There's Reason For Concern Over Bowler Metcalf Limited's (JSE:BCF) Price
Apr 12
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South African (JSE) Materials Sector Analysis
UpdatedApr 14, 2025
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies31
- 7D16.6%
- 3M26.5%
- 1Y1.5%
- YTD34.3%
The Materials industry is up 17% in the last week, with Gold Fields up 20%. During this same period, the Tharisa underperformed, falling 7.4%. Overall in the last year, the industry is flat. Earnings are forecast to grow by 30% annually.
Sector Valuation and Performance
Has the South African Materials Sector valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, 14 Apr 2025 | R1.3t | R1.1t | -R6,800,080,408.88 | 7.6x | -186.5x | 1.1x |
| Wed, 12 Mar 2025 | R1.1t | R1.1t | -R8,367,319,834.83 | 8.3x | -137.1x | 1x |
| Fri, 07 Feb 2025 | R1.1t | R1.1t | -R48,647,574,033.25 | 8.5x | -22.5x | 1x |
| Sun, 05 Jan 2025 | R938.6b | R1.1t | -R52,066,926,426.39 | 9.4x | -18x | 0.8x |
| Tue, 03 Dec 2024 | R977.4b | R1.1t | -R55,801,947,019.49 | 10x | -17.5x | 0.9x |
| Thu, 31 Oct 2024 | R1.1t | R1.1t | -R58,645,760,499.94 | 9.7x | -19.1x | 1x |
| Sat, 28 Sep 2024 | R1.1t | R1.1t | -R60,533,748,958.05 | 10.8x | -17.4x | 0.9x |
| Mon, 26 Aug 2024 | R1.1t | R1.1t | -R38,022,608,239.76 | 9.1x | -27.9x | 0.9x |
| Wed, 24 Jul 2024 | R1.1t | R1.2t | R15.5b | 8.9x | 71.3x | 0.9x |
| Fri, 21 Jun 2024 | R1.0t | R1.1t | R53.1b | 9x | 19x | 1x |
| Sun, 19 May 2024 | R1.2t | R1.2t | R15.7b | 8.6x | 76.6x | 1x |
| Tue, 16 Apr 2024 | R1.2t | R1.2t | R17.0b | 8.5x | 73.3x | 1x |
| Thu, 14 Mar 2024 | R1.1t | R1.2t | R16.1b | 8.4x | 67.7x | 0.9x |
| Sat, 10 Feb 2024 | R1.0t | R1.2t | R102.7b | 8.8x | 10x | 0.8x |
| Mon, 08 Jan 2024 | R1.2t | R1.2t | R106.2b | 9.7x | 11.1x | 0.9x |
| Wed, 06 Dec 2023 | R1.1t | R1.2t | R108.3b | 9.3x | 10.5x | 0.9x |
| Fri, 03 Nov 2023 | R1.1t | R1.3t | R108.6b | 8.4x | 9.9x | 0.9x |
| Sun, 01 Oct 2023 | R1.2t | R1.3t | R109.9b | 8.8x | 11.3x | 0.9x |
| Tue, 29 Aug 2023 | R1.3t | R1.4t | R142.6b | 6.8x | 8.9x | 0.9x |
| Thu, 27 Jul 2023 | R1.4t | R1.4t | R193.1b | 5x | 7.4x | 1x |
| Sat, 24 Jun 2023 | R1.4t | R1.4t | R217.2b | 4.7x | 6.5x | 1x |
| Mon, 22 May 2023 | R1.6t | R1.4t | R233.4b | 5.1x | 6.9x | 1.1x |
| Wed, 19 Apr 2023 | R1.7t | R1.4t | R221.9b | 5.6x | 7.5x | 1.2x |
| Fri, 17 Mar 2023 | R1.4t | R1.4t | R220.4b | 5.5x | 6.2x | 1x |
| Sun, 12 Feb 2023 | R1.6t | R1.4t | R246.5b | 6x | 6.4x | 1.1x |
| Tue, 10 Jan 2023 | R1.8t | R1.4t | R247.8b | 6.7x | 7.1x | 1.3x |
| Thu, 08 Dec 2022 | R1.7t | R1.4t | R248.1b | 6.6x | 6.8x | 1.2x |
| Sat, 05 Nov 2022 | R1.6t | R1.4t | R250.9b | 6.2x | 6.3x | 1.1x |
| Mon, 03 Oct 2022 | R1.4t | R1.4t | R251.1b | 5.8x | 5.6x | 1x |
| Wed, 31 Aug 2022 | R1.4t | R1.4t | R251.5b | 6x | 5.6x | 1x |
| Fri, 29 Jul 2022 | R1.5t | R1.4t | R248.1b | 5.8x | 6x | 1.1x |
| Sun, 26 Jun 2022 | R1.6t | R1.4t | R267.7b | 5.2x | 5.8x | 1.1x |
| Tue, 24 May 2022 | R1.7t | R1.4t | R266.5b | 5.9x | 6.5x | 1.3x |
| Thu, 21 Apr 2022 | R2.0t | R1.3t | R262.2b | 7x | 7.6x | 1.5x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
7.6x
Current Industry PE
- Investors are optimistic on the South African Materials industry, and appear confident in long term growth rates.
- The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.0x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 1.1x.
Past Earnings Growth
- Total earnings for the Materials industry have declined over the last three years, with the industry now making a loss overall.
- Revenues have also declined 5.2% per year, which is driving profits down.
Industry Trends
Which industries have driven the changes within the South African Materials sector?
| ZA Market | 4.52% | |
| Materials | 16.57% | |
| Metals and Mining | 17.75% | |
| Paper and Forestry Products | 7.33% | |
| Chemicals | 5.52% | |
| Basic Materials | 3.78% | |
| Packaging | -0.0042% | |
Industry PE
- Investors are most optimistic about the Metals and Mining industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 30.3x.
- Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 27.9%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 15.4% per year.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Chemicals industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 67% over the next 5 years.
- This is better than its past earnings growth rate of 4.5% per year.
- In contrast, the Paper and Forestry Products industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 14% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GFI Gold Fields | R474.77 | 19.7% +R70.0b | 38.6% | PE17.9x | |
| HAR Harmony Gold Mining | R326.09 | 26.1% +R42.0b | 85.6% | PE19.3x | |
| AMS Anglo American Platinum | R682.37 | 12.3% +R19.7b | -18.6% | PE25.4x | |
| IMP Impala Platinum Holdings | R114.08 | 17.5% +R15.3b | 18.6% | PS1.2x | |
| SSW Sibanye Stillwater | R20.62 | 18.8% +R9.3b | -20.1% | PS0.5x |
