Paladin Energy (PDN) Stock Overview
Through its subsidiaries, engages in the development and exploration of mineral properties in Australia, Canada, and Namibia. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 0/6 |
| Future Growth | 5/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 5/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
No risks detected for PDN from our risk checks.
PDN Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
Paladin Energy Ltd Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | AU$10.58 |
| 52 Week High | AU$15.10 |
| 52 Week Low | AU$6.38 |
| Beta | 1.35 |
| 1 Month Change | 15.88% |
| 3 Month Change | -4.43% |
| 1 Year Change | 60.06% |
| 3 Year Change | 25.95% |
| 5 Year Change | 122.74% |
| Change since IPO | 522.38% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Aug 06
PDN: Project Execution Risks Are Expected To Sustain Share Price Overvaluation
Analysts have adjusted their price target for Paladin Energy to A$7.03 from A$7.35, reflecting a slightly higher discount rate, a lower assumed future P/E, and updated views on project scale and valuation following recent research that includes both an upgrade and a downgrade. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Paladin Energy shows a split in opinion, with some analysts highlighting long term project potential while others flag nearer term risks around valuation and execution.
Narrative Update • Jul 23
PDN: Patterson Lake South Progress And Langer Heinrich Ramp-Up Will Support Future Upside
Paladin Energy’s revised fair value estimate has shifted modestly lower to A$12.11 from A$12.72, as analysts balance stronger enthusiasm for the Patterson Lake South project and its development potential against valuation concerns that some see as ahead of current fundamentals. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Paladin Energy highlights a clear split between those who see meaningful upside tied to Patterson Lake South and those who are more cautious about how much of that potential is already reflected in the share price.Recent updates
Narrative Update • Aug 06
PDN: Project Execution Risks Are Expected To Sustain Share Price Overvaluation
Analysts have adjusted their price target for Paladin Energy to A$7.03 from A$7.35, reflecting a slightly higher discount rate, a lower assumed future P/E, and updated views on project scale and valuation following recent research that includes both an upgrade and a downgrade. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Paladin Energy shows a split in opinion, with some analysts highlighting long term project potential while others flag nearer term risks around valuation and execution.Narrative Update • Jul 23
PDN: Patterson Lake South Progress And Langer Heinrich Ramp-Up Will Support Future Upside
Paladin Energy’s revised fair value estimate has shifted modestly lower to A$12.11 from A$12.72, as analysts balance stronger enthusiasm for the Patterson Lake South project and its development potential against valuation concerns that some see as ahead of current fundamentals. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Paladin Energy highlights a clear split between those who see meaningful upside tied to Patterson Lake South and those who are more cautious about how much of that potential is already reflected in the share price.Analysis Article • Jun 19
Paladin Energy (ASX:PDN) Shares Could Be 435.8% Overvalued After ASX 100 Entry
Paladin Energy (ASX:PDN) has moved into focus following its inclusion in the ASX 100 index and a recent presentation at the Energy & Precious Metals Virtual Investor Summit, drawing fresh attention to its uranium exposure. See our latest analysis for Paladin Energy. At a last close of A$10.02, Paladin Energy’s 1 year total shareholder return of 36.14% contrasts with a 90 day share price return that has fallen 7.05%. This hints that recent uranium sector enthusiasm and its ASX 100 promotion...
