Orlen (PKN) Stock Overview
Operates in refining, petrochemical, energy, retail, gas, and upstream business. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 2/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 6/6 |
| Dividends | 3/6 |
PKN Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 90 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Orlen S.A. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | zł140.30 |
| 52 Week High | zł145.00 |
| 52 Week Low | zł69.20 |
| Beta | 0.47 |
| 1 Month Change | 6.97% |
| 3 Month Change | 26.69% |
| 1 Year Change | 94.13% |
| 3 Year Change | 121.78% |
| 5 Year Change | 83.49% |
| Change since IPO | 540.64% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Apr 26
PKN: Future Returns Will Hinge On Energa Integration And Margin Resilience
Analysts have adjusted their PLN price targets on Orlen only slightly, with a modest recalibration in discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions that reflects a mixed set of recent views, including a more positive stance from UBS and a more cautious one from Oddo BHF. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Orlen points to a split in opinion, with some analysts turning more optimistic and others taking a more cautious stance.Narrative Update • Apr 06
PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Soften As Margin Resilience Proves Overstated
Analysts have raised their Orlen price target from PLN 114.33 to about PLN 119.22, reflecting updated assumptions on fair value, slightly higher profit margins and a marginally richer future P/E multiple, with recent research including both an upgrade and a downgrade informing the new view. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts link their upgrade to a view that current valuation leaves some room for the shares to move closer to their refreshed fair value assumptions, anchored around the PLN 119.22 target.
New Narrative • Mar 26
Regulated Energy Projects And LNG Expansion Will Support A Stronger Long Term Outlook
Catalysts About Orlen Orlen is an integrated energy and fuels group active in upstream, refining, petrochemicals, power generation, retail and gas trading. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Mar 22
PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Soften As Margin Assumptions Prove Fragile
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Orlen from PLN 95.58 to PLN 114.33, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, as well as a mix of recent bullish and bearish Street calls. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts link the higher fair value estimate of PLN 114.33 to expectations that Orlen can sustain healthier profit margins than previously assumed.Recent updates
Narrative Update • Apr 26
PKN: Future Returns Will Hinge On Energa Integration And Margin Resilience
Analysts have adjusted their PLN price targets on Orlen only slightly, with a modest recalibration in discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions that reflects a mixed set of recent views, including a more positive stance from UBS and a more cautious one from Oddo BHF. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Orlen points to a split in opinion, with some analysts turning more optimistic and others taking a more cautious stance.Narrative Update • Apr 06
PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Soften As Margin Resilience Proves Overstated
Analysts have raised their Orlen price target from PLN 114.33 to about PLN 119.22, reflecting updated assumptions on fair value, slightly higher profit margins and a marginally richer future P/E multiple, with recent research including both an upgrade and a downgrade informing the new view. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts link their upgrade to a view that current valuation leaves some room for the shares to move closer to their refreshed fair value assumptions, anchored around the PLN 119.22 target.New Narrative • Mar 26
Regulated Energy Projects And LNG Expansion Will Support A Stronger Long Term Outlook
Catalysts About Orlen Orlen is an integrated energy and fuels group active in upstream, refining, petrochemicals, power generation, retail and gas trading. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Mar 22
PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Soften As Margin Assumptions Prove Fragile
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Orlen from PLN 95.58 to PLN 114.33, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, as well as a mix of recent bullish and bearish Street calls. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts link the higher fair value estimate of PLN 114.33 to expectations that Orlen can sustain healthier profit margins than previously assumed.
