Is PKN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6
Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of PKN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
zł53.92
Fair Value
0.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts
Below Fair Value: PKN (PLN53.79) is trading below our estimate of fair value (PLN53.92)
Significantly Below Fair Value: PKN is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PKN?
Key metric: As PKN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PKN. This is calculated by dividing PKN's market cap by their current
earnings.
What is PKN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio
16.7x
Earnings
zł3.75b
Market Cap
zł62.45b
PKN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PKN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (8.5x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is PKN's PE Ratio
compared to its
Fair PE Ratio?
This is the expected PE Ratio taking into
account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins
and other risk factors.
PKN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio
16.7x
Fair PE Ratio
30.9x
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PKN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.9x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
The above table shows the analyst PKN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date
Share Price
Average 1Y Price Target
Dispersion
High
Low
1Y Actual price
Analysts
Current
zł53.79
zł70.25
+30.6%
12.9%
zł87.36
zł59.00
n/a
10
Jan ’26
zł47.20
zł73.27
+55.2%
15.6%
zł94.08
zł61.50
n/a
10
Dec ’25
zł51.02
zł75.40
+47.8%
18.3%
zł105.37
zł61.50
n/a
10
Nov ’25
zł52.09
zł75.82
+45.6%
17.7%
zł105.37
zł61.50
n/a
10
Oct ’25
zł57.03
zł79.37
+39.2%
14.8%
zł105.37
zł65.90
n/a
10
Sep ’25
zł64.34
zł78.24
+21.6%
11.8%
zł94.74
zł65.90
n/a
10
Aug ’25
zł63.38
zł78.24
+23.5%
11.8%
zł94.74
zł65.90
n/a
10
Jul ’25
zł67.89
zł78.94
+16.3%
12.0%
zł94.74
zł65.90
n/a
9
Jun ’25
zł63.57
zł78.94
+24.2%
12.0%
zł94.74
zł65.90
n/a
9
May ’25
zł66.44
zł80.44
+21.1%
11.0%
zł94.74
zł71.50
n/a
8
Apr ’25
zł65.08
zł80.44
+23.6%
11.0%
zł94.74
zł71.50
n/a
8
Mar ’25
zł63.14
zł79.15
+25.4%
13.0%
zł95.30
zł67.60
n/a
8
Feb ’25
zł65.55
zł79.15
+20.7%
13.0%
zł95.30
zł67.60
zł53.79
8
Jan ’25
zł65.50
zł79.78
+21.8%
17.7%
zł105.00
zł64.00
zł47.20
8
Dec ’24
zł60.60
zł80.15
+32.3%
17.5%
zł105.00
zł64.00
zł51.02
8
Nov ’24
zł66.50
zł80.85
+21.6%
18.0%
zł105.00
zł64.00
zł52.09
9
Oct ’24
zł58.70
zł75.77
+29.1%
15.8%
zł95.50
zł60.00
zł57.03
9
Sep ’24
zł63.56
zł77.13
+21.4%
15.0%
zł95.50
zł60.00
zł64.34
9
Aug ’24
zł71.10
zł78.76
+10.8%
15.6%
zł100.10
zł61.00
zł63.38
9
Jul ’24
zł64.41
zł78.13
+21.3%
13.8%
zł100.00
zł61.00
zł67.89
10
Jun ’24
zł62.38
zł77.39
+24.1%
13.3%
zł100.00
zł61.00
zł63.57
11
May ’24
zł63.42
zł77.03
+21.5%
14.2%
zł100.00
zł57.00
zł66.44
11
Apr ’24
zł58.24
zł76.62
+31.6%
14.9%
zł100.00
zł57.00
zł65.08
11
Mar ’24
zł66.28
zł80.51
+21.5%
14.0%
zł100.00
zł60.00
zł63.14
10
Feb ’24
zł62.88
zł80.51
+28.0%
14.0%
zł100.00
zł60.00
zł65.55
10
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
zł70.25
Fair Value
23.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Data
Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis
2025/02/01 23:45
End of Day Share Price
2025/01/31 00:00
Earnings
2024/09/30
Annual Earnings
2023/12/31
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .
Analyst Sources
Orlen S.A. is covered by 27 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.