A Look At The Fair Value Of Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN)
Feb 11
Have your own idea? Try our Stock Screener
Polish (WIG) Market Analysis & Valuation
UpdatedFeb 12, 2025
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies648
- 7D4.7%
- 3M12.4%
- 1Y9.1%
- YTD12.2%
The market is up 4.3% in the last 7 days, led by the Financials and all sectors gaining ground. The market is up 5.9% over the last 12 months. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 16% annually.
Market Valuation and Performance
Has the Polish Market valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, 12 Feb 2025 | zł924.0b | zł1.2t | zł43.8b | 12.6x | 21.1x | 0.8x |
| Fri, 10 Jan 2025 | zł829.6b | zł1.2t | zł42.9b | 11.5x | 19.3x | 0.7x |
| Sun, 08 Dec 2024 | zł835.9b | zł1.2t | zł45.0b | 11.1x | 18.6x | 0.7x |
| Tue, 05 Nov 2024 | zł821.8b | zł1.2t | zł55.3b | 11.5x | 14.9x | 0.7x |
| Thu, 03 Oct 2024 | zł820.3b | zł1.2t | zł53.7b | 12x | 15.3x | 0.7x |
| Sat, 31 Aug 2024 | zł853.3b | zł1.2t | zł55.1b | 11.8x | 15.5x | 0.7x |
| Mon, 29 Jul 2024 | zł849.1b | zł1.2t | zł57.8b | 11.9x | 14.7x | 0.7x |
| Wed, 26 Jun 2024 | zł892.1b | zł1.2t | zł58.2b | 12.4x | 15.3x | 0.7x |
| Fri, 24 May 2024 | zł898.0b | zł1.2t | zł59.0b | 12.5x | 15.2x | 0.7x |
| Sun, 21 Apr 2024 | zł868.0b | zł1.3t | zł78.0b | 12x | 11.1x | 0.7x |
| Tue, 19 Mar 2024 | zł846.2b | zł1.3t | zł84.5b | 12.5x | 10x | 0.7x |
| Thu, 15 Feb 2024 | zł836.7b | zł1.3t | zł89.7b | 12.9x | 9.3x | 0.7x |
| Sat, 13 Jan 2024 | zł818.3b | zł1.3t | zł90.6b | 12.8x | 9x | 0.6x |
| Mon, 11 Dec 2023 | zł827.0b | zł1.3t | zł91.6b | 12.4x | 9x | 0.6x |
| Wed, 08 Nov 2023 | zł775.8b | zł1.3t | zł86.2b | 12.2x | 9x | 0.6x |
| Fri, 06 Oct 2023 | zł692.3b | zł1.3t | zł87.9b | 11.9x | 7.9x | 0.6x |
| Sun, 03 Sep 2023 | zł747.4b | zł1.2t | zł114.6b | 12.8x | 6.5x | 0.6x |
| Tue, 01 Aug 2023 | zł789.0b | zł1.2t | zł93.4b | 13x | 8.4x | 0.6x |
| Thu, 29 Jun 2023 | zł734.8b | zł1.2t | zł92.8b | 12.7x | 7.9x | 0.6x |
| Sat, 27 May 2023 | zł720.9b | zł1.2t | zł91.7b | 11.9x | 7.9x | 0.6x |
| Mon, 24 Apr 2023 | zł696.8b | zł1.2t | zł90.9b | 11.8x | 7.7x | 0.6x |
| Wed, 22 Mar 2023 | zł592.9b | zł1.1t | zł96.2b | 11.2x | 6.2x | 0.6x |
| Fri, 17 Feb 2023 | zł677.3b | zł1.0t | zł80.9b | 10.9x | 8.4x | 0.6x |
| Sun, 15 Jan 2023 | zł690.5b | zł1.0t | zł76.8b | 10.2x | 9x | 0.7x |
| Tue, 13 Dec 2022 | zł639.9b | zł1.0t | zł77.2b | 10.1x | 8.3x | 0.6x |
| Thu, 10 Nov 2022 | zł585.3b | zł974.8b | zł77.8b | 9.7x | 7.5x | 0.6x |
| Sat, 08 Oct 2022 | zł535.2b | zł1.1t | zł90.8b | 9.3x | 5.9x | 0.5x |
| Mon, 05 Sep 2022 | zł577.3b | zł1.1t | zł89.4b | 9.6x | 6.5x | 0.5x |
| Wed, 03 Aug 2022 | zł638.1b | zł1.0t | zł89.4b | 9.9x | 7.1x | 0.6x |
| Fri, 01 Jul 2022 | zł623.2b | zł1.0t | zł89.2b | 9.7x | 7x | 0.6x |
| Sun, 29 May 2022 | zł654.5b | zł1.0t | zł86.5b | 10x | 7.6x | 0.6x |
| Tue, 26 Apr 2022 | zł687.6b | zł912.9b | zł77.3b | 11x | 8.9x | 0.8x |
| Thu, 24 Mar 2022 | zł740.2b | zł862.1b | zł67.2b | 11x | 11x | 0.9x |
| Sat, 19 Feb 2022 | zł754.2b | zł846.0b | zł59.1b | 11.3x | 12.8x | 0.9x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
12.8x
Current Market PE
- Investors are optimistic on the Polish market, and appear confident in strong long term growth rates.
- The market is trading at a PE ratio of 20.8x which is higher than its 3-year average PE of 10.5x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for Polish listed companies have declined 9.4% per year over the last three years.
- Meanwhile revenues for these companies have grown 13% per year.
- This means that although more sales are being generated, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased, which has decreased profits.
Sector Trends
Which sectors have driven the changes within the Polish Market?
| PL Market | 4.72% | |
| Materials | 6.41% | |
| Energy | 5.84% | |
| Industrials | 5.83% | |
| Financials | 5.27% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | 4.75% | |
| Utilities | 3.65% | |
| Consumer Staples | 3.57% | |
| Telecom | 2.91% | |
| Tech | 2.45% | |
| Real Estate | 1.64% | |
| Healthcare | 0.93% | |
| Information Technology | 0% | 0 |
| Financials | 0% | 0 |
| Health Care | 0% | 0 |
| Industrials | 0% | 0 |
Sector PE
- Investors favour the Healthcare sector the most for future growth, which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 58.5x.
- Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 11.9%, which is lower than the prior year's growth of 28.5% per year.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Materials sector, expecting annual earnings growth of 53% over the next 5 years.
- This is better than its past earnings decline of 31% per year.
- In contrast, the Financials sector is expected to see its earnings grow by 6.3% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | Sector | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PKO Powszechna Kasa Oszczednosci Bank Polski Spólka Akcyjna | zł68.54 | 5.1% +zł4.1b | 31.8% | PB1.7x | Financials | |
| PKN Orlen | zł57.46 | 6.0% +zł3.8b | -13.1% | PE17.8x | Energy | |
| MBK mBank | zł700.00 | 12.0% +zł3.2b | 22.7% | PB1.7x | Financials | |
| ING ING Bank Slaski | zł307.00 | 7.7% +zł2.9b | 12.0% | PB2.3x | Financials | |
| PEO Bank Polska Kasa Opieki | zł168.00 | 6.1% +zł2.5b | 6.3% | PB1.4x | Financials |