Narrative Update • Jun 12
PDN: Uranium Supply Shift And Langer Heinrich Ramp-Up Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have raised their A$ fair value estimate for Paladin Energy from about A$17.29 to roughly A$17.90, reflecting updated assumptions on margins, P/E and mining costs after recent Street research highlighting perceived value following the share price pullback. What's in the News Paladin Energy shares recently led gains on the ASX 200, with trading activity focused on uranium stocks after sector wide interest picked up.Narrative Update • May 28
PDN: Higher Langer Heinrich Costs Will Sustain Share Price Overvaluation
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Paladin Energy to A$7.35 from A$7.20, reflecting updated cost assumptions at Langer Heinrich and noting that the recent share price pullback may offer value at current levels. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a reassessment of Paladin Energy's risk and reward profile at current levels.Narrative Update • May 13
PDN: Outperform Upgrade And Langer Heinrich Repricing Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged Paladin Energy's fair value estimate higher to A$17.29 from A$17.11, citing an improved view on value at current levels, despite higher cost assumptions at the Langer Heinrich operation, following the recent upgrade in rating to Outperform and A$13.50 price target. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see Paladin Energy's recent rating upgrade and revised assumptions as a sign that the current share price still offers room for value, even with higher projected costs at the Langer Heinrich operation.Narrative Update • Apr 21
PDN: Outperform Upgrade And EIS Approval Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Paladin Energy from about A$17.49 to A$17.11, citing updated cost assumptions at Langer Heinrich, as well as expectations for stronger revenue growth, higher profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a more constructive tone on Paladin Energy, with bullish analysts pointing to valuation support and updated cost assumptions at Langer Heinrich as key drivers behind their views.Narrative Update • Apr 07
PDN: Langer Heinrich Cost Reset And Share Pullback Will Support Future Upside
Narrative Update: Paladin Energy Analyst Price Target Shift The analyst price target for Paladin Energy has moved from A$11.11 to A$12.72. Analysts point to recent share price weakness and revised cost forecasts at Langer Heinrich as key factors supporting perceived value at current levels.Narrative Update • Mar 24
PDN: Higher Cost Risks At Langer Heinrich Will Sustain Equity Overvaluation
Analysts have lifted their price target on Paladin Energy to A$13.50 from A$7.20, citing perceived value after the share price pullback and updated cost forecasts at Langer Heinrich. Analyst Commentary Macquarie has shifted its stance on Paladin Energy, moving to an Outperform rating with a new A$13.50 price target.
New Narrative • Mar 11
Paladin Energy: Betting on the Nuclear Renaissance
The global energy transition has revived interest in nuclear power. As countries search for reliable, low-carbon baseload electricity, nuclear energy is re-entering policy discussions across Europe, North America, and Asia.Narrative Update • Mar 09
PDN: EIS Approval For High Grade PLS Project Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Paladin Energy from A$15.09 to A$17.49, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Received Ministerial approval for the Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) for the Patterson Lake South (PLS) Project in Saskatchewan, a key requirement before construction and operations can proceed (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Feb 23
PDN: Higher Margin Assumptions And Regulatory Progress Will Sustain Equity Overvaluation
Analysts have lifted their price target on Paladin Energy from A$6.31 to A$7.01, citing updated assumptions that combine a lower forecast revenue growth rate of 22.89%, a higher expected profit margin of 38.78%, and a reduced future P/E of 19.39. What's in the News Received Ministerial approval for the Environmental Impact Statement under The Environmental Assessment Act (Saskatchewan) for the Patterson Lake South Project in the Athabasca Basin, Canada (Key Developments).New Narrative • Feb 21
Paladin Energy will ride the uranium resurgence with increasing production and secure contracts
Paladin Energy (ASX: PDN): Uranium's Second Act After Fukushima in 2011, uranium was written off. Prices collapsed, reactors were mothballed, and by 2018 Paladin Energy had no choice but to shut its flagship Langer Heinrich mine in Namibia and walk away.Narrative Update • Feb 09
PDN: Higher Fair Value And P/E Assumptions Will Keep Shares Fairly Valued
Analysts have lifted their price target for Paladin Energy to A$11.11 from A$9.38, citing updated fair value estimates, a slightly higher discount rate, modestly revised revenue growth expectations, a small adjustment to projected profit margins, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes The Fair Value Estimate has risen from A$9.38 to A$11.11, indicating a higher assessed intrinsic value for Paladin Energy.Narrative Update • Jan 25
PDN: Higher Margins And Premium P E Multiple Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have raised their price target for Paladin Energy to A$15.09 from A$11.99, citing updated assumptions for higher revenue, stronger profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate, raised from A$11.99 to A$15.09, representing a sizeable uplift in the assessed share value.Narrative Update • Jan 11
