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Australian (ASX) Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis
UpdatedFeb 21, 2025
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies100
- 7D-0.6%
- 3M7.7%
- 1Y16.9%
- YTD5.6%
In the last week, the Consumer Discretionary industry is up 1.9%, with Guzman y Gomez leading the way, up 11%. In the same time, JB Hi-Fi was down 8.8%. This means that the industry has gained 18% over the past year. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 12% annually.
Sector Valuation and Performance
Has the Australian Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 21 Feb 2025 | AU$231.3b | AU$128.5b | AU$4.7b | 19.9x | 48.9x | 1.8x |
| Sun, 19 Jan 2025 | AU$218.0b | AU$127.0b | AU$4.1b | 19.7x | 53.6x | 1.7x |
| Tue, 17 Dec 2024 | AU$221.3b | AU$127.0b | AU$4.1b | 20.5x | 54.3x | 1.7x |
| Thu, 14 Nov 2024 | AU$212.4b | AU$127.1b | AU$4.0b | 20.2x | 52.5x | 1.7x |
| Sat, 12 Oct 2024 | AU$214.0b | AU$127.0b | AU$4.3b | 19.4x | 50.3x | 1.7x |
| Mon, 09 Sep 2024 | AU$209.4b | AU$127.2b | AU$4.8b | 19.7x | 43.7x | 1.6x |
| Wed, 07 Aug 2024 | AU$201.9b | AU$124.8b | AU$5.8b | 16.4x | 35x | 1.6x |
| Fri, 05 Jul 2024 | AU$194.7b | AU$124.8b | AU$5.8b | 15.8x | 33.8x | 1.6x |
| Sun, 02 Jun 2024 | AU$188.4b | AU$124.4b | AU$5.7b | 15.2x | 32.9x | 1.5x |
| Tue, 30 Apr 2024 | AU$190.5b | AU$124.1b | AU$5.7b | 17.3x | 33.6x | 1.5x |
| Thu, 28 Mar 2024 | AU$200.6b | AU$124.2b | AU$5.6b | 17.4x | 35.5x | 1.6x |
| Sat, 24 Feb 2024 | AU$196.2b | AU$124.0b | AU$4.3b | 20.4x | 45.3x | 1.6x |
| Mon, 22 Jan 2024 | AU$194.8b | AU$126.2b | AU$4.4b | 18.7x | 44.1x | 1.5x |
| Wed, 20 Dec 2023 | AU$191.4b | AU$126.2b | AU$4.4b | 18.5x | 43.3x | 1.5x |
| Fri, 17 Nov 2023 | AU$184.2b | AU$126.1b | AU$4.4b | 17.7x | 42.3x | 1.5x |
| Sun, 15 Oct 2023 | AU$182.1b | AU$125.7b | AU$4.0b | 21.1x | 45.7x | 1.4x |
| Tue, 12 Sep 2023 | AU$185.6b | AU$125.7b | AU$4.0b | 20.4x | 46.2x | 1.5x |
| Thu, 10 Aug 2023 | AU$183.2b | AU$122.0b | AU$5.0b | 13.5x | 36.9x | 1.5x |
| Sat, 08 Jul 2023 | AU$171.0b | AU$122.0b | AU$5.0b | 12x | 34.4x | 1.4x |
| Mon, 05 Jun 2023 | AU$173.0b | AU$121.9b | AU$5.0b | 12.6x | 34.6x | 1.4x |
| Wed, 03 May 2023 | AU$185.0b | AU$121.4b | AU$4.8b | 14x | 38.2x | 1.5x |
| Fri, 31 Mar 2023 | AU$178.8b | AU$121.4b | AU$4.9b | 14.1x | 36.3x | 1.5x |
| Sun, 26 Feb 2023 | AU$180.0b | AU$120.8b | AU$5.1b | 16.4x | 35.3x | 1.5x |
| Tue, 24 Jan 2023 | AU$179.0b | AU$111.7b | AU$5.5b | 16.7x | 32.3x | 1.6x |
| Thu, 22 Dec 2022 | AU$166.1b | AU$111.7b | AU$5.5b | 13.8x | 30x | 1.5x |
| Sat, 19 Nov 2022 | AU$176.1b | AU$111.6b | AU$5.6b | 14.1x | 31.6x | 1.6x |
| Mon, 17 Oct 2022 | AU$165.6b | AU$111.2b | AU$5.5b | 12.8x | 29.8x | 1.5x |
| Wed, 14 Sep 2022 | AU$175.1b | AU$110.8b | AU$5.5b | 14.2x | 31.7x | 1.6x |
| Fri, 12 Aug 2022 | AU$168.9b | AU$107.0b | AU$5.5b | 15.6x | 31x | 1.6x |
| Sun, 10 Jul 2022 | AU$160.6b | AU$106.7b | AU$5.4b | 15.7x | 29.6x | 1.5x |
| Tue, 07 Jun 2022 | AU$163.8b | AU$106.6b | AU$5.4b | 16.6x | 30.2x | 1.5x |
| Thu, 05 May 2022 | AU$181.8b | AU$106.1b | AU$5.1b | 16.9x | 35.3x | 1.7x |
| Sat, 02 Apr 2022 | AU$192.1b | AU$106.1b | AU$5.2b | 18.6x | 37.2x | 1.8x |
| Mon, 28 Feb 2022 | AU$188.9b | AU$105.9b | AU$5.2b | 18x | 36x | 1.8x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
36x
Current Industry PE
- Investors are optimistic on the Australian Consumer Discretionary industry, and appear confident in long term growth rates.
- The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 58.1x which is higher than its 3-year average PE of 38.4x.
- The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.6x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 1.9x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have declined 8.2% per year over the last three years.
- Meanwhile revenues for these companies have grown 6.5% per year.
- This means that although more sales are being generated, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased, which has decreased profits.
Industry Trends
Which industries have driven the changes within the Australian Consumer Discretionary sector?
| AU Market | -2.48% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | -0.60% | |
| Auto Components | 2.07% | |
| Consumer Durables | 0.59% | |
| Hospitality | 0.45% | |
| Online Retail and Ecommerce | 0% | 0 |
| Consumer Services | -0.025% | |
| Luxury | -0.37% | |
| General Merchandise and Department Stores | -0.69% | |
| Auto | -1.10% | |
| Leisure | -1.89% | |
| Specialty Stores | -3.21% | |
| Retail Distributors | -4.61% | |
Industry PE
- Investors are most optimistic about the Consumer Services industry even though it's trading below its 3-year average PE ratio of 95.5x.
- Analysts expect its future annual earnings growth (16.5%) to be largely in line with prior year's earnings growth.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Retail Distributors industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 35% over the next 5 years.
- This is better than its past earnings decline of 16% per year.
- In contrast, the Specialty Stores industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 8.4% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GYG Guzman y Gomez | AU$44.99 | 11.2% +AU$458.7m | n/a | PS12.5x | |
| TLC Lottery | AU$5.13 | 3.6% +AU$400.5m | -1.0% | PE30.7x | |
| CTD Corporate Travel Management | AU$17.32 | 13.9% +AU$299.5m | 9.0% | PE38.7x | |
| TPW Temple & Webster Group | AU$18.00 | 11.5% +AU$221.0m | 51.1% | PE322x | |
| LOV Lovisa Holdings | AU$30.15 | 4.4% +AU$139.5m | 10.4% | PE40.5x |