New Narrative • Mar 11
Large CapEx And Refining Margin Normalization Will Pressure Long Term Earnings Outlook
Catalysts About Orlen Orlen is an integrated energy and fuels group active in upstream, refining, petrochemicals, power generation and retail across several European markets. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Mar 06
PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Soften As Execution Risks Intensify
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Orlen to PLN 95.58 from PLN 93.28, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, even as some recent research has turned more cautious on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the higher fair value estimate of PLN 95.58 as support for their view that current pricing may not fully reflect the updated revenue and margin assumptions built into their models.Narrative Update • Feb 19
PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Weaken As Margin Risks Intensify
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Orlen up from PLN 91.47 to PLN 93.28, citing slightly firmer profit margin assumptions and a modestly higher future P/E, even as at least one recent report has turned more cautious on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the higher fair value estimate of PLN 93.28 as support for the idea that current pricing may not fully reflect Orlen's earnings power under the updated profit margin assumptions.Analysis Article • Feb 07
Why We're Not Concerned About Orlen S.A.'s (WSE:PKN) Share Price
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20x Orlen S.A. ( WSE:PKN ) may be sending very bearish signals at the...Narrative Update • Feb 05
PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Weaken As Earnings Multiple Compresses
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Orlen from €87.31 to €91.47 per share, citing updated assumptions around a smaller revenue decline, a slightly higher profit margin and a lower future P/E multiple, even as at least one firm has turned more cautious on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the updated view on a smaller revenue decline as a support for the higher fair value estimate of €91.47 per share, seeing this as a sign that the earnings base used in their models may be more resilient than previously assumed.Narrative Update • Jan 22
PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Lag As P/E Stays Elevated
Analysts have kept their target price for Orlen broadly in line with prior levels, citing relatively unchanged fair value at 87.31, a stable 9.24% discount rate, and only small tweaks to assumptions around revenue trends, profit margin and future P/E of 12.05x. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Fair value per share is unchanged at PLN 87.31.Narrative Update • Jan 08
PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Disappoint As Earnings Multiple Stays Elevated
Analysts have kept their price target for Orlen unchanged at €87.31, reflecting steady assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, with no new Street research prompting a revision. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Fair value per share remains unchanged at €87.31, with no adjustment to the underlying model inputs.Analysis Article • Jan 04
An Intrinsic Calculation For Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN) Suggests It's 26% Undervalued
Key Insights The projected fair value for Orlen is zł136 based on Dividend Discount Model Orlen's zł101 share price...Narrative Update • Dec 18
PKN: Future Returns Will Remain Balanced As Revenue And Margins Slightly Weaken
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on Orlen higher to reflect a fair value of $87.31 per share, as they reiterate stable discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P E assumptions. What's in the News Orlen S.A. has scheduled a Special or Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting for November 13, 2025, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time to address key corporate matters requiring shareholder approval (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Dec 17
Returns At Orlen (WSE:PKN) Are On The Way Up
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Narrative Update • Dec 04
PKN: Earnings Multiple Will Rise As Revenue And Margins Slightly Weaken
Analysts have nudged their price target on Orlen higher to approximately $87.31 from about $85.86, citing a modestly richer future earnings multiple that more than offsets slightly weaker revenue growth and profit margin expectations. What's in the News Orlen S.A. has scheduled a Special and Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting for November 13, 2025, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time.Analysis Article • Nov 29
Orlen (WSE:PKN) Is Posting Promising Earnings But The Good News Doesn’t Stop There
Despite posting healthy earnings, Orlen S.A.'s ( WSE:PKN ) stock has been quite weak. Our analysis suggests that there...Narrative Update • Nov 20
PKN: Profit Margins Will Improve While Revenue Decline Persists Through 2025 Shareholder Meeting
Narrative Update on Orlen: Analyst Price Target Change Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Orlen from PLN 85.63 to PLN 85.86, citing improved profit margin expectations and a modest adjustment to the discount rate. What's in the News Orlen S.A. has scheduled a Special/Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting for November 13, 2025, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Nov 05
PKN: Profit Margins Will Improve Despite Weakening Revenue Outlook By Shareholder Meeting
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Orlen from PLN 83.86 to PLN 85.63, citing improved profit margin forecasts and a slightly higher future price-to-earnings expectation. This adjustment comes despite a modest downward revision in revenue growth outlook.Analysis Article • Oct 28
Orlen (WSE:PKN) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...Narrative Update • Oct 22
Analysts Maintain Orlen Price Target as Valuation Metrics Remain Stable Ahead of Shareholder Meeting
Analysts have maintained Orlen's price target at PLN 83.86, citing consistent expectations for future profitability and revenue growth in spite of industry headwinds. What's in the News Orlen S.A. will hold a Special/Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting on October 28, 2025, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Oct 08
Renewable Energy Focus And Funding Diversification Will Improve Future Performance
Analysts have raised their price target for Orlen from PLN 80.08 to PLN 83.86. This update cites an improved fair value assessment and a modest increase in projected profit margins, even though revenue growth expectations are slightly lower.Analysis Article • Oct 01
Orlen S.A.'s (WSE:PKN) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 42% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights The projected fair value for Orlen is zł123 based on Dividend Discount Model Orlen is estimated to be 30...Narrative Update • Sep 23
Renewable Energy Focus And Funding Diversification Will Improve Future Performance
Despite a further deterioration in consensus revenue growth forecasts, Orlen’s net profit margin has improved, supporting a modest increase in analyst fair value to PLN80.08. What's in the News Orlen will not acquire all or part of GA Polyolefins shares, but remains open to further discussions on asset utilization.Analysis Article • Sep 13
Orlen (WSE:PKN) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd...Analysis Article • May 30
Some May Be Optimistic About Orlen's (WSE:PKN) Earnings
Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Orlen S.A.'s ( WSE:PKN ) shareholders over the last week. We did some digging...
