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Harmony Gold Mining Company LimitedJSE:HAR Stock Report

Market Cap R165.6b
Share Price
R274.50
R385
28.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y3.9%
7D-8.2%
Portfolio Value
View

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited

JSE:HAR Stock Report

Market Cap: R165.6b

Harmony Gold Mining (HAR) Stock Overview

Engages in the exploration, extraction, and processing of mineral properties in South Africa, Papua New Guinea, and Australia. More details

HAR fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation5/6
Future Growth5/6
Past Performance5/6
Financial Health3/6
Dividends3/6

HAR Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 87 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Harmony Gold Mining
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceR274.50
52 Week HighR428.88
52 Week LowR213.52
Beta0.69
1 Month Change-12.15%
3 Month Change-11.76%
1 Year Change3.85%
3 Year Change189.68%
5 Year Change267.52%
Change since IPO1,307.69%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update Apr 29

HAR: Dividend Strength And Steady Guidance Will Support Further Share Upside

Analysts have reiterated their ZAR fair value estimate for Harmony Gold Mining while fine tuning their inputs, including a slightly higher discount rate, modestly stronger revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a marginally lower future P/E. Together, these adjustments leave the overall price target in ZAR terms unchanged.
Analysis Article Apr 16

Should You Be Adding Harmony Gold Mining (JSE:HAR) To Your Watchlist Today?

The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...
Narrative Update Apr 15

HAR: Updated Costs And Margin Outlook Will Shape Future Return Balance

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Harmony Gold Mining from ZAR330 to ZAR300, citing updated assumptions that combine higher projected revenue growth with a lower profit margin outlook and a slightly reduced future P/E multiple. What's in the News Reported gold production of 724,099 oz, or 22,522 kg, for the six months ended 31 December 2025, compared with 797,854 oz, or 24,816 kg, a year earlier, with management attributing a 9% decline to temporary challenges in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 (company announcement of operating results).

Recent updates

Narrative Update Apr 29

HAR: Dividend Strength And Steady Guidance Will Support Further Share Upside

Analysts have reiterated their ZAR fair value estimate for Harmony Gold Mining while fine tuning their inputs, including a slightly higher discount rate, modestly stronger revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a marginally lower future P/E. Together, these adjustments leave the overall price target in ZAR terms unchanged.
Analysis Article Apr 16

Should You Be Adding Harmony Gold Mining (JSE:HAR) To Your Watchlist Today?

The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...
Narrative Update Apr 15

HAR: Updated Costs And Margin Outlook Will Shape Future Return Balance

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Harmony Gold Mining from ZAR330 to ZAR300, citing updated assumptions that combine higher projected revenue growth with a lower profit margin outlook and a slightly reduced future P/E multiple. What's in the News Reported gold production of 724,099 oz, or 22,522 kg, for the six months ended 31 December 2025, compared with 797,854 oz, or 24,816 kg, a year earlier, with management attributing a 9% decline to temporary challenges in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 (company announcement of operating results).
Narrative Update Apr 01

HAR: Earnings Guidance And Dividend Payout Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have raised their ZAR price target for Harmony Gold Mining to ZAR500, citing slightly firmer long term revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower projected future P/E multiple that together support maintaining this fair value level. What's in the News Reported gold production of 724,099 oz (22,522 kg) for the six months ended 31 December 2025, compared with 797,854 oz (24,816 kg) a year earlier, with a 9% decline linked to temporary challenges in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Mar 18

HAR: Higher Earnings Guidance And Dividend Payout Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Harmony Gold Mining from ZAR515 to ZAR500 as they factor in updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and the expected future P/E multiple. What's in the News Reported gold production of 724,099 oz (22,522 kg) for the six months ended 31 December 2025, compared with 797,854 oz (24,816 kg) a year earlier, reflecting a 9% decline linked to temporary challenges in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 (company announcement of operating results).
Narrative Update Mar 03

