Stock Analysis

Anglo American Platinum (JSE:AMS) Will Pay A Dividend Of ZAR9.75

JSE:AMS
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Anglo American Platinum Limited (JSE:AMS) will pay a dividend of ZAR9.75 on the 26th of August. This payment takes the dividend yield to 2.7%, which only provides a modest boost to overall returns.

Check out our latest analysis for Anglo American Platinum

Anglo American Platinum's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

The dividend yield is a little bit low, but sustainability of the payments is also an important part of evaluating an income stock. Prior to this announcement, Anglo American Platinum's earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. No cash flows could definitely make returning cash to shareholders difficult, or at least mean the balance sheet will come under pressure.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 81.0%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 28% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

historic-dividend
JSE:AMS Historic Dividend July 25th 2024

Anglo American Platinum's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

It's comforting to see that Anglo American Platinum has been paying a dividend for a number of years now, however it has been cut at least once in that time. This makes us cautious about the consistency of the dividend over a full economic cycle. Since 2018, the annual payment back then was ZAR3.49, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ZAR18.60. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 32% per annum over that time. Anglo American Platinum has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.

Anglo American Platinum May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Although it's important to note that Anglo American Platinum's earnings per share has basically not grown from where it was five years ago, which could erode the purchasing power of the dividend over time.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Anglo American Platinum that investors should take into consideration. Is Anglo American Platinum not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.