Should You Investigate Bilfinger SE (ETR:GBF) At €44.75?
Jan 14
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German (DAX) Commercial Services Industry Analysis
UpdatedJan 21, 2025
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies13
- 7D2.0%
- 3M-9.2%
- 1Y-13.3%
- YTD0.4%
The Commercial Services is pretty flat in the last 7 days, but Bilfinger has stood out, gaining 4.0%. As for the longer term, the industry has declined 13% in the last year. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 19% annually.
Industry Valuation and Performance
Has the German Commercial Services Industry valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 21 Jan 2025 | €4.0b | €8.9b | €359.2m | 14.2x | 11.2x | 0.5x |
| Thu, 19 Dec 2024 | €4.0b | €8.9b | €359.2m | 13.3x | 11.2x | 0.5x |
| Sat, 16 Nov 2024 | €3.9b | €8.7b | €339.5m | 12.5x | 11.6x | 0.5x |
| Mon, 14 Oct 2024 | €4.6b | €8.8b | €346.7m | 17.8x | 13.1x | 0.5x |
| Wed, 11 Sep 2024 | €4.3b | €8.7b | €346.9m | 16x | 12.4x | 0.5x |
| Fri, 09 Aug 2024 | €4.5b | €8.6b | €319.3m | 11x | 14x | 0.5x |
| Sun, 07 Jul 2024 | €4.9b | €8.6b | €323.7m | 11.8x | 15.2x | 0.6x |
| Tue, 04 Jun 2024 | €5.0b | €8.6b | €320.6m | 11.9x | 15.6x | 0.6x |
| Thu, 02 May 2024 | €4.8b | €8.5b | €295.6m | 14.8x | 16.4x | 0.6x |
| Sat, 30 Mar 2024 | €5.1b | €8.7b | €343.1m | 16x | 14.9x | 0.6x |
| Mon, 26 Feb 2024 | €5.0b | €8.7b | €326.2m | 14.5x | 15.4x | 0.6x |
| Wed, 24 Jan 2024 | €5.0b | €8.7b | €215.9m | 18.6x | 23.3x | 0.6x |
| Fri, 22 Dec 2023 | €4.9b | €8.7b | €216.3m | 19.4x | 22.8x | 0.6x |
| Sun, 19 Nov 2023 | €4.9b | €8.7b | €216.2m | 19.6x | 22.6x | 0.6x |
| Tue, 17 Oct 2023 | €4.6b | €8.7b | €235.4m | 17.4x | 19.5x | 0.5x |
| Thu, 14 Sep 2023 | €4.7b | €8.7b | €236.0m | 17.9x | 19.9x | 0.5x |
| Sat, 12 Aug 2023 | €4.8b | €8.7b | €242.5m | 20.1x | 19.9x | 0.6x |
| Mon, 10 Jul 2023 | €5.0b | €8.7b | €258.4m | 20.3x | 19.5x | 0.6x |
| Wed, 07 Jun 2023 | €5.0b | €8.7b | €258.2m | 20.3x | 19.5x | 0.6x |
| Fri, 05 May 2023 | €5.3b | €8.6b | €261.4m | 15.3x | 20.4x | 0.6x |
| Sun, 02 Apr 2023 | €5.5b | €8.5b | €258.0m | 15.7x | 21.5x | 0.7x |
| Tue, 28 Feb 2023 | €5.8b | €8.5b | €281.9m | 15.1x | 20.7x | 0.7x |
| Thu, 26 Jan 2023 | €4.6b | €6.9b | €288.1m | 13.5x | 15.8x | 0.7x |
| Sat, 24 Dec 2022 | €3.9b | €6.9b | €288.1m | 12.8x | 13.6x | 0.6x |
| Mon, 21 Nov 2022 | €3.8b | €6.9b | €288.5m | 11.9x | 13.3x | 0.6x |
| Wed, 19 Oct 2022 | €3.4b | €6.7b | €283.9m | 10.7x | 12.1x | 0.5x |
| Fri, 16 Sep 2022 | €3.5b | €6.7b | €282.4m | 10.6x | 12.3x | 0.5x |
| Sun, 14 Aug 2022 | €4.3b | €6.6b | €279.8m | 16.1x | 15.4x | 0.7x |
| Tue, 12 Jul 2022 | €4.2b | €6.3b | €265.9m | 15.3x | 15.8x | 0.7x |
| Thu, 09 Jun 2022 | €4.9b | €6.3b | €266.0m | 19.1x | 18.5x | 0.8x |
| Sat, 07 May 2022 | €5.1b | €6.1b | €277.0m | 24.9x | 18.2x | 0.8x |
| Mon, 04 Apr 2022 | €5.7b | €6.1b | €257.7m | 28.7x | 22.3x | 0.9x |
| Wed, 02 Mar 2022 | €5.3b | €6.0b | €239.8m | 16.4x | 22x | 0.9x |
| Fri, 28 Jan 2022 | €5.3b | €5.9b | €384.2m | 16.6x | 13.7x | 0.9x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
13.7x
Current Industry PE
- Investors are pessimistic on the German Commercial Services industry, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates will be lower than they have historically.
- The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 11.2x which is lower than its 3-year average PE of 17.0x.
- The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PS ratio of 0.61x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for companies in the Commercial Services industry have declined 2.2% per year over the last three years.
- Meanwhile revenues for these companies have grown 15% per year.
- This means that although more sales are being generated, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased, which has decreased profits.
Industry Trends
Which industries have driven the changes within the German Industrials industry?
| DE Market | 3.51% | |
| Industrials | 3.64% | |
| Commercial Services | 2.03% | |
| Security and Alarm Services | 26.76% | |
| Diversified Support Services | 3.20% | |
| Office Services and Supplies | 0.37% | |
| Commercial Printing | 0% | 0 |
| Environmental and Facilities Services | -0.044% | |
Industry PE
- Investors are most optimistic about the Office Services and Supplies industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 20.0x.
- Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 73.8%, which is lower than the prior year's growth of 166.1% per year.
- Investors are most pessimistic about the Diversified Support Services industry, which is trading below its 3-year average of 15.4x.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Office Services and Supplies industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 74% over the next 5 years.
- However this is lower than its past earnings growth rate of 166% per year.
- In contrast, the Diversified Support Services industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 2.2% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBF Bilfinger | €46.85 | 4.7% +€78.7m | 22.1% | PE7.6x | |
| TTK TAKKT | €7.64 | 0.8% +€3.9m | -43.8% | PS0.5x | |
| ABA ALBA | €7.50 | 2.0% +€1.5m | n/a | PE275.4x | |
| 75S sdm | €1.80 | 26.8% +€1.4m | -52.6% | PE13.3x | |
| AQP1 action press | €0.22 | 5.8% +€264.6k | -81.0% | PS39.3x |