HAR: Higher Margin Outlook And Copper Project Will Shape Balanced Future Returns

Analysts have raised their ZAR fair value estimate for Harmony Gold Mining from about ZAR270 to ZAR330, citing updated assumptions that include higher revenue growth, a wider profit margin, and a lower future P/E multiple applied to the shares. What's in the News Thiess has entered an alliance agreement with Harmony Gold Mining for multiple work packages at the greenfield Eva Copper Mine Project in Cloncurry, North West Queensland, Australia.
Narrative Update Feb 17

HAR: Eva Copper Project And Alliance Agreement Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have kept their Harmony Gold Mining fair value estimate steady at ZAR515.00, with updated assumptions reflecting a slightly lower discount rate, marginally adjusted revenue, a modestly higher profit margin, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Thiess entered an alliance agreement with Harmony for multiple work packages at the greenfield Eva Copper Mine Project in Cloncurry, North West Queensland, including bulk earthworks, workshop construction and mining services over five years, with the mining scope valued at about A$700m (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Feb 03

HAR: Eva Copper Project Approval Will Underpin A More Optimistic Outlook

Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Harmony Gold Mining from $320 to $515, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels as key drivers of the new price target. What's in the News Harmony Gold Mining approved the high margin, long life Eva Copper Project after completing a three year feasibility study update and FEED phase with Tier 1 contractors.
Narrative Update Jan 20

HAR: Copper Project And Payout Policy Will Support Balanced Medium Term Outlook

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Harmony Gold Mining from $370.00 to $385.00, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E that feed into a slightly lower discount rate in their models. What's in the News Harmony approved the high margin, long life Eva Copper Project after completing a three year feasibility study update and FEED phase with Tier 1 contractors, which the company says has further reduced project risk.
Narrative Update Jan 06

HAR: Copper Expansion And Payout Policy Will Support Balanced Medium Term Outlook

Analysts have nudged their price target for Harmony Gold Mining up slightly, with fair value moving from $365.00 to $370.00 as they factor in updated assumptions around the discount rate, long term revenue growth, profit margins, and a future P/E of 12.46x. What's in the News Approved high margin, long life EVA COPPER PRO project after a three year feasibility study and FEED phase using Tier 1 contractors.
Narrative Update Dec 18

HAR: Higher Multiple And Copper Project Will Eventually Disappoint Expectations

Analysts have raised their price target for Harmony Gold Mining from approximately $220 to about $270 per share. They cite a higher discount rate, lower long term revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a rerating to a richer future P/E multiple that together better reflect the company’s risk profile and earnings quality.
Narrative Update Dec 04

HAR: Copper Project And Payout Policy Will Shape Balanced Medium Term Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target for Harmony Gold Mining to around $365 from $337, reflecting higher assumed revenue growth and valuation multiples, despite more conservative margins and only a modest uptick in the discount rate. What's in the News Approved the high margin, long life Eva Copper Project after completing a three year feasibility update and FEED phase with Tier 1 contractors, significantly de risking the development pipeline and expanding exposure to copper alongside gold (Key Developments) Targeting first copper production from the Eva Project in the second half of calendar 2028, with ramp up timing planned to coincide with an anticipated structural copper supply gap that could support stronger long term pricing (Key Developments) Independent analysis estimates the Eva Copper Project could add over AUD 17 billion to Queensland's gross state product over its anticipated 15 year mine life, while creating substantial construction and operational employment in the North West region (Key Developments) Reported first quarter fiscal 2026 production, with group gold output down 8 percent year over year to 12 128 kg, but confirmed operations remain on track to meet full year guidance (Key Developments) Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has increased from ZAR 337.5 to ZAR 365.0, representing a moderate upward revision in the analyst price target.
Narrative Update Nov 19

HAR: Dividend Payout And Strong 2026 Production Guidance Will Drive Upside

Analysts have slightly increased their price target for Harmony Gold Mining from $336.67 to $337.50. They cite modest improvements in projected revenue growth and discount rates as the reasons for this adjustment.
Narrative Update Nov 05

