An Intrinsic Calculation For Treasury Wine Estates Limited (ASX:TWE) Suggests It's 48% Undervalued
Jun 18
Have your own idea? Try our Stock Screener
Australian (ASX) Beverage Industry Analysis
UpdatedJun 20, 2025
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies4
- 7D0.6%
- 3M-18.3%
- 1Y-34.4%
- YTD-28.0%
Over the last 7 days, the Beverage industry has dropped 1.9%, driven by LARK Distilling declining 7.7%. The industry has fallen 35% in the last year. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 20% annually.
Industry Valuation and Performance
Has the Australian Beverage Industry valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 20 Jun 2025 | AU$6.7b | AU$3.3b | AU$50.6m | 43.1x | 132.7x | 2x |
| Sun, 18 May 2025 | AU$7.1b | AU$3.3b | AU$50.6m | 45.3x | 139.6x | 2.1x |
| Tue, 15 Apr 2025 | AU$7.1b | AU$3.3b | AU$50.6m | 45.5x | 140.4x | 2.1x |
| Thu, 13 Mar 2025 | AU$8.1b | AU$3.3b | AU$50.6m | 51.6x | 159.3x | 2.4x |
| Sat, 08 Feb 2025 | AU$8.9b | AU$3.1b | -AU$288,756.00 | 88.4x | -30848.4x | 2.9x |
| Mon, 06 Jan 2025 | AU$9.3b | AU$3.1b | -AU$288,756.00 | 92.5x | -32300.6x | 3x |
| Wed, 04 Dec 2024 | AU$9.5b | AU$3.2b | -AU$24,258,756.00 | 93.9x | -391.3x | 2.9x |
| Fri, 01 Nov 2024 | AU$9.6b | AU$3.2b | -AU$24,258,756.00 | 93x | -395.9x | 3x |
| Sun, 29 Sep 2024 | AU$9.9b | AU$3.2b | -AU$24,258,756.00 | 98.2x | -408.9x | 3.1x |
| Tue, 27 Aug 2024 | AU$9.8b | AU$3.2b | AU$47.2m | 96.6x | 206.5x | 3x |
| Thu, 25 Jul 2024 | AU$10.3b | AU$2.9b | AU$181.3m | 43.5x | 57x | 3.6x |
| Sat, 22 Jun 2024 | AU$10.4b | AU$2.9b | AU$181.3m | 44x | 57.5x | 3.6x |
| Mon, 20 May 2024 | AU$9.6b | AU$2.9b | AU$181.3m | 40.1x | 52.8x | 3.3x |
| Wed, 17 Apr 2024 | AU$10.2b | AU$2.9b | AU$181.3m | 41.9x | 56.3x | 3.5x |
| Fri, 15 Mar 2024 | AU$10.5b | AU$2.9b | AU$181.3m | 43.8x | 57.9x | 3.6x |
| Sun, 11 Feb 2024 | AU$9.2b | AU$2.9b | AU$205.3m | 30.7x | 44.9x | 3.2x |
| Tue, 09 Jan 2024 | AU$8.5b | AU$2.9b | AU$205.3m | 32.2x | 41.4x | 2.9x |
| Thu, 07 Dec 2023 | AU$8.8b | AU$2.9b | AU$205.3m | 33.5x | 43x | 3x |
| Sat, 04 Nov 2023 | AU$8.3b | AU$2.9b | AU$205.3m | 31.3x | 40.4x | 2.9x |
| Mon, 02 Oct 2023 | AU$9.2b | AU$2.9b | AU$205.3m | 35x | 44.9x | 3.2x |
| Wed, 30 Aug 2023 | AU$8.9b | AU$2.9b | AU$230.9m | 33.6x | 38.5x | 3.1x |
| Fri, 28 Jul 2023 | AU$8.5b | AU$3.0b | AU$334.9m | 23.8x | 25.3x | 2.9x |
| Sun, 25 Jun 2023 | AU$8.6b | AU$3.0b | AU$334.9m | 24.1x | 25.6x | 2.9x |
| Tue, 23 May 2023 | AU$9.9b | AU$3.0b | AU$334.9m | 28x | 29.7x | 3.4x |
| Thu, 20 Apr 2023 | AU$10.5b | AU$2.9b | AU$255.8m | 38.4x | 41.1x | 3.6x |
| Sat, 18 Mar 2023 | AU$9.7b | AU$2.9b | AU$255.8m | 35.4x | 38x | 3.3x |
| Mon, 13 Feb 2023 | AU$10.9b | AU$2.9b | AU$265.4m | 39.4x | 40.9x | 3.7x |
| Wed, 11 Jan 2023 | AU$10.2b | AU$2.9b | AU$265.4m | 36.7x | 38.3x | 3.5x |
| Fri, 09 Dec 2022 | AU$10.4b | AU$2.9b | AU$265.4m | 37.5x | 39.3x | 3.6x |
| Sun, 06 Nov 2022 | AU$9.7b | AU$2.9b | AU$265.4m | 34.8x | 36.4x | 3.3x |
| Tue, 04 Oct 2022 | AU$9.4b | AU$2.9b | AU$265.4m | 34x | 35.5x | 3.2x |
| Thu, 01 Sep 2022 | AU$10.1b | AU$2.9b | AU$268.5m | 42.3x | 37.7x | 3.5x |
| Sat, 30 Jul 2022 | AU$9.4b | AU$2.9b | AU$249.4m | 33.6x | 37.8x | 3.2x |
| Mon, 27 Jun 2022 | AU$8.7b | AU$2.9b | AU$249.4m | 31.3x | 34.9x | 3x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
34.9x
Current Industry PE
- Investors are optimistic on the Australian Beverage industry, and appear confident in long term growth rates.
- The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 131x which is higher than its 3-year average PE of -1kx.
- The 3-year average PS ratio of 3.1x is higher than the industry's current PS ratio of 2.0x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for companies in the Beverage industry have declined 41% per year over the last three years.
- Meanwhile revenues for these companies have grown 4.5% per year.
- This means that although more sales are being generated, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased, which has decreased profits.
Industry Trends
Which industries have driven the changes within the Australian Consumer Staples industry?
| AU Market | -0.62% | |
| Consumer Staples | -0.37% | |
| Beverage | 0.64% | |
| Distillers and Wine Makers | 0.65% | |
| Brewers | 0% | 0 |
| Soft Drinks | 0% | 0 |
Industry PE
- Investors are most optimistic about the Distillers and Wine Makers industry even though it's trading below its 3-year average PE ratio of 336x.
- Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 19.5%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 34.3% per year.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Distillers and Wine Makers industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 20% over the next 5 years.
- This is better than its past earnings decline of 34% per year.
- In contrast, the Distillers and Wine Makers industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 20% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TWE Treasury Wine Estates | AU$8.14 | 0.7% +AU$48.7m | -34.5% | PE43.1x | |
| AVG Australian Vintage | AU$0.086 | 1.2% +AU$329.5k | -50.9% | PS0.1x |
