Orlen Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Orlen's revenue is forecast to decline at 5.6% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 17.5% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 23% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 6.4% in 3 years.

Key information

17.5%

Earnings growth rate

23.0%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth6.7%
Revenue growth rate-5.6%
Future return on equity6.4%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated11 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

We Think You Can Look Beyond Orlen's (WSE:PKN) Lackluster Earnings

Nov 24
We Think You Can Look Beyond Orlen's (WSE:PKN) Lackluster Earnings

Orlen S.A.'s (WSE:PKN) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement

Jul 17
Orlen S.A.'s (WSE:PKN) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement

Does Orlen (WSE:PKN) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Jun 11
Does Orlen (WSE:PKN) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Orlen (WSE:PKN) Is Investing Its Capital With Increasing Efficiency

May 22
Orlen (WSE:PKN) Is Investing Its Capital With Increasing Efficiency

Orlen's (WSE:PKN) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

May 03
Orlen's (WSE:PKN) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

Earnings Working Against Orlen S.A.'s (WSE:PKN) Share Price

Mar 31
Earnings Working Against Orlen S.A.'s (WSE:PKN) Share Price

Are Investors Undervaluing Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN) By 32%?

Mar 13
Are Investors Undervaluing Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN) By 32%?

We Think Orlen (WSE:PKN) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Feb 21
We Think Orlen (WSE:PKN) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Investors Shouldn't Overlook Orlen's (WSE:PKN) Impressive Returns On Capital

Feb 03
Investors Shouldn't Overlook Orlen's (WSE:PKN) Impressive Returns On Capital

Improved Earnings Required Before Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN) Shares Find Their Feet

Dec 29
Improved Earnings Required Before Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN) Shares Find Their Feet

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

WSE:PKN - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (PLN Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026280,94811,6664,75030,4826
12/31/2025287,20413,692-16730,3866
12/31/2024296,4629,597-3,54429,4966
9/30/2024318,2313,7505131,335N/A
6/30/2024329,7528,089-5,01328,808N/A
3/31/2024339,27114,131-4,81129,984N/A
12/31/2023372,76720,6805,51341,914N/A
9/30/2023380,56338,56616,95152,373N/A
6/30/2023374,02148,68424,32154,848N/A
3/31/2023352,79646,23128,99055,640N/A
12/31/2022282,41539,67712,40232,638N/A
9/30/2022217,08025,2021,85917,083N/A
6/30/2022180,60713,432-6712,849N/A
3/31/2022152,22612,047-1,25910,035N/A
12/31/2021131,34111,1222,07013,295N/A
9/30/2021113,6026,9794,51114,437N/A
6/30/2021101,0784,7212,45912,350N/A
3/31/202188,6656,84484110,575N/A
12/31/202086,1802,755-3267,247N/A
9/30/202090,5053,3404137,274N/A
6/30/202095,8163,9552,5638,506N/A
3/31/2020108,0341,2073,8098,658N/A
12/31/2019111,2034,3004,8699,319N/A
9/30/2019113,1234,4243,1737,155N/A
6/30/2019114,2385,2213,2997,276N/A
3/31/2019111,7115,3631,5225,661N/A
12/31/2018109,7065,5565264,980N/A
9/30/2018105,0206,4402,3936,822N/A
6/30/201899,4065,980N/A6,273N/A
3/31/201895,7305,777N/A7,887N/A
12/31/201795,3646,655N/A8,050N/A
9/30/201793,5326,853N/A9,712N/A
6/30/201789,8856,777N/A8,806N/A
3/31/201786,2156,844N/A7,077N/A
12/31/201679,5535,261N/A9,331N/A
9/30/201676,7383,391N/A8,351N/A
6/30/201679,1232,659N/A6,386N/A
3/31/201684,5442,418N/A7,301N/A
12/31/201588,3362,837N/A5,354N/A
9/30/201593,1511,702N/A4,199N/A
6/30/201598,8431,445N/A6,231N/A
3/31/2015102,718-5,119N/A7,607N/A
12/31/2014106,832-5,811N/A3,187N/A
9/30/2014109,552-5,016N/A4,267N/A
6/30/2014110,696-4,899N/A3,198N/A
3/31/2014110,26691N/A3,432N/A
12/31/2013113,597176N/A5,540N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: PKN's forecast earnings growth (17.5% per year) is above the savings rate (4.1%).

Earnings vs Market: PKN's earnings (17.5% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Polish market (16.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: PKN's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: PKN's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-5.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: PKN's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-5.6% per year).


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: PKN's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (6.4%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 07:22
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Orlen S.A. is covered by 25 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Robert BateBarclays
Yuriy KukhtanychBerenberg
Kamil KliszczBiuro maklerskie mBanku