PDN: Lower Future P/E Assumptions Will Likely Reinforce Equity Overvaluation
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Paladin Energy slightly to reflect a fair value revision to A$6.31, supported by updated assumptions that include adjusted revenue, profit margin and future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Trimmed slightly from A$6.37 to A$6.31 per share, reflecting the updated model inputs.Analysis Article • Dec 22
What Paladin Energy Ltd's (ASX:PDN) 30% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
Paladin Energy Ltd ( ASX:PDN ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting...Narrative Update • Dec 18
PDN: Future Multiple Expansion Will Likely Overstate Equity Offering Benefits
Analysts have lifted their price target for Paladin Energy by approximately 22 percent to reflect stronger projected revenue growth, slightly higher profit margins, and a rerating to a richer future earnings multiple, despite a modest uptick in the discount rate. What's in the News Completed a follow-on equity offering raising approximately AUD 100 million, strengthening the balance sheet and funding growth initiatives (company filing) Issued 13,793,200 new ordinary shares, modestly diluting existing shareholders while broadening the investor base (company filing) New shares priced at AUD 7.25 per share, implying institutional demand at only a limited discount to recent trading levels (company filing) Increased free float and trading liquidity are expected to improve the stock's appeal to larger funds and index trackers (company filing) Valuation Changes Fair Value has risen significantly from 5.20 to 6.37, reflecting a materially more optimistic assessment of intrinsic worth.Narrative Update • Dec 04
PDN: Future Equity Raises Will Support Margins While Keeping Shares Fairly Valued
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Paladin Energy slightly, from A$9.50 to A$9.38, citing marginally softer long term revenue growth assumptions that are only partly offset by a modest improvement in expected profit margins. What's in the News Completed a follow on equity offering raising approximately AUD 100 million through the issue of 13.8 million ordinary shares at AUD 7.25 per share (company filing) Filed a separate follow on equity offering for about AUD 20 million, covering 2.8 million ordinary shares at AUD 7.25 per share (company filing) Closed a larger follow on equity transaction totaling roughly AUD 261.4 million, including a subsequent direct listing component with shares priced at AUD 7.25 and AUD 6.66.Narrative Update • Nov 19
PDN: Completed Equity Offerings Will Drive Future Profitability And Margin Expansion
Analysts have raised their price target for Paladin Energy from $9.45 to $9.50. This change reflects increased expectations for revenue growth and improved profit margins.Narrative Update • Nov 05
PDN: Future Profit Margins Will Benefit From Recent Equity Offerings
Paladin Energy's analyst price target has seen a modest increase from $9.43 to $9.45. Analysts cite a slight rise in fair value and profit margin projections as contributing factors.Narrative Update • Oct 22
Analysts Raise Paladin Energy Target on Revenue Growth Despite Margin Pressure and Equity Offerings
Analysts have recently raised their price target for Paladin Energy to $9.43 from $8.64. They cite slightly stronger projected revenue growth, despite a modest decline in forecast profit margins and a higher expected price-to-earnings ratio.Narrative Update • Oct 08
Increasing Global Uranium Demand And Canadian Assets Will Fuel Production
Analysts have raised their price target for Paladin Energy from A$8.03 to A$8.64, noting the company's improving profit margins and valuation, which is now seen as fairly reflecting its growth prospects. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted both opportunities and risks regarding Paladin Energy's outlook following the latest target price adjustments.Narrative Update • Sep 24
Increasing Global Uranium Demand And Canadian Assets Will Fuel Production
Paladin Energy’s consensus price target has been revised downward as a result of a materially higher future P/E ratio alongside a declining net profit margin, now reflecting a fair value of A$8.03. What's in the News Paladin Energy completed a follow-on equity offering, raising AUD 261.4 million through the issuance of 31,915,288 shares at AUD 7.25 per share (with a discount of AUD 0.2175) and 4,504,505 shares at AUD 6.66 per share via subsequent direct listing.Narrative Update • Aug 29
Langer Heinrich Completion And Patterson Lake Will Spark Uranium Opportunity
Paladin Energy’s consensus price target saw a slight reduction as analysts downwardly revised revenue growth forecasts and projected a much higher future P/E, indicating lower future earnings expectations and increasing valuation risk, resulting in a modest fair value decrease from A$8.47 to A$8.35. What's in the News Paladin Energy updated Patterson Lake South (PLS) Project feasibility following a technical review, with unchanged LOM production of 90.9Mlb U3O8, revised all-in sustaining costs of USD 15.2/lb, and updated capital costs of USD 1,226 million; project NPV estimated at USD 1,325 million (post-tax, 8% discount), IRR at 28.2%, payback 2.4 years at USD 90/lb U3O8; targeted first production in 2031.Analysis Article • Jul 23
A Look At The Fair Value Of Paladin Energy Ltd (ASX:PDN)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Paladin Energy is AU$6.46 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current...
