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Updated 1m ago
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Sibanye Stillwater LimitedJSE:SSW Stock Report

Market Cap R144.7b
Updated 1m ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y34.6%
7D-4.5%
1D0.2%
Portfolio Value
​
View

Sibanye Stillwater Limited

JSE:SSW Stock Report

Market Cap: R144.7b

  • Company Overview
    • Valuation
    • Future Growth
    • Past Performance
    • Financial Health
    • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Sibanye Stillwater (SSW) Stock Overview

Operates as a precious metals mining company in South Africa, the United States, Europe, and Australia. More details

SSW fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation4/6
Future Growth1/6
Past Performance3/6
Financial Health4/6
Dividends4/6

Rewards

Trading at 20.9% below our estimate of its fair value

Became profitable this year

Risk Analysis

Unstable dividend track record

Volatile share price over the past 3 months compared to the ZA market


SSW Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 133 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
2.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•24d ago

Improving Metal Prices And Leadership Changes Will Drive Profit Outlook

1k
1
58
AN
AnalystHighTarget
31.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•4d ago

Renewable Trends Will Drive US PGM Plus Lithium Market Expansion

413
0
16
AN
AnalystLowTarget
54.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•2mo ago

Accelerating EV Adoption Will Undercut PGM Revenue Despite Recycling Avenues

348
0
6

Top Analyst Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
2.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•24d ago

Improving Metal Prices And Leadership Changes Will Drive Profit Outlook

1k
1
58
AN
AnalystHighTarget
31.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•4d ago

Renewable Trends Will Drive US PGM Plus Lithium Market Expansion

413
0
16
AN
AnalystLowTarget
54.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•2mo ago

Accelerating EV Adoption Will Undercut PGM Revenue Despite Recycling Avenues

348
0
6
View all narratives

Sibanye Stillwater Limited Competitors

Northam Platinum Holdings

Symbol: JSE:NPH
Market cap: R126.8b

Impala Platinum Holdings

Symbol: JSE:IMP
Market cap: R216.0b

Valterra Platinum

Symbol: JSE:VAL
Market cap: R375.8b

Tharisa

Symbol: JSE:THA
Market cap: R8.0b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Sibanye Stillwater
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceR51.12
52 Week HighR85.43
52 Week LowR32.31
Beta0.97
1 Month Change17.54%
3 Month Change17.73%
1 Year Change34.56%
3 Year Change61.98%
5 Year Change7.76%
Change since IPO299.91%

Recent News & Updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 09

SSW: Organic PGM Expansions And Deleveraging Will Drive Future Repricing

The analyst price target for Sibanye Stillwater has shifted from ZAR78.04 to ZAR75.00 as analysts factor in the move toward organic growth, recent price target trims, and comments on balance sheet progress and project execution risks. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Sibanye Stillwater highlights a mix of optimism on execution and balance sheet progress, alongside caution on project and commodity risks.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 21

SSW: Future Returns Will Hinge On Organic Projects And Balance Sheet Deleveraging

The analyst price target for Sibanye Stillwater has shifted higher to ZAR49.77 from ZAR47.27, with analysts pointing to the company’s move toward organic growth, continued work on its South African PGM portfolio, and balance sheet deleveraging as key drivers of their updated valuation views. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Sibanye Stillwater points to a mixed but constructive view, with analysts weighing the company’s focus on organic growth and balance sheet deleveraging against project execution risks and commodity exposure.

Recent updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 09

SSW: Organic PGM Expansions And Deleveraging Will Drive Future Repricing

The analyst price target for Sibanye Stillwater has shifted from ZAR78.04 to ZAR75.00 as analysts factor in the move toward organic growth, recent price target trims, and comments on balance sheet progress and project execution risks. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Sibanye Stillwater highlights a mix of optimism on execution and balance sheet progress, alongside caution on project and commodity risks.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 21

SSW: Future Returns Will Hinge On Organic Projects And Balance Sheet Deleveraging

The analyst price target for Sibanye Stillwater has shifted higher to ZAR49.77 from ZAR47.27, with analysts pointing to the company’s move toward organic growth, continued work on its South African PGM portfolio, and balance sheet deleveraging as key drivers of their updated valuation views. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Sibanye Stillwater points to a mixed but constructive view, with analysts weighing the company’s focus on organic growth and balance sheet deleveraging against project execution risks and commodity exposure.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 07

