Orlen Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Orlen's revenue is forecast to decline at 6.9% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 17.6% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 23.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 6.4% in 3 years.

Key information

17.6%

Earnings growth rate

23.9%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth	6.5%
Revenue growth rate	-6.9%
Future return on equity	6.4%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	20 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Need To Know: Analysts Are Much More Bullish On Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Akcyjna (WSE:PKN)

May 31

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Akcyjna (WSE:PKN) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

May 20

These 4 Measures Indicate That Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Akcyjna (WSE:PKN) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Apr 09

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Akcyjna (WSE:PKN)

Feb 24

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Akcyjna (WSE:PKN) Is Achieving High Returns On Its Capital

Feb 09

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Akcyjna (WSE:PKN) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Jan 09

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

WSE:PKN - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (PLN Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	277,950	11,485	4,696	30,068	6
12/31/2025	283,412	13,912	-563	30,975	6
12/31/2024	292,335	11,332	-4,747	31,634	2
9/30/2024	318,231	3,750	51	31,335	N/A
6/30/2024	329,752	8,089	-5,013	28,808	N/A
3/31/2024	339,271	14,131	-4,811	29,984	N/A
12/31/2023	372,767	20,680	5,513	41,914	N/A
9/30/2023	380,563	38,566	16,951	52,373	N/A
6/30/2023	374,021	48,684	24,321	54,848	N/A
3/31/2023	352,796	46,231	28,990	55,640	N/A
12/31/2022	282,415	39,677	12,402	32,638	N/A
9/30/2022	217,080	25,202	1,859	17,083	N/A
6/30/2022	180,607	13,432	-67	12,849	N/A
3/31/2022	152,226	12,047	-1,259	10,035	N/A
12/31/2021	131,341	11,122	2,070	13,295	N/A
9/30/2021	113,602	6,979	4,511	14,437	N/A
6/30/2021	101,078	4,721	2,459	12,350	N/A
3/31/2021	88,665	6,844	841	10,575	N/A
12/31/2020	86,180	2,755	-326	7,247	N/A
9/30/2020	90,505	3,340	413	7,274	N/A
6/30/2020	95,816	3,955	2,563	8,506	N/A
3/31/2020	108,034	1,207	3,809	8,658	N/A
12/31/2019	111,203	4,300	4,869	9,319	N/A
9/30/2019	113,123	4,424	3,173	7,155	N/A
6/30/2019	114,238	5,221	3,299	7,276	N/A
3/31/2019	111,711	5,363	1,522	5,661	N/A
12/31/2018	109,706	5,556	526	4,980	N/A
9/30/2018	105,020	6,440	2,393	6,822	N/A
6/30/2018	99,406	5,980	N/A	6,273	N/A
3/31/2018	95,730	5,777	N/A	7,887	N/A
12/31/2017	95,364	6,655	N/A	8,050	N/A
9/30/2017	93,532	6,853	N/A	9,712	N/A
6/30/2017	89,885	6,777	N/A	8,806	N/A
3/31/2017	86,215	6,844	N/A	7,077	N/A
12/31/2016	79,553	5,261	N/A	9,331	N/A
9/30/2016	76,738	3,391	N/A	8,351	N/A
6/30/2016	79,123	2,659	N/A	6,386	N/A
3/31/2016	84,544	2,418	N/A	7,301	N/A
12/31/2015	88,336	2,837	N/A	5,354	N/A
9/30/2015	93,151	1,702	N/A	4,199	N/A
6/30/2015	98,843	1,445	N/A	6,231	N/A
3/31/2015	102,718	-5,119	N/A	7,607	N/A
12/31/2014	106,832	-5,811	N/A	3,187	N/A
9/30/2014	109,552	-5,016	N/A	4,267	N/A
6/30/2014	110,696	-4,899	N/A	3,198	N/A
3/31/2014	110,266	91	N/A	3,432	N/A
12/31/2013	113,597	176	N/A	5,540	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: PKN's forecast earnings growth (17.6% per year) is above the savings rate (4.1%).

Earnings vs Market: PKN's earnings (17.6% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Polish market (15.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: PKN's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: PKN's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-6.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: PKN's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-6.9% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: PKN's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (6.4%).

