |
| Industrials | -0.96% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | -1.23% | |
| Healthcare | -1.47% | |
| Tech | -1.96% | |
| Financials | -1.97% | |
| Utilities | -2.14% | |
| Telecom | -3.09% | |
| Real Estate | -3.32% | |
Sector PE
- Investors favour the Tech sector the most for future growth which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio.
- Analysts expect its future annual earnings growth (23.0%) to be largely in line with prior year's earnings growth.
- The market's confidence could indicate that the market believes that analysts are underestimating future growth.
- The Energy sector is the least preferred by investors for future growth. Although, investor sentiment seems to have improved given that it's trading above its 3-year average of 12.1x.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Tech sector, expecting annual earnings growth of 23% over the next 5 years.
- This is roughly in line with its past earnings growth rate.
- In contrast, the Financials sector is expected to see its earnings grow by 4.1% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | Sector | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NST Northern Star Resources | AU$19.94 | 5.6% +AU$1.5b | 35.4% | PE21.3x | Materials | |
| LYC Lynas Rare Earths | AU$14.35 | 3.5% +AU$1.3b | 112.3% | PE1781.7x | Materials | |
| NAB National Australia Bank | AU$43.17 | 0.9% +AU$1.2b | 10.6% | PB2.1x | Financials | |
| GMD Genesis Minerals | AU$5.36 | 18.8% +AU$961.2m | 145.9% | PE27.4x | Materials | |
| WES Wesfarmers | AU$92.56 | 0.8% +AU$851.3m | 32.2% | PE35.9x | Consumer Discretionary |