SSW: Future Returns Will Depend On PGM Portfolio Upgrades And Deleveraging

Sibanye Stillwater's analyst fair value estimate has been revised lower from ZAR65.41 to ZAR47.27 as analysts factor in a more cautious profit outlook, a slightly higher required return, and near term headwinds including subdued PGM markets, higher capital spending, execution risks, and uncertainty around Keliber cash flows. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Sibanye Stillwater points to a more balanced view, with bullish analysts highlighting long term portfolio work and cautious analysts focusing on capital needs and near term market conditions.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 23

SSW: Long-Life PGM Projects And Deleveraging Will Drive Future Repricing

The analyst fair value estimate for Sibanye Stillwater has shifted from ZAR97.49 to ZAR78.04 as analysts weigh improved long term PGM asset quality and margin assumptions against a softer near term outlook, higher capital spending, execution risks, and uncertainty around Keliber cash flows, which are reflected in recent Street price target cuts. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Sibanye Stillwater points to a mixed but generally constructive stance, with analysts adjusting price targets to reflect both improved long term asset quality in platinum group metals and a softer near term outlook.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 09

SSW: Cost Discipline And Production Plans Will Guide Balanced Future Returns

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Sibanye Stillwater from ZAR48.43 to ZAR33.00, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, future P/E multiples, and recent Street target reductions. What's in the News Sibanye Stillwater held an Analyst and Investor Day focused on the group’s international and recycling operations, outlining capital and production plans for these parts of the business.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 25

SSW: Higher Margins And Cost Control Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have made a small upward adjustment to the Sibanye Stillwater price target to ZAR48.43. This reflects updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 11

SSW: Stable Production And Higher Metal Prices Will Support Repricing

Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Sibanye Stillwater to ZAR97.49 per share from ZAR97.55. This reflects updated views on a slightly higher discount rate, firmer revenue growth assumptions, a modestly softer profit margin, and a largely unchanged future P/E expectation.
User avatar
Narrative Update • May 28

SSW: Future Returns Will Rely On Executing Higher Margin And P E Assumptions

Analysts have reset their ZAR price expectations for Sibanye Stillwater lower, with a new fair value estimate of about ZAR65.41 compared with roughly ZAR82.53 previously, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins and a reduced future P/E assumption. What's in the News First quarter 2026 update: SA PGM operations 4E production, excluding third party concentrate, was 2% higher year on year, with AISC of ZAR 24,629/4Eoz (US$1,507/4Eoz) in line with the first quarter of 2025.
User avatar
Narrative Update • May 13

SSW: Stronger Margin Outlook And Kloof Shaft Resolution May Support Repricing

Analysts have trimmed their ZAR price target for Sibanye Stillwater from ZAR100.00 to about ZAR97.55, reflecting updated assumptions around slightly lower revenue, a small change in discount rate, an adjusted future P/E and a modestly higher profit margin outlook. What's in the News Operations at the Kloof 8 shaft near Glenharvie in South Africa are halted while Sibanye Stillwater investigates a fatal incident on May 3, 2026.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 28

SSW: Higher Discount Rates And Margin Assumptions Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have trimmed their Sibanye Stillwater price target by ZAR2, reflecting slightly higher discount rate assumptions and more cautious revenue growth expectations. This is partly offset by a modestly stronger profit margin outlook and a marginally lower future P/E multiple.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 14

SSW: Recent Bank Upgrades And Margin Delivery May Support Repricing

Analysts have reduced their ZAR fair value estimate for Sibanye Stillwater from ZAR103.00 to ZAR100.00, citing slightly higher discount rate assumptions, a modestly lower revenue growth outlook, and a lower future P/E multiple, partly offset by a small improvement in projected profit margins. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Sibanye Stillwater point to a more constructive tone from several bullish analysts, with a focus on valuation support and execution on key priorities.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 30

SSW: Higher Earnings Outlook And Execution Risks Will Shape Future Returns

The analyst price target for Sibanye Stillwater has been raised from ZAR38.00 to about ZAR49.92, with analysts citing updated assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple as the main drivers of this change. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates highlight a mix of optimism and caution around Sibanye Stillwater, with the raised ZAR49.92 price target sitting alongside more guarded views on the company’s ability to deliver on those assumptions.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 16

