Returns On Capital At Bid (JSE:BID) Have Stalled
Aug 03
South African (JSE) Market Analysis & Valuation
UpdatedAug 12, 2024
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies212
- 7D-0.1%
- 3M3.6%
- 1Y4.3%
- YTD3.3%
The Communication Services sector gained 5.1% while the market remained flat over the last week. More promisingly, the market is up 4.3% over the past year. Earnings are forecast to grow by 19% annually.
Market Valuation and Performance
Has the South African Market valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, 12 Aug 2024 | R5.9t | R5.2t | R417.7b | 9.6x | 14.1x | 1.1x |
| Wed, 10 Jul 2024 | R5.8t | R5.1t | R458.7b | 9.2x | 12.7x | 1.1x |
| Fri, 07 Jun 2024 | R5.5t | R5.3t | R437.9b | 8.7x | 12.5x | 1x |
| Sun, 05 May 2024 | R5.5t | R5.3t | R432.5b | 8.6x | 12.8x | 1x |
| Tue, 02 Apr 2024 | R5.5t | R5.3t | R433.8b | 8.7x | 12.6x | 1x |
| Thu, 29 Feb 2024 | R5.4t | R5.3t | R517.0b | 9x | 10.4x | 1x |
| Sat, 27 Jan 2024 | R5.7t | R5.4t | R541.7b | 9.4x | 10.5x | 1x |
| Mon, 25 Dec 2023 | R5.7t | R5.4t | R540.1b | 9.3x | 10.6x | 1.1x |
| Wed, 22 Nov 2023 | R5.6t | R5.4t | R538.3b | 9.1x | 10.4x | 1x |
| Fri, 20 Oct 2023 | R5.4t | R5.5t | R547.4b | 9x | 9.8x | 1x |
| Sun, 17 Sep 2023 | R5.6t | R5.5t | R556.5b | 9x | 10.1x | 1x |
| Tue, 15 Aug 2023 | R5.9t | R5.4t | R632.0b | 8.4x | 9.4x | 1.1x |
| Thu, 13 Jul 2023 | R5.9t | R5.4t | R656.0b | 8.5x | 9x | 1.1x |
| Sat, 10 Jun 2023 | R7.5t | R5.4t | R655.0b | 8.3x | 11.4x | 1.4x |
| Mon, 08 May 2023 | R6.1t | R5.3t | R669.3b | 8.3x | 9.1x | 1.1x |
| Wed, 05 Apr 2023 | R6.1t | R5.3t | R647.6b | 8.5x | 9.5x | 1.2x |
| Fri, 03 Mar 2023 | R6.1t | R5.3t | R638.7b | 8.6x | 9.6x | 1.2x |
| Sun, 29 Jan 2023 | R6.5t | R5.2t | R658.7b | 8.3x | 9.8x | 1.2x |
| Tue, 27 Dec 2022 | R6.0t | R5.2t | R656.5b | 8.4x | 9.2x | 1.2x |
| Thu, 24 Nov 2022 | R6.1t | R5.2t | R833.1b | 8.8x | 7.4x | 1.2x |
| Sat, 22 Oct 2022 | R5.6t | R5.2t | R841.3b | 8.5x | 6.7x | 1.1x |
| Mon, 19 Sep 2022 | R5.7t | R5.1t | R824.9b | 8.9x | 6.9x | 1.1x |
| Wed, 17 Aug 2022 | R6.2t | R5.3t | R767.6b | 8.8x | 8.1x | 1.2x |
| Fri, 15 Jul 2022 | R5.6t | R5.3t | R791.5b | 8.4x | 7.1x | 1.1x |
| Sun, 12 Jun 2022 | R6.3t | R5.2t | R802.7b | 8.9x | 7.8x | 1.2x |
| Tue, 10 May 2022 | R6.2t | R5.2t | R791.6b | 9.4x | 7.8x | 1.2x |
| Thu, 07 Apr 2022 | R7.1t | R5.2t | R763.3b | 9.8x | 9.3x | 1.4x |
| Sat, 05 Mar 2022 | R7.2t | R5.2t | R759.2b | 10.4x | 9.5x | 1.4x |
| Mon, 31 Jan 2022 | R6.9t | R5.1t | R769.1b | 10.6x | 9x | 1.4x |
| Wed, 29 Dec 2021 | R6.8t | R5.1t | R769.5b | 10.5x | 8.9x | 1.3x |
| Fri, 26 Nov 2021 | R6.6t | R5.1t | R760.1b | 10.5x | 8.7x | 1.3x |
| Sun, 24 Oct 2021 | R6.7t | R5.0t | R580.7b | 11.3x | 11.6x | 1.3x |
| Tue, 21 Sep 2021 | R6.2t | R5.0t | R548.1b | 11.4x | 11.2x | 1.2x |
| Thu, 19 Aug 2021 | R6.4t | R4.9t | R513.3b | 11.5x | 12.5x | 1.3x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
12.5x
Current Market PE
- Investors are optimistic on the South African market, and appear confident in strong long term growth rates.
- The market is trading at a PE ratio of 14.1x which is higher than its 3-year average PE of 9.9x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for South African listed companies have declined 6.6% per year over the last three years.
- Meanwhile revenues for these companies have grown 2.5% per year.
- This means that although more sales are being generated, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased, which has decreased profits.
Sector Trends
Which sectors have driven the changes within the South African Market?
| ZA Market | -0.096% | |
| Telecom | 5.11% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | 3.06% | |
| Real Estate | 1.70% | |
| Utilities | 0% | |
| Information Technology | 0% | |
| Financials | 0% | |
| Health Care | 0% | |
| Industrials | 0% | |
| Industrials | -0.22% | |
| Financials | -0.40% | |
| Energy | -1.01% | |
| Consumer Staples | -1.09% | |
| Tech | -2.48% | |
| Materials | -3.52% | |
| Healthcare | -3.52% | |
Sector PE
- Investors favour the Materials sector the most for future growth, which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 16.2x.
- The market's confidence is likely because analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 38.3% which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 5.9% per year.
- The Energy sector is the least preferred by investors for future growth, which is trading close to its 3-year average of 3.9x.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Materials sector, expecting annual earnings growth of 38% over the next 5 years.
- This is better than its past earnings decline of 5.9% per year.
- In contrast, the Energy sector is expected to see its earnings decline by 8.7% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | Sector | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NPN Naspers | R3.59k | 5.1% +R29.1b | 6.9% | PE10.8x | Consumer Discretionary | |
| MTN MTN Group | R83.06 | 10.5% +R14.3b | -35.9% | PE36.7x | Telecom | |
| INL Investec Group | R134.50 | -1.5% R11.2b | 19.1% | PE9x | Financials | |
| VOD Vodacom Group | R99.85 | 1.6% +R3.1b | -11.8% | PE11.9x | Telecom | |
| NED Nedbank Group | R279.72 | 1.7% +R2.9b | 21.5% | PB1.2x | Financials |