HAR: Revenue Gains And Margin Expansion Will Drive Share Upside

Analysts have increased their price target for Harmony Gold Mining from $330.71 to $336.67. They cite improving revenue growth and expanding profit margins as key factors behind the more optimistic outlook.
Narrative Update Oct 22

Analysts Lift Harmony Gold Price Target Amid Improved Profit Outlook and Updated Production Guidance

Analysts have increased their price target for Harmony Gold Mining from $295.71 to $330.71, citing a modest improvement in projected profitability despite slightly lower expectations for revenue growth. What's in the News Harmony Gold Mining released production guidance for fiscal year 2026, forecasting group output between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000 ounces.
Narrative Update Oct 08

Safe-haven Demand And Renewables Will Unlock Lasting Potential

Analysts have raised their price target for Harmony Gold Mining from $290 to approximately $295.71, citing an improved profit margin and updated valuation metrics. This change comes despite slightly moderated revenue growth expectations.
Narrative Update Sep 24

Safe-haven Demand And Renewables Will Unlock Lasting Potential

Upgraded revenue growth (from 11.9% to 14.1%) and a higher net profit margin (from 30.59% to 35.16%) have driven a notable increase in Harmony Gold Mining’s consensus price target from ZAR275.00 to ZAR290.00. What's in the News Fiscal 2026 production guidance set at 1.4–1.5 million ounces, with underground recovered grade guided above 5.8g/t.
Narrative Update Aug 29

Diversification Into Copper Aims To Mitigate Gold Dependency Despite Market Risks

The consensus analyst price target for Harmony Gold Mining has been revised downward, primarily reflecting a notable decrease in expected revenue growth, with the fair value target reduced from ZAR281.43 to ZAR275.00. What's in the News Declared a dividend of 155.00000 SA cents (8.88252 US cents) per ordinary share for the 12 months ended June 30, 2025.
User avatar
New Narrative Feb 09

Moab Khotsong Investments May Strain Cash Flow, Yet Wafi-Golpu Copper Project Could Diversify Future Revenues

Elevated capital expenditure on key projects could strain cash flow and increase financial risk, impacting future profitability.

Shareholder Returns

HARZA Metals and MiningZA Market
7D-8.2%-7.5%-2.5%
1Y3.9%76.9%20.0%

Return vs Industry: HAR underperformed the ZA Metals and Mining industry which returned 76.9% over the past year.

Return vs Market: HAR underperformed the ZA Market which returned 20% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is HAR's price volatile compared to industry and market?
HAR volatility
HAR Average Weekly Movement9.4%
Metals and Mining Industry Average Movement9.0%
Market Average Movement5.0%
10% most volatile stocks in ZA Market10.6%
10% least volatile stocks in ZA Market3.3%

Stable Share Price: HAR's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the ZA market.

Volatility Over Time: HAR's weekly volatility (9%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of ZA stocks.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
195034,350Beyers Nelwww.harmony.co.za

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited engages in the exploration, extraction, and processing of mineral properties in South Africa, Papua New Guinea, and Australia. The company explores for gold, uranium, silver, and copper deposits. It has nine underground operations in the Witwatersrand Basin; the Kraaipan Greenstone Belt; and various surface source operations in South Africa.

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited Fundamentals Summary

How do Harmony Gold Mining's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
HAR fundamental statistics
Market capR165.64b
Earnings (TTM)R16.28b
Revenue (TTM)R81.16b
10.5x
P/E Ratio
2.1x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
HAR income statement (TTM)
RevenueR81.16b
Cost of RevenueR45.85b
Gross ProfitR35.30b
Other ExpensesR19.03b
EarningsR16.28b

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2025

Next Earnings Date

Aug 27, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)26.05
Gross Margin43.50%
Net Profit Margin20.06%
Debt/Equity Ratio24.7%

How did HAR perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

1.9%
Current Dividend Yield
26%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/18 20:20
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/18 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited is covered by 15 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Herbert KharivheAbsa Bank Limited
Andrew ByrneBarclays
Raj RayBMO Capital Markets Equity Research