SSW: Recent Bank Upgrades And Higher P E Assumptions May Support Repricing

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Sibanye Stillwater has been raised by ZAR4. Analysts cite updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple as key factors behind the change.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 02

SSW: Future Returns Will Depend On Executing Higher Margin And P E Assumptions

Sibanye Stillwater's analyst fair value estimate has been revised from about ZAR50.07 to around ZAR82.53, with analysts pointing to updated assumptions on discount rates, profit margins and future P/E multiples following recent research from major banks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has focused on how updated assumptions for Sibanye Stillwater feed into valuation, especially around discount rates, profit margins and future P/E multiples.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 16

SSW: Recent Bank Upgrades And Keliber Progress Will Support Repricing

Analysts have raised their ZAR price target on Sibanye Stillwater by ZAR4, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, profit margins and future P/E, supported by recent upgrades and more constructive views from several research houses. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are leaning into a more constructive view on Sibanye Stillwater, with recent research pointing to updated assumptions for discount rates, profit margins and future P/E as key drivers behind higher valuation ranges.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 02

SSW: Recent Bank Upgrades And Project Progress Will Support Repricing

Analysts have roughly doubled their price target for Sibanye Stillwater to US$103.00 from US$50.00, citing updated assumptions for faster revenue growth, higher profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple following recent upgrades from major banks. Analyst Commentary Recent upgrades from major banks have reinforced the view that Sibanye Stillwater could offer investors a more attractive balance between growth potential and valuation than previously assumed.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 19

SSW: Wage Deal And Settlement Payments Will Weigh On Future Earnings

Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Sibanye Stillwater steady at $38.00, while fine tuning inputs such as a slightly lower discount rate, modestly higher revenue growth assumptions, a small change in profit margin expectations, and a marginally lower future P/E to reflect a more balanced view of the company’s risk and earnings profile. What's in the News Sibanye Stillwater concluded a three year wage agreement for its South African gold operations with AMCU, NUM, UASA and Solidarity.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 05

SSW: Future Wage And Settlement Costs Will Pressure Earnings Outlook

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Sibanye Stillwater from $19.50 to $38.00, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple that they consider a closer reflection of the company’s outlook. What's in the News Sibanye Stillwater concluded a three year wage agreement at its South African gold operations with AMCU, NUM, UASA, and Solidarity, covering annual wage and benefit adjustments for employees from 1 July 2025 to 30 June 2028 (Key Developments).
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 21

SSW: Future Returns Will Depend On Chrome Agreement Cash Flows

Analysts have slightly trimmed their price target on Sibanye Stillwater to around $50.07 from approximately $50.16, citing moderate reductions in the assumed discount rate, upgraded forecasts for revenue growth and profit margins, and a somewhat lower future price to earnings multiple. What's in the News Concluded a three year wage agreement at South African gold operations with AMCU, NUM, UASA, and Solidarity.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 07

SSW: Future Returns Will Depend On Chrome Deals And Leadership Transition

Analysts have nudged their price target on Sibanye Stillwater higher to approximately $50 from about $47, citing slightly stronger expectations for revenue growth and profit margins, despite a modest uptick in the assumed discount rate and a largely unchanged future earnings multiple. What's in the News Sibanye Stillwater agreed to a USD 215 million commercial settlement with Appian Capital Advisory over the terminated Atlantic Nickel and Mineração Vale Verde acquisition, resolving the dispute ahead of a quantum trial that had been set for November 2025 (Key Developments).
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 22

SSW: Future Performance Will Depend On Platinum Group Metal Price Momentum

Analysts have increased their price target for Sibanye Stillwater from $7 to $8.50. They cite expectations for stronger performance in platinum group metals and improved future profitability, despite recent operational challenges.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 08

SSW: Future Depends On Platinum Group Metal Gains Amid Gold Weakness

The analyst price target for Sibanye Stillwater has increased from $7.00 to $8.50, as analysts cite improved prospects in its platinum group metal business and expectations for stronger back-end weighted production following a recent rise in PGM prices. Analyst Commentary Analysts have provided a nuanced outlook on Sibanye Stillwater, reflecting both optimism and ongoing concerns.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 25