New Narrative • Jan 19
Operations Diversification And Retail Expansion Will Build Future Resilience
Diversified operations and strategic investments aim to stabilize Orlen's revenue and boost capital efficiency and net margins.Shareholder Returns
| PKN | PL Oil and Gas | PL Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 5.6% | -4.4% | 1.2% |
| 1Y | 94.1% | 45.6% | 20.4% |
Return vs Industry: PKN exceeded the Polish Oil and Gas industry which returned 51.6% over the past year.
Return vs Market: PKN exceeded the Polish Market which returned 26.5% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| PKN volatility | |
|---|---|
| PKN Average Weekly Movement | 5.5% |
| Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement | 7.2% |
| Market Average Movement | 5.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in PL Market | 10.5% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in PL Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: PKN has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Polish market.
Volatility Over Time: PKN's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1999 | 66,226 | Ireneusz Fafara | www.orlen.pl |
Orlen S.A. operates in refining, petrochemical, energy, retail, gas, and upstream business. It engages in the processing and wholesale of refinery products, such as crude oil; production and sale of fuel, oil, chemicals, and petrochemicals, as well as provision of supporting services; production, distribution, and sale of electricity and heat from conventional and renewable energy sources comprising solar photovoltaics, as well as natural gas; trading of electricity; exploration and extraction of mineral resources; exploration, production, and import of natural gas; and trading and storage of gas and liquid gas. The company is also involved in the exploration, recognition, and extraction of hydrocarbons; fuel station activities; and provision of transportation, maintenance and overhaul, laboratory, security, design, administrative, courier, insurance, and financial services, as well as press distribution, and media activities, such as newspapers and websites.
Orlen S.A. Fundamentals Summary
| PKN fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | zł162.53b |
| Earnings (TTM) | zł2.53b |
| Revenue (TTM) | zł267.83b |
64.4x
P/E Ratio0.6x
P/S RatioIs PKN overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| PKN income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | zł267.83b |
| Cost of Revenue | zł220.21b |
| Gross Profit | zł47.62b |
| Other Expenses | zł45.09b |
| Earnings | zł2.53b |
Last Reported Earnings
Dec 31, 2025
Next Earnings Date
May 28, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 2.18 |
| Gross Margin | 17.78% |
| Net Profit Margin | 0.95% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 17.6% |
How did PKN perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
4.3%
Current Dividend Yield108%
Payout RatioDoes PKN pay a reliable dividends?
See PKN dividend history and benchmarks| Orlen dividend dates | |
|---|---|
| Ex Dividend Date | Jun 17 2026 |
| Dividend Pay Date | Jun 25 2026 |
| Days until Ex dividend | 37 days |
| Days until Dividend pay date | 45 days |
Does PKN pay a reliable dividends?
See PKN dividend history and benchmarksCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/08 11:30 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/08 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Orlen S.A. is covered by 21 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Robert Bate | Barclays |
| Yuriy Kukhtanych | Berenberg |
| Kamil Kliszcz | Biuro maklerskie mBanku |