New Narrative • Apr 22
Uranium Mining Operations Will Boost Efficiency In 2025
Operational improvements and high ore quality are set to boost efficiency, increase production, and enhance future revenue and net margins.Analysis Article • Mar 05
Here's Why Paladin Energy (ASX:PDN) Can Afford Some Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Jan 11
Paladin Energy Ltd's (ASX:PDN) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 99% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Paladin Energy fair value estimate is AU$2.36 Current share...Analysis Article • Sep 13
Paladin Energy (ASX:PDN) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • May 01
Is Paladin Energy (ASX:PDN) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Nov 10
This Is The Reason Why We Think Paladin Energy Ltd's (ASX:PDN) CEO Might Be Underpaid
The impressive results at Paladin Energy Ltd ( ASX:PDN ) recently will be great news for shareholders. At the upcoming...Analysis Article • Sep 29
Is Paladin Energy (ASX:PDN) A Risky Investment?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • Jul 21
Paladin Energy Limited (ASX:PDN) Shares Could Be 39% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Does the July share price for Paladin Energy Limited ( ASX:PDN ) reflect what it's really worth? Today, we will...Shareholder Returns
| PDN | AU Oil and Gas | AU Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 4.4% | 2.7% | -1.0% |
| 1Y | 60.1% | 19.1% | -0.1% |
Return vs Industry: PDN exceeded the Australian Oil and Gas industry which returned 19.1% over the past year.
Return vs Market: PDN exceeded the Australian Market which returned -0.1% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| PDN volatility | |
|---|---|
| PDN Average Weekly Movement | 9.7% |
| Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement | 11.2% |
| Market Average Movement | 9.7% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in AU Market | 16.8% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in AU Market | 3.9% |
Stable Share Price: PDN has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Australian market.
Volatility Over Time: PDN's weekly volatility (10%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1993 | 500 | Paul Hemburrow | www.paladinenergy.com.au |
Paladin Energy Ltd, through its subsidiaries, engages in the development and exploration of mineral properties in Australia, Canada, and Namibia. It explores for uranium deposits. The company was formerly known as Paladin Resources Ltd and changed its name to Paladin Energy Ltd in November 2007.
Paladin Energy Ltd Fundamentals Summary
| PDN fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | AU$4.75b |
| Earnings (TTM) | -AU$18.04m |
| Revenue (TTM) | AU$347.08m |
13.7x
P/S Ratio-263.5x
P/E RatioIs PDN overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| PDN income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$248.50m |
| Cost of Revenue | US$193.96m |
| Gross Profit | US$54.54m |
| Other Expenses | US$67.46m |
| Earnings | -US$12.92m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
Aug 26, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -0.029 |
| Gross Margin | 21.95% |
| Net Profit Margin | -5.20% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 17.9% |
How did PDN perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/08/21 02:55 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/08/21 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/06/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Paladin Energy Ltd is covered by 43 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Michael Kozak | ATB Cormark Historical (Cormark Securities) |
| Dale Koenders | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Regan Burrows | Bell Potter |