Estimating The Fair Value Of Breville Group Limited (ASX:BRG)
Nov 11
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Australian (ASX) Consumer Durables Industry Analysis
UpdatedNov 21, 2024
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies9
- 7D2.8%
- 3M2.9%
- 1Y31.8%
- YTD17.6%
The Consumer Durables industry is up 2.8% in the last week, with Breville Group up 3.5%. During this same period, the Tamawood underperformed, falling 8.9%. This takes the industry's 12 month performance to a gain of 32%. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 11% per annum.
Industry Valuation and Performance
Has the Australian Consumer Durables Industry valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, 21 Nov 2024 | AU$5.3b | AU$3.4b | AU$114.8m | 29.3x | 46.6x | 1.6x |
| Sat, 19 Oct 2024 | AU$5.7b | AU$3.4b | AU$114.8m | 32x | 49.3x | 1.7x |
| Mon, 16 Sep 2024 | AU$5.6b | AU$3.4b | AU$114.8m | 31.7x | 48.9x | 1.7x |
| Wed, 14 Aug 2024 | AU$4.7b | AU$3.3b | AU$111.0m | 22.1x | 42.6x | 1.4x |
| Fri, 12 Jul 2024 | AU$4.5b | AU$3.3b | AU$111.0m | 21.6x | 40.7x | 1.4x |
| Sun, 09 Jun 2024 | AU$4.5b | AU$3.3b | AU$111.0m | 20.1x | 40.6x | 1.4x |
| Tue, 07 May 2024 | AU$4.4b | AU$3.2b | AU$131.3m | 23.1x | 33.1x | 1.3x |
| Thu, 04 Apr 2024 | AU$4.4b | AU$3.2b | AU$131.3m | 22.6x | 33.1x | 1.3x |
| Sat, 02 Mar 2024 | AU$4.4b | AU$3.2b | AU$131.3m | 20.5x | 33.9x | 1.4x |
| Mon, 29 Jan 2024 | AU$4.5b | AU$3.3b | AU$63.0m | 24.3x | 71.2x | 1.3x |
| Wed, 27 Dec 2023 | AU$4.4b | AU$3.3b | AU$63.0m | 24.1x | 70.1x | 1.3x |
| Fri, 24 Nov 2023 | AU$4.0b | AU$3.3b | AU$63.0m | 22x | 63x | 1.2x |
| Sun, 22 Oct 2023 | AU$3.7b | AU$3.3b | AU$63.0m | 21.4x | 58.3x | 1.1x |
| Tue, 19 Sep 2023 | AU$3.9b | AU$3.3b | AU$63.0m | 22.4x | 61.4x | 1.2x |
| Thu, 17 Aug 2023 | AU$4.0b | AU$3.4b | AU$54.9m | 8.7x | 73.5x | 1.2x |
| Sat, 15 Jul 2023 | AU$3.8b | AU$3.4b | AU$54.9m | 8.2x | 69.6x | 1.1x |
| Mon, 12 Jun 2023 | AU$3.4b | AU$3.4b | AU$54.9m | 8.1x | 61.4x | 1x |
| Wed, 10 May 2023 | AU$3.7b | AU$3.4b | AU$54.9m | 8.9x | 66.5x | 1.1x |
| Fri, 07 Apr 2023 | AU$3.4b | AU$3.4b | AU$103.5m | 9.4x | 32.7x | 1x |
| Sun, 05 Mar 2023 | AU$3.4b | AU$3.4b | AU$103.5m | 10.3x | 33.1x | 1x |
| Tue, 31 Jan 2023 | AU$3.8b | AU$3.4b | AU$66.2m | 13.2x | 57.6x | 1.1x |
| Thu, 29 Dec 2022 | AU$3.2b | AU$3.4b | AU$66.2m | 12.9x | 48.3x | 0.9x |
| Sat, 26 Nov 2022 | AU$3.5b | AU$3.3b | AU$70.4m | 12.7x | 49.4x | 1x |
| Mon, 24 Oct 2022 | AU$3.2b | AU$3.3b | AU$70.4m | 12.4x | 45.6x | 1x |
| Wed, 21 Sep 2022 | AU$3.3b | AU$3.3b | AU$74.7m | 12.7x | 44.8x | 1x |
| Fri, 19 Aug 2022 | AU$4.4b | AU$3.3b | AU$114.3m | 13.6x | 38.4x | 1.3x |
| Sun, 17 Jul 2022 | AU$3.7b | AU$3.0b | AU$93.0m | 14x | 39.6x | 1.2x |
| Tue, 14 Jun 2022 | AU$3.6b | AU$3.0b | AU$93.0m | 15.7x | 38.6x | 1.2x |
| Thu, 12 May 2022 | AU$4.3b | AU$3.0b | AU$93.0m | 17.6x | 45.7x | 1.4x |
| Sat, 09 Apr 2022 | AU$4.8b | AU$3.0b | AU$93.0m | 19.5x | 51.3x | 1.6x |
| Mon, 07 Mar 2022 | AU$5.0b | AU$3.0b | AU$93.0m | 18x | 54x | 1.7x |
| Wed, 02 Feb 2022 | AU$5.5b | AU$2.8b | AU$123.9m | 15.1x | 44.2x | 1.9x |
| Fri, 31 Dec 2021 | AU$6.0b | AU$2.8b | AU$123.9m | 15.1x | 48.4x | 2.1x |
| Sun, 28 Nov 2021 | AU$5.5b | AU$2.8b | AU$123.9m | 14.3x | 44.1x | 1.9x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
44.1x
Current Industry PE
- Investors are relatively neutral on the Australian Consumer Durables industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
- The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 49.5x.
- The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.3x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 1.6x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for companies in the Consumer Durables industry have declined 2.5% per year over the last three years.
- Meanwhile revenues for these companies have grown 5.9% per year.
- This means that although more sales are being generated, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased, which has decreased profits.
Industry Trends
Which industries have driven the changes within the Australian Consumer Discretionary industry?
| AU Market | 1.47% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1.49% | |
| Consumer Durables | 2.75% | |
| Home Furnishings | 8.00% | |
| Household Appliances | 2.93% | |
| Homebuilding | 1.31% | |
| Housewares and Specialties | 0% | |
| Consumer Electronics | -3.52% | |
Industry PE
- Investors are most optimistic about the Homebuilding industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 33.8x.
- Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 36.5%, which is lower than the prior year's growth of 85.2% per year.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Homebuilding industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 36% over the next 5 years.
- However this is lower than its past earnings growth rate of 85% per year.
- In contrast, the Household Appliances industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 10% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRG Breville Group | AU$32.70 | 3.5% +AU$159.8m | 39.0% | PE39.7x | |
| AVJ AVJennings | AU$0.34 | 3.0% +AU$5.6m | 38.8% | PE185.5x | |
| GAP Gale Pacific | AU$0.14 | 3.8% +AU$1.4m | -22.9% | PS0.2x |