Orlen Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Orlen Energy Assumes Restart of Operations At Litvinov Refinery for Early September

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 68%

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 11%, EPS upgraded

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 20%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 33%, revenue downgraded

Recent updates

The Norwegian energy ministry signed an agreement to acquire remaining 53.30% stake in GASSCO from Shell, CapeOmega, ConocoPhilipps, Equinor, Hav Energy, Orlen and Silex for NOK 18.1 billion.

Orlen Energy Assumes Restart of Operations At Litvinov Refinery for Early September

Orlen Shareholders Files Lawsuits to Overturn Resolutions Not to Discharge Former Board Members

Orlen S.A.'s (WSE:PKN) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement

Orlen S.A. Announces Board Appointments

Does Orlen (WSE:PKN) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Orlen S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 25, 2024

Orlen (WSE:PKN) Is Investing Its Capital With Increasing Efficiency

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%

Orlen S.A. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 13, 2024

Orlen Announces Management Changes

Orlen's (WSE:PKN) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Orlen S.A. Recommends Dividend Payment for the Year 2023

Orlen S.A. Announces Board Changes

Now 21% undervalued

Orlen S.A. Appoints Ireneusz Fafara as New CEO

Earnings Working Against Orlen S.A.'s (WSE:PKN) Share Price

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 68%

Operator Gazociagow Przesylowych GAZ-SYSTEM Sp. z o.o. has concluded an agreement to acquire Operator Systemu Magazynowania Sp. Z O.o. from Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN).

Are Investors Undervaluing Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN) By 32%?

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 11%, EPS upgraded

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Orlen Recommends Base Dividend for 2023

Orlen Recommends Base Dividend for 2023

We Think Orlen (WSE:PKN) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Orlen S.A. Announces Executive Changes

Orlen Announces Board Changes

Jan Szewczak Steps Down as Member of Orlen's Management Board

Orlen S.A. Announces Board Resignations

Investors Shouldn't Overlook Orlen's (WSE:PKN) Impressive Returns On Capital

Orlen Group Dismisses CEO, Daniel Obajtek Effective February 5, 2024

Improved Earnings Required Before Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN) Shares Find Their Feet

Poland's Minister of State Assets Dismisses Janina Goss from Supervisory Board of Orlen

Daniel Obajtek is Expected to Resign as Orlen Group's CEO

An Intrinsic Calculation For Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN) Suggests It's 32% Undervalued

Orlen S.A. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 23, 2024

Orlen Reportedly in Advanced Talks to Buy Kuwait Foreign Petroleum's Norwegian Assets

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: zł2.98 (vs zł20.24 in 3Q 2022)

Does Orlen (WSE:PKN) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

ORLEN Announces the Resignation of Michal Klimaszewski as Supervisory Board Member, Effective October 31, 2023

Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN) acquired Ujazd, Dobrzyca, and Dominowo wind farms in Poland from EDP RENEWABLES Polska Sp. z o.o.

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Akcyjna (WSE:PKN) acquired DOPPLER Energie GmbH from Doppler Beteiligungs Gmbh.

Here's Why Orlen (WSE:PKN) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN) signed a preliminary deal to acquire a 74.11% stake in Energop Sp Z O O from Agencja Rozwoju Pomorza S.A.

Returns on Capital Paint A Bright Future For Orlen (WSE:PKN)

Upcoming dividend of zł5.50 per share at 7.7% yield

Tauron Negotiates with Orlen

These 4 Measures Indicate That Orlen (WSE:PKN) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Akcyjna (WSE:PKN) agreed to acquire 266 Petrol Stations in Austria from Doppler Beteiligungs Gmbh.

Orlen Eyes Takeover of Grupa Azoty Pulawy

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 20%

Need To Know: Analysts Are Much More Bullish On Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Akcyjna (WSE:PKN)

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Akcyjna, Annual General Meeting, Jun 21, 2023

First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: zł7.76 (vs zł6.48 in 1Q 2022)

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Akcyjna (WSE:PKN) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

These 4 Measures Indicate That Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Akcyjna (WSE:PKN) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 33%, revenue downgraded

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 21%

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Akcyjna (WSE:PKN)

PKN Orlen Fuels Discovers New 500 MCM Nat Gas Deposit

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Akcyjna (WSE:PKN) Is Achieving High Returns On Its Capital

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Akcyjna (WSE:PKN) acquired PGNiG Energia SA.

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Akcyjna (WSE:PKN) agreed to acquire 17 service stations in Bavaria and Baden-Württemberg.

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Akcyjna (WSE:PKN) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 10%

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Akcyjna to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Apr 21, 2023