Orlen Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
Orlen's revenue is forecast to decline at 5.6% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 17.5% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 23% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 6.4% in 3 years.
Key information
17.5%
Earnings growth rate
23.0%
EPS growth rate
Oil and Gas earnings growth | 6.7% |
Revenue growth rate | -5.6% |
Future return on equity | 6.4% |
Analyst coverage | Good |
Last updated | 11 Dec 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
We Think You Can Look Beyond Orlen's (WSE:PKN) Lackluster Earnings
Nov 24Orlen S.A.'s (WSE:PKN) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement
Jul 17Does Orlen (WSE:PKN) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Jun 11Orlen (WSE:PKN) Is Investing Its Capital With Increasing Efficiency
May 22Orlen's (WSE:PKN) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture
May 03Earnings Working Against Orlen S.A.'s (WSE:PKN) Share Price
Mar 31Are Investors Undervaluing Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN) By 32%?
Mar 13We Think Orlen (WSE:PKN) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Feb 21Investors Shouldn't Overlook Orlen's (WSE:PKN) Impressive Returns On Capital
Feb 03Improved Earnings Required Before Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN) Shares Find Their Feet
Dec 29Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/31/2026 | 280,948 | 11,666 | 4,750 | 30,482 | 6 |
12/31/2025 | 287,204 | 13,692 | -167 | 30,386 | 6 |
12/31/2024 | 296,462 | 9,597 | -3,544 | 29,496 | 6 |
9/30/2024 | 318,231 | 3,750 | 51 | 31,335 | N/A |
6/30/2024 | 329,752 | 8,089 | -5,013 | 28,808 | N/A |
3/31/2024 | 339,271 | 14,131 | -4,811 | 29,984 | N/A |
12/31/2023 | 372,767 | 20,680 | 5,513 | 41,914 | N/A |
9/30/2023 | 380,563 | 38,566 | 16,951 | 52,373 | N/A |
6/30/2023 | 374,021 | 48,684 | 24,321 | 54,848 | N/A |
3/31/2023 | 352,796 | 46,231 | 28,990 | 55,640 | N/A |
12/31/2022 | 282,415 | 39,677 | 12,402 | 32,638 | N/A |
9/30/2022 | 217,080 | 25,202 | 1,859 | 17,083 | N/A |
6/30/2022 | 180,607 | 13,432 | -67 | 12,849 | N/A |
3/31/2022 | 152,226 | 12,047 | -1,259 | 10,035 | N/A |
12/31/2021 | 131,341 | 11,122 | 2,070 | 13,295 | N/A |
9/30/2021 | 113,602 | 6,979 | 4,511 | 14,437 | N/A |
6/30/2021 | 101,078 | 4,721 | 2,459 | 12,350 | N/A |
3/31/2021 | 88,665 | 6,844 | 841 | 10,575 | N/A |
12/31/2020 | 86,180 | 2,755 | -326 | 7,247 | N/A |
9/30/2020 | 90,505 | 3,340 | 413 | 7,274 | N/A |
6/30/2020 | 95,816 | 3,955 | 2,563 | 8,506 | N/A |
3/31/2020 | 108,034 | 1,207 | 3,809 | 8,658 | N/A |
12/31/2019 | 111,203 | 4,300 | 4,869 | 9,319 | N/A |
9/30/2019 | 113,123 | 4,424 | 3,173 | 7,155 | N/A |
6/30/2019 | 114,238 | 5,221 | 3,299 | 7,276 | N/A |
3/31/2019 | 111,711 | 5,363 | 1,522 | 5,661 | N/A |
12/31/2018 | 109,706 | 5,556 | 526 | 4,980 | N/A |
9/30/2018 | 105,020 | 6,440 | 2,393 | 6,822 | N/A |
6/30/2018 | 99,406 | 5,980 | N/A | 6,273 | N/A |
3/31/2018 | 95,730 | 5,777 | N/A | 7,887 | N/A |
12/31/2017 | 95,364 | 6,655 | N/A | 8,050 | N/A |
9/30/2017 | 93,532 | 6,853 | N/A | 9,712 | N/A |
6/30/2017 | 89,885 | 6,777 | N/A | 8,806 | N/A |
3/31/2017 | 86,215 | 6,844 | N/A | 7,077 | N/A |
12/31/2016 | 79,553 | 5,261 | N/A | 9,331 | N/A |
9/30/2016 | 76,738 | 3,391 | N/A | 8,351 | N/A |
6/30/2016 | 79,123 | 2,659 | N/A | 6,386 | N/A |
3/31/2016 | 84,544 | 2,418 | N/A | 7,301 | N/A |
12/31/2015 | 88,336 | 2,837 | N/A | 5,354 | N/A |
9/30/2015 | 93,151 | 1,702 | N/A | 4,199 | N/A |
6/30/2015 | 98,843 | 1,445 | N/A | 6,231 | N/A |
3/31/2015 | 102,718 | -5,119 | N/A | 7,607 | N/A |
12/31/2014 | 106,832 | -5,811 | N/A | 3,187 | N/A |
9/30/2014 | 109,552 | -5,016 | N/A | 4,267 | N/A |
6/30/2014 | 110,696 | -4,899 | N/A | 3,198 | N/A |
3/31/2014 | 110,266 | 91 | N/A | 3,432 | N/A |
12/31/2013 | 113,597 | 176 | N/A | 5,540 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: PKN's forecast earnings growth (17.5% per year) is above the savings rate (4.1%).
Earnings vs Market: PKN's earnings (17.5% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Polish market (16.3% per year).
High Growth Earnings: PKN's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: PKN's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-5.6% per year).
High Growth Revenue: PKN's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-5.6% per year).
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: PKN's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (6.4%).
Discover growth companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
---|---|
Company Analysis | 2024/12/22 07:22 |
End of Day Share Price | 2024/12/20 00:00 |
Earnings | 2024/09/30 |
Annual Earnings | 2023/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
---|---|---|---|
Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
Ownership | 10 years |
| |
Management | 10 years |
| |
Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .
Analyst Sources
Orlen S.A. is covered by 25 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
Analyst | Institution |
---|---|
Robert Bate | Barclays |
Yuriy Kukhtanych | Berenberg |
Kamil Kliszcz | Biuro maklerskie mBanku |