Deutsche Post's (ETR:DHL) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems
Mar 13
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German (DAX) Market Analysis & Valuation
UpdatedMar 13, 2025
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies724
- 7D-1.6%
- 3M8.5%
- 1Y13.8%
- YTD10.9%
Over the last 7 days, the market has dropped 1.6%, driven by a pullback of 7.0% in the Information Technology sector. As for the longer term, the market has actually risen by 14% in the last year. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 16% per annum.
Market Valuation and Performance
Has the German Market valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, 13 Mar 2025 | €2.5t | €2.7t | €125.8b | 16.8x | 20x | 0.9x |
| Sat, 08 Feb 2025 | €2.4t | €2.7t | €113.3b | 16.7x | 21.5x | 0.9x |
| Mon, 06 Jan 2025 | €2.3t | €2.7t | €114.5b | 16.1x | 19.8x | 0.8x |
| Wed, 04 Dec 2024 | €2.3t | €2.7t | €114.2b | 15.7x | 20x | 0.8x |
| Fri, 01 Nov 2024 | €2.3t | €2.7t | €115.9b | 15.5x | 19.5x | 0.8x |
| Sun, 29 Sep 2024 | €2.3t | €2.7t | €119.8b | 16.7x | 19.2x | 0.9x |
| Tue, 27 Aug 2024 | €2.2t | €2.7t | €118.4b | 16.6x | 18.6x | 0.8x |
| Thu, 25 Jul 2024 | €2.2t | €2.7t | €111.1b | 17.6x | 19.7x | 0.8x |
| Sat, 22 Jun 2024 | €2.2t | €2.7t | €110.6b | 17.2x | 19.7x | 0.8x |
| Mon, 20 May 2024 | €2.3t | €2.7t | €110.1b | 17.5x | 20.6x | 0.8x |
| Wed, 17 Apr 2024 | €2.3t | €2.8t | €119.1b | 17.1x | 18.9x | 0.8x |
| Fri, 15 Mar 2024 | €2.2t | €2.8t | €122.1b | 16x | 18.3x | 0.8x |
| Sun, 11 Feb 2024 | €2.1t | €2.9t | €152.2b | 16.1x | 14.1x | 0.8x |
| Tue, 09 Jan 2024 | €2.1t | €2.9t | €146.5b | 16.2x | 14.7x | 0.8x |
| Thu, 07 Dec 2023 | €2.2t | €2.9t | €147.5b | 16.1x | 14.6x | 0.8x |
| Sat, 04 Nov 2023 | €2.0t | €2.9t | €161.0b | 15.8x | 12.6x | 0.7x |
| Mon, 02 Oct 2023 | €2.1t | €3.0t | €131.0b | 16x | 15.8x | 0.7x |
| Wed, 30 Aug 2023 | €2.2t | €3.0t | €131.8b | 16.1x | 16.4x | 0.7x |
| Fri, 28 Jul 2023 | €2.2t | €3.0t | €138.7b | 17x | 15.9x | 0.7x |
| Sun, 25 Jun 2023 | €2.1t | €3.0t | €140.4b | 17.2x | 15.3x | 0.7x |
| Tue, 23 May 2023 | €2.2t | €3.0t | €136.9b | 17.4x | 16x | 0.7x |
| Thu, 20 Apr 2023 | €2.2t | €3.0t | €147.7b | 17.1x | 15.1x | 0.7x |
| Sat, 18 Mar 2023 | €2.1t | €2.9t | €150.6b | 15.6x | 13.8x | 0.7x |
| Mon, 13 Feb 2023 | €2.1t | €2.6t | €173.3b | 16.1x | 12.3x | 0.8x |
| Wed, 11 Jan 2023 | €2.0t | €2.6t | €172.8b | 16.2x | 11.8x | 0.8x |
| Fri, 09 Dec 2022 | €2.0t | €2.6t | €173.3b | 15.9x | 11.3x | 0.8x |
| Sun, 06 Nov 2022 | €1.9t | €2.6t | €170.2b | 15.1x | 11x | 0.7x |
| Tue, 04 Oct 2022 | €1.7t | €2.5t | €169.0b | 14.2x | 10.3x | 0.7x |
| Thu, 01 Sep 2022 | €1.8t | €2.5t | €162.4b | 15.4x | 11.1x | 0.7x |
| Sat, 30 Jul 2022 | €1.9t | €2.6t | €159.3b | 16.7x | 12x | 0.7x |
| Mon, 27 Jun 2022 | €1.9t | €2.6t | €159.4b | 16.3x | 11.6x | 0.7x |
| Wed, 25 May 2022 | €2.0t | €2.6t | €160.8b | 17.3x | 12.4x | 0.8x |
| Fri, 22 Apr 2022 | €2.1t | €2.5t | €143.5b | 19.1x | 14.9x | 0.9x |
| Sun, 20 Mar 2022 | €2.2t | €2.5t | €146.6b | 19.4x | 14.7x | 0.9x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
14.7x
Current Market PE
- Investors are optimistic on the German market, and appear confident in strong long term growth rates.
- The market is trading at a PE ratio of 20.0x which is higher than its 3-year average PE of 15.7x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for German listed companies have declined 5.0% per year over the last three years.
- Meanwhile revenues for these companies have grown 2.6% per year.
- This means that although more sales are being generated, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased, which has decreased profits.
Sector Trends
Which sectors have driven the changes within the German Market?
| DE Market | -1.56% | |
| Energy | 4.38% | |
| Utilities | 3.57% | |
| Financials | 1.25% | |
| Industrials | -0.31% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | -0.50% | |
| Telecom | -1.55% | |
| Materials | -1.70% | |
| Healthcare | -1.98% | |
| Real Estate | -3.58% | |
| Consumer Staples | -6.07% | |
| Tech | -6.96% | |
Sector PE
- Investors favour the Tech sector the most for future growth, which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 39.9x.
- The market's confidence is likely because analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 23.6%, which is higher than its past year's earnings growth of 8.6% per year.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Real Estate sector, expecting annual earnings growth of 80% over the next 5 years.
- This is better than its past earnings growth rate of 6.6% per year.
- In contrast, the Telecom sector is expected to see its earnings grow by 2.3% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | Sector | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DHL Deutsche Post | €41.64 | 7.4% +€3.3b | 7.2% | PE14.4x | Industrials | |
| RHM Rheinmetall | €1.27k | 5.2% +€2.7b | 200.3% | PE68.3x | Industrials | |
| ENR Siemens Energy | €57.84 | 4.7% +€2.0b | 315.4% | PS1.3x | Industrials | |
| EOAN E.ON | €12.86 | 5.5% +€1.8b | 2.8% | PE7.4x | Utilities | |
| ALV Allianz | €346.70 | 1.3% +€1.7b | 30.6% | PE13.5x | Financials |
