Orlen S.A.

WSE:PKN Stock Report

Market Cap: zł117.6b

Orlen Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Orlen's revenue is forecast to decline at 2.8% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 7.8% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 6.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 6.5% in 3 years.

Key information

7.8%

Earnings growth rate

6.91%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth11.8%
Revenue growth rate-2.8%
Future return on equity6.50%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated15 Dec 2025

Recent future growth updates

Orlen S.A. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Mar 02
Orlen S.A. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Recent updates

An Intrinsic Calculation For Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN) Suggests It's 26% Undervalued

Jan 04
An Intrinsic Calculation For Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN) Suggests It's 26% Undervalued

Returns At Orlen (WSE:PKN) Are On The Way Up

Dec 17
Returns At Orlen (WSE:PKN) Are On The Way Up

Orlen (WSE:PKN) Is Posting Promising Earnings But The Good News Doesn’t Stop There

Nov 29
Orlen (WSE:PKN) Is Posting Promising Earnings But The Good News Doesn’t Stop There

Orlen (WSE:PKN) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Oct 28
Orlen (WSE:PKN) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Orlen S.A.'s (WSE:PKN) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 42% Above Its Share Price

Oct 01
Orlen S.A.'s (WSE:PKN) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 42% Above Its Share Price

Orlen (WSE:PKN) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

Sep 13
Orlen (WSE:PKN) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

Some May Be Optimistic About Orlen's (WSE:PKN) Earnings

May 30
Some May Be Optimistic About Orlen's (WSE:PKN) Earnings

Investors Aren't Buying Orlen S.A.'s (WSE:PKN) Revenues

May 07
Investors Aren't Buying Orlen S.A.'s (WSE:PKN) Revenues

Orlen (WSE:PKN) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

Apr 11
Orlen (WSE:PKN) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

Is Orlen (WSE:PKN) Using Too Much Debt?

Mar 20
Is Orlen (WSE:PKN) Using Too Much Debt?

Orlen S.A. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Mar 02
Orlen S.A. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

A Look At The Fair Value Of Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN)

Feb 11
A Look At The Fair Value Of Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN)

Orlen S.A.'s (WSE:PKN) Share Price Is Matching Sentiment Around Its Revenues

Jan 24
Orlen S.A.'s (WSE:PKN) Share Price Is Matching Sentiment Around Its Revenues
User avatar

Operations Diversification And Retail Expansion Will Build Future Resilience

Diversified operations and strategic investments aim to stabilize Orlen's revenue and boost capital efficiency and net margins.

Orlen (WSE:PKN) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

Jan 06
Orlen (WSE:PKN) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

WSE:PKN - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (PLN Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2028227,59110,558N/A27,2972
12/31/2027263,18312,627-3,58730,4579
12/31/2026254,01213,637-5,98830,6199
12/31/2025260,47911,572-18836,2225
9/30/2025270,3996,43015,15344,878N/A
6/30/2025277,3284,51716,10645,232N/A
3/31/2025286,1792,97011,23940,706N/A
12/31/2024294,9761,4695,69736,634N/A
9/30/2024317,3803,99226531,335N/A
6/30/2024328,9018,331-4,79928,808N/A
3/31/2024338,42014,376-4,59729,984N/A
12/31/2023371,91620,9225,72741,914N/A
9/30/2023380,56338,56616,95152,373N/A
6/30/2023374,02148,68424,32154,848N/A
3/31/2023352,79646,23128,99055,640N/A
12/31/2022282,41539,67712,40232,638N/A
9/30/2022217,08025,2021,85917,083N/A
6/30/2022180,60713,432-6712,849N/A
3/31/2022152,22612,047-1,25910,035N/A
12/31/2021131,34111,1222,07013,295N/A
9/30/2021113,6026,9794,51114,437N/A
6/30/2021101,0784,7212,45912,350N/A
3/31/202188,6656,84484110,575N/A
12/31/202086,1802,755-3267,247N/A
9/30/202090,5053,3404137,274N/A
6/30/202095,8163,9552,5638,506N/A
3/31/2020108,0341,2073,8098,658N/A
12/31/2019111,2034,3004,8699,319N/A
9/30/2019113,1234,4243,1737,155N/A
6/30/2019114,2385,221N/A7,276N/A
3/31/2019111,7115,363N/A5,661N/A
12/31/2018109,7065,556N/A4,980N/A
9/30/2018105,0206,440N/A6,822N/A
6/30/201899,4065,980N/A6,273N/A
3/31/201895,7305,777N/A7,887N/A
12/31/201795,3646,655N/A8,050N/A
9/30/201793,5326,853N/A9,712N/A
6/30/201789,8856,777N/A8,806N/A
3/31/201786,2156,844N/A7,077N/A
12/31/201679,5535,261N/A9,331N/A
9/30/201676,7383,391N/A8,351N/A
6/30/201679,1232,659N/A6,386N/A
3/31/201684,5442,418N/A7,301N/A
12/31/201588,3362,837N/A5,354N/A
9/30/201593,1511,702N/A4,199N/A
6/30/201598,8431,445N/A6,231N/A
3/31/2015102,718-5,119N/A7,607N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: PKN's forecast earnings growth (7.8% per year) is above the savings rate (4.9%).

Earnings vs Market: PKN's earnings (7.8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Polish market (14.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: PKN's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: PKN's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-2.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: PKN's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-2.8% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: PKN's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (6.5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/01/05 07:47
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/02 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Orlen S.A. is covered by 20 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Robert BateBarclays
Yuriy KukhtanychBerenberg
Kamil KliszczBiuro maklerskie mBanku