Improving Metal Prices And Leadership Changes Will Drive Profit Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target for Sibanye Stillwater to $8.50, up from $7. This decision is based on anticipated gains from stronger platinum group metal performance and improving profit outlooks.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 11

Lithium Oversupply And Global Electrification Will Reshape Metals Markets

Narrative Update on Sibanye Stillwater Analysts have raised their price target for Sibanye Stillwater from $7.00 to $8.50, citing improved revenue growth and profit margin expectations. They also point to anticipated benefits from a recovery in platinum group metal prices.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 27

Lithium Oversupply And Global Electrification Will Reshape Metals Markets

Analysts have raised Sibanye Stillwater’s price target to ZAR33.44 as they anticipate a gradual operational recovery and medium-term upside from stronger PGM prices, despite near-term gold challenges. Analyst Commentary Expectations of a gradual operational recovery with production weighted toward the second half of the year.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 12

Lithium Oversupply And Global Electrification Will Reshape Metals Markets

Despite softer first-half operational performance and continued weakness in the South Africa Gold segment, analysts have raised Sibanye Stillwater’s price target to ZAR32.40, driven by a stronger outlook for platinum group metals and benefit from improved PGM prices. Analyst Commentary Softer first-half operational performance, particularly in the South Africa Gold business, led to another guidance downgrade.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 28

Leadership Shifts And Cost Pressures Will Spark Battery Metals Turnaround

With both the discount rate and future P/E remaining essentially unchanged, analyst perceptions of Sibanye Stillwater’s valuation are stable, resulting in an unchanged consensus price target of ZAR31.13. What's in the News Sibanye Stillwater expects first half 2025 headline earnings per share (HEPS) to increase over 100% year-on-year, despite a basic loss per share driven primarily by impairment losses at US PGM operations and the Keliber lithium project.
User avatar
New Narrative • Apr 23

Leadership Shifts And Cost Pressures Will Spark Battery Metals Turnaround

Leadership changes may lead to strategic shifts that could misalign with market expectations, affecting revenue growth and investor confidence.

Shareholder Returns

SSWZA Metals and MiningZA Market
7D-4.5%-0.8%-1.0%
1Y34.6%22.3%9.2%

Return vs Industry: SSW exceeded the ZA Metals and Mining industry which returned 22.3% over the past year.

Return vs Market: SSW exceeded the ZA Market which returned 9.2% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is SSW's price volatile compared to industry and market?
SSW volatility
SSW Average Weekly Movement8.0%
Metals and Mining Industry Average Movement8.1%
Market Average Movement4.5%
10% most volatile stocks in ZA Market10.9%
10% least volatile stocks in ZA Market2.6%

Stable Share Price: SSW's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the ZA market.

Volatility Over Time: SSW's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of ZA stocks.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
201357,857Richard Stewartwww.sibanyestillwater.com

Sibanye Stillwater Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a precious metals mining company in South Africa, the United States, Europe, and Australia. The company produces platinum group metals (PGMs), platinum, palladium, rhodium, ruthenium, iridium, gold, lithium, zinc, nickel, copper, and silver. Sibanye Stillwater Limited was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Weltevredenpark, South Africa.

Sibanye Stillwater Limited Fundamentals Summary

How do Sibanye Stillwater's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
SSW fundamental statistics
Market capR144.70b
Earnings (TTM)R16.17b
Revenue (TTM)R164.89b
9.0x
P/E Ratio
0.9x
P/S Ratio

Is SSW overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
SSW income statement (TTM)
RevenueR164.89b
Cost of RevenueR115.77b
Gross ProfitR49.12b
Other ExpensesR32.96b
EarningsR16.17b

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)5.71
Gross Margin29.79%
Net Profit Margin9.80%
Debt/Equity Ratio62.2%

How did SSW perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

7.9%
Current Dividend Yield
58%
Payout Ratio

Does SSW pay a reliable dividends?

See SSW dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy SSW by to receive an upcoming dividend?
Sibanye Stillwater dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateSep 16 2026
Dividend Pay DateSep 21 2026
Days until Ex dividend2 days
Days until Dividend pay date7 days

Does SSW pay a reliable dividends?

See SSW dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/14 05:39
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Sibanye Stillwater Limited is covered by 19 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Wade NapierAvior Capital Markets
Andrew ByrneBarclays
Raj RayBMO Capital Markets Equity